Ascot Park (NZ) horses tips & previews

Thursday 22 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ascot Park (NZ), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thursday 22 October 2026

Race 4 — Heineken Mdn 1400m · jumps 12:48 pm AEDT

Race notes

MAIDEN,Maiden
SOFT5
CLOUDY
11 runners

Shortest win price

Jock's Way (1)

2.80

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10Black Galliano

Midfield

11Ruby's Girl
2Eivan
7Makarora
1Jock's Way

Offpace

4Mr Lova Lova

Onpace

5Aye You
6Jot Down
8Thukela

Firststart

9Auricula

Leader

3Ensign Jack

Jock's Way · Positive
Turn Of Foot
Had the fastest L200m sectionals last start
Eivan · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Ensign Jack · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Aye You · Negative
Needs To Imp
Finished towards the tail last start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Jock's WayJ: Corey Campbell·T: Kelvin Tyler458.5kg9 7 4 34: 0-0-12.801.34

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Riverton
1: 0-0-0
Track Wingatui
2: 0-0-1
Track Ascot Park
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Wingatui1200m2 Oct 2026 · MDN · HEAVY100.18L
4Wingatui1200m4 Sept 2026 · MAIDEN · HEAVY104.2L
7Riverton1200m1 Jan 2026 · 3YO SW+P · GOOD47.6L
9Ascot Park1200m13 Dec 2025 · 3YO SW+P · SOFT65.5L

Insights

Turn Of Foot
Positive
Had the fastest L200m sectionals last start
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

ILB

Just short of the win last run at Wingatui on a heavy surface and form has been improving over recent runs. Has strong claims.

RSIS

Threw down a serious challenge last time at Wingatui on a heavy track and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Serious contender.

2EivanJ: Donovan Cooper·T: Ms S Mckay258.5kg4 2 9 5 914: 0-1-017.003.80

Career

14: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gore
2: 0-0-0
Track Wingatui
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot Park
7: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
7: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Wingatui1400m2 Oct 2026 · MDN · HEAVY1016.75L
5Ascot Park2215m19 Apr 2026 · MDN · HEAVY106.2L
9Riverton1600m6 Apr 2026 · MDN · SOFT516.07L
2Riverton2000m8 Mar 2026 · MDN · HEAVY90.86L
4Ascot Park1600m14 Feb 2026 · MDN · SOFT78.75L
7Gore2000m1 Feb 2026 · MDN · SOFT57L
5Ascot Park1600m22 Jan 2026 · MDN · SOFT68.9L
12Ascot Park1400m13 Dec 2025 · MDN · SOFT69.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form at Dist
Negative
Poor strike rate over this distance
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track

Comments

ILB

Tailed off to finish 9th last run at Wingatui on a heavy surface but can find a nice position from the draw. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RSIS

Weakened to finish 9th last start at Wingatui but has a positive stall.

3Ensign JackJ: Krishna Mudhoo·T: Jo Ann Gordon1058.5kg13 4 4 7 511: 0-1-06.002.20

Career

11: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wingatui
2: 0-0-0
Track Ascot Park
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-1-0
Distance 1335m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
7: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Gore1200m16 Oct 2026 · MDN · HEAVY105.84L
7Wingatui1200m22 May 2026 · MDN 2YO&UP · HEAVY83.97L
4Riverton1400m8 May 2026 · MDN 2YO&UP · HEAVY102.26L
4Wingatui1200m27 Apr 2026 · MDN · HEAVY83.19L
13Riverton1200m6 Apr 2026 · MDN · SOFT522.05L
14Riverton1200m8 Mar 2026 · MDN · HEAVY934.38L
8Gore1335m21 Dec 2025 · MDN · HEAVY818.4L
10Ascot Park1400m13 Dec 2025 · MDN · SOFT66.7L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

ILB

Started at $17.00 and ran 5th last run at Gore. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw. Not without a chance.

RSIS

Was 16/1 and came in 5th last run at Gore. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall. Betting is the best guide.

4Mr Lova LovaJ: Kendra Bakker·T: Kelvin Tyler558.5kg9 6 63: 0-0-011.003.20

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wingatui
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Wingatui1400m2 Oct 2026 · MDN · HEAVY105.62L
6Wingatui1200m4 Sept 2026 · MAIDEN · HEAVY109.3L
9Wingatui1400m28 June 2026 · MDN 2YO&UP · HEAVY1014.68L

Comments

ILB

Came in 6th last start at Wingatui. Sound chance.

RSIS

Finished 6th last time at Wingatui.

