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Ascot (WA) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ascot (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 10 October 2026

Race 7 — Drummond Golf (Rs1mw) 1600m · jumps 6:45 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • 3UP GRAD HCP 60+,3yo+,GRAD HCP 60+,Rest 1 Metro Win
  • SOFT6
  • Overcast
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Streamlined (7)

3.80

Most career wins

Late Arrival

5-6-5 from 24 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 12Right To Silence

Offmidfield

  • 5Statewide
  • 9I'm Nipote
  • 10Vexatious Rose

Midfield

  • 8Rosie Can Run

Offpace

  • 6Supido Express

Onpace

  • 1Back To Bondi
  • 7Streamlined
  • 2Late Arrival
  • 11Classic Impact

Leader

  • 3Pure Mac
  • Back To Bondi · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%

  • Late Arrival · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -47%

  • Pure Mac · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are winning 36% POT in their L100 Races

  • Statewide · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 10%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Back To BondiJ: Holly Nottle·T: T M Andrews1060kg3 1 4 1 111: 4-0-3Back To Bondi win5.50Back To Bondi place2.10

Career

11: 4-0-3

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ascot

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Bunbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 2-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 2-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Belmont1600m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GRAD HCP 59+ · SOFT5-0.59
  2. 1Belmont1700m9 Sept 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD4-2
  3. 4Belmont1650m26 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT64.5L
  4. 1Belmont1650m19 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · SOFT5-1.7
  5. 3Pinjarra1500m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP · SOFT52.1L
  6. 3Belmont1400m29 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · GOOD40.4L
  7. 4Pinjarra1400m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY82.3L
  8. 11Pinjarra1200m24 June 2026 · 2UP CL1 C&G HCP 50+ · GOOD412.1L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Ascot

Comments

AAP

On target for hat-trick. Determined effort to secure victory at Belmont Park over this trip. Has speed. Highly rated in this line-up.

ILB

Picked up nicely to win last start at Belmont. Won last 2 in succession. Jockey Holly Nottle usually performs well for this stable. Likes the cut in the ground. Knockout chance.

RP

Winning form over C&D; bids for hat-trick; had three of these in arrears when winning by half a length (Belmont Park) last month; holds major claims.

RSIS

Rounded them up to win last run at Belmont. Can't knock the form winning 2 on the trot. Jockey Holly Nottle and trainer Trevor Andrews are a promising combination.

2Late ArrivalJ: Taj Dyson·T: Ms K Kersley459kg3 3 1 4 424: 5-6-5Late Arrival win18.00Late Arrival place3.90

Career

24: 5-6-5

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 2-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Belmont

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Geelong

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    3: 0-0-2

  • Distance 2200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 2-1-0

  • Going Good

    20: 2-5-5

Last starts

  1. 4Belmont1200m26 Sept 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD42.15L
  2. 4Pinjarra1600m20 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL5 60+ HCP · GOOD43.9L
  3. 1Belmont1300m5 Aug 2026 · 0MWLY · SOFT5-0.3
  4. 3Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL5 60+ HCP · GOOD41.9L
  5. 3Ascot1800m14 Mar 2026 · 2Y 1MW HCP 60+ · GOOD43.3L
  6. 7Ascot2200m21 Feb 2026 · 3UP RTG 66+ HCP · GOOD47.1L
  7. 2Ascot2200m7 Feb 2026 · 2UP RTG 66+ HCP · GOOD41.2L
  8. 3Pinjarra1600m15 Jan 2026 · 2UP CL5 59+ HCP · GOOD41.6L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -47%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Didn't quite finish it off the last bit in Rst 0 Met Win-LY company at Belmont Park. On pacer. One for multiples.

ILB

Started $31.00 and couldn't maintain the pace throughout when 4th last start at Belmont and returning to a rise in trip. Won't be far away during the run. Place claims at best.

RP

Has won at this track; he meets the required standard ability wise; beaten just over 2l 14 days ago when sent off 28-1 at Belmont Park over 6f (handicap) dropped back in distance; shown he can get his head in front so capable of going well.

RSIS

Started at 30/1 and outmatched towards the finish when 4th last time at Belmont and returning to a longer distance. Shows good early pace.

