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Mortlake (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mortlake (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Race 3 — Mac's Hotel Mortlake Mdn Plate 1100m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Villa Grande (10)

1.45

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 12Hopkins Star

Offmidfield

  • 6Hannan Street
  • 11Ta Ta Tango

Offpace

  • 2Brazen Martini
  • 4Classy Sassy

Onpace

  • 9Starseatic

Firststart

  • 3Zephyr's Reward

Leader

  • 1Billy Be Good
  • 5Ramelle
  • 10Villa Grande
  • Billy Be Good · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Brazen Martini · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Zephyr's Reward · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Classy Sassy · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Billy Be GoodJ: Alana Kelly·T: Jamie Edwards659.5kg8 9 63: 0-0-0$71.00$5.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Avoca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Colac

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1230m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1610m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Avoca1300m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.9L
  2. 9Colac1610m6 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD313.7L
  3. 8Geelong1230m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD316.7L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

Comments

AAP

Every chance but compounded at Avoca off long break. Better conditioned. Switching to 1100m. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Started $71.00 and weakened to finish 6th last start at Avoca. Likely to settle back in the field. Entitled to be a big price.

RP

Beaten sixth of ten over 6½f at Avoca (maiden) 14 days ago.

RSIS

Odds of 70/1 and struggled with the pace when 6th last time at Avoca. Might be ridden for luck.

2Brazen MartiniJ: Samantha Noble·T: S G Noble1059.5kg4 10 6 3 416: 0-0-3$41.00$4.00

Career

16: 0-0-3

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Wagga

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1170m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Deniliquin1000m17 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD31.67L
  2. 3Wagga1065m3 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT61.91L
  3. 6Griffith1200m12 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD34.8L
  4. 10Wangaratta1170m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT77.8L
  5. 4Mildura1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.1L
  6. 6Albury1175m27 July 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · HEAVY92.7L
  7. 3Mildura1000m18 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD44.8L
  8. 7Moe1000m28 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY103.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -21%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Deniliquin. Awkwardly drawn and up in weight. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Started at $5.00 and finished 4th last run at Deniliquin and goes up in weight. Can run into the placings.

RP

Fair effort (beaten 1½l) at Deniliquin 14 days ago in a handicap; seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice but yet to open his account after 16 starts; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and ran 4th last time at Deniliquin and has to cope with a weight increase.

3Zephyr's RewardJ: Darryl Horner·T: Bob & Kane Post1159.5kg–$23.00$3.40

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

Makes debut for the Bob & Kane Post stable. Well held in both jumpouts. Tough draw but odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

4yo by Reward For Effort having first race appearance for trainer Bob Post & Kane Post. Betting as a guide.

RP

Running in first race; sole newcomer in the field; can make his presence felt with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

First time at the races 4yo by Reward For Effort for Bob Post & Kane Post.

4Classy SassyJ: Sarah Robbins·T: Cameron Thompson557.5kg6 5 5 7 26: 0-0-0$13.00$2.45

Career

6: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Colac800m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L
  2. 7Ballarat Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC7.6L
  3. 5Ballarat1400m10 May 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT65.1L
  4. 5Horsham1100m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD35.1L
  5. 6Geelong1212m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT55.5L
  6. 7Bendigo1000m27 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (16-weeks). Form doesn't leap off the page. Trial was pleasing. Rough place prospect only fresh in this company.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Started $41.00 and came in 7th last time Ballarat Synthetic. Has early speed and positions nicely. Best to watch only.

RP

Held in seventh over 5f at Ballarat (maiden) on first outing for new trainer four months ago; this now her sixth attempt to get off the mark; is passed over.

RSIS

Back from a break. Odds of 40/1 and finished 7th last time Ballarat Synthetic. Has early pace and positions nicely.

5RamelleJ: Dean Yendall·T: Symon Wilde457.5kg3 5 5 8 95: 0-0-1$3.50$1.24

Career

5: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Colac800m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.8L
  2. 8Bendigo1300m30 July 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · SOFT65.5L
  3. 5Donald1206m11 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY82.9L
  4. 5Donald1000m20 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY95.4L
  5. 3Warrnambool1400m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.8L
  6. 6Terang1200m16 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.9L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 35% POT in L100 Runners

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (13-weeks). Not pushed out Colac trial 22 Oct. On pacer. Can play a role fresh in this affair.

ILB

Back after a break. Tailed off to finish 8th last time at Bendigo. Dean Yendall is in good form for this stable. Will be positive in the run early. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Winless in five starts but has shown promise with third her top showing; held when eighth of 12 at Bendigo over 6½f (maiden) in July; Symon Wilde's runners are going great guns at the moment; passed over.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Didn't threaten when 8th last run at Bendigo. Will be positive in the run early. Jockey Dean Yendall and trainer Symon Wilde link up well. Watch betting.

