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Cranbourne (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Cranbourne (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 6 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 6 NovCranbourne (VIC)Change

Race 8 — Drummond Golf Hcp (66) 1600m · jumps

Race preview

The Drummond Golf Handicap over 1600 metres at Cranbourne is a competitive 3-year-old and up affair run at GOOD4 going under overcast skies, set to jump at 9:45 pm AEDT. The win market is led by Hedjet, who broke maiden at Geelong on 7 October before running fourth at Sale over 1400 metres. Mount Sabyinyo sits next, followed by Surperb Frost, who won at Mornington off a long spell at 1500 metres but was beaten six lengths here at 1600 metres in a heavier grade. Finance Shogun rounds out the shortlist. Hedjet carries a one-point rating advantage and has early speed from barrier three, giving the favourite tactical positioning this circuit. The play here turns on whether the market's framing of the maiden-breaker stacks up against the form of runners who have shown more at this distance.

Hedjet's form reads as genuine: maiden broken at Geelong over 1447 metres in SOFT5 going, then tested in a BM70 handicap at Sale over 1400 metres on HEAVY10. The comment suggests he ran on without troubling, which frames this as a logical step down in class. At rating 100 (IRD), Hedjet holds the highest assessment in the field. That said, trainer C W Mcdonald has struck at just 7 per cent over the last 100 runners, and jockey Beau Mertens' recent strike rate sits 21 per cent lower than his career average—red flags worth noting. Mount Sabyinyo has form over this exact track and distance, winning twice at Cranbourne, and his recent efforts at Sale (trailed speed but kept coming) and Geelong frame a horse capable of running a key tactical role. Trainer T Busuttin & N Young have fired just 9 per cent strike rate, though, and the stable is underperforming market expectation by 26 per cent. Surperb Frost won decisively at Mornington but the jump to this company after four lengths at Pakenham suggests vulnerability; his fast-finishing sectionals are a plus, yet rider Daniel Stackhouse is marked as a negative change today.

Finance Shogun has early speed and drops back to suitable class, rating at 93 (IRD) with first-up credentials: he won first-up from two attempts. Yet he faded here last start at 1600 metres and the comment notes wobbles and a fade from placings. Savvie Blanc carries top-line recent form with a win, and Jye Mcneil is riding hot—the combo is outperforming market expectations by 225 per cent—but she sits offmidfield and at rating 85 (IRD) lacks the assessment of the favourites. The value thesis hinges on backing maiden Hedjet against a field where older, tested campaigners like Mount Sabyinyo have form-line credentials, yet those same rivals carry trainer strike-rate concerns that offset their experience edge. Hedjet's edge is tactical speed and a maiden-winning rating; the risk is class progression and a jockey and trainer combination currently running colder than expected.

Race notes

  • 0 - 66,3UP 0 - 66 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 66
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Hedjet (8)

2.20

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Ashau Valley
  • 6Surperb Frost

Offmidfield

  • 3Savvie Blanc

Midfield

  • 1Mount Sabyinyo
  • 10Toronova

Onpace

  • 8Hedjet
  • 9Sinister Sauce

Leader

  • 7Finance Shogun

  • Mount Sabyinyo · Negative

    Trainer SR

    T & N Busuttin & Young striking at just 9%

  • Savvie Blanc · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 225%

  • Ashau Valley · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.

  • Surperb Frost · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Mount SabyinyoJ: Jett Stanley·T: T Busuttin & N Young960kg5 1 7 2 27: 2-3-0$4.20$1.36

Career

7: 2-3-0

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Sale1600m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY100.46L
  2. 2Geelong1447m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.75L
  3. 7Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.25L
  4. 1Pakenham1400m19 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.2
  5. 5Sandown1300m4 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD43.4L
  6. 1Cranbourne1300m17 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-3.3
  7. 2Cranbourne1200m3 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD35L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    T & N Busuttin & Young striking at just 9%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Cranbourne

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Sale over this distance. Capable of playing a key role in this.

ILB

Threw down a serious challenge last run at Sale on a heavy track. Very competitive this preparation. Has claims.

RP

Missed out by half a length at Sale last month; has won here before; has been fairly consistent lately; can give it a good shot.

RSIS

Was agonizingly close last time at Sale on a heavy rated track. In the top three frequently recently. Capable of winning this.

2RoganScratched8––––

Career

16: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 2-0-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Cranbourne1600m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.71L
  2. 6Mornington1600m8 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT74.6L
  3. 7Sandown1200m23 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)7.4L
  4. 4Bendigo1600m2 May 2026 · BM74 · GOOD31.3L
  5. 9Caulfield1600m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76L
  6. 13Bendigo1400m29 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.4L
  7. 9Sale1212m8 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.6L
  8. 12Eagle Farm2400m7 June 2025 · 3yo · SOFT56.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Under a hold, only battled home this track first run back. Fitter and capable of better second-up. Backmarker who needs speed on and luck. One for exotics.

