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Arawa Park (NZ) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Arawa Park (NZ), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sunday 11 October 2026

Race 6 — Staphanos Classic 1950m · jumps 2:25 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • OPEN,Open
  • SOFT7
  • SHOWERS
  • 14 runners

Shortest win price

Levakia (5)

3.30

Most career wins

Diamond Jak

11-8-4 from 48 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 6Son Of Sun

Offmidfield

  • 12Rudyard
  • 1Diamond Jak
  • 2One Bold Cat

Midfield

  • 5Levakia
  • 7Gigi
  • 4Joshua Brown
  • 11Solidify

Offpace

  • 10Gospodin

Onpace

  • 13Sassy Lass
  • 3Sunset Boulevard

Leader

  • 8Diomedes
  • 9Khan Hunter
  • 14Overrated
  • Diamond Jak · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • One Bold Cat · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations

  • Sunset Boulevard · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations

  • Joshua Brown · Positive

    Trainer Form

    In form stable, out performing market expectations

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Diamond JakJ: Jack Taplin·T: M H Brosnan1264kg11 1 1 4 148: 11-8-4Diamond Jak win17.00Diamond Jak place4.20

Career

48: 11-8-4

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-2-1

  • Track Pukekura

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Rotorua

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    5: 2-1-0

  • Distance 2100m

    15: 5-3-0

  • Going Heavy

    27: 8-7-2

  • Going Soft

    18: 3-1-1

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Ellerslie2100m19 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT5-0.24
  2. 4Ellerslie2200m5 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT51.34L
  3. 1Te Rapa2100m22 Aug 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT6-0.33
  4. 1Te Rapa2200m25 July 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY10-0.11
  5. 11Ellerslie2100m20 June 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT57.79L
  6. 8Ellerslie2100m6 June 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT68.4L
  7. 7Ellerslie1600m23 May 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT53.16L
  8. 18Ellerslie2400m21 Feb 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT513.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 8% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

Comments

ILB

Ran home strongly to win last start at Ellerslie. Will be trying to topple them late. Betting is the best guide.

RSIS

Picked up late to win last time at Ellerslie. Possesses good closing pace. Not at all out of this race.

2One Bold CatJ: Craig Grylls·T: Robbie Patterson860kg1 3 14 8 530: 9-0-5One Bold Cat win7.00One Bold Cat place2.50

Career

30: 9-0-5

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 2-0-2

  • Second-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Matamata

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Wanganui

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Ellerslie

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2040m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    7: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    12: 6-0-1

  • Going Soft

    10: 2-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Trentham1600m19 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY108.21L
  2. 8Pukekura1400m5 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY103.21L
  3. 14Trentham3200m31 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT513.97L
  4. 3Trentham2100m17 Jan 2026 · OPN-SW&P · SOFT61.19L
  5. 1Trentham2200m3 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT5-0.5
  6. 5Trentham1600m6 Dec 2025 · WFA · GOOD43.2L
  7. 4Waverley1650m14 Nov 2025 · OPN HCP · SOFT52.2L
  8. 8Otaki1400m6 Sept 2025 · OPN HCP · HEAVY108.6L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Form 3rd Up

    Positive

    Has won 2 from 3 when third up

Comments

ILB

Odds of $21.00 and crept into 5th last run at Trentham on a heavy surface. Might be ridden for luck. Watch for a sign in the market.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and improved late to finish 5th last start at Trentham. Gets back and needs luck. Could feature here.

