Seattle Kraken v Calgary Flames: where the value sits in the rematch

The Seattle Kraken host Calgary Flames at Climate Pledge Arena on Thursday 5 November, 2:00 pm AEDT, in a Pacific Division rematch that carries extra edge after the Flames thumped the Kraken 6–2 on home ice just days ago. Both sides limped into this one — Seattle fell 2–6 away to Calgary on 31 October, while the Flames dropped 2–5 at Colorado the following night — but ladder position and home form point to a different story this time around.

Seattle sit 14th overall at 8-5-1 (17 points, .607), comfortably third in the Pacific. Calgary languish 25th league-wide at 6-8-0 (12 points, .429) and sixth in the division. The Kraken's 3.57 goals per game edge the Flames' 2.57, though both leak 3.71 a night. Seattle's corsi of 42.5 per cent trails Calgary's 52.7 per cent, yet the Flames' possession dominance hasn't translated to wins on the road — they've conceded an average of 2.8 goals across their last five overall, but that sample includes three home victories where they allowed just 1.7 per game.

Who will win the rematch?

Seattle's last five overall read W 5–4 (H) v Toronto, L 1–5 (H) v Minnesota, W 5–3 (H) v Utah, W 4–3 (H) v Detroit, then that 2–6 road loss to Calgary. Four of those five contests were at Climate Pledge Arena, where the Kraken have posted three wins from four and averaged 3.8 for and 3.8 against. Calgary's recent run shows W 6–2 (H) v Seattle, L 0–4 (A) v Edmonton, W 5–2 (H) v Toronto, W 4–1 (H) v Detroit — three home wins averaging 5.0 goals for and 1.7 against, but the road form remains brittle.

The head-to-head ledger offers limited recent history: October 2026 saw Calgary win 6–2. That margin flattered the Flames' superior finishing on the night, but venue matters. Seattle's home slate this season has delivered wins over Toronto, Utah, and Detroit by one or two goals; the lone home defeat to Minnesota was a comprehensive 1–5 setback. Calgary's road record is far shakier — they've managed just six wins all season and the Edmonton shutout defeat exposed their struggle to score away from home.

The market has Seattle at $1.70, Calgary $2.15. The Kraken carry stronger ladder credentials, superior seasonal scoring output, and the home-ice advantage that proved decisive in three of their last four at Climate Pledge Arena. Calgary's last-start loss at Colorado and persistent road woes make the visitors vulnerable, even with the memory of that 6–2 win still fresh. The value sits with Seattle to bounce back on home ice.

FAQ

Both teams are coming off losses — Seattle dropped 2–6 at Calgary on 31 October, while the Flames fell 2–5 at Colorado the following night. The Kraken's home form (three wins from four, averaging 3.8 goals for) suggests they can turn the tables in this rematch, despite Calgary's recent 6–2 triumph on home ice. Venue will be the difference.