5Aye YouJ: Terry Moseley·T: M E Forde1158.5kg3 11 8 7 929: 0-0-251.007.00

Career

29: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gore
3: 0-0-0
Track Phar Lap Raceway
5: 0-0-1
Track Wingatui
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1810m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 2215m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
17: 0-0-1

Last starts

9Phar Lap Raceway2200m23 Sept 2026 · MDN · SOFT69.99L
7Wingatui1600m4 Sept 2026 · MAIDEN · HEAVY1010.08L
8Oamaru2200m14 Aug 2026 · MAIDEN · HEAVY910.5L
11Riccarton Park2200m8 July 2026 · MDN · SYNTHETIC32.83L
3Phar Lap Raceway2200m7 June 2026 · MDN · HEAVY82.96L
10Wingatui1300m31 May 2026 · MDN 2YO&UP · HEAVY108.77L
10Riverton1400m8 May 2026 · MDN 2YO&UP · HEAVY1011.66L
9Riverton2000m8 Mar 2026 · MDN · HEAVY927.28L

Insights

Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist Stats
Negative
Has struggled at this distance range
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track

Comments

ILB

Was $21.00 and didn't find the line when 9th last time at Phar Lap Raceway and down in distance. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Looks highly doubtful.

RSIS

Was 20/1 and didn't threaten when 9th last start at Phar Lap Raceway and dropping in distance. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall.

6Jot DownJ: Alyssa Parris·T: Ms N M White158.5kg9 2 9 8 97: 0-1-05.502.15

Career

7: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gore
1: 0-0-0
Track Ruakaka
1: 0-0-0
Track Phar Lap Raceway
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1335m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0

Last starts

9Gore1335m16 Oct 2026 · MDN · HEAVY1011.16L
8Phar Lap Raceway1200m4 Oct 2026 · MDN · SOFT53.27L
9Phar Lap Raceway1200m23 Sept 2026 · MDN · SOFT612.76L
2Wingatui1200m27 Mar 2026 · MAIDEN · SOFT50.8L
9Wingatui1600m15 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT616.57L
8Riverton1400m8 Mar 2026 · MDN · HEAVY915.01L
11Ruakaka1400m6 Jan 2026 · MDN · SOFT56.3L

Insights

Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week

Comments

ILB

Was $6.50 and weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Gore but has minimal work to do from the draw. Alyssa Parris provides some weight relief. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and gave away some ground when 9th last run at Gore but drawn nicely. The large claim from Alyssa Parris should help. Stands out as good value.

7MakaroraJ: Brett Murray·T: Ms S Mckay858.5kg8 92: 0-0-026.004.60

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Wingatui
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot Park
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Wingatui1200m2 Oct 2026 · MDN · HEAVY1010.25L
8Ascot Park1200m10 May 2026 · MDN 2YO&UP · HEAVY1015.82L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

ILB

Odds of $41.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last time at Wingatui on a heavy track. Prefer in something a lot easier.

RSIS

Odds of 40/1 and weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Wingatui on a heavy track.

8ThukelaJ: Cooper Stumbles·T: Kelly Shearing656.5kg2 102: 0-1-05.002.00

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Oamaru
1: 0-0-0
Track Wingatui
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

10Oamaru1400m19 July 2026 · MDN 2YO&UP · HEAVY106.64L
2Wingatui1400m28 June 2026 · MDN 2YO&UP · HEAVY101.26L

Insights

1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

ILB

First up after 13 weeks and picked up late ground when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L first up last preparation at Wingatui. The large claim from Cooper Stumbles should help. Strong claims in this.

RSIS

Resuming and attacked the line when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L resuming last preparation at Wingatui. Cooper Stumbles provides some weight relief. Forward showing expected.

9AuriculaJ: Yogesh Atchamah·T: J R Dalton956.5kg–17.003.90

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

ILB

4yo debutant by Hello Youmzain for Jo Anne Dalton. Keep your eye on the market.

RSIS

Jo Anne Dalton trained 4yo by Hello Youmzain having first race start. Betting as a guide.

10Black GallianoJ: Rohan Mudhoo·T: Len & Lacy Stewart756.5kg11 102: 0-0-026.004.60

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed40%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Phar Lap Raceway
1: 0-0-0
Track Oamaru
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Oamaru1400m14 June 2026 · MDN 2YO&UP · SOFT524.99L
11Phar Lap Raceway1200m9 Oct 2025 · MDN 3YO · SOFT512.9L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Form
Negative
Trainer under performing market expectations
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

ILB

Racing fresh after a break. Was $41.00 and disappointing effort when 10th last start at Oamaru. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Would rather look at others.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Was 40/1 and below expectations when 10th last time at Oamaru. Gets back and needs luck.

11Ruby's GirlJ: Ashlee Strawbridge·T: B & S Anderton356.5kg8 132: 0-0-09.002.80

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed60%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot Park
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Cromwell
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

13Ascot Park1400m13 Dec 2025 · MDN · SOFT69.8L
8Cromwell1400m28 Nov 2025 · MDN · SOFT514.4L

Insights

Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 313 day break (> 300 days)

Comments

ILB

First run back after break of 44 weeks. At $26.00 faded away to finish 13th last time at this venue. Hard to warm to at present.

RSIS

Back from a break of 44 weeks. At 25/1 didn't find the line when 13th last time here.

Odds correct as at 10:00 am AEDT. Odds can change.