NFL Tips
Week 10
MON, 16 NOV
WinLineTotalTUE, 17 NOV
WinLineTotalOdds subject to change. Gamble responsibly — 18+. Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Standings
As at .
AFC East
| # | Team | P | W | T | L | PF | PA | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 187 | 87.5% |
| 2 | New England Patriots | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 211 | 207 | 55.6% |
| 3 | New York Jets | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 182 | 223 | 22.2% |
| 4 | Miami Dolphins | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 126 | 200 | 12.5% |
AFC North
| # | Team | P | W | T | L | PF | PA | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 180 | 144 | 75% |
| 2 | Cincinnati Bengals | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 240 | 175 | 75% |
| 3 | Cleveland Browns | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 161 | 196 | 55.6% |
| 4 | Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 189 | 236 | 44.4% |
AFC South
| # | Team | P | W | T | L | PF | PA | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 229 | 121 | 75% |
| 2 | Houston Texans | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 209 | 192 | 37.5% |
| 3 | Indianapolis Colts | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 184 | 249 | 22.2% |
| 4 | Tennessee Titans | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 144 | 199 | 12.5% |
AFC West
| # | Team | P | W | T | L | PF | PA | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denver Broncos | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 198 | 186 | 77.8% |
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 202 | 143 | 75% |
| 3 | Las Vegas Raiders | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 238 | 268 | 44.4% |
| 4 | Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 121 | 219 | 0% |
NFC East
| # | Team | P | W | T | L | PF | PA | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Giants | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 203 | 196 | 61.1% |
| 2 | Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 246 | 236 | 44.4% |
| 3 | Washington Commanders | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 196 | 223 | 38.9% |
| 4 | Philadelphia Eagles | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 148 | 221 | 22.2% |
NFC North
| # | Team | P | W | T | L | PF | PA | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Bears | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 241 | 184 | 77.8% |
| 2 | Detroit Lions | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 222 | 189 | 75% |
| 3 | Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 146 | 116 | 75% |
| 4 | Green Bay Packers | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 216 | 191 | 66.7% |
NFC South
| # | Team | P | W | T | L | PF | PA | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Panthers | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 199 | 219 | 37.5% |
| 2 | New Orleans Saints | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 185 | 216 | 37.5% |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 202 | 178 | 33.3% |
| 4 | Atlanta Falcons | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 188 | 223 | 33.3% |
NFC West
| # | Team | P | W | T | L | PF | PA | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 156 | 87.5% |
| 2 | Seattle Seahawks | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 202 | 162 | 55.6% |
| 3 | Los Angeles Rams | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 214 | 181 | 55.6% |
| 4 | Arizona Cardinals | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 178 | 255 | 33.3% |
Betting angles
Season scoring and form from the table above — useful context for markets, not tips.
Strongest attack
Buffalo Bills
256 points for
Softest defence
Las Vegas Raiders
268 points against
Tightest defence
Minnesota Vikings
116 points against
Best differential
Jacksonville Jaguars
+108
More tips
Texans v Colts: the bold play — where the value sits
Preview and bold calls for Texans v Colts at Reliant Stadium, Fri 20 Nov, 12:15 pm AEDT. We back the Texans to win and cover the -10.
PuntX Trading Desk · Fri 13 Nov, 1:43 pm AEDT
NFL tips, odds & the bold read
Updated · by PuntX Trading Desk · How we tip
- Competition
- NFL
- Season window
- Saturday 1 August 2026 to Sunday 28 February 2027
- Teams
- 24 teams
- Published markets
- Head to Head; Line; Total Points; Same Game Multi
- Previews
As at Sun 15 Nov, 1:56 am AEDT - Texans v Colts: the bold play — where the value sits
- Ravens v Chargers, Tue 17 Nov: the bold play — value sits with Baltimore
- Bengals v Steelers: the bold play in an AFC North heavyweight clash
- Cowboys v 49ers, Week 10: the bold play sits with the Cowboys +3.5
- Cardinals v Rams, Mon 16 Nov: the bold play — where the value sits
- Key dates
As at Sun 15 Nov, 1:56 am AEDT Date Event Venue Thursday 26 November 2026 Thanksgiving – Bears at Lions, Eagles at Cowboys, Chiefs at Bills (Fri 27 Nov AEDT); Black Friday Broncos at Steelers Detroit / Dallas / Buffalo / Pittsburgh Thursday 24 December 2026 Christmas – Texans at Eagles (Xmas Eve); Packers at Bears, Bills at Broncos, Rams at Seahawks (Xmas Day = Boxing Day AEDT) Various Saturday 9 January 2027 Week 18 – regular season ends Various Saturday 16 January 2027 Wild Card weekend (6 games) Various Saturday 23 January 2027 Divisional round Various Sunday 31 January 2027 Conference Championships (Mon 1 Feb AEDT) Various
NFL tips and predictions
NFL tips start with a verdict: PuntX hunts value and backs bold leans when the numbers support them. Our tips are drawn from live previews and the markets we publish, focusing on where the value sits rather than the obvious favourite.
