The verdict: Golden Mile is a fair favourite and a bad price. The bold play sits at double figures.

The case

Storm Warning drew wide last start, faced a headwind down the straight and still ran the fastest last 200 of the race. The market read the finishing position; we read the sectionals.

No.RunnerBarrierFormWinPlace
1Golden MileJ. McDonald1
2Storm WarningC. Williams4
3Midnight SpecialD. Lane7
4Casino Prince JrB. Shinn2
5Velvet ThunderJ. Bowman5
6Rock the BoatK. McEvoy8
7Silent AchieverM. Zahra3
8Noble DescentL. Nolen6

Market not yet available.

Our tip · WinOdds correct as at 9:46 am AEST

Storm Warning (No. 2) $3.90

The market's missed the sectionals. At this price the case makes itself — but it's an opinion, not a promise.

Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

The risks

He's never won beyond 1100m and the favourite gets every favour in running. That's why the price is what it is.