Forbes (NSW) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Forbes (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 10 October 2026

Race 2 — Forbes Shire Council (Bm50) 1600m · jumps 3:29 pm AEDT

Race notes

BM50,BM50 HCP,Benchmark 50
GOOD4
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Way To Divine (3)

2.35

Most career wins

Bellman

6-11-8 from 69 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6The Pres

Offmidfield

7Sellinya

Midfield

4Bellman
1Tyson's Dream

Offpace

2Kelilah

Onpace

5Himeros

Leader

3Way To Divine

Tyson's Dream · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Kelilah · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Way To Divine · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Bellman · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Tyson's DreamJ: Kody Nestor·T: Kody Nestor563.5kg13 6 5 10 1021: 4-0-36.002.65

Career

21: 4-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 1-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1750m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 3-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-1

Last starts

10Dubbo1300m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD424.54L
10Moree1300m6 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD417.6L
5Dubbo1020m10 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)6L
6Gilgandra800m1 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5L
13Scone1700m11 June 2024 · BenchMark 66 · SOFT68.28L
3Tamworth1600m10 May 2024 · BenchMark 66 · GOOD45.37L
1Quirindi1600m30 Apr 2024 · BenchMark 58 · SOFT5-1.04
3Scone1400m16 Apr 2024 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD42.75L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Dubbo second-up as an outsider. First time around Forbes. Keener on others.

ILB

Jumped at $91.00 and looked outclassed when 10th last run at Dubbo. Better to look elsewhere.

Beaten a long way over 6½f at Dubbo (handicap) last month; he meets the required standard ability wise; a leading contender as shown he can get his head in front.

RSIS

At 90/1 didn't find the line when 10th last start at Dubbo.

2KelilahJ: Jess Del Frari·T: Ms M Harrison760.5kg1 9 7 7 530: 3-2-25.002.35

Career

30: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Gilgandra
1: 0-0-0
Track Parkes
1: 0-1-0
Track Forbes
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-0
Going Good
14: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-1-1

Last starts

5Grenfell1400m26 Sept 2026 · BM58 (BM56)3.73L
7Narromine1300m23 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY83.9L
7Narrandera1400m12 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT78.3L
9Dubbo1300m28 June 2026 · BM58 FINAL · HEAVY84.4L
1Dubbo1300m5 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY9-0.4
8Bathurst1400m12 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43.2L
3Narromine1300m26 Apr 2026 · BM50 · GOOD40.7L
6Mudgee1200m5 Apr 2026 · CL2 · GOOD35.2L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Modest performance at Grenfell. Handles all conditions. Super fit from racing, right in the mix.

ILB

Started $7.00 and average effort when 5th last run at Grenfell. Happy to forgive that run. Should jump out and bowl along. Strong chance today.

This is her level; not disgraced when fifth of six over 7f at Grenfell (handicap) last month; shown she can get her head in front so could have a say.

RSIS

Started at 6/1 and struggled when 5th last start at Grenfell. Giving another chance here. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Tough competitor.

3Way To DivineJ: Jacob Stiff·T: Ms S Jeffries660.5kg8 3 4 5 230: 3-3-72.351.40

Career

30: 3-3-7

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Forbes
1: 1-0-0
Track Orange
2: 0-0-0
Track Mudgee
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
12: 1-2-5
Distance 1610m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-0-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
15: 3-3-2

Last starts

2Wellington1600m15 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT61.64L
5Gulargambone1800m29 Aug 2026 · BM505L
4Bathurst2000m17 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY86.4L
3Gilgandra1600m1 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD41.6L
8Warren1600m14 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT69.5L
9Parkes1300m17 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT64.7L
7Dubbo1400m3 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43.7L
5Warren1600m12 Dec 2025 · BM58 · SOFT57L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Wellington over this distance. Advantaged if soft. Ticks the track and distance win box. Good enough to figure.

ILB

Although fading at the finish still grabbed 2nd last time at Wellington. Displays good tactical speed. Jacob Stiff usually performs well for the Sharon Jeffries stable. Winning potential.

Produced a good effort to finish runner-up at Wellington three weeks ago; has won over C&D; if she is able to build on her most recent effort then warrants respect.

RSIS

Although getting tired late still grabbed 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Wellington. Has early pace and positions nicely. Winning potential.