3Sunset BoulevardJ: Floor Moerman·T: K T Myers1555.5kg1 3 8 6 1327: 9-2-3Sunset Boulevard win15.00Sunset Boulevard place4.00

Career

27: 9-2-3

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pukekura

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ellerslie

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Trentham

    4: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1750m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 4-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 2-0-1

  • Going Soft

    13: 3-1-1

Last starts

  1. 13Hawera2100m3 Oct 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY814L
  2. 6Riccarton Park1800m12 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY92.67L
  3. 8Otaki2200m11 Apr 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT64.39L
  4. 3Pukekura2000m7 Mar 2026 · Open · SOFT61.5L
  5. 1Trentham2100m1 Mar 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT5-0.16
  6. 8Otaki1600m21 Feb 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT53.47L
  7. 4Kumara1810m10 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT61.2L
  8. 1Greymouth2000m4 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT7-0.1

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

ILB

Started $8.00 and weakened to finish 13th last start at Hawera and facing formidable opponents. Floor Moerman rates highly and gets some weight relief. Good chance in this.

RSIS

Started 7/1 and gave away some ground when 13th last run at Hawera on a heavy surface and facing formidable opponents. Floor Moerman is a key engagement. One of the value chances in this race.

4Joshua BrownJ: Lynsey Satherley·T: L R Gussey1054kg2 6 12 2 1222: 4-4-1Joshua Brown win20.00Joshua Brown place4.40

Career

22: 4-4-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Pukekura

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Rotorua

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Wanganui

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 970m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1215m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    10: 3-3-1

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 12Matamata1600m3 Oct 2026 · LISTED OPEN HCP · SOFT54.83L
  2. 2Te Aroha1600m3 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY80.3L
  3. 12Pukekura1400m18 July 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY108.62L
  4. 6Te Rapa1600m4 July 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY83.6L
  5. 2Te Rapa1600m13 June 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT70.3L
  6. 6Wanganui1600m30 May 2026 · WFA · SOFT51.75L
  7. 7Te Rapa1200m2 May 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT54.69L
  8. 5Matamata1600m17 Oct 2025 · OPN HCP · SOFT71.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Arawa Park

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

ILB

Was $31.00 and tailed off to finish 12th last start at Matamata. Better to look elsewhere.

RSIS

At 30/1 lost ground in the run home when 12th last time at Matamata.

5LevakiaJ: Michael Mc Nab·T: K S Kelso754kg4 2 1 5 421: 5-4-1Levakia win3.30Levakia place1.60

Career

21: 5-4-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Ruakaka

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Matamata

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Taupo

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 2-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    4: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    18: 5-3-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Te Rapa1600m13 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY82.08L
  2. 5Ruakaka1400m15 Aug 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT63.12L
  3. 1Ellerslie2200m4 Apr 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT5-1.74
  4. 2Pukekohe2100m20 Mar 2026 · OPN HCP · GOOD40.45L
  5. 4Matamata2000m11 Mar 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT51.53L
  6. 6Te Rapa2100m7 Feb 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT53.13L
  7. 1Pukekohe2200m18 Jan 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT6-0.78
  8. 2Tauranga2100m2 Jan 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT60.4L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form 3rd Up

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when third up

Comments

ILB

Started $5.00 and hit the line well when 4th last time at Te Rapa on a heavy track. All 5 wins have come on a rain affected surface. Solid prospects.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and picked up some late ground when 4th last start at Te Rapa. All 5 wins have come on rain affected going. Stable is in form. Genuine claims.

6Son Of SunJ: Warren Kennedy·T: C J Wood354kg2 9 9 14 1031: 7-2-2Son Of Sun win7.00Son Of Sun place2.50

Career

31: 7-2-2

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed40%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Matamata

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Tauranga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Te Rapa

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1330m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1600m

    7: 3-1-0

  • Going Good

    13: 4-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 10Te Rapa1500m25 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · GOOD44.98L
  2. 14Ellerslie3200m7 Mar 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT514.63L
  3. 9Ellerslie2400m21 Feb 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT54.03L
  4. 9Te Rapa2000m7 Feb 2026 · WFA · SOFT56.63L
  5. 2Ellerslie1600m1 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT60.3L
  6. 4Te Rapa1600m20 Dec 2025 · OPN HCP · SOFT62.5L
  7. 10Randwick2600m18 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.88L
  8. 16Randwick2400m4 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.78L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Warren Kennedy current POT is 37% below Career Avg.

