Shortest win price
Malastar (8)
2.25
Ascot (WA) horsestips & previews
One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ascot (WA), with capture times on every price.
Meeting — Saturday 10 October 2026
Race 1 — Mc Equine Surfaces Plate 1000m · jumps 3:00 pm AEDT
Race notes
- 2Y SWP,2YO PLATE,2yo,Open
- SOFT6
- Overcast
- 9 runners
Speed map
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
- 1Albirex
- 2Defend The Nation
- 3Masquerade Man
- 4Ochre
- 5Sprint For Glory
- 6Turning Point
- 7All That Class
- 8Malastar
- 9Steel My Ship
Albirex · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Defend The Nation · Negative
Market Watch
Keep eye on betting moves
Masquerade Man · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Ochre · Positive
Drawn In
Suited drawn down low
No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1AlbirexJ: Lucy F Fiore·T: D T Mcauliffe657kg5 1Albirex win12.00Albirex place2.90
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Firststart
Figures
- Jockey60%
- Trainer60%
- Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
- Early Speed50%
- Rating100%
- Closing Speed50%
Last starts
- 1Lark Hill400m5 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.4
- 5Lark Hill400m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L
Insights
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
Comments
AAP
Trials (2:1-0-0). Signalled was ready to go now with latest improved Lark Hill trial win. Lucy Fiore on from trials. Looks highly capable of featuring on debut.
ILB
Darren Mcauliffe 2yo by Universal Ruler having first race appearance. Follow the money.
RP
Record of the trainer offers some encouragement; already gelded; this son of Universal Ruler makes debut under rules; any market positivity behind this debutant should be noted.
RSIS
Darren Mcauliffe 2yo by Universal Ruler on debut. Betting as a guide.
2Defend The NationJ: Patrick Carbery·T: D M Luciani757kg2Defend The Nation win19.00Defend The Nation place3.50
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Firststart
Figures
- Jockey60%
- Trainer80%
- Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
- Early Speed50%
- Rating100%
- Closing Speed50%
Last starts
- 2Belmont400m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.4L
Insights
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
Comments
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). Lone trial was encouraging at Belmont Park. Stiff opening test but watch for market support.
ILB
2yo by Rommel having first start for Dion Luciani. Market as guide.
RP
Running for the first time; gelded already; related to 6½f winner Harbour Rise; this one is best watched, unless market signals suggest otherwise.
RSIS
Dion Luciani trained 2yo debutant by Rommel.
3Masquerade ManJ: Brayden Gaerth·T: S & J Casey557kg1Masquerade Man win10.00Masquerade Man place2.60
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Figures
- Jockey100%
- Trainer60%
- Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
- Early Speed50%
- Rating60%
- Closing Speed50%
Last starts
- 1Belmont400m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.4
Insights
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Brayden Gaerth in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 27%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
Comments
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Lining up for first race start and looks good to go. Brayden Gaerth sticks for debut. Still, tough introduction here and would need a clear market push.
ILB
Sean Casey & Jake Casey 2yo by Maschino having first race start. Watch betting.
RP
Yard has enjoyed debutant winners at this course; shares a dam with Cannykev, a 5f winner; sire's offspring tend to appreciate some cut in the ground; gelded already; overlooked unless the market says otherwise.
RSIS
Maschino 2yo trained by Sean Casey & Jake Casey having first race start.
4OchreJ: Chris Parnham·T: Simon Miller257kg3Ochre win7.50Ochre place2.25
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Firststart
Figures
- Jockey40%
- Trainer80%
- Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
- Early Speed50%
- Rating80%
- Closing Speed50%
Last starts
- 3Belmont850m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L
Insights
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
Comments
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-2). Built a tidy trial profile and looks forward enough for debut. Good draw. Big watch.
ILB
2yo by North Pacific having first race start for trainer Simon A Miller and has a good draw. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
Already a gelding; shares a dam with Warrego, a 5½f winner; the sire's progeny are not always overly precocious; passed over unless attracting strong support.
