Manangatang (VIC) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Manangatang (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 10 October 2026

Race 5 — Kenso Agcare (Bm56) 1175m · jumps 3:37 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,BM56,BM56 HCP,Benchmark 56
GOOD4
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Sir Loyne (1)

3.70

Most career wins

Chosen Venture

7-7-5 from 55 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Chosen Venture

Midfield

10Sparkles
11Charleston Lane
3Kamezali

Offpace

9Popthebubbly

Onpace

2Simply Excels
12Asawin
4Whathappensinvegas

Leader

6Kikkuli
1Sir Loyne

Sir Loyne · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Simply Excels · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Kamezali · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Whathappensinvegas · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 12% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Sir LoyneJ: Lachlan King·T: Ben Brisbourne261.5kg2 5 4 6 58: 1-2-03.701.50

Career

8: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Tatura1450m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73L
6Wodonga1300m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.5L
4Hawkesbury1500m17 Mar 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.7L
5Wyong1625m21 Feb 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43.9L
2Kembla Grange1400m7 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51L
5Randwick1050m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.8L
5Randwick1050m15 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial5.7L
1Wyong1600m30 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD3-3.6

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 33 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Modest performance in rain affected going at Tatura when second-up. Stripping fitter, major player here despite big impost.

ILB

Jumped at $4.80 and weakened under pressure when 5th last run at Tatura. Should improve but dropping in distance. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Strong claims in this.

Been generally quiet since successful in a maiden at Wyong last October; solid run when fifth over 7f at Tatura (handicap) last month; a few rivals look in good form so may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Started at 4/1 and was well beaten when 5th last time at Tatura. Giving another chance here but will be down in distance. Should jump out and bowl along. Good chance of taking this out.

2Simply ExcelsJ: Tayla Cameron·T: Andrew Bobbin561kg2 6 8 14 815: 2-3-38.002.60

Career

15: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 1-1-1
Track Ipswich
4: 1-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 2-2-2
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
5: 2-2-0

Last starts

8Stawell1300m18 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY912.2L
14Warrnambool1300m7 May 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY1024.5L
8Horsham1100m27 Apr 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD35.8L
6Eagle Farm1200m4 Feb 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.8L
2Sunshine Coast1200m1 Jan 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.3L
7Ipswich1100m3 Dec 2025 · CG&E CL3 · GOOD43.3L
3Eagle Farm1200m4 Nov 2025 · CG&E CL3 · GOOD40.4L
7Eagle Farm1200m11 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). In the minors at Doomben first-up last campaign. One for multiples fresh in this company.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Was well beaten when 8th last run at Stawell. Has early speed and positions nicely. Tayla Cameron takes a large claim. Respected competitor.

Eighth beaten 12l at Stawell over 6½f (handicap) in May; returns from a break today; warrants respect as shown he can be competitive fairly recently.

RSIS

Resumes from a break. Didn't find the line when 8th last start at Stawell on a heavy surface. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Has claims.

3KamezaliJ: Jack Martin·T: Taige Weir860.5kg1 10 9 8 711: 2-0-012.003.40

Career

11: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Bendigo1100m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.41L
8Horsham1200m19 May 2026 · 2UP F&M BM56 HCP · HEAVY85L
9Kilmore1212m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT65.3L
10Ballarat1100m30 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.5L
1Hamilton1100m7 Apr 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY8-0.1
5Sandown1200m13 Aug 2025 · 4yo+ · SOFT53.3L
6Seymour1200m20 July 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT72.2L
12Cranbourne1300m22 June 2025 · 0 - 64 · GOOD46.1L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $19 when never got into the race at Bendigo off spell. Strips fitter. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Odds of $19.00 and performed below standard when 7th last time at Bendigo. Betting is the best guide.

Found life tough when 5½l back in seventh over 5½f at Bendigo (handicap) three weeks ago; shouldn't be too far away if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

At 18/1 lacklustre showing when 7th last run at Bendigo. Betting is the best guide.

4WhathappensinvegasJ: Toby Atkinson·T: Bob & Kane Post660.5kg1 4 11 74: 1-0-018.003.80

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
2: 1-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Mount Gambier1200m20 Sept 2026 · BM66 · SOFT53.95L
11Stawell1307m17 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD47L
4Penola1300m5 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD32.4L
1Mount Gambier900m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN HCP · GOOD4-1

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 12% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 55% in L100 rides
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Never better than midfield in the (Bm66) at Mt Gambier off extended spell. Better for the outing. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Started $9.00 and weakened to finish 7th last run at Mount Gambier but competing at a lower class. Has to carry more weight this time. Contender at a nice price.

