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Hobart (TAS) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hobart (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Race 1 — Graham Family Funerals (Bm68) 2200m · jumps

Race notes

  • BM68,BM68 HCP,Benchmark 68
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 5 runners

Shortest win price

Native Clan (3)

2.10

Most career wins

Happy Clan

7-10-11 from 52 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 6Sugoi Legend

Midfield

  • 1Happy Clan

Offpace

  • 3Native Clan

Onpace

  • 4Regal Hunter

Leader

  • 2Johnnie Pinch

  • Happy Clan · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 351%

  • Johnnie Pinch · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides

  • Native Clan · Positive

    Better for last start

    Improved with last few runs

  • Regal Hunter · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 11%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Happy ClanJ: Robyn Lynch·T: J L Keys261.5kg4 5 3 1 552: 7-10-11$6.00$2.45

Career

52: 7-10-11

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-2-1

  • Second-up

    5: 2-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    33: 5-7-7

  • Track CurrentTrack

    33: 5-7-7

  • Track Launceston

    15: 2-2-3

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    28: 2-5-5

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    19: 4-4-5

Last starts

  1. 5Launceston2150m23 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD413.6L
  2. 1Launceston2000m9 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD4-1.5
  3. 3Launceston2150m25 Sept 2026 · BM68 · GOOD40.61L
  4. 5Devonport Synthetic1880m9 Sept 2026 · HCP · SYNTHETIC2.8L
  5. 4Hobart2400m19 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT51.3L
  6. 3Hobart2100m5 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT71.3L
  7. 3Devonport Synthetic1880m26 July 2026 · BM72 · SYNTHETIC2L
  8. 2Devonport Synthetic1880m28 June 2026 · BM68 · SYNTHETIC0.4L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 351%

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Won (Bm66) Launceston 9 Oct. Unable to threaten in the small field at Launceston. Course suits. Look for an improved effort here.

ILB

Jumped at $11.00 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last time at Launceston and drawn nicely. In good order since returning from a spell. Well respected contender.

RSIS

Was 10/1 and edged past some when finishing 5th last run at Launceston and has a good draw. Exhibiting good form since resuming from a break. Should get going late. Expect to see close up at the end.

2Johnnie PinchJ: Sam Kennedy·T: J L Keys156kg4 3 4 2 343: 5-8-8$3.40$1.60

Career

43: 5-8-8

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-2

  • Track Hobart

    14: 2-1-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    14: 2-1-2

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1390m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-2-2

  • Going Synthetic

    6: 2-1-2

Last starts

  1. 3Launceston2150m23 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD411L
  2. 2Launceston2000m9 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD41.5L
  3. 4Launceston2150m25 Sept 2026 · BM68 · GOOD41.86L
  4. 3Devonport Synthetic1650m9 Sept 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC1.5L
  5. 4Hobart1600m19 Aug 2026 · BM68 · SOFT53.1L
  6. 10Hobart1600m5 Aug 2026 · BM60 · SOFT76.8L
  7. 4Hobart1600m19 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT54.5L
  8. 6Ballarat2024m24 May 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD44.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy 61% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy winning at 41% POT in last 100 rides

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fair way from the winner but battled home into third at Launceston. Good tactical speed and stamina and performances have been good here. Well into preparation now, can fill the minors here.

ILB

Started off strong but faded towards the end when 3rd beaten by 11L last run at Launceston and can save some energy from the draw. Price in this race is tempting to get involved.

RSIS

Applied plenty of pressure when 3rd last time at Launceston and gets the perfect stall. Has early pace and positions nicely. Good chance and definitely has claims.

3Native ClanJ: Erica Byrne Burke·T: J L Keys356kg1 2 1 4 234: 5-7-2$2.10$1.26

Career

34: 5-7-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    19: 4-5-1

  • Track Launceston

    10: 1-2-1

  • Track Bedourie

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    16: 2-4-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Launceston2150m23 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD45.5L
  2. 4Launceston2000m9 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.75L
  3. 1Launceston2150m25 Sept 2026 · BM68 · GOOD4-0.15
  4. 2Hobart2400m19 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT50.8L
  5. 1Hobart2100m5 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT7-0.5
  6. 5Hobart1600m19 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT56.5L
  7. 4Devonport Synthetic1650m28 June 2026 · CL4 SW · SYNTHETIC2L
  8. 5Hobart2100m7 June 2026 · BM68 · SOFT54.6L

Insights

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Secured second in a staggered finish at Launceston. Big show.

ILB

Improved to place when 2nd last start at Launceston. Will go very close.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd beaten by 5 1/2L last time at Launceston. Will go close.

4Regal HunterJ: Jackson Radley·T: Jessie Bazan555.5kg4 1 2 3 413: 2-4-2$4.00$1.90

Career

13: 2-4-2

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hobart

    5: 1-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 1-0-1

  • Track Launceston

    5: 1-2-1

  • Distance 2150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1390m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-2-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 4Launceston2150m23 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD411.35L
  2. 3Launceston1600m9 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD42.4L
  3. 2Launceston1620m25 Sept 2026 · CL3 SW · GOOD40.75L
  4. 1Hobart2100m19 Aug 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT5-0.46
  5. 4Hobart1600m5 Aug 2026 · BM60 · SOFT73.5L
  6. 2Devonport Synthetic1650m12 July 2026 · CL2 · SYNTHETIC0.5L
  7. 2Devonport Synthetic1650m28 June 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC0.1L
  8. 5Hobart1390m21 June 2026 · CL2 · SOFT52.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 11%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Launceston. Suited by some give underfoot. Rates highly.

ILB

At $11.00 ran 4th last time at Launceston. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Has won 2 from 5 runs on a soft track. Should put in a decent effort.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and finished 4th last run at Launceston. Is capable of a resurgence. 2 wins from 5 starts have come on soft ground. Solid chance.

5Da Silver FlashScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Wasn't suited, running into the placings late at Launceston. Should relish the rise in distance and under less weight. Looks well placed in this line-up.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Finished with intent when 2nd last run at Launceston and drawn well. Displaying improvement over the past few runs.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Caught the eye when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at Launceston and has a nice advantage with a good stall. Rising in grade.

6Sugoi LegendJ: Hayley Mc Carthy·T: Rowan Hamer454kg5 4 5 3 654: 4-4-11$14.00$3.90

Career

54: 4-4-11

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Track Canberra

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    13: 1-2-2

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1880m

    10: 1-1-2

  • Going Good

    13: 0-2-4

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    19: 2-1-3

Last starts

  1. 6Launceston2150m23 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD413.66L
  2. 3Launceston2000m9 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.25L
  3. 5Launceston2150m25 Sept 2026 · BM68 · GOOD42.36L
  4. 4Devonport Synthetic1650m2 Sept 2026 · BM68 · SYNTHETIC4.7L
  5. 5Devonport Synthetic1350m26 Aug 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC5.2L
  6. 3Devonport Synthetic1350m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC0.8L
  7. 8Hobart1600m5 Aug 2026 · BM60 · SOFT75.6L
  8. 6Devonport Synthetic1650m26 July 2026 · BM68 · SYNTHETIC3.9L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 33% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Ordinary performance in small field at Launceston. Usually gets back. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Jumped at $21.00 and average performance when 6th last run at Launceston. Likely to get back. Entitled to be big odds.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and clearly outclassed when 6th last start at Launceston. Might be ridden for luck.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.