RSIS
2yo by North Pacific having initial appearance for Simon A Miller and will try to take advantage of the stall. Market as guide.
5Sprint For GloryJ: Clint Johnston-Porter·T: S & J Casey157kg1Sprint For Glory win8.00Sprint For Glory place2.35
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Figures
- Jockey100%
- Trainer60%
- Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
- Early Speed50%
- Rating60%
- Closing Speed50%
Last starts
- 1Belmont400m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.2
Insights
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Comments
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Signalled ability with a solid trial performance at Belmont Park. Benefit of decent alley. Follow betting leads.
ILB
2yo by Splintex having first start for trainer Sean Casey & Jake Casey and gets the perfect gate. Watch the betting.
RP
Shares a dam with Aberdeen Flyer, a 1m1f winner; S & J Casey debutants always command respect here; already gelded; market could reveal prospects.
RSIS
First start at the races 2yo by Splintex for trainer Sean Casey & Jake Casey and gets the perfect stall.
6Turning PointJ: Steven Parnham·T: N D Parnham957kg2Turning Point win16.00Turning Point place3.50
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Figures
- Jockey20%
- Trainer60%
- Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
- Early Speed50%
- Rating20%
- Closing Speed50%
Last starts
- 2Belmont850m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
Insights
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 16% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 26% in L100 rides
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
Comments
AAP
Trials (2:0-2-0). Consistent trial performer with two close seconds leading in. S Parnham on from trials. Draw could be an issue but market may offer more insight.
ILB
Playing God 2yo on debut for trainer Neville Parnham. Watch early betting.
RP
Related to 6f winner Here The Boom; breeding shows he may improve with time; sire can produce useful types; might be one for another day; market may guide.
RSIS
2yo by Playing God having first start for Neville Parnham.
7All That ClassJ: Holly Nottle·T: Luke Fernie355kg2All That Class win4.60All That Class place1.60
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Firststart
Figures
- Jockey80%
- Trainer20%
- Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
- Early Speed50%
- Rating60%
- Closing Speed50%
Last starts
- 2Belmont850m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.4L
Insights
Trainer SR
Negative
Luke Fernie striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -72% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 46% Profit on Turnover
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
Comments
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). Winner packed too many punches but ran on well enough to place in Belmont Park trial. Nice gate. Can make an early impression.
ILB
Initial appearance 2yo by Aysar for Luke Fernie. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Related to 5½f winner Door Buster; Luke Fernie newcomers always need to be taken seriously at Ascot; in the mix with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
First race appearance 2yo by Aysar for trainer Luke Fernie.
8MalastarJ: Holly Watson·T: Mitchell Pateman855kg1Malastar win2.25Malastar place1.22
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Figures
- Jockey100%
- Trainer100%
- Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
- Early Speed50%
- Rating100%
- Closing Speed50%
Last starts
- 1Belmont850m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-3.4
Insights
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 69%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 45% POT in L100 Runners
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Comments
AAP
Trials (2:2-0-0). Trial work elite and screaming to go. Awkward alley but market may offer more insight.
ILB
First time at the races 2yo by Tiger Of Malay for trainer Mitchell Pateman. Watch the market moves.
RP
Running in first race; much respected with signs of encouragement in profile and the current trainer form is another tick.
RSIS
Mitchell Pateman 2yo by Tiger Of Malay having first race start.
9Steel My ShipJ: Natasha Faithfull·T: Mack Hall455kg2Steel My Ship win16.00Steel My Ship place3.50
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Figures
- Jockey60%
- Trainer80%
- Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
- Early Speed50%
- Rating60%
- Closing Speed50%
Last starts
- 2Lark Hill400m5 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.4L
Insights
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -78% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
Comments
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). First time at the races here after producing a nice trial at Lark Hill. Nice gate. Market watch advised.
ILB
Mack Hall trained 2yo runner on debut by Marine One. Market as guide.
RP
This daughter of Marine One makes first rules appearance; should be thereabouts with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Mack Hall trained 2yo by Marine One having first start.
Odds correct as at 2:11 am AEDT. Odds can change.