6Hannan StreetJ: Craig Atkinson·T: Karlene Tindale357kg91: 0-0-0$126.00$8.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Horsham1400m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD310.95L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 340%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Disappointing debut performance at Horsham 18 Oct. Experience a positive. Coming back in distance. Improvement required and place looks best at this stage.

ILB

Started $151.00 and was well beaten when 9th last start at Horsham but having second career run. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Lines up against a competitive field.

RP

Held on his debut (7f, Horsham) at 150-1 two weeks ago; hard to ignore.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and was well beaten when 9th last run at Horsham but having second career run. Likely to get back in the field. Dropping back to a shorter trip.

7Luna DoroScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 36% lower than Career Avg.

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Hamilton. Drops back a notch in trip.

ILB

Started $18.00 and came in 7th last run at Hamilton but gets a favourable alley.

RSIS

At 17/1 finished 7th last time at Hamilton but will appreciate a good stall.

8AssisiScratched9––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Swan Hill975m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.65L
  2. 12Caulfield1000m29 Nov 2025 · 2yo · SOFT66.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 150%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh following return. Sent out $8 when unable to threaten at Swan Hill at second appearance. Sound claims.

ILB

Was $8.00 and didn't attack the line when 8th last run at Swan Hill. Prefers to settle towards the rear.

RP

Finished eighth, beaten a fair way over 5f at Swan Hill (maiden) five weeks ago; competitive shout.

RSIS

Started 7/1 and faded to finish 8th last start at Swan Hill. Likely to get back.

9StarseaticJ: Tom Madden·T: P A Chow755kg6 9 43: 0-0-0$8.00$1.90

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Horsham1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.77L
  2. 9Ballarat1000m24 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.6L
  3. 6Warrnambool1000m5 May 2026 · 2Y FILLIES SW · HEAVY89L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Peter Chow striking at just 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On pace but found little at the business end at Horsham off spell. Strips fitter. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Started $11.00 and was found wanting late when 4th last start at Horsham. Displays good tactical speed. Small possibility.

RP

Finished fourth, beaten 6l, (Horsham) 13 days ago; she can be taken on.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and lost ground late when 4th last start at Horsham. Won't be far away during the run.

10Villa GrandeJ: Linda Meech·T: Tom Dabernig255kg2 22: 0-2-0$1.45$1.03

Career

2: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2Warrnambool1000m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.46L
  2. 2Warrnambool1000m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.2L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Prominent, showed plenty of ticker to just go under at Warrnambool at her second race start. Drawn to effect. All the better, can get the job done.

ILB

Close up last start at Warrnambool and can find a nice position from the draw. Should muster plenty of early toe. Will be hard to beat in this.

RP

Near miss at 5-2 over 5f at Warrnambool (maiden) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Just shy of the win last start at Warrnambool and will try to take advantage of the stall. Jockey Linda Meech and trainer Tom Dabernig work well together. Winning potential.

11Ta Ta TangoJ: Kate Walters·T: Ricky Pike857.5kg7 10 93: 0-0-0$126.00$8.50

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Pakenham Synthetic1600m3 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC23L
  2. 10Ballarat Synthetic1500m14 July 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC11.1L
  3. 7Geelong1412m4 June 2026 · HCP MDN-SW · HEAVY1018.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 1%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Kate Walters 30% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Kate Walters in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 30%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (12-weeks). Started big prices and never featured in early runs. Needs to show more.

ILB

Resuming. Started $151.00 and unsatisfactory performance when 9th last start at Pakenham Synthetic and down in trip. Expected to settle towards the rear. May find these too slick.

RP

Finished out the back at Pakenham over 1m (maiden) in August.

RSIS

Resumes from a break. At 150/1 unsatisfactory performance when 9th last time at Pakenham Synthetic and will be down in distance. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

12Hopkins StarJ: Amy Herrmann·T: P D Graesser157.5kg11 9 7 7 118: 0-0-0$51.00$4.60

Career

8: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Casterton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Ballarat Synthetic1500m14 July 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC11.9L
  2. 7Ballarat Synthetic1400m2 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4.6L
  3. 7Geelong1425m19 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY99.4L
  4. 9Casterton1200m7 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY88.4L
  5. 11Terang1600m2 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD320.9L
  6. 7Colac1200m20 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN · GOOD35.2L
  7. 8Pakenham Synthetic1400m29 Aug 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC6.9L
  8. 6Pakenham1400m29 May 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT511.2L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 24% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 1%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 72%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 73% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 42% in L100 rides

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

Comments

AAP

First-up (15-weeks). Unplaced in all 8 runs to date. Largely struggled to date. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Back from spell. At $101.00 didn't find the line when 11th last time Ballarat Synthetic but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Down in distance. Best to watch and see.

RP

Finished 11th of 12 over 7½f at Ballarat (maiden) in July.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Started at 100/1 and weakened under pressure when 11th last start Ballarat Synthetic but drawn by the rails. Down in trip.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.