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • 2nd Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when second up

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

ILB

Started at $34.00 and tailed off when 10th last run at Te Rapa. Likely to get back. Needs significant improvement.

RSIS

Odds of 33/1 and looked flat when 10th last time at Te Rapa. Likely to get back in the run.

7GigiJ: Wiremu Pinn·T: J C Pender454kg7 5 12 7 1237: 6-9-2Gigi win11.00Gigi place3.50

Career

37: 6-9-2

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Tauranga

    8: 4-2-1

  • Track Te Rapa

    9: 1-4-1

  • Track Te Aroha

    4: 1-2-0

  • Distance 970m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    17: 4-6-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    11: 1-5-1

Last starts

  1. 12Te Rapa1500m25 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · GOOD48.43L
  2. 7Ellerslie3200m7 Mar 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT59.33L
  3. 12Ellerslie2400m21 Feb 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT55.77L
  4. 5Matamata2000m14 Feb 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY918.88L
  5. 7Ellerslie2400m1 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT64.2L
  6. 2Te Rapa2400m13 Dec 2025 · OPN HCP · SOFT50.2L
  7. 5Pukekohe2100m22 Nov 2025 · OPN HCP · SOFT50.8L
  8. 1Tauranga2100m1 Nov 2025 · OPN HCP · SOFT5-0.1

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • 2nd Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when second up

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

ILB

At $41.00 didn't threaten when 12th last start at Te Rapa but returning to more ground. Lines up against a competitive field.

RSIS

Odds of 40/1 and didn't find the line when 12th last start at Te Rapa but back over extra ground.

8DiomedesJ: Hayley Hassman·T: K A Pertab1454kg9 1 1 10 934: 6-3-4Diomedes win26.00Diomedes place5.50

Career

34: 6-3-4

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    7: 2-0-3

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Matamata

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Wanganui

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hastings

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1360m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    19: 6-2-2

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 9Matamata1600m3 Oct 2026 · BENCHMARK 75 · SOFT58.3L
  2. 10Trentham1600m19 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY1018.25L
  3. 1Pukekura1400m5 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY10-0.26
  4. 1Woodville1400m19 June 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · HEAVY10-0.74
  5. 9Te Aroha1150m4 June 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY109.98L
  6. 7Rotorua1950m5 Dec 2025 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT66.2L
  7. 4Pukekohe2100m22 Nov 2025 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT54.6L
  8. 3Tauherenikau1600m9 Nov 2025 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT50.4L

Insights

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 6.5kg from LS run

Comments

ILB

Jumped at $51.00 and gave away some ground when 9th last time at Matamata and matched against tougher rivals. Has the speed to overcome the wide draw. In a lot of trouble.

RSIS

Odds of 50/1 and struggled with the pace when 9th last time at Matamata but goes down in weight. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw.

9Khan HunterJ: Rihaan Goyaram·T: A D Fuller254kg2 9 5 7 569: 7-7-5Khan Hunter win31.00Khan Hunter place6.50

Career

69: 7-7-5

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pukekura

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Tauranga

    10: 2-0-1

  • Distance 2040m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    16: 1-2-1

  • Distance 2400m

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    25: 3-1-2

  • Going Soft

    32: 3-6-2

  • Going Good

    12: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Ellerslie2100m19 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT53.24L
  2. 7Te Aroha1600m3 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY84.11L
  3. 5Ellerslie2100m20 June 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT54.21L
  4. 9Ellerslie2100m6 June 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT611.7L
  5. 2Ellerslie2100m23 May 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT50.73L
  6. 11Rotorua2200m9 May 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY914.44L
  7. 1Pukekohe2100m1 May 2026 · BENCHMARK 75 · SOFT6-0.1
  8. 2Ellerslie2200m4 Apr 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT51.74L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

ILB

Jumped at $3.25 and weakened under pressure when 5th last run at Ellerslie but drawn nicely. Displays good tactical speed. Respect the betting.