ILB

Mediocre attempt when 7th last run at the track.

RP

Close up behind Finance Shogun when seventh last month; shown signs of promise here and there and ought to be on the premises.

RSIS

Had difficulty when 7th last time around here.

3Savvie BlancJ: Jye Mcneil·T: E J Bourke760kg1 5 8 6 419: 4-1-2$8.50$2.20

Career

19: 4-1-2

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    2: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1479m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    8: 2-0-2

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Kyneton1479m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.75L
  2. 6Caulfield Heath1800m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.6L
  3. 8Sandown1600m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.4L
  4. 5Ballarat Synthetic1500m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC6L
  5. 1Ballarat Synthetic1500m12 July 2026 · BM66 · SYNTHETIC-2
  6. 5Ballarat Synthetic1400m24 June 2026 · BM66 · SYNTHETIC3L
  7. 4Sandown1600m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.4L
  8. 3Sandown1600m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 225%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Closed off late from the tail at Kyneton. Dual winner this trip. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Odds of $7.50 and chased well when 4th last time at Kyneton. Jye Mcneil rates highly. Will be motoring home late. Good value.

RP

A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 4-19; finished fourth but only beaten just under 2l at Kyneton over 7½f (handicap) two weeks ago; enters calculations.

RSIS

Was 13/2 and picked up some late ground when 4th last start at Kyneton. Good to see Jye Mcneil is jumping on. Finishes off strongly. Should go very close.

4Power And The BeatScratched2––––

Career

6: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1247m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Geelong1400m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD44.75L
  2. 3Geelong1247m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52L
  3. 8Caulfield1400m30 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY82.7L
  4. 1Geelong1343m1 May 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP · GOOD4-1.3
  5. 10Sandown1400m15 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM74 · SOFT57.7L
  6. 1Bendigo1300m27 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.75

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On pace but found little at the business end at Geelong when second-up. Fitter for those two runs and ready to show best. Can lead or take a sit. This looks very achievable.

ILB

Started $6.00 and didn't maintain the pace throughout when 5th last time at Geelong and gets a favourable draw.

RP

Not beaten that far in fifth (just under 5l) at Geelong over 7f (handicap) last month; he knows the task at hand and likely to be a contender.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and peaked towards the finish when 5th last run at Geelong and has a good draw.

5Ashau ValleyJ: Patrick Moloney·T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker859kg16 8 10 6 527: 4-5-4$23.00$3.60

Career

27: 4-5-4

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Albury

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    4: 0-2-1

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 0-1-1

  • Distance 2000m

    4: 0-2-1

  • Going Good

    20: 4-5-4

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Cranbourne1400m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.75L
  2. 6Ballarat Synthetic2100m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC4.9L
  3. 10Pakenham Synthetic1600m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.1L
  4. 8Pakenham Synthetic1400m29 June 2026 · BM70 · SYNTHETIC10.5L
  5. 16Flemington1600m6 Nov 2025 · BM 80 HCP · GOOD315.8L
  6. 12Geelong1500m23 Oct 2025 · Benchmark 78 · SOFT77.3L
  7. 2Benalla1406m26 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.8L
  8. 8Wangaratta900m9 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial7.5L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    P & H Carey & Walker striking at just 3%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 62%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 64% Profit on Turnover

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Patrick Moloney in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 15%

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor this course. Has an adverse draw. Has to lift considerably.

ILB

Odds of $101.00 and pushed past some when 5th last time at this venue. Expected to settle towards the tail. Pass.

RP

Found life tough when 8l back in fifth here over 7f (handicap) last month; this line-up contains some strong opposition so he can be taken on.

RSIS

Odds of 100/1 and advanced late into 5th last start at this venue. Likely to get back in the run.

6Surperb FrostJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: M J Mehegan558.5kg2 2 2 4 112: 2-3-0$6.50$1.80

Career

12: 2-3-0

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    5: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-2-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 2-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Mornington1500m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.4
  2. 4Pakenham1600m16 Apr 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · HEAVY86.5L
  3. 2Pakenham1600m26 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY93.5L
  4. 2Pakenham1400m5 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.1L
  5. 2Cranbourne1400m13 Feb 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · GOOD30.2L
  6. 7Pakenham1600m9 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.1L
  7. 1Mornington1500m23 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.3
  8. 5Cranbourne1600m10 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 25% POT in L100 Runners

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Genuine campaigner. Determined effort to secure victory at Mornington off long spell. Tougher ask here but stays on the radar.

