St Louis Blues host Detroit Red Wings at Enterprise Center on Wednesday, 12:00 pm AEDT, in a contest between two sides searching for answers after weekend defeats. The Blues (7-8-2, 16 points) sit 23rd overall, having dropped three straight on the road. Detroit (7-8-3, 17 points) ranks 22nd and has lost four of five, including a shutout defeat at Colorado on Sunday. The market has the home side at shorter odds, and the stats suggest that's where the bold play lies.

These teams met just ten days ago in Detroit, where St Louis scraped home 5-4. That result is the most recent h2h entry and the only one in the pack, but it tells a story: both sides leak goals and both can score. The question now is which side bounces better from a rough November stretch.

Who wins at Enterprise Center?

St Louis is coming off a 1-3 loss at Nashville, their third consecutive defeat on the road. Before that, they fell 4-5 at New Jersey (Fri, 6 Nov) and 1-3 at the Rangers (Wed, 4 Nov). Their last five overall shows two wins — both against quality opponents (5-4 at Detroit on 1 Nov and 4-1 at home to Boston on 30 Oct) — and three losses by an average margin of 1.7 goals. Across those five games the Blues averaged 3.0 goals for and 3.2 against.

Detroit is also coming off a loss, shut out 0-4 at Colorado on Sunday. Prior to that, they dropped 1-2 at home to Vegas (Fri, 6 Nov) and 2-4 at Tampa (Wed, 4 Nov). Their lone win in the last five was a 5-3 road result at Florida on 3 November. Across the sample, the Red Wings averaged just 2.4 goals for and conceded 3.6 against — an ugly defensive profile and the worst offensive rate of the two sides.

Season-wide, St Louis scores 2.94 goals per game and allows 3.12. Detroit manages 2.61 per game and ships 3.0. The Blues hold a slight edge in Corsi (50.2 per cent to Detroit's 52.4), but their save percentage (.892) is marginally better than the Red Wings' .882. Both power plays sit in the low twenties; both penalty kills leak: Detroit's 68.97 per cent is worryingly porous.

The one home result St Louis has logged in the last five is a 4-1 win over Boston on 30 October, a three-goal margin that hints at what they can do at Enterprise Center when the special teams click. Detroit's two home appearances in the same window both ended in defeats (1-2 v Vegas, 4-5 v St Louis). The market has priced the Blues as favourites, and the offensive numbers — plus home ice — support that lean.

Win (Inc. OT)
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipSt Louis Blues$1.65Detroit Red Wings$2.15
Solid leanOur tip: St Louis Blues. The Blues have the offensive edge over the last five games (3.0 goals per game to Detroit's 2.4) and won the only recent meeting between these sides. At home, where they beat Boston by three goals on 30 October, St Louis should have enough to handle a Red Wings side that has conceded 3.6 per game in their last five and was shut out in Colorado on Sunday.

Tipped at $1.70 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

2.79Season avg goals for2.65
2.89Season avg goals against3.1
47%Season win rate35%
2.4Last 5 avg goals for2.4
40%Last-five win rate20%
52.6%Points percentage42.5%
20%Power play20.6%
86%Penalty kill70.5%
90%Save percentage88.1%

Leading scorers

Season goals and assists.

St Louis Blues

PlayerG-A
Jimmy SnuggerudRW10G 4A
Robert ThomasC3G 11A
Philip BrobergD4G 9A

Detroit Red Wings

PlayerG-A
Lucas RaymondLW7G 12A
Alex DeBrincatRW7G 9A
Viktor ArvidssonLW8G 7A

FAQ

Both sides are struggling, but the Blues' ability to score at home and Detroit's defensive fragility on the road tilt the ledger. St Louis should have enough firepower to edge a low-margin contest, though neither goaltending unit inspires confidence. This one could go either way if the Red Wings' top line fires, but the value sits with the home side given the price and the recent h2h result in Detroit.