3Pure MacJ: Jefferson Tsang·T: Sue Olive359kg3 4 2 1 212: 2-2-1Pure Mac win6.50Pure Mac place2.40

Career

12: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Belmont

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track Northam

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2Belmont1600m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GRAD HCP 59+ · SOFT50.59L
  2. 1Northam1600m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT5-0.9
  3. 2Belmont1650m19 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · SOFT51.7L
  4. 4Belmont1300m5 Aug 2026 · 0MWLY · SOFT51.6L
  5. 3Belmont1000m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)8.2L
  6. 13Ascot1800m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD49.3L
  7. 3Ascot1600m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.1L
  8. 1Bunbury1705m12 Feb 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD4-0.1

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 36% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Consistent

    Positive

    Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Racing in fine order. Led, dug deep into his reserves but shaded late over 1600m in the 3yo+ (Rs1mw) at Belmont Park over this journey. Brings pace and stamina. Worth a look.

ILB

Was found wanting late when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time at Belmont. Jockey Jefferson Tsang and trainer Susan Olive are a strong team. Some hope in this event.

RP

Went close when runner-up (Belmont Park) behind Back To Bondi 21 days ago; interesting.

RSIS

Grabbed towards the finish when 2nd last time at Belmont. Displays good tactical pace. Jefferson Tsang is in good form for this stable. Going well in recent runs.

4Desert WavesScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Warmed up nicely late at Belmont Park off long break. Will be fitter second-up and rise in trip a plus. Unexposed at trip. Can play a role.

ILB

Jumped at $18.00 and ran 8th last run at Belmont.

RSIS

Started at 17/1 and finished 8th last run at Belmont.

5StatewideJ: Steven Parnham·T: N D Parnham758.5kg1 9 7 4 420: 2-1-5Statewide win15.00Statewide place3.70

Career

20: 2-1-5

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Belmont

    11: 1-0-2

  • Track Northam

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    8: 0-1-3

  • Distance 1600m

    6: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1650m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    14: 2-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Belmont1600m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 72+ HCP · GOOD41.72L
  2. 4Belmont1600m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GRAD HCP 59+ · SOFT50.93L
  3. 7Belmont1600m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW 60+ HCP · SOFT54.9L
  4. 9Belmont1600m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 72+ HCP · GOOD411.7L
  5. 1Belmont1650m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP 66+ HCP · GOOD4-0.6
  6. 10Belmont1600m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW HCP 56+ · SOFT58.1L
  7. 3Belmont1650m18 July 2026 · 2UP GRAD HCP 59+ · SOFT73.4L
  8. 7Belmont1400m11 July 2026 · 2UP GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD44.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 10%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -25%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far at Belmont Park over this trip. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Jumped at $14.00 and was found wanting late when 4th last run at Belmont and goes down in class. Rises in weight. Overlook from a betting angle.

RP

Struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Belmont Park two months ago; solid run when fourth; closely matched with Rosie Can Run on that running at Belmont Park last month; this is competitive and is passed over.

RSIS

At 13/1 couldn't stay in touch when 4th last start at Belmont and back in an easier grade. Has to cope with a weight increase.

6Supido ExpressJ: Chanel Cooper·T: Mitchell Pateman256.5kg1 5 5 5 621: 2-4-4Supido Express win8.00Supido Express place2.70

Career

21: 2-4-4

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    12: 2-3-2

  • Track Pinjarra

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Ascot

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    13: 1-3-4

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    12: 1-3-3

Last starts

  1. 6Belmont1400m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD42.7L
  2. 5Belmont1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW SC 55+ HCP · SOFT53.1L
  3. 5Belmont1600m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · SOFT53.6L
  4. 5Belmont1400m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW GRAD HCP 60+ · HEAVY94.7L
  5. 1Belmont1400m25 July 2026 · 2UP 1MW SC HCP 60+ · GOOD4-0.8
  6. 4Belmont1200m8 July 2026 · 2UP CG&E CL1 50+ HCP · SOFT53.1L
  7. 3Pinjarra1200m24 June 2026 · 2UP CL1 C&G HCP 50+ · GOOD44.4L
  8. 3Belmont1200m10 June 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD41.7L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Mitchell Pateman in good form, out performing market 69%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 45% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Last at turn, ran on late at Belmont Park. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

At $31.00 came in 6th last start at Belmont but has a positive draw. Do not dismiss.

RP

Respectable display to finish sixth, beaten just under 3l over 7f at Belmont Park (handicap) last month; all his winning form has come at Belmont Park (two successes); the trainer continues to be among winners recently; makes limited appeal given many of his rivals are in good form.