4BellmanJ: Michael Heagney·T: A W Prisk460kg7 6 6 4 569: 6-11-86.502.80

Career

69: 6-11-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 1-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-2-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-1
Track Cobar
1: 0-0-0
Track Mendooran
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1343m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
13: 2-1-1
Distance 1500m
3: 0-0-1
Going Firm
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
36: 2-4-4
Going Heavy
10: 0-4-1

Last starts

5Dubbo2200m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.78L
4Mendooran1900m5 Sept 2026 · BM585.7L
6Cobar1700m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+4.4L
6Louth2000m8 Aug 2026 · LOUTH CUP18.8L
7Wangaratta1590m14 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY1010.5L
6Corowa1600m1 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT62.1L
6Echuca1612m23 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT73L
8Wodonga1300m16 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.6L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 76%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 81% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Sent out $41 when battled home to finish 5th at Dubbo. Coming back in distance. Fit from racing, can make the podium.

ILB

Started at $41.00 and got going late when 5th last run at Dubbo but will be dropping in distance. Expected to settle towards the tail. Going up in weight. Very unlikely to shake these.

Not disgraced when fifth of ten last month at Dubbo upped to 1m3f; useful in this grade.

RSIS

Was 40/1 and edged past some when finishing 5th last time at Dubbo but back to a shorter trip. Struggling lately. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

5HimerosJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: Kylie Kennedy259.5kg1 1 3 4 862: 5-6-134.202.05

Career

62: 5-6-13

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Condobolin
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Cowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1750m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1890m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2088m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
10: 3-1-5
Going Good
30: 2-2-4
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-1

Last starts

8Dubbo1400m27 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW · GOOD47.04L
4Mendooran1500m5 Sept 2026 · BM503.7L
3Cobar1700m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+2.4L
1Louth1700m8 Aug 2026 · BM45-5.7
1Gilgandra1600m1 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-0.2
3Coonabarabran1600m25 July 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT50.6L
9Cowra1375m11 July 2026 · BM50 · SOFT57.5L
10Narromine1600m22 June 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY1021.4L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -57% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 31%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 5.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Dubbo. Secures inside draw in small field. Should appreciate getting back to this trip. Can find a few lengths here.

ILB

Didn't attack the line when 8th last run at Dubbo. Expecting improvement and gets a favourable barrier. Should come to hand quickly. Good chance in this.

Finished eighth, beaten a fair way last month at Dubbo in a conditions race; is passed over; also engaged in race 4 at Forbes.

RSIS

Was well beaten when 8th last time at Dubbo. Has the ability to turn things around and has a positive stall. Should come to hand quickly. Watch the market moves.

6The PresJ: Sairyn Fawke·T: J Rolfe357kg12 10 9 4 853: 4-5-510.003.90

Career

53: 4-5-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
11: 1-0-0
Second-up
8: 0-1-1
Third-up
7: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-1-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
4: 0-0-1
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
11: 3-2-2
Going Soft
25: 1-3-3

Last starts

8Goulburn1600m6 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT66.47L
4Wagga1600m19 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD43.41L
9Griffith1350m12 Sept 2026 · BM78 HCP · GOOD311.1L
10Corowa1200m31 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT56.5L
12Goulburn1300m22 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT711.6L
7Orange1400m14 Feb 2026 · BM50 · GOOD413L
8Tumut1200m17 Jan 2026 · BM50 · GOOD47.8L
9Wagga1200m10 Aug 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT610.4L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Goulburn over today's trip. Usually gets back. Could pop up at fair odds.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started $101.00 and disappointing run when 8th last run at Goulburn and up in weight. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Cannot have under these circumstances.

Last of eight at Goulburn on Tuesday; shown only moderate recent form and quite a while since he tasted success; others appeal more.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Odds of 100/1 and mediocre display when 8th last start at Goulburn and hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Likely to get back.

7SellinyaJ: Glenn Cahill·T: Dar Lunn155.5kg8 10 8 6 1041: 2-3-326.007.00

Career

41: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-1
Track Moree
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
5: 0-1-0
Going Good
25: 0-2-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Dubbo2200m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD416.84L
6Wellington1600m15 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT67.91L
8Dubbo2200m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD411.9L
10Gulargambone1800m29 Aug 2026 · BM508.5L
8Gilgandra1600m1 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD45.8L
4Carinda1700m18 July 2026 · BM506.8L
7Dubbo2200m28 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY810.6L
1Narromine1600m22 June 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY10-2.2

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form at Dist
Negative
Poor strike rate over this distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and always among the cab-catchers at Dubbo over longer test. Switching to 1600m. Needs a form spike.

ILB

Couldn't stay in touch when 10th last run at Dubbo but will appreciate a good draw. Finishes off strongly. Will be down in distance. Do not dismiss.

Not always shown an awful lot since winning a conditions race at Narromine in June and largely in poor form of late; finished behind Bellman over 1m3f at Dubbo (handicap) when last of ten last month; passed over.

RSIS

Faded to finish 10th last time at Dubbo but drawn by the rails. Expected to be flashing home. Back in trip.

Odds correct as at 2:51 am AEDT. Odds can change.