This Eastern Conference scrap at Prudential Center (Fri 6 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT) matters for both teams chasing momentum. New Jersey sit higher on the ladder and have been scoring at a clip; St Louis are dangerous on special teams but arrive having lost their most recent outing.
We’ll be blunt: the value sits with New Jersey on form and attack. That’s the verdict up front — backed by recent scoring, home results and an offence that’s been finding the net.
If you’re hunting nhl picks this week, this matchup gives a straightforward favouring of the Devils but a live underdog story if you prefer volatility.
WHO WILL WIN?
New Jersey Devils get the nod. They sit ninth on the ladder (9-5-0, 18 points) and enter off a win at home — W 4–3 v Edmonton Oilers on Wed, 4 Nov — and have won both recent home games in their latest sample.
Their season-level scoring rate is strong: 3.43 goals per game and, over the last five starts, they’re averaging 3.8 goals for and 2.4 against. That attacking rhythm is backed by their top-end playmakers, with Jack Hughes and Arseny Gritsyuk among the leading scorers listed.
St Louis are lower on the ladder (rank 23) with a 7-6-1 record and have been less consistent. Their last start was a loss — L 1–3 v New York Rangers on Wed, 4 Nov — and their last five show offensively reduced output (2.0 goals per game over that sample).
Where the market sits: New Jersey are favourite on the board at 1.60 for the win, St Louis 2.35. There’s no 24-hour movement listed, so we judge purely on the current prices and the facts above.
Put simply: Devils’ recent scoring form, better goals-for per game and two home wins in their latest home sample tip the balance. St Louis has power-play promise and a decent save percentage on the year, so they’re not without a path, but the matchup favours New Jersey.
Tipped at $1.60 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Head-to-head context
Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.
Leading scorers
Season goals and assists.
New Jersey Devils
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Jack HughesC | 6G 10A |
| Arseny GritsyukRW | 8G 4A |
| Jesper BrattW | 2G 10A |
St Louis Blues
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Dylan HollowayC | 3G 9A |
| Jimmy SnuggerudRW | 8G 3A |
| Mason McTavishC | 6G 4A |
Soft lean
St Louis Blues$2.35Tipped at $2.35 ·
Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
The case for New Jersey — and where the Blues can bite
Why back the Devils: they combine steady season output (48 goals so far) with recent finishing — five wins in their last six and a 3.8 goals-for average over the last five starts. Their home form in the small sample is perfect: two straight wins at Prudential Center in the most recent home outings.
Why the Blues can punish you: St Louis’s special teams show upside (power play 23.68%) and they’ve rostered scoring threats listed in the pack. On any given night their attack or goaltending (.893 save pct season) can flip a tight game.
This is a value-first call. The market has priced New Jersey as favourite and the pack’s numbers back that stance, so we’re siding with the Devils while acknowledging the clear counter-arguments from St Louis.
Risks
Small-sample variance: NHL form swings fast — a hot goalie or a red-hot power play can swing a one-goal game. St Louis’s recent season save percentage and power-play rate are real threats.
Home/away samples are limited: New Jersey’s home sample in the pack is only two listed recent home games; St Louis has shown streaky results that can upset expectations.