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St Arnaud (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for St Arnaud (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 24 October 2026

Race 4 — Nutrien Ag Solutions St Arnaud (Bm56) 1100m · jumps 2:45 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM56,BM56 HCP,Benchmark 56
  • GOOD4
  • Showers
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Lady Maestro (8)

1.90

Most career wins

First Division

7-8-5 from 65 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Ask For More

Offmidfield

  • 7Infer

Midfield

  • 9High Altitude

Offpace

  • 1Krasnoludek

Onpace

  • 8Lady Maestro
  • 10Padstow Polly

Leader

  • 3Simply Excels
  • 6Miss Toronado
  • 2First Division
  • 4Asawin
  • Krasnoludek · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races

  • First Division · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.

  • Simply Excels · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Asawin · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 69% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1KrasnoludekJ: Ryan Hurdle·T: Robert Hickmott560.5kg2 1 3 7 59: 1-1-2Krasnoludek win8.50Krasnoludek place2.35

Career

9: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Hamilton1400m26 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY105.8L
  2. 7Stawell1300m18 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY98.7L
  3. 3Donald1350m2 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD33L
  4. 1Stawell1307m17 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.3
  5. 2Stawell1300m5 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD30.4L
  6. 5Avoca1300m29 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD38.1L
  7. 6Geelong1212m14 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.9L
  8. 3Ararat1200m3 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT72.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 31%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (21-weeks). Sound campaign last time in, capped by a Stawell win. Can play a role fresh in this company.

ILB

Resumes after a break. At $12.00 struggled with the pace when 5th last time at Hamilton and back to a shorter distance. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Fifth beaten 6l at Hamilton over 7f (handicap) five months ago; returns from a break here; this looks a decent race so others make more appeal.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Started 11/1 and gave away some ground when 5th last time at Hamilton on a heavy surface and will be dropping in distance. Not without a chance.

2First DivisionJ: Jade Smith·T: K T Bourke960kg1 8 1 9 265: 7-8-5First Division win10.00First Division place2.60

Career

65: 7-8-5

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    7: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Donald

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Berrigan

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    15: 4-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    7: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    15: 4-1-2

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-2-1

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Kyneton1103m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT50.75L
  2. 9Geelong1125m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.87L
  3. 1Wodonga1100m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-0.4
  4. 8Morphettville1050m8 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0-64 · SOFT77.7L
  5. 1Wodonga1100m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY9-2.25
  6. 5Casterton1100m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY82.2L
  7. 1Wodonga1100m27 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY8-1
  8. 3Echuca1000m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY100.6L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 46% in L100 rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Genuine short-course sprinter. Picked up strongly from back half at Kyneton at double-figure odds. Capable of making an impact if she gets the breaks.

ILB

Made some ground late when 2nd last run at Kyneton. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. The large claim from Jade Smith helps. Slight prospect.

RP

Outran 25-1 odds when a close runner-up at Kyneton two weeks ago; not ruled out.

RSIS

Came on strongly when 2nd last run at Kyneton. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. The large claim from Jade Smith should help.

3Simply ExcelsJ: Neil Farley·T: Andrew Bobbin660kg6 8 14 8 1016: 2-3-3Simply Excels win11.00Simply Excels place2.70

Career

16: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    4: 0-1-1

  • Track Doomben

    3: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-2-0

Last starts

  1. 10Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.8L
  2. 8Stawell1300m18 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY912.2L
  3. 14Warrnambool1300m7 May 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY1024.5L
  4. 8Horsham1100m27 Apr 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD35.8L
  5. 6Eagle Farm1200m4 Feb 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.8L
  6. 2Sunshine Coast1200m1 Jan 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.3L
  7. 7Ipswich1100m3 Dec 2025 · CG&E CL3 · GOOD43.3L
  8. 3Eagle Farm1200m4 Nov 2025 · CG&E CL3 · GOOD40.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 31%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Failed to flatter at Manangatang first up. Better for the outing. Senior rider takes over. Can play a role.

ILB

Started at $8.00 and performed below standard when 10th last time at Manangatang. Expecting to settle positively. Can win this.

RP

Finished behind Asawin over 6f at Manangatang (handicap) when last of ten 14 days ago; should be in the mix with trainer flying presently and he's shown signs of promise here and there.

RSIS

At 7/1 below expectations when 10th last start at Manangatang. Should be going forward early. Good chance and definitely has claims.

4AsawinJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Ms H Burns459kg9 7 6 8 327: 3-3-6Asawin win6.50Asawin place2.00

Career

27: 3-3-6

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Warracknabeal

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    22: 3-3-4

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.75L
  2. 8Swan Hill1300m21 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD36.6L
  3. 6Swan Hill1600m12 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD38.2L
  4. 7Warracknabeal1200m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.6L
  5. 9Swan Hill1300m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.5L
  6. 8Sandown1300m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.5L
  7. 6Cranbourne1300m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD36.6L
  8. 5Seymour1300m28 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 69% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Helen Burns striking at just 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf 55% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 48% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 53%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Couldn't quite peg back winner at Manangatang after lengthy absence. Strips in better shape. Drawn favourably. Warrants attention.

ILB

Kept coming when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last start at Manangatang. Should muster plenty of early speed. Watch betting.

RP

Beaten three-quarters of a length over 6f at Manangatang (handicap) 14 days ago.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last time at Manangatang. Should jump out and bowl along. Could feature here.

5Becauseyou're MineScratched1––––

Career

14: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    7: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.4L
  2. 4Warrnambool1000m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.16L
  3. 6Donald1000m2 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.3L
  4. 10Warrnambool1200m26 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT614.6L
  5. 10Mount Gambier1211m13 Mar 2026 · BM68 · GOOD49.7L
  6. 8Terang1206m20 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD44.3L
  7. 4Colac1200m6 Feb 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD41L
  8. 2Mount Gambier1212m25 Jan 2026 · BM68 · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Ballarat when second-up. One for exotics.

ILB

Was $7.50 and folded up in the straight when 9th last run at Ballarat but has drawn the rails. Will be positive in the run early.

RP

Last of nine over 5f at Ballarat (handicap) 15 days ago; useful at this level; definite chance.

RSIS

At 13/2 didn't find the line when 9th last start at Ballarat but drawn the rails. Has shown early pace in races to date.

6Miss ToronadoJ: Alana Kelly·T: Thomas Conlan1159kg5 10 8 3 713: 2-0-3Miss Toronado win5.00Miss Toronado place1.65

Career

13: 2-0-3

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1103m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1225m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    8: 1-0-2

  • Going Good

    9: 1-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Kyneton1225m23 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.4L
  2. 3Warracknabeal1000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.2L
  3. 8Moruya1010m23 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.7L
  4. 10Parkes1000m9 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD34.5L
  5. 5Colac1200m23 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial4.4L
  6. 12Warrnambool1100m21 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · SOFT510.4L
  7. 3Colac800m19 June 2025 · Barrier Trial2.5L
  8. 6Ballarat1000m23 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD34.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (26-weeks). Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Proven fresh performer. Can play a role fresh in this affair if things pan out.

ILB

First up after 26 weeks and managed to finish 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L first up last preparation at Warracknabeal. Win will not surprise.

RP

Held when seventh of 11 over 6f at Kyneton (handicap) in April; she meets the required standard ability wise; layoff to overcome; strong claims as she finished third in April.

RSIS

Resuming and zipped home into 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L resuming last preparation at Warracknabeal. Alana Kelly and Tom Conlan deserve respect together. Good potential.

7InferJ: Amy Herrmann·T: Robert Schultz1058.5kg6 5 1 6 825: 1-0-4Infer win34.00Infer place4.60

Career

25: 1-0-4

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1462m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 0-0-3

  • Going Good

    8: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Murtoa2050m25 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT714L
  2. 6Wodonga1590m27 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY86.1L
  3. 1Swan Hill1600m7 June 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-1.8
  4. 5Mount Gambier1550m22 May 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT75.6L
  5. 6Kilmore1462m15 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT67.7L
  6. 6Seymour1600m26 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT57.1L
  7. 4Terang1400m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY103.9L
  8. 8Ararat1206m30 Mar 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 71%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 75% Profit on Turnover

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

First-up (13-weeks). Ex Toby Lake in Victoria. One for multiples fresh in this company.

ILB

First up from a break. At $26.00 subpar when 8th last time at Murtoa and down in trip. First start for a new trainer. Gets back and needs luck. Others much better.

RP

No impression when eighth of 11 at Murtoa three months ago upped to 1m2f; first run for stable; others are preferred as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started at 25/1 and performed below standard when 8th last time at Murtoa and coming back in distance. Coming to a new trainer.

