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Tamworth (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Tamworth (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 12 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 12 OctTamworth (NSW)Change

Race 4 — KCE Civil Contractors Mdn Plate 1000m · jumps

Race preview

The KCE Civil Contractors Mdn Plate at Tamworth over 1000m on a SOFT5 track shaped as a race already run, with Boa Vista the shortest price in the market, followed by Magic Storm, Hangonaseq, and Big Brad. This is a maiden plate for horses yet to break through, and the track condition will have tested early pace and staying power alike.

Boa Vista comes into this off the back of a placement at Scone over 900m two starts back, where the horse picked up intently in the straight. The form comment notes the gelding was reserved midfield before that finish, and now under Brett and Georgie Cavanough's care the rating sits at 100. Rory Hutchings, the jockey aboard, is running 37 per cent above market expectation in recent rides—a clear edge when experience and form align. Barrier seven suits a leader type who can dictate from the front, and that speedMap positioning is where Boa Vista belongs. Magic Storm, rated 82, has trialled impressively with three wins from seven trials across Tamworth and Scone. The pedigree angle—dam a city winner, all foals that have raced are winners—carries real weight. Jenny Duggan in the saddle has outperformed career averages by 48 per cent in the past 100 rides, and she too sits 63 per cent above market expectation. The spread on the shorter prices reflects genuine uncertainty, which is the calling card of maiden racing.

Hangonaseq, from the same Cavanough stable as Boa Vista, trialled soundly enough at Tamworth and draws barrier two—a genuine advantage on this track. The bold play here hinges on how the market saw the trial performances. If Magic Storm's three trial wins and pedigree profile have been overlooked, and if Hangonaseq's tighter trial margins and first-start unknown factor weigh on perception, then the market's ordering says it is pricing the experience of Boa Vista and the promise of Magic Storm as the main angles. Boa Vista's jockey booking premium and recent form improvement suggest the shortest price has merit; Magic Storm's trial record and rider edge offer contrarian appeal further out.

Race notes

  • MDN-SW,Maiden
  • SOFT5
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Boa Vista (1)

1.95

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

  • 6Big Brad
  • 8Hangonaseq
  • 10Magic Storm

Backmarker

  • 2Platinum Card

Midfield

  • 5Tous

Offpace

  • 4Smashit

Leader

  • 1Boa Vista

  • Boa Vista · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 33% better than Career Avg.

  • Platinum Card · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

  • Smashit · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Tous · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Boa VistaJ: Rory Hutchings·T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough757kg3 5 9 7 28: 0-2-1$1.95$1.24

Career

8: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Morphettville

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Scone900m25 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.86L
  2. 7Ballarat Synthetic1000m16 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC7L
  3. 9Geelong1100m22 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT59.8L
  4. 5Albury900m23 Apr 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD42.9L
  5. 3Geelong1100m1 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  6. 9Caulfield900m13 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial6.1L
  7. 7Morphettville1200m26 Apr 2025 · 2yo · GOOD49.9L
  8. 2Morphettville1000m5 Apr 2025 · Set Weights · GOOD41.63L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 33% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Rory Hutchings 37% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Reserved midfield and picked up intently at Scone for new trainer. Better conditioned and looks an each way chance here.

ILB

Was amongst the placegetters when 2nd last time at Scone. Interesting to see the tongue tie go off for the first time. Strong competitor.

RP

Not beaten far when second over 4½f at Scone (maiden) on first run for her current trainer last month; has raised her game the last twice but still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce).

RSIS

Came on strongly to finish 2nd when beaten by 2L last run at Scone. Interesting gear change of tongue strap off first time. Highly respected.

2Platinum CardJ: Braith Nock·T: Melissa Dennett457kg3 3 41: 0-0-1$26.00$5.50

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Inverell

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7L
  2. 3Inverell1050m22 Nov 2025 · MDN · HEAVY101.5L
  3. 3Tamworth1000m4 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial3.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 324 day break (> 300 days)

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (46-weeks). Trialled quietly at Tamworth. Debut ended poorly when placed but later disqualified at Inverell 22 Nov. Big watch on return.

ILB

First up after a break of 46 weeks. Finished amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Inverell and was a debutant last start. Definite winning chance.

RP

Respectable debut effort (beaten 1½l) at Inverell at 13-2 last November; returns from a layoff; must make above-average progress to figure.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 46 weeks. Did well to run into 3rd last run at Inverell on a heavy track and was a debutant last start. Very capable of taking this out.

3RubinskyScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

Comments

AAP

Rarely far away. Great run at Coffs Harbour 3 Sep. Finished it off well in the Mdn Plate in soft going at Taree. Worth a look.

ILB

On a quick back up. Handy enough when winning by 1L last start at Port Macquarie. Placed at every start this campaign.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Showed promise when winning by 1L last time at Port Macquarie. Been in the top three each start lately.

