The Newcastle Knights pulled off a major Finals Week 1 upset at Allianz Stadium on Friday, 11 September, defeating the South Sydney Rabbitohs 20-10. Entering the fixture, the market had the South Sydney Rabbitohs heavily backed at 1.38 in the Head to Head market, while the Newcastle Knights sat out at 2.98. On the line market, the South Sydney Rabbitohs conceded 7.5 points, with their price moving from 1.95 to 1.85 (firmed), whereas the Newcastle Knights drifted from 1.85 to 1.95 (drifted).

Despite entering the contest with momentum following a 50-20 win over the Sydney Roosters on Friday, 4 Sept, the South Sydney Rabbitohs failed to replicate their usual attacking output. The Newcastle Knights put in a gritty display to overturn the pre-match expectations and secure a memorable finals victory.

How the tips went

Looking back at our published selections for this clash, it proved to be a tough night for the pre-match favourites.

The Head to Head selection on the South Sydney Rabbitohs at 1.38 resulted in a loss as the Newcastle Knights claimed the 20-10 win.

The Line selection on the SouthSydney Rabbitohs -7.5 at 1.9 also resulted in a loss, as the favourites fell well short of covering the margin.