8Lady MaestroJ: Linda Meech·T: Anthony Chibnall358.5kg14 2 6 1 314: 2-1-2Lady Maestro win1.90Lady Maestro place1.14

Career

14: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1103m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    8: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Kyneton1103m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT51.5L
  2. 1Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-2.25
  3. 6Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.7L
  4. 2Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.5L
  5. 14Kilmore1200m13 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD415.3L
  6. 8Sandown1300m28 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD430.8L
  7. 4Werribee1114m12 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.9L
  8. 12Echuca1200m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD36.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Kyneton. Tactical speed, inside draw. Major player here.

ILB

Despite being out sprinted still grabbed 3rd last run at Kyneton. Going well this preparation. Should go well.

RP

Close up behind First Division when third (Kyneton) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Was in the hunt for a long way when 3rd last start at Kyneton. In good racing form since coming back from a break. Has to be in the finish.

9High AltitudeJ: Cian Macredmond·T: Clint Marshall758kg2 1 11 5 1217: 1-2-3High Altitude win19.00High Altitude place3.70

Career

17: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warracknabeal

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1525m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 12Sandown1600m1 July 2026 · Benchmark 70 · HEAVY911L
  2. 5Donald1620m9 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT72.3L
  3. 11Geelong1700m22 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT57.9L
  4. 1Ararat1600m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT7-0.1
  5. 2Geelong1525m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  6. 6Mount Gambier1400m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD42L
  7. 10Edenhope1450m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD415.6L
  8. 3Naracoorte1430m8 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Clint Marshall striking at just 2%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 53%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 31%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (16-weeks). Placed at Naracoorte first-up last campaign. Raced in stiffer company last prep. Best viewed as a rough place hope fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up from a break of 16 weeks and made considerable ground when 3rd first up last preparation at Naracoorte. Stepping down to a lower level. Will struggle against these.

RP

Finished last of 12 over 1m at Sandown (handicap) in July; may have to settle for supporting role with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Resuming and caught the eye when 3rd resuming last preparation at Naracoorte. Dropping in class. Will be down in distance. Up in weight.

10Padstow PollyJ: Eoin Walsh·T: Stephen Lenehan855kg9 9 8 5 1094: 2-7-8Padstow Polly win91.00Padstow Polly place8.50

Career

94: 2-7-8

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Colac

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kangaroo Island

    6: 1-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1302m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    54: 1-2-5

Last starts

  1. 10Avoca1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD313.9L
  2. 5Pooncarie1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM586.02L
  3. 8Donald1000m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.2L
  4. 9Casterton1000m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT59.02L
  5. 9Casterton1200m31 Aug 2025 · 0 - 58 · SOFT77.2L
  6. 10Ballarat Synthetic1200m19 Aug 2025 · BM58 HCP · SYNTHETIC20.06L
  7. 2Hamilton1100m2 Aug 2025 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY88L
  8. 11Moe1208m11 July 2025 · 2UP BM52 HCP · HEAVY109.5L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 181%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Finished a long way from the action 3yo+ (Bm52) at Avoca. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started at $91.00 and didn't attack the line when 10th last time at Avoca. A long shot.

RP

Last of ten over 6f at Avoca (handicap) last week; a while since her last success and been out of sorts of late; easy enough to take on in what appears to be a competitive contest.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. At 90/1 tailed off to finish 10th last time at Avoca.

11Ask For MoreJ: Melissa Julius·T: Stephen Lenehan255kg11 6 8 10 273: 3-1-2Ask For More win71.00Ask For More place7.00

Career

73: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Dunkeld

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    13: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1110m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1204m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Firm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    36: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    12: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Pooncarie1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM581.08L
  2. 10Casterton1400m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT513.3L
  3. 8Port Augusta1396m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · GOOD17.3L
  4. 6Mildura1000m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.8L
  5. 11Hamilton1100m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY108.3L
  6. 8Ballarat Synthetic1000m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.8L
  7. 8Mount Gambier1200m10 June 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY911.1L
  8. 8Hamilton1100m26 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY1013.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 34% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Melissa Julius 50% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -41% POT in their L100 Races

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 35 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Sound performance in small field at Pooncarie. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Tidy run when 2nd last run at Pooncarie and drawn nicely. Expected to settle towards the tail. Will need to find a new peak.

RP

Unfancied when going close at Pooncarie over 5f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Placed 2nd last time at Pooncarie and drawn nicely. Might be ridden for luck.

Odds correct as at 10:01 am AEDT. Odds can change.