St Louis Blues host Florida Panthers at Enterprise Center on Sunday, 15 November at 11:00 am AEDT, and the market's missed the value. Both sides arrive with fresh wins under their belts, but the Blues at $1.95 represent the bold play in front of their home crowd.
The Panthers sit 14th on the ladder with a 10-7-2 record (22 points), five rungs above the Blues (23rd, 8-8-2, 18 points). On paper, Florida's superior ladder position and 3.16 goals per game suggest they should be shorter than $1.80. But ladder positions tell only half the story — the Blues' home advantage and recent Enterprise Center form make them the value call.
Who will win?
St Louis are coming off a 3–2 win over Detroit Red Wings at home on Wednesday, 11 November. That victory snapped a three-game losing skid that saw them drop decisions to Nashville (1–3), New Jersey (4–5), and the Rangers (1–3) on the road. Over their last five outings, the Blues have averaged 2.8 goals for and 3.4 against, winning twice by an average margin of one goal.
Florida arrive on the back of a 4–1 road win over Columbus Blue Jackets, also on Wednesday, 11 November. Before that, they'd lost consecutive games to Boston (1–4) and Washington (3–4). Their last five shows a 3.2 goals-for average against 3.4 conceded, with two wins coming by an average 2.5-goal margin.
The Panthers' 10-7-2 record includes leadership from Matthew Tkachuk (4G 23A), Seth Jones (3G 18A), and Brady Tkachuk (10G 10A). St Louis counter with Jimmy Snuggerud (10G 4A), Robert Thomas (3G 11A), and Philip Broberg (4G 9A). Both rosters carry offensive weapons, but the Blues' home environment tilts the equation.
At Enterprise Center, St Louis have won their only outing in this sample — that 3–2 result against Detroit. It's a thin home record, but the broader picture matters: Florida's road form in their last five includes three losses across four away games. The Panthers' two wins came at home (5–3 over Chicago) and on the road against a struggling Columbus outfit.
The absence of recent meetings between these two sides means we lean on current form and venue advantage. The Blues at $1.95 offer value when you factor in home ice and Florida's inconsistency away from their own building. Our nhl tips lean toward backing St Louis to extend their home momentum and capitalise on the Panthers' road vulnerability.
Tipped at $1.95 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Head-to-head context
Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.
Leading scorers
Season goals and assists.
St Louis Blues
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Jimmy SnuggerudRW | 10G 4A |
| Robert ThomasC | 3G 11A |
| Philip BrobergD | 4G 9A |
Florida Panthers
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Matthew TkachukLW | 4G 24A |
| Seth JonesD | 3G 19A |
| Brady TkachukLW | 10G 11A |
The risks
Florida's ladder position and goals-per-game edge are real. Their 3.16 scoring rate tops the Blues' 2.94, and defensively they concede 2.95 per game compared to St Louis' 3.06. The Panthers' 24.39 percent power play is more potent than the Blues' 22 percent, and Florida's penalty kill (85.9 percent) edges St Louis (84.78 percent) in special teams discipline.
Corsi percentage favours Florida (54.2 percent) over St Louis (50.7 percent), suggesting the Panthers control more puck possession. Their expected goals-for (37.4) trails the Blues (41), but Florida's expected goals-against (33.9) is tighter than St Louis' (39.2), pointing to a more defensively sound structure.
Both goaltending units have struggled — St Louis' .894 save percentage and Florida's .887 both sit below league average. That opens the door for offensive runs from either side, but it also means the game could swing on bounces and special-teams execution. If the Panthers' road form steadies and their offensive leaders click, the $1.80 price could prove justified. For now, the value sits with the home side.