RSIS

Was 9/4 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last start at Ellerslie but can find a nice position from the draw. Should jump out and bowl along. Could be in the mix.

10GospodinJ: Elen Nicholas·T: J C Pender654kg3 10 4 6 567: 8-8-6Gospodin win17.00Gospodin place4.40

Career

67: 8-8-6

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    7: 1-2-0

  • Third-up

    7: 2-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    7: 1-1-2

  • Track Rotorua

    4: 1-1-0

  • Track Tauranga

    12: 1-1-0

  • Track Hastings

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    26: 4-6-3

  • Distance 1215m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    10: 2-0-1

  • Going Good

    9: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    31: 6-3-5

  • Going Soft

    27: 2-5-1

Last starts

  1. 5Te Rapa1500m25 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · GOOD42.6L
  2. 6Te Rapa1600m13 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY82.89L
  3. 4Te Rapa1200m8 Aug 2026 · OPEN HCP · HEAVY82.1L
  4. 10Pukekura1400m18 July 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY106.63L
  5. 3Te Rapa1200m4 July 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY82.26L
  6. 4Ellerslie1400m20 June 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT50.89L
  7. 3Te Aroha1150m4 June 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY105.24L
  8. 5Te Rapa1600m2 May 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT52.79L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Trainer under performing market expectations

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

ILB

Odds of $34.00 and pushed past some when 5th last run at Te Rapa. Very minor chance.

RSIS

Was 33/1 and inched into 5th last time at Te Rapa.

11SolidifyJ: Lily Sutherland·T: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale954kg6 2 4 3 249: 6-8-8Solidify win11.00Solidify place3.50

Career

49: 6-8-8

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Otaki

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Rotorua

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    13: 1-4-2

  • Going Soft

    25: 5-3-4

Last starts

  1. 2Hawera2100m3 Oct 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY80.15L
  2. 3Ellerslie2100m19 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT50.6L
  3. 4Te Aroha1600m3 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY81.62L
  4. 2Ruakaka1600m15 Aug 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT61.18L
  5. 6Ruakaka1600m1 Aug 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT64.22L
  6. 7Te Rapa1600m4 July 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY84.4L
  7. 12Ellerslie2100m20 June 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT510.09L
  8. 6Cambridge Synthetic1550m3 June 2026 · Rating 78 Benchmark* · SYNTHETIC3.24L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

ILB

Competed in a tight contest last run at Hawera on a heavy track but challenged by more formidable competitors. On an upward trajectory in recent races. Strong claims in this.

RSIS

Close up last run at Hawera and showing improvement in recent outings. Competing at a higher level of competition. Must be considered here.

12RudyardJ: Jasmine Fawcett·T: Ms D C Kennedy154kg11 2 2 3 1044: 6-4-5Rudyard win17.00Rudyard place4.40

Career

44: 6-4-5

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    7: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    7: 1-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Track Taupo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Te Rapa

    13: 1-3-3

  • Track Ellerslie

    14: 2-0-2

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1215m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Firm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 4-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    9: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 10Matamata1600m3 Oct 2026 · LISTED OPEN HCP · SOFT54.13L
  2. 3Te Rapa1600m13 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY81.54L
  3. 2Te Rapa1600m8 Aug 2026 · OPEN HCP · HEAVY80.9L
  4. 2Te Rapa1600m4 July 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY81.5L
  5. 11Wanganui1600m30 May 2026 · WFA · SOFT55.07L
  6. 6Ellerslie1600m23 May 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT53.11L
  7. 3Te Rapa1600m2 May 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT51.89L
  8. 6Te Rapa1400m17 Apr 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY101.32L

Insights

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

ILB

At $34.00 couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last time at Matamata but drawn the rails. Likely to settle back in the field. Needs to find a lot more.