Not beaten too far when seventh of eight (Mt Gambier) 20 days ago; this just his fifth race; first-time blinkers now tried; needs considering as shown he can get his head in front.

RSIS

Started 8/1 and looked outclassed when 7th last start at Mount Gambier but challenged by less formidable competitors. Goes up in weight. Can measure up against these.

5Chosen VentureJ: Chelsea Taylor·T: Nathan Hobson1060kg7 6 5 1 455: 7-7-55.002.00

Career

55: 7-7-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed60%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 2-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-1
Track Donald
3: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1200m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
43: 7-6-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1

Last starts

4Swan Hill1300m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.75L
1Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-0.3
5Warracknabeal1200m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT62.8L
6Swan Hill1200m6 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.2L
7Donald1350m2 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD36.3L
4Swan Hill1300m21 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD32.4L
2Swan Hill1300m12 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD31L
1Kerang1100m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.8

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 44%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 35% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 24%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Warracknabeal winner two back. Snagged back and worked home okay in 3yo+ (Bm62) at Swan Hill. Has some claims.

ILB

Started $17.00 and crept into 4th last start at Swan Hill. Will be hitting the line strongly. Has a good chance.

Not disgraced in fourth at Swan Hill over 6½f (handicap) two weeks ago; this looks a decent race so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Was 16/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last start at Swan Hill. Has a great burst of pace late. Competitive type.

6KikkuliJ: Chelsea Jokic·T: A R Coffey460kg6 5 1 8 410: 1-0-113.003.50

Career

10: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
2: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Strathalbyn1600m29 Apr 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT53.7L
8Clare1800m4 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD46.5L
1Strathalbyn1600m25 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.9
5Balaklava1600m11 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.3L
6Morphettville1250m28 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT53L
3Morphettville1100m7 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
12Morphettville1400m6 Aug 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT617.7L
4Murray Bridge1400m23 July 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.77L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 56%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Ex Will Clarken in SA. Consistently around the mark last prep. In the minors at Morphettville first-up last campaign.

ILB

First up from a break of 23 weeks and did well when 3rd first up last preparation at Morphettville. First start for a new trainer. Has plenty of early speed. Good chance and definitely has claims.

Not disgraced in fourth over 1m at Strathalbyn (handicap) five months ago; starts out for new trainer; layoff to overcome; this looks a decent race so can be taken on.

RSIS

Resuming and looked good when 3rd resuming last preparation at Morphettville. Displays good tactical pace. First start for a new trainer but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Will go close.

7Schroder's MistakeScratched13––––

Career

13: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

10Mornington1200m17 Sept 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD47.16L
8Corowa1200m31 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT54.8L
11Moe1000m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY107.5L
7Cranbourne1200m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94L
12Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD310.3L
6Morphettville1250m8 Nov 2025 · 4UP CL2 · GOOD43.5L
8Morphettville1200m18 Oct 2025 · BM70 · GOOD43.9L
9Morphettville1050m4 Oct 2025 · 0-68 · GOOD44L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 24%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Mornington at wide odds. First time around Manangatang. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.

ILB

Faded away to finish 10th last start at Mornington but taking on easier opposition. The large claim from Liana Wood should help.

Finished tenth of 12 at Mornington last month; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; he's worth a go.

RSIS

Didn't threaten when 10th last run at Mornington but drops back to a suitable class. Liana Wood takes a large claim.

8FrederickScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -44%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 58% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 24%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (13-weeks). Went close in Restricted 56 company at Echuca first-up last campaign. Warrants attention fresh in this affair.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Odds of $5.50 and gave away some ground when 8th last time at Donald.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. Started 9/2 and folded up in the straight when 8th last run at Donald.

9PopthebubblyJ: Sarah Field·T: Brady Cross358.5kg1 7 4 5 310: 1-0-25.502.10

Career

10: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
3: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1440m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Hamilton1400m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT63.5L
5Ballarat Synthetic1200m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.7L
4Mildura1000m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
7Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SOFT55.1L
1Edenhope1200m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
4Ballarat1200m22 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L
8Geelong1440m26 Jan 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD411.2L
4Camperdown1000m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD34L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Sarah Field 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Mid-division, well held by winner but good through line at Hamilton at $20. Drawn to effect. Switching to 1175m. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Ran on strongly when 3rd last start at Hamilton. Should be going forward early. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Third of 11 when sent off 18-1 at Hamilton over 7f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd last time at Hamilton. Has early pace and positions nicely. Can't leave out of your calculations.

