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Manangatang (VIC) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Manangatang (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 10 October 2026

Race 6 — O'Connors (Bm52) 1550m · jumps 4:13 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM52,BM52 HCP,Benchmark 52
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Bower Boy (2) and Shal Exceed (11)

4.20

Most career wins

Bannerton

8-16-12 from 83 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Shal Exceed

Offmidfield

  • 6Conaltri
  • 10Shasam

Midfield

  • 5Anchor Down
  • 1Bannerton
  • 7Danzagrunt
  • 2Bower Boy
  • 4Mutsuhito
  • 9Serin

Leader

  • 12Ovabent
  • Bannerton · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Austy Coffey striking at just 3%

  • Bower Boy · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides

  • Mutsuhito · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Nathan Punch current POT is 62% below Career Avg.

  • Anchor Down · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1BannertonJ: Chelsea Taylor·T: A R Coffey560kg8 2 4 6 983: 8-16-12Bannerton win9.00Bannerton place2.70

Career

83: 8-16-12

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-2-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Bendigo

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Stawell

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    21: 0-4-5

  • Going Good

    58: 6-7-7

  • Going Heavy

    7: 0-4-0

  • Going Soft

    18: 2-5-5

Last starts

  1. 9Stawell2000m4 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.5L
  2. 6Nhill2100m26 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD35.8L
  3. 4Werribee2108m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD41.4L
  4. 2Swan Hill2400m23 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD43.3L
  5. 8Wycheproof1800m1 Nov 2025 · 3UP HCP · GOOD46.9L
  6. 9Manangatang2000m11 Oct 2025 · HCP · GOOD34.7L
  7. 7Swan Hill1600m28 Sept 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD46L
  8. 2Swan Hill2400m29 July 2025 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Austy Coffey striking at just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 56%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (39-weeks). Handy form when last seen. Competing in stronger races last prep. Set to play a leading role fresh.

ILB

First run back from a break of 39 weeks. Was $21.00 and ran 9th last time at Stawell and back in trip. Watch the betting.

RP

A course winner; finished ninth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) over 1m2f at Stawell (handicap) in January; back from an absence here; has shown signs of promise here and there and he should go close.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break of 39 weeks. Was 20/1 and ran 9th last start at Stawell and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Can't leave out of your calculations.

2Bower BoyJ: Sarah Field·T: A R Coffey460kg4 10 7 9 726: 3-3-2Bower Boy win4.20Bower Boy place1.65

Career

26: 3-3-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.57L
  2. 9Donald1620m12 Sept 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD49.2L
  3. 7Mildura1408m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.6L
  4. 10Murtoa1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY88.5L
  5. 4Mildura1200m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.7L
  6. 10Murray Bridge1600m17 Jan 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD43.73L
  7. 7Gawler1707m3 Jan 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD45.3L
  8. 7Murray Bridge1600m20 Dec 2025 · 0-66 · GOOD42.82L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Austy Coffey striking at just 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Sarah Field 34% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 56%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Last success was 1 Apr 2025. Settled midfield and never a serious challenger at Tatura. First time around Manangatang. Has to lift considerably.

ILB

Gave away some ground when 7th last time at Tatura. Can make a comeback. Winning potential.

RP

Beaten 8l at Tatura over 7f (handicap) last week; ought to be competitive as has been on the scene in the recent past.

RSIS

Faded away to finish 7th last start at Tatura. Capable of bouncing back. Good winning chance.

3GarfieldScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 42%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 24%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (53-days). Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo+ (Bm62) at Ballarat Synthetic. Can challenge.

ILB

Let up. Lost ground in the run home when 11th last time Ballarat Synthetic but competing in a less challenging grade. Has more weight to carry.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Weakened to finish 11th last run Ballarat Synthetic but up against weaker rivals. Will have to carry more weight.

4MutsuhitoJ: Nathan Punch·T: Ms G Johnstone960kg8 9 8 8 736: 4-2-1Mutsuhito win8.00Mutsuhito place2.50

Career

36: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Kyneton

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    29: 3-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Echuca1412m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.58L
  2. 8Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD46L
  3. 8Echuca1000m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.9L
  4. 9Yarra Valley1514m21 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD411.5L
  5. 8Kyneton1454m31 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD315.1L
  6. 7Seymour1300m15 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD33.6L
  7. 11Tatura1000m22 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD34.6L
  8. 5Echuca1000m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT6.7L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Nathan Punch current POT is 62% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Echuca. Warrants attention.

ILB

Started $10.00 and didn't threaten when 7th last run at Echuca. Respect the betting.

