The verdict: Golden Mile is a fair favourite and a bad price. The bold play sits at double figures.

The case

Storm Warning drew wide last start, faced a headwind down the straight and still ran the fastest last 200 of the race. The market read the finishing position; we read the sectionals.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Golden MileJ: J. McDonald·T: C. Waller158.5kg2 1 3––

No form guide is stored for Golden Mile yet.

2Storm WarningJ: C. Williams·T: C. Maher458kg1 4 2––

No form guide is stored for Storm Warning yet.

3Midnight SpecialJ: D. Lane·T: A. Freedman757.5kg5 1 1––

No form guide is stored for Midnight Special yet.

4Casino Prince JrJ: B. Shinn·T: G. Waterhouse257kg3 3 2––

No form guide is stored for Casino Prince Jr yet.

5Velvet ThunderJ: J. Bowman·T: P. Moody556.5kg1 1 4––

No form guide is stored for Velvet Thunder yet.

6Rock the BoatJ: K. McEvoy·T: M. Price856kg6 2 3––

No form guide is stored for Rock the Boat yet.

7Silent AchieverJ: M. Zahra·T: T. Yttrup355.5kg4 5 1––

No form guide is stored for Silent Achiever yet.

8Noble DescentJ: L. Nolen·T: D. O'Brien655kg2 2 2––

No form guide is stored for Noble Descent yet.

Market not yet available.

Our tip · Win
Odds correct as at

Storm Warning (No. 2) $3.90

The market's missed the sectionals. At this price the case makes itself — but it's an opinion, not a promise.

Tipped at $3.90 ·

Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

The risks

He's never won beyond 1100m and the favourite gets every favour in running. That's why the price is what it is.