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Geraldton (WA) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Geraldton (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wednesday 30 September 2026

Race 1 — Tabtouch (Bm58+) 1400m · jumps 2:54 pm AEST

Race notes

  • 3UP RTG 58+ HCP,3yo+,BenchMark 58+,RTG 58+
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 6 runners

Shortest win price

Prince Epaulette (2)

2.60

Most career wins

Keytrade

6-4-8 from 60 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 6Forbidden Apple

Offpace

  • 5Tango Rhythm
  • 3Keytrade

Leader

  • 1Cantilever
  • 2Prince Epaulette
  • 4Lieutenant Dunbar
  • Cantilever · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Prince Epaulette · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 46% lower than Career Avg.

  • Keytrade · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Ken Nightingale striking at just 4%

  • Lieutenant Dunbar · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 234%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1CantileverJ: Joseph See·T: Ms J Martin460kg1 9 1 4 322: 4-4-3Cantilever win8.50Cantilever place3.50

Career

22: 4-4-3

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Geraldton

    15: 4-3-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    15: 4-3-2

  • Track Ascot

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1619m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1403m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    19: 4-3-2

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 3Geraldton1619m30 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD44.5L
  2. 4Geraldton1403m19 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG58+ · GOOD42.7L
  3. 1Geraldton1600m9 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD4-0.6
  4. 9Dongara1850m4 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ · GOOD32.9L
  5. 1Geraldton1600m13 Mar 2026 · 2UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD4-2.5
  6. 3Geraldton1417m28 Feb 2026 · 2UP CLASS 2 HCP · GOOD41.8L
  7. 4Geraldton1400m23 Jan 2026 · 2UP CL2 HCP 50+ · GOOD31.5L
  8. 7Geraldton1413m8 Jan 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD35L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Competitive at this level last prep. Can challenge again fresh in this affair.

ILB

Fresh today. Competitive effort when 3rd last run around here. Should muster plenty of early toe. Can feature in this event.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten 4½l in third) over 1m here (handicap) in April; has scored over C&D; back from an absence here; every chance.

RSIS

Back from a break. Came in 3rd last run at the track. Should muster plenty of early toe.

2Prince EpauletteJ: Laqdar Ramoly·T: Meryl Hayley259kg1 4 3 11 1017: 2-1-4Prince Epaulette win2.60Prince Epaulette place1.45

Career

17: 2-1-4

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Geraldton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    10: 1-1-3

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 10Northam2200m23 July 2026 · 3UP RTG 54+ HCP · GOOD414.9L
  2. 11Belmont1600m4 July 2026 · 2UP GRAD 60+ HCP · SOFT63.8L
  3. 3Belmont2100m6 June 2026 · 3UP GRAD HCP 57+ · GOOD41.8L
  4. 4Belmont1650m27 May 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD42.5L
  5. 1Pinjarra1600m13 May 2026 · 2UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP · GOOD4-0.6
  6. 6Ascot1600m29 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT53.6L
  7. 2Geraldton1605m19 Apr 2026 · 2UP CL2 · GOOD40.3L
  8. 3Belmont1400m2 Apr 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 46% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Meryl Hayley striking at just 9%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 42% in L100 rides

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Let-up (69-days). Off pace, no response and trudged home at Northam over longer test. Gets all the favours from ace draw. Profiles strongly.

ILB

First up from a break of 9 weeks and showed a good turn of foot when 3rd first up last preparation at Belmont. Chance and can measure up.

RP

A disappointing tenth when second favourite in July at Northam upped to 1m3f; useful in this grade; capable if in the mood so can make a bold bid.

RSIS

Resuming and claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd resuming last preparation at Belmont. Has a good draw. Down in trip. Rates as one of the key chances.

3KeytradeJ: Jason Li·T: K Nightingale557kg5 10 3 2 860: 6-4-8Keytrade win10.00Keytrade place3.70

Career

60: 6-4-8

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Albany

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bunbury

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Belmont

    11: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1220m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1230m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    51: 5-4-7

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 8Carnarvon1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD6.1L
  2. 2Junction1400m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD2.5L
  3. 3Carnarvon1200m31 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD2L
  4. 10Carnarvon1400m30 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD11.4L
  5. 5Carnarvon1000m16 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD5.8L
  6. 12Geraldton1403m19 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG58+ · GOOD410.6L
  7. 6Geraldton1600m9 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD48.6L
  8. 6Geraldton1400m13 Mar 2026 · 2UP RTG 68+ HCP · GOOD45.5L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Ken Nightingale striking at just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 54%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 52% Profit on Turnover

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Started $15 when safely held in BenchMark 56+ company at Carnarvon. Look for a better showing.

