The Indianapolis Colts secured a tight 19–17 victory over the Houston Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 3, turning the tables in an AFC South clash that kept fans on edge until the final whistle. Coming into the matchup, the market had the Houston Texans installed as the favourites at 1.78 in the head to head market, while the Indianapolis Colts sat at 2.05 at home. In a game defined by fine margins, the Colts found a way to grind out the result and protect their turf.

For the Indianapolis Colts, this 19–17 win provides a vital result as they look to build momentum following recent struggles, including a heavy defeat to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Meanwhile, the Houston Texans fell just short on the road, adding to a recent mixed sequence that included a loss to the New York Giants. The tight two-point margin proved that pre-match expectations of a competitive contest were spot on, even if the outright result defied the head to head market lean.

How the tips went

Looking back at our pre-match selections, it was a tough outing for the card. Our head to head tip on the Houston Texans at 1.78 resulted in a loss as the visitors dropped a two-point thriller at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Additionally, our line selection backing the Houston Texans -1.5 at 1.85 also resulted in a loss, as the Colts successfully defended their home ground and covered the small deficit to take out the 19–17 victory.