RSIS

At 33/1 weakened under pressure when 10th last run at Matamata but drawn the rails. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

13Sassy LassJ: A Lawson-Carroll·T: C J Wood554kg9 10 9 6 1133: 4-5-3Sassy Lass win26.00Sassy Lass place5.50

Career

33: 4-5-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Te Aroha

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ellerslie

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pukekohe

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1215m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1560m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-3-0

  • Going Heavy

    9: 3-1-1

  • Going Soft

    17: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 11Ellerslie1400m19 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT54.87L
  2. 6Matamata2000m14 Feb 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY920.21L
  3. 9Ellerslie2200m31 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT54.58L
  4. 10Trentham2100m17 Jan 2026 · OPN-SW&P · SOFT65.31L
  5. 9Taupo2000m28 Dec 2025 · OPN HCP · SOFT55.32L
  6. 11Te Rapa2400m13 Dec 2025 · OPN HCP · SOFT59.5L
  7. 8Pukekohe2100m22 Nov 2025 · OPN HCP · SOFT51.4L
  8. 3Tauranga2100m1 Nov 2025 · OPN HCP · SOFT50.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

ILB

Jumped at $201.00 and struggled with the pace when 11th last run at Ellerslie but going over extra ground. Has plenty of early speed. Not threatening these.

RSIS

Started 200/1 and didn't threaten when 11th last run at Ellerslie but facing a rise in trip. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

14OverratedJ: George Rooke·T: M B Garrett1354kg14 3 1 7 242: 7-3-4Overrated win10.00Overrated place3.30

Career

42: 7-3-4

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Tauranga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rotorua

    9: 3-1-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    9: 3-1-1

  • Distance 2400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1560m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    16: 6-1-1

  • Going Soft

    15: 0-2-3

Last starts

  1. 2Matamata2000m3 Oct 2026 · BENCHMARK 75 · SOFT50.8L
  2. 7Ellerslie1600m19 Sept 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT55.94L
  3. 1Te Aroha1600m3 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY8-0.3
  4. 3Ruakaka1600m15 Aug 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT61.46L
  5. 14Te Rapa2200m25 July 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY1021.96L
  6. 10Otaki2100m10 July 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · HEAVY1050.91L
  7. 6Rotorua1560m1 July 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · HEAVY107.32L
  8. 6Wanganui2040m30 May 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT54.84L

Insights

  • Turn Of Foot

    Positive

    Had the fastest L200m sectionals last start

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 7kg from LS run

Comments

ILB

Ran on strongly when 2nd last start at Matamata and gets some weight taken off. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw. Racing in stronger company. Not at all out of this race.

RSIS

Solid effort to run into 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Matamata but competing in a higher grade. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Can't leave out of your calculations.

15ProboyScratched11––––

Career

19: 3-5-4

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Wanganui

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Tauranga

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Otaki

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2100m

    5: 0-2-1

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-2-2

  • Going Soft

    8: 3-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Te Rapa1600m13 Sept 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY82.99L
  2. 3Rotorua2200m9 May 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY92.75L
  3. 2Otaki2100m24 Apr 2026 · OPN HCP · HEAVY90.34L
  4. 1Wanganui2040m14 Mar 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT7-0.42
  5. 8Te Rapa2100m7 Feb 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT54.13L
  6. 5Wanganui2040m10 Jan 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · GOOD43.9L
  7. 1Te Rapa2400m20 Dec 2025 · Rating 65 Benchmark* · SOFT6-0.2
  8. 10Wanganui2040m29 Nov 2025 · Rating 65 Benchmark* · SOFT54.9L

Insights

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

ILB

Was $7.50 and came in 7th last time at Te Rapa.

RSIS

Was 13/2 and came in 7th last run at Te Rapa.

Odds correct as at 12:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.