RSIS

At 30/1 ran 6th last time at Belmont but has a positive draw.

7StreamlinedJ: Chris Parnham·T: Michael Grantham1156kg11 8 3 1 36: 2-0-1Streamlined win3.80Streamlined place1.65

Career

6: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Belmont

    3: 2-0-1

  • Track Ascot

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 2-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 2-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Belmont1400m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD40.88L
  2. 1Belmont1400m16 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 C&G 54+ HCP · GOOD4-2.03
  3. 3Lark Hill950m7 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.6L
  4. 8Ascot1500m21 Mar 2026 · 2UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · GOOD44.2L
  5. 11Bunbury1200m7 Mar 2026 · 3Y 62+ HCP · GOOD44.7L
  6. 5Lark Hill1000m23 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.5L
  7. 9Ascot1400m8 Nov 2025 · 3yo · GOOD46.3L
  8. 1Belmont1400m22 Oct 2025 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD4-1.4

Comments

AAP

Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Belmont Park second-up. Looking for a mile now. Big show with even breaks.

ILB

Placed 3rd last start at Belmont. The wide draw shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Has not missed the placings this preparation in 2 attempts. Will run close.

RP

Had two of these rivals behind him over 7f at Belmont Park (handicap) when just denied last month; has to be taken seriously.

RSIS

Tidy run when 3rd last start at Belmont. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide draw. Has not missed the placings of late in 2 attempts. Will attract plenty of interest.

8Rosie Can RunJ: Shaun Mc Gruddy·T: G C Ballantyne155.5kg3 1 3 2 628: 2-4-4Rosie Can Run win11.00Rosie Can Run place3.30

Career

28: 2-4-4

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    7: 0-0-3

  • Track Ascot

    10: 1-2-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    10: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 1-4-4

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Belmont1600m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 72+ HCP · GOOD43.25L
  2. 2Belmont1700m9 Sept 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD42L
  3. 3Pinjarra1600m20 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL5 60+ HCP · GOOD42.3L
  4. 1Belmont1650m5 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · SOFT5-0.6
  5. 3Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD40.3L
  6. 2Lark Hill1050m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.7L
  7. 3Ascot1800m28 Feb 2026 · 2UP 1MW 58+ HCP · GOOD44.4L
  8. 2Ascot1800m15 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD42.2L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 38% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 184%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 69%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 71% Profit on Turnover

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay at Belmont Park over this trip. Hard fit, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Odds of $26.00 and finished 6th last time at Belmont but taking on easier opposition. In good order since returning from a spell. This will pose a challenge.

RP

Has a couple of good recent course efforts to her name; has winning track form; close up behind Statewide when sixth (Belmont Park) last month; a few rivals look in good form so easy to oppose.

RSIS

Was 25/1 and ran 6th last start at Belmont but dropping in class. In top racing shape since coming back from a break. Proven performer on soft ground.

9I'm NipoteJ: Lucy F Fiore·T: B S Seinor954.5kg4 8 9 3 236: 2-8-5I'm Nipote win7.00I'm Nipote place2.50

Career

36: 2-8-5

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-2-2

  • Third-up

    5: 1-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-2-1

  • Track Belmont

    12: 0-1-3

  • Track Northam

    3: 1-1-1

  • Track Pinjarra

    11: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    31: 2-8-4

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Belmont1600m26 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.56L
  2. 3Belmont1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY SC 56+ · SOFT53.3L
  3. 9Pinjarra1613m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD46L
  4. 8Belmont1600m4 July 2026 · 2UP GRAD 60+ HCP · SOFT62.6L
  5. 4Belmont1600m20 June 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY HCP 55+ · GOOD41.3L
  6. 5Belmont1700m10 June 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD46.5L
  7. 9Pinjarra1700m4 June 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD43.5L
  8. 10Belmont1400m23 May 2026 · 4UP NMWLY 55+ HCP · GOOD42.9L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Handily placed and gave his all at Belmont Park over this trip. Has an adverse draw. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Did well to run into 2nd last run at Belmont and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Likely to get back in the field. Place claims.

RP

Has a couple of good recent course runs to his name; has won at this course; produced a good effort to finish runner-up at Belmont Park last month.

RSIS

Ran on when 2nd last start at Belmont and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Likely to get back.

