Calgary Flames host Anaheim Ducks at Scotiabank Saddledome on Saturday 7 November, 12:00 pm AEDT, in a Pacific Division scrap between two sides treading water. The Flames sit 25th overall at 7-8-0, the Ducks 23rd at 7-7-1, but the head-to-head ledger and Calgary's home form suggest the market has undercooked the hosts.
Both clubs have split their season series so far — Calgary took a 4-2 win in October before Anaheim returned serve with a 4-2 road victory later that month. Average combined total across those two meetings sits at six goals, a figure that looms large when weighing the pace both sides have played at recently.
Who will win?
Calgary comes in off a narrow 2-1 loss at Seattle on Thursday 5 November, snapping a two-game winning run that included back-to-back 2-1 victories over San Jose. Before that, the Flames dropped 5-2 at Colorado but bounced back with a 6-2 home thumping of the Kraken on 31 October — their lone home appearance in the last five. Across that five-game stretch, Calgary averaged 2.6 goals for and 2.2 against, winning by an average of two goals when they get up and losing by two when they don't.
Anaheim arrives with three wins from its last five but coming off a 5-4 road triumph over Vancouver on Wednesday 4 November. Prior to that, the Ducks posted a 6-3 home win against Ottawa before dropping consecutive one-goal home defeats to Buffalo (7-6) and Vancouver (6-5). They opened the run with a 5-4 road win at Philadelphia. That five-game sample shows Anaheim averaging 5.4 goals for and 4.8 against — explosive but leaky, winning by 1.7 when victorious and losing by one when beaten.
The Flames' season numbers reveal a side struggling to score (2.53 goals per game, 25th in the league) but sitting middle-of-the-pack in shot-share (51.9 per cent Corsi). Their save percentage of 88.2 and goals-against rate of 3.53 per game tell the story of a team leaning on goaltending that hasn't quite held up. Anaheim counters with 3.6 goals per game but concedes 3.8, propped up by a sizzling 38 per cent power play but undermined by a penalty kill sitting at 74.58 per cent.
The power-play gap matters here — Calgary converts at 30.56 per cent, and if the Ducks hand them enough chances with the man advantage, special teams could tilt the ice. Calgary's penalty kill runs at a far healthier 82.98 per cent, offering less margin for Anaheim to exploit. When you weigh those structural edges against the Flames' tighter defensive baseline and Anaheim's propensity to bleed goals on the road, the case for Calgary sharpens. Our nhl predictions lean toward the Flames at home, where they've shown the firepower to blow games open — that 6-2 dismantling of Seattle their most recent evidence.
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Head-to-head context
Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.
Leading scorers
Season goals and assists.
Calgary Flames
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Joel FarabeeLW | 5G 10A |
| Matthew CoronatoRW | 3G 11A |
| Matvei GridinF | 5G 5A |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Leo CarlssonC | 5G 17A |
| Jackson LaCombeD | 1G 16A |
| Beckett SenneckeF | 8G 8A |
Key personnel
Joel Farabee leads Calgary's scoring with five goals and ten assists through fifteen games, supported by Matthew Coronato's three goals and eleven helpers and Matvei Gridin's five-goal, five-assist contribution. That spread suggests the Flames can generate offence from multiple lines when the game plan clicks.
Anaheim counters with Leo Carlsson's five goals and seventeen assists at the top of the charts, flanked by Jackson LaCombe's playmaking (one goal, sixteen assists) and Beckett Sennecke's balanced eight goals and eight assists. The Ducks' ability to pile up goals in bunches stems from that depth, but it hasn't translated to defensive discipline — a vulnerability Calgary can exploit if they stay patient and force Anaheim into extended shifts in their own end.
The bold play
Calgary's home sample is thin — just one result in the formLast5Home ledger — but that 6-2 demolition of Seattle on 31 October carries weight. The Flames have the defensive structure to limit Anaheim's transition game and the special-teams edge to capitalise when the Ducks inevitably take penalties. Anaheim's road form across the last five includes three away results (two wins, one loss), but those wins came by one goal each, and their defensive leakage on the road (averaging 4.8 against over the last five overall) suggests they'll struggle to contain Calgary's depth if the hosts find rhythm early.
The market has Calgary priced shorter, but the value sits with the Flames when you weigh the home-ice advantage, the penalty-kill gap, and Anaheim's structural frailties. Calgary's season has been inconsistent, but at Scotiabank Saddledome they've shown they can dominate when the matchup suits. This one does.