ILB

Was eating up the ground late when winning last time at Mornington but testing ability against stronger contenders. Displays very good finishing speed. Slight prospect.

RP

Returned to winning ways at Mornington over 7½f (handicap) last month; others are preferred despite that win at Mornington.

RSIS

Flew home to win last time at Mornington but facing a stronger grade. Will be hitting the line strongly.

7Finance ShogunJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Shea Eden458kg2 5 2 6 621: 4-2-2$8.50$2.20

Career

21: 4-2-2

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    9: 2-2-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    9: 2-2-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1012m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    13: 4-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Cranbourne1600m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.21L
  2. 6Pakenham Synthetic1400m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC5.1L
  3. 2Cranbourne1600m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD40.75L
  4. 5Sale1415m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
  5. 2Cranbourne1400m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.5L
  6. 9Pakenham Synthetic1600m22 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC4.9L
  7. 7Caulfield Heath1500m27 May 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT72.7L
  8. 5Cranbourne1600m24 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got the wobbles and faded out of the placings this course. Can dictate. Has some claims.

ILB

Was $12.00 and folded up in the straight when 6th last start at the track. Should be going forward early. Expecting a solid performance.

RP

Not beaten too far when sixth here last month; likes this combination of C&D; good and bad recent runs found on his CV; this looks a fair heat so not easy to fancy.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and looked outclassed when 6th last time here. Should muster plenty of early toe. Capable type.

8HedjetJ: Beau Mertens·T: C W Mcdonald358kg7 2 2 1 45: 1-2-0$2.20$1.14

Career

5: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1429m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1447m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1609m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Sale1400m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · HEAVY101.61L
  2. 1Geelong1447m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-3
  3. 2Seymour1429m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.3L
  4. 2Gowran Park1609m20 Sept 2025 · C & G · HEAVY0.5L
  5. 7Curragh1207m9 Aug 2025 · 2yo · GOOD11.25L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 21% lower than Career Avg.

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 28% in L100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Broke maiden at Geelong 7 Oct. Ran on okay without troubling on a H10 at Sale. Tactical speed, inside draw. Will take stopping in this company.

ILB

Odds of $3.70 and faded at the finish when 4th last start at Sale and challenged by less formidable competitors. Honest performer putting a tidy record together. Will be competitive.

RP

Not beaten too far (1½l) at Sale over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Started 11/4 and faded at the finish when 4th last time at Sale and facing a weaker grade. Going well recently and good career start. Should give this a shake.

9Sinister SauceJ: Ryan Houston·T: Simon Zahra656.5kg2 7 10 5 126: 4-4-3$11.00$2.60

Career

26: 4-4-3

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ararat

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Werribee

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    22: 4-4-3

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD4-1.25
  2. 5Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.06L
  3. 10Bendigo1600m27 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD48.8L
  4. 7Ballarat1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45.5L
  5. 2Wangaratta1590m8 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.3L
  6. 1Werribee1629m12 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD-1.5
  7. 3Seymour1600m28 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD40.9L
  8. 3Mornington1500m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Simon Zahra in good form, out performing market 46%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 27% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Really gutsy performance on the speed at Kilmore second-up. Leads, handy. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Finished hard to win last time at Kilmore but up against stronger competition. Suited by the weight drop. Respect the betting.

RP

Won a handicap by just over 1l at Kilmore three weeks ago; makes limited appeal despite that win at Kilmore.

RSIS

Rocketed home when winning last start at Kilmore but up against stronger rivals. Gets a reduction in weight. Watch the betting.

10ToronovaJ: Adam Mc Cabe·T: I M Pankhurst155kg7 4 6 11 881: 4-6-3$71.00$6.00

Career

81: 4-6-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2088m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    30: 2-1-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    14: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    31: 1-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    11: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Kilmore1612m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT512.1L
  2. 11Cranbourne1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW HCP · GOOD317.66L
  3. 6Moe2069m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86L
  4. 4Seymour1600m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY84.1L
  5. 7Seymour1600m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT75.1L
  6. 6Merton1900m1 Jan 2026 · Open4.8L
  7. 5Drouin1775m26 Dec 2025 · Open2.8L
  8. 7Stony Creek2100m7 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY108.6L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Finished out the back at Kilmore at longer odds. Unplaced from 5 starts here. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Backs up quickly. At $31.00 well beaten when 8th last run at Kilmore but has minimal work to do from the draw. Up against a more competitive field. Has ability but this is challenging.

RP

Beaten 12l (eighth, Kilmore) last Friday; been out of sorts of late and not won for some time now; this line-up contains some strong opposition so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started at 30/1 and unimpressive effort when 8th last run at Kilmore but can save some energy from the draw. Racing against tougher rivals.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races