10Vexatious RoseJ: Shaun O'Donnell·T: Jeremy Easthope654.5kg1 1 3 4 515: 2-2-7Vexatious Rose win6.50Vexatious Rose place2.40

Career

15: 2-2-7

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Northam

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Pinjarra

    4: 2-0-1

  • Track Ascot

    2: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1600m

    6: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1613m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1675m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-1-5

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 5Belmont1600m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GRAD HCP 59+ · SOFT51.14L
  2. 4Belmont1600m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · SOFT53.5L
  3. 3Belmont1600m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW HCP 56+ · SOFT51.1L
  4. 1Pinjarra1613m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD4-0.4
  5. 1Pinjarra1600m2 July 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · SOFT5-0.8
  6. 2Bunbury1400m11 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT60.3L
  7. 3Lark Hill1050m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.7L
  8. 3Ascot1800m14 Jan 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD40.6L

Insights

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Snagged back and last at 400m before letting down late to just miss the minors at Belmont Park over this trip. Has some claims.

ILB

Odds of $14.00 and inched into 5th last run at Belmont. In the placings regularly this campaign. Should be swooping on the field late. Definite claims.

RP

Not beaten too far (just over 1l, Belmont Park) last month, a race won by the reopposing Back To Bondi; she can be taken on as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Odds of 13/1 and made ground when closing off to finish 5th last run at Belmont. Racing consistently recently. Always seems to find the line well. Strong prospects.

11Classic ImpactJ: Natika Riordan·T: Daniel O'Connor854kg2 9 10 6 1036: 2-5-3Classic Impact win14.00Classic Impact place3.70

Career

36: 2-5-3

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    17: 2-2-3

  • Track CurrentTrack

    17: 2-2-3

  • Distance 1800m

    5: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    27: 2-4-3

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 10Belmont1400m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD43.61L
  2. 6Belmont1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW SC 55+ HCP · SOFT53.9L
  3. 10Northam1600m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT56.5L
  4. 9Belmont1650m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP 66+ HCP · GOOD47.5L
  5. 2Belmont1400m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP HCP RTG 65+ · SOFT51.9L
  6. 2Ascot1800m25 Apr 2026 · 2UP 1MW HCP 60+ · GOOD40.3L
  7. 6Ascot1800m1 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG66+ HCP · SOFT54.3L
  8. 1Ascot1800m28 Feb 2026 · 2UP 1MW 58+ HCP · GOOD4-2.3

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 35% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Midfield, unable to muster a threatening rally at Belmont Park. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Started at $81.00 and weakened to finish 10th last start at Belmont. Large claim helps. Watch betting.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 13 over 7f at Belmont Park (handicap) last month; has winning form at this track; not the most consistent of horses lately; a few rivals look in good form so only limited appeal.

RSIS

Started 80/1 and faded to finish 10th last start at Belmont. Large claim helps.

12Right To SilenceJ: Brayden Gaerth·T: C G Willis554kg9 2 10 7 1040: 2-7-4Right To Silence win61.00Right To Silence place8.00

Career

40: 2-7-4

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-3-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    21: 0-5-2

  • Track Kalgoorlie

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    8: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1108m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    30: 1-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-3-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 10Belmont1600m26 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.15L
  2. 7Belmont1400m16 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · GOOD44.95L
  3. 10Belmont1300m15 Aug 2026 · 4UP 58+ 0MWLY SPEC COND HT 1 · GOOD48.5L
  4. 2Belmont1600m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW HCP 56+ · SOFT51L
  5. 9Belmont1600m25 July 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY SC 58+ HCP · GOOD48.1L
  6. 5Belmont1400m11 July 2026 · 2UP GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD42.6L
  7. 2Belmont1400m27 June 2026 · 4UP 58+ FINAL · HEAVY80.6L
  8. 3Belmont1300m13 June 2026 · 4UP 58+ · SOFT60.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Brayden Gaerth 24% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Brayden Gaerth in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 24%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Winless since 13 Apr 2024. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Belmont Park. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.

ILB

Odds of $31.00 and tailed off to finish 10th last run at Belmont. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Very unlikely.

RP

Finished tenth of 12 at Belmont Park two weeks ago; a while since her last success; others appeal more as has a lot on her plate here.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Belmont. Might be ridden for luck.

Odds correct as at 2:51 am AEDT. Odds can change.