The markets we publish — Head to Head, Line, Total Points and Same Game Multi — are the lenses we use to find value. The table below updates as results come in and shows our current previews.
See how PuntX explains its approach on the about page: How PuntX picks tips.
NFL standings and Super Bowl contenders
NFL contenders are judged by form, scoring and head-to-head in our previews. PuntX calls out the teams most likely to shape the Super Bowl picture using those metrics and the live price to spot value beyond popular opinion.
We track the 24 teams across the season window and highlight contenders in the table below as previews are published. Key milestones that shape contention include the trade deadline on Tuesday 10 November 2026 and Week 18 finishing on Saturday 9 January 2027.
For context on markets we cover, check the competition hub: American football overview.
NFL odds explained: moneyline, spread and totals
NFL explains pricing through Head to Head, Line and Total Points markets. PuntX uses the live price in previews to compare the scoring and form picture against the market to find where the value sits or where the market's missed something.
The Line market captures the points margin, while Total Points measures combined scoring. We capture prices from PuntX's own book and timestamp them in previews so readers can judge movement. The table below shows the markets we publish and the previews that feed them.
NFL stats that matter for betting
NFL uses scoring, form and head-to-head as the primary stats in our preview work. PuntX compares these figures with the live price to decide if the value sits with a side or if the market has missed a factor worth backing.
We prioritise scoring trends and direct match-up history in previews. The table below includes the form, scoring and head-to-head notes we use to build each PuntX tip. Read our responsible gambling guidance alongside previews: Responsible gambling resources.
When NFL games are on in Australia
NFL schedules for the 2026–27 season run from Saturday 1 August 2026 to Sunday 28 February 2027, with fixtures and preview publishing covered by PuntX. The pack of fixtures and key dates guides our calendar for tips and markets.
Major schedule anchors include Thanksgiving fixtures on Thursday 26 November 2026 and the Christmas slate on Thursday 24 December 2026. The season finishes with Week 18 on Saturday 9 January 2027, then the Wild Card weekend on Saturday 16 January 2027.
The table below lists confirmed key dates and the previews that reference them.
Key NFL dates: Thanksgiving, Christmas, playoffs and Super Bowl LXI
NFL key dates include the trade deadline, Thanksgiving and Christmas matchups, the playoff rounds and Super Bowl LXI at SoFi Stadium. PuntX flags these dates in previews when they affect team strategy and markets.
Confirmed dates we publish include the trade deadline on Tuesday 10 November 2026, Thanksgiving fixtures on Thursday 26 November 2026, the Christmas schedule on Thursday 24 December 2026, Week 18 on Saturday 9 January 2027, Wild Card weekend on Saturday 16 January 2027, Divisional round on Saturday 23 January 2027, Conference Championships on Sunday 31 January 2027 and Super Bowl LXI on Sunday 14 February 2027 (kick-off ~10:30am Mon 15 Feb AEDT at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood). The table below shows these key dates.
How we pick our NFL tips
NFL tips from PuntX start by testing form, scoring and head-to-head against the live price. We choose the lean the numbers support and call the bold play when value presents itself; the methodology drives every pick we publish.
Every PuntX tip starts with the numbers in the preview: form, scoring, head to head and the live price. Then we take a side. We back the lean the numbers support, even when it is the unpopular one, and we show the price and the time it was captured so you can judge it yourself.
The table below shows our preview fields and the live prices used to form each tip.
Frequently asked questions
- What time is Super Bowl LXI in Australia?
- Super Bowl LXI is listed for Sunday 14 February 2027 with kick-off about 10:30am on Monday 15 February 2027 AEDT at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood.
- What is the spread in NFL betting?
- The Line market is the spread in NFL betting. PuntX publishes Line markets in previews and compares them with form, scoring and head-to-head to find value.
- What is the average total points in an NFL game?
- PuntX reports Total Points markets in previews and uses scoring trends from those previews to inform whether totals look mispriced by the market.
- When do the NFL playoffs start?
- The playoffs begin with Wild Card weekend scheduled for Saturday 16 January 2027, followed by the Divisional round on Saturday 23 January 2027 and the Conference Championships on Sunday 31 January 2027.
- Will the NFL return to Melbourne?
- PuntX publishes match and race previews for the NFL, but there is no item in our key dates confirming a return to Melbourne in the 2026–27 schedule.