10SparklesJ: Jade Smith·T: J D Pearson958.5kg6 7 1 3 712: 1-0-117.003.80

Career

12: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
4: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1118m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Bendigo1300m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY99.2L
3Echuca1400m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY102.5L
1Wangaratta1300m14 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY10-0.1
7Echuca1109m23 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT73.6L
6Echuca1412m21 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L
5Echuca1200m8 Mar 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.8L
4Kyneton1218m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · SOFT63.5L
4Kyneton1118m10 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.2L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (13-weeks). First time around Manangatang. Looks vulnerable fresh.

ILB

Back from a break. Was $10.00 and struggled with the pace when 7th last run at Bendigo on a heavy rated track but stepping down to a lower level. Needs significant improvement.

Held when seventh beaten 9l over 6½f at Bendigo (handicap) in July; first run for trainer; a few rivals look in good form so only limited appeal.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started at 9/1 and didn't attack the line when 7th last run at Bendigo but back in an easier grade.

11Charleston LaneJ: Hannah Edgley·T: Craig Weeding155kg11 10 13: 1-0-09.002.75

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Jerilderie
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Jerilderie1000m26 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW-0.71
10Pakenham1000m23 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · GOOD46.2L
11Pakenham1100m9 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · SOFT56.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Posted a hard fought win in the Mdn Plate at Jerilderie for new stable. Positive last start but needs to build further on that effort.

ILB

Got the prize when winning by 3/4L last time at Jerilderie and drawn beautifully. Gets back and needs luck. Needs to find a lot more.

Off the mark at the third time of asking when winning by three-quarters of a length over 5f (maiden) last month (Jerilderie) on debut for this trainer.

RSIS

Was first past the post when winning by 3/4L last run at Jerilderie and has a nice advantage with a good stall. Does take a while to get into stride.

12AsawinJ: Polly Brewster·T: Ms H Burns759kg8 9 7 6 826: 3-3-57.002.45

Career

26: 3-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ararat
2: 1-0-1
Track Stawell
1: 0-1-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
14: 2-0-5
Distance 1302m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
21: 3-3-3
Going Soft
3: 0-0-2
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Swan Hill1300m21 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD36.6L
6Swan Hill1600m12 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD38.2L
7Warracknabeal1200m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.6L
9Swan Hill1300m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.5L
8Sandown1300m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.5L
6Cranbourne1300m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD36.6L
5Seymour1300m28 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD41.5L
1Donald1350m2 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.3

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Sarah Field 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 76%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 4 when resuming
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Solid form at this level last campaign. Handy fresh horse. Tested against better opposition last prep.

ILB

First up and ran on hard when winning first up last preparation at Donald. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide gate. Do not dismiss entirely.

Behind Chosen Venture over 6½f at Swan Hill (handicap) when beaten 7l (eighth of ten) in April; grade looks suitable; has had some time off.

RSIS

Resuming and finished with purpose when winning resuming last preparation at Donald. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall.

13FluxScratched10––––

Career

41: 2-9-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed60%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-0
Track Gunbower
1: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
3: 0-2-0
Track Avoca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
24: 2-7-3
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 0-5-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-2-0

Last starts

3Coleraine1300m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD31.06L
2Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.8L
9Ballarat Synthetic1400m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5L
2Warracknabeal1200m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT60.8L
8Ballarat Synthetic1200m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SYNTHETIC5.3L
8Ballarat Synthetic1200m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.1L
6Ballarat Synthetic1200m7 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.7L
11Ballarat Synthetic1200m30 June 2026 · BM70 · SYNTHETIC16L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 91% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Rodney Foster striking at just 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 47%
Key Jockey
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 77% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 24%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Reserved midfield and picked up intently at Coleraine. A few runs under his belt this campaign, can fill the minors here.

ILB

Managed to run 3rd last time at Coleraine and up against a less competitive field. Will have to carry more weight.

Wasn't disgraced when third of 11 at Coleraine over 6½f (handicap) two weeks ago; string of consistent efforts of late.

RSIS

Did well to run into 3rd last run at Coleraine and dropping in class. Has to carry more weight this time.

14GrumpyoldcolScratched2––––

Career

13: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
4: 0-0-0
Track Donald
2: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.3L
3Warracknabeal1000m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.6L
10Naracoorte1100m24 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY810.3L
5Donald1006m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY81.7L
10Mackay1100m13 Feb 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD45.4L
11Rockhampton1050m29 Jan 2026 · CL2 · SOFT511.7L
3Rockhampton1000m9 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial2.1L
9Mackay1200m27 June 2025 · 2Y HCP · SOFT614.5L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -69% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 69% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. On pace but folded up quickly at Donald. Drawn to get a soft run. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

At $18.00 finished 6th last start at Donald but drawn nicely.

Not far behind Flux when sixth at Donald last month.

RSIS

Was 17/1 and ran 6th last time at Donald but drawn nicely.

Odds correct as at 10:21 am AEDT. Odds can change.