4SmashitJ: Shannen Llewellyn·T: T J Wicks157kg9 11 53: 0-0-0$61.00$13.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Tamworth

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Scone900m25 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.29L
  2. 11Tamworth1000m14 Oct 2024 · Maiden · SOFT712.13L
  3. 9Scone900m27 Sept 2024 · Maiden · HEAVY911.15L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 33% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 1%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Scone after lengthy absence. Facing an uphill task.

ILB

Odds of $101.00 and made up ground when 5th last start at Scone and drawn the rails. Expecting to settle positively. Will be tested.

RP

Finished behind Boa Vista over 4½f at Scone (maiden) when beaten 9l last month; not hard to turn elsewhere; also engaged in race 3 at Tamworth.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and advanced late into 5th last run at Scone and drawn beautifully. Should muster plenty of early pace.

5TousJ: Liberty Smyth·T: Sally Torrens657kg5 5 73: 0-0-0$34.00$7.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Ballarat Synthetic1000m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.1L
  2. 5Pakenham Synthetic1200m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD31.7L
  3. 5Ballarat Synthetic1000m16 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (77-days). Ex Reece Goodwin in Victoria. Started $15 when safely held in Maiden company at Ballarat Synthetic over today's trip. Two runs prior okay. Check betting.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Odds of $15.00 and finished 7th last run Ballarat Synthetic. First start for a new trainer. Will not be far away.

RP

Was seventh of 12, beaten 7l, at Ballarat in July; still searching for first win after three tries; first start for current yard; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. At 14/1 finished 7th last time Ballarat Synthetic. First start for a new trainer. Worthy of strong consideration.

6Big BradJ: Reece Jones·T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough556.5kg3$15.00$4.20

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 3Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.7L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.

  • First Starter

    Positive

    Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-1). In a leading country stable and prepared with two Tamworth trials. Look to betting.

ILB

Career debut 3yo by Goodfella for Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough. Fitter for a barrier trial here on Sept 23rd. Watch the market moves.

RP

From the same family as Catchulata, a winner over 6f; first race for the son of Goodfella; must be high on list with signs of encouragement in profile and the current trainer form is another tick.

RSIS

Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough 3yo by Goodfella having first race appearance. Ran 3rd in a trial at the track on Sept 23rd. Follow the money.

7Blighty BoyScratched2––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-2.6
  2. 5Newcastle900m27 June 2026 · Maiden · SOFT76.2L
  3. 1Wyong845m17 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-1.2

Insights

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (15-weeks). Debut effort fair in spread-out finish in sticky going at Newcastle when fancied 27 Jun. Wiser for experience. Good pipe-opener trial. Look for improvement.

ILB

Backs up quickly. At $1.75 came in 4th last start at Port Macquarie but has a positive gate.

RP

Out of the money, beaten 2l, when fourth at Port Macquarie on Saturday.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was 8/11 and ran 4th last start at Port Macquarie but drawn nicely.

8HangonaseqJ: Nick Palmer·T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough256.5kg3$5.00$2.30

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 3Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.8L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • First Starter

    Positive

    Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-1-1). Has trialled well enough but the race looks deep for first outing. Drawn well. Market may offer more insight.

ILB

3yo debutant by Rothesay for trainer Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough and has a good draw. Fitter for placing in all trials. Market as guide.

RP

First start under rules for this three-year-old; every chance as some good aspects to his profile and the hot form of the stable is a bonus.

RSIS

Rothesay 3yo having first race appearance for Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough and gets a favourable stall. Fitter for placing in all trials.

9Halcyon BelleScratched3––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Wyong1000m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L
  2. 3Gosford1000m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.2L
  3. 4Scone1100m15 May 2026 · 2&3Y MDN · GOOD43.2L
  4. 1Newcastle1000m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-2.2
  5. 2Wyong845m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 20% lower than Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (21-weeks). Not too far off them at Scone on debut 15 May. Wiser for it. Two trials since, latest at Wyong 10 Sep. Certainly open to improvement off that performance. Can give a sight.

ILB

First run back from a break. Started $6.50 and gave ground when 4th last run at Scone and having second career run.

RP

Solid debut run at Scone at 11-2 five months ago; back from an absence here; will need to progress to get off the mark.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started at 11/2 and peaked in the final stages of the race when 4th last run at Scone and having second race start.

10Magic StormJ: Jenny Duggan·T: Cameron Crockett855kg6 3 1$2.70$1.38

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 1Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-3.8
  2. 3Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.3L
  3. 6Newcastle1000m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jenny Duggan 63% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 87%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 39%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Jenny Duggan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 63%

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Debutant

    Positive

    First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Trials (7:3-0-1). Cost $50k. Dam a city winner. All her raced foals are winners. Shown plenty of promise in trials. Good yard. Big watch.

ILB

3yo first starter by Cool Aza Beel for trainer Cameron Crockett. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Unbeaten in all barrier trials. Watch early betting.

RP

First start for this daughter of Cool Aza Beel; from the same family as Alludere, a winner over 1m; competitive shout with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Debutant 3yo by Cool Aza Beel for Cameron Crockett. Tongue strap go on for the first time. Unbeaten in all trials.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races
  • Mon 28 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Mon 14 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races