ILB

At $15.00 didn't threaten when 8th last start at Carnarvon. Going well this preparation. The large claim from Jason Li should help. Looks hopeful.

RP

Not far behind Tango Rhythm when eighth (Carnarvon) two weeks ago; this is his grade.

RSIS

Was 14/1 and well beaten when 8th last run at Carnarvon. Racing consistently lately. Large claim helps.

4Lieutenant DunbarJ: Troy Turner·T: G W Dupre356.5kg5 6 2 8 440: 3-7-5Lieutenant Dunbar win2.75Lieutenant Dunbar place1.50

Career

40: 3-7-5

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-0-2

  • Track Belmont

    9: 0-4-0

  • Track Kalgoorlie

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Northam

    6: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    10: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    10: 0-2-1

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    29: 2-4-5

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 4Bunbury1200m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL5 57+ HCP · GOOD2.35L
  2. 8Belmont1300m9 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD43.2L
  3. 2Northam1100m27 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL5 58+ HCP · HEAVY91L
  4. 6Bunbury1000m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT53.5L
  5. 5Pinjarra1200m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY83.2L
  6. 4Northam1300m9 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT2.05L
  7. 8Pinjarra1300m24 June 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · GOOD45.1L
  8. 6Belmont1300m27 May 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD43.1L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 234%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Didn't quite finish it off the last bit in Class 5 company at Bunbury. Can go forward. Back in easier class. Deep into his campaign, right in the mix.

ILB

Outmuscled in the closing stages of the race when 4th last run at Bunbury. Expecting to settle positively. Represents value at a price.

RP

Respectable effort to finish fourth, beaten just over 2l over 6f at Bunbury (handicap) 13 days ago; does not win very often.

RSIS

Was found wanting late when 4th last time at Bunbury. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Represents significant value.

5Tango RhythmJ: Madi Derrick·T: P J Daly156kg2 1 1 1 515: 3-2-2Tango Rhythm win4.20Tango Rhythm place2.05

Career

15: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Carnarvon

    5: 3-1-0

  • Track Northam

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ascot

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1230m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 3-1-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 5Carnarvon1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD3.8L
  2. 1Carnarvon1400m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4-0.9
  3. 1Carnarvon1400m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 50+ CL3 HCP · GOOD-0.2
  4. 1Carnarvon1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD-0.5
  5. 2Carnarvon1000m19 July 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD0.2L
  6. 5Albany1500m21 Feb 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD44.4L
  7. 6Albany1600m29 Jan 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD42.2L
  8. 2Albany1500m4 Jan 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · SOFT61L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 135%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Good Form

    Positive

    Very competitive in recent runs

Comments

AAP

Snagged back and worked home okay in 3yo+ (Bm56+) at Carnarvon. Right in the mix.

ILB

Odds of $4.20 and inched into 5th last start at Carnarvon and has drawn to do little work. Madi Derrick has been successful aboard previously. Very capable of taking this out.

RP

She meets the required standard ability wise; finished fifth two weeks ago albeit only beaten just under 4l (Carnarvon); in the mix as she knows how to get the job done.

RSIS

Odds of 10/3 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last start at Carnarvon and drawn well. Madi Derrick has multiple wins aboard. Will go very close.

6Forbidden AppleJ: Tara Atherden·T: A W Hughes655kg10 12 5 8 432: 3-1-2Forbidden Apple win12.00Forbidden Apple place4.00

Career

32: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Carnarvon

    8: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1413m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1650m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    27: 3-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Carnarvon1600m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 53+ HCP · GOOD43.8L
  2. 8Carnarvon1400m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 50+ CL3 HCP · GOOD2.5L
  3. 5Carnarvon1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.25L
  4. 12Dongara1850m4 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ · GOOD36.8L
  5. 10Belmont1600m25 Mar 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD45.9L
  6. 9Geraldton1600m13 Mar 2026 · 2UP RTG 64+ HCP · GOOD46L
  7. 8Geraldton1417m28 Feb 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD45.5L
  8. 2Geraldton1100m19 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial0.4L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 71%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 58%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 41% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 31 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Long winless run. Fair effort without threatening at Carnarvon. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Started at $7.00 and finished 4th last run at Carnarvon. Finishes off strongly. Tara Atherden provides some weight relief. Difficult to warm to at present.

RP

Respectable effort when fourth over 1m at Carnarvon (handicap) four weeks ago; winner of three races at this venue; others more likely as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Was 6/1 and ran 4th last start at Carnarvon. Has a great burst of pace late. Tara Atherden takes a large claim.

Odds correct as at 2:40 am AEST. Odds can change.