RP

Can be a player at this level; solid run when seventh last month at Echuca upped to 7f; difficult to oppose as recent display was promising.

RSIS

At 9/1 didn't attack the line when 7th last time at Echuca. Not at all out of this race.

5Anchor DownJ: Jackie Beriman·T: D P Dwyer259.5kg2 11 2 5 820: 1-2-3Anchor Down win5.00Anchor Down place1.95

Career

20: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wodonga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    14: 1-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 8Jerilderie1400m26 Sept 2026 · BM502.97L
  2. 5Griffith1350m12 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD33.5L
  3. 2Bendigo1000m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.5L
  4. 11Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.6L
  5. 2Kilmore1000m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
  6. 11Werribee2108m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD410L
  7. 4Wangaratta2000m6 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.6L
  8. 3Tatura1600m22 Nov 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jackie Beriman 50% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Jerilderie. Fitter for those two runs and ready to show best. Can challenge.

ILB

Started at $8.50 and not in contention when 8th last time at Jerilderie. Will go close.

RP

Low strike-rate of 1-20; far from disgraced (beaten 3l) over 7f at Jerilderie (handicap) two weeks ago; this is competitive and looks opposable.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and appeared lacklustre when 8th last time at Jerilderie. Good prospects.

6ConaltriJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Ms H Burns1059kg10 9 12 12 922: 1-0-2Conaltri win51.00Conaltri place6.50

Career

22: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2110m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2246m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 9Swan Hill2400m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD328.65L
  2. 12Kilmore2000m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD414.6L
  3. 12Mildura1408m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT618.8L
  4. 9Ararat2200m3 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT715.4L
  5. 10Horsham2100m24 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD36.5L
  6. 5Kilmore2000m13 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD47.1L
  7. 1Seymour2246m3 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-2
  8. 3Great Western1950m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.1L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 91% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf 90% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 77% POT in last 100 rides

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 6.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide barrier) at Swan Hill over longer assignment at huge odds. Awkwardly drawn and rising in weight. Coming back in distance. Form falls short of this.

ILB

Jumped at $201.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last start at Swan Hill and coming back in distance. Likely to get back in the field. Rising in weight. Highly unlikely to feature here.

RP

Not really built on success in a maiden in February at Seymour; was tailed off at Swan Hill over 1m4f (handicap) two weeks ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so looks opposable.

RSIS

Odds of 200/1 and didn't threaten when 9th last time at Swan Hill and down in distance. Does take a while to get into stride.

7DanzagruntJ: Tayla Cameron·T: Jordy Coffey759kg9 10 8 10 320: 2-1-1Danzagrunt win31.00Danzagrunt place4.80

Career

20: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 3Pooncarie1550m19 Sept 2026 · CL26.68L
  2. 10Warracknabeal1600m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD414.5L
  3. 8Murtoa1600m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY819.2L
  4. 10Mildura1400m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.9L
  5. 9Horsham1800m21 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT715L
  6. 10Werribee2108m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD49.6L
  7. 1Tatura1980m22 Nov 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD3-0.1
  8. 5Hamilton1600m7 Nov 2025 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64.6L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 204%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

In the minor spoils but still well held at Pooncarie over this trip. New to Manangatang. Needs to lift again here.

ILB

Ran well when 3rd last run at Pooncarie. Large claim helps. Could be in the mix.

RP

Not beaten too far when third at Pooncarie, finishing well behind reopposing Shasam last month; excuses last time (crowded) and might have a say.

RSIS

Honest race when 3rd last start at Pooncarie. The large claim from Tayla Cameron should help. Has some claims.

8MarbastionScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -44%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (49-days). Hasn't done much since breaking his maiden. Finished a long way from the action (Bm50) at Berrigan. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Back from a let up. Below par when 14th last start at Berrigan.

RSIS

Freshened up. Performed below standard when 14th last run at Berrigan.

9SerinJ: Jack Martin·T: Barry Ainsworth657kg7 6 10 8 722: 1-2-1Serin win8.00Serin place2.60

Career

22: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Coleraine1600m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.87L
  2. 8Naracoorte1430m28 Aug 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY910.7L
  3. 10Hamilton1400m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY1014.5L
  4. 6Ballarat Synthetic2100m4 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · SYNTHETIC9.6L
  5. 7Warrnambool1700m24 July 2025 · 2UP BM64 HCP · HEAVY97L
  6. 4Ballarat Synthetic1400m4 July 2025 · 2UP BM58 HCP · SYNTHETIC5.8L
  7. 9Terang1400m15 June 2025 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY814.85L
  8. 6Werribee1400m31 May 2025 · 0 - 58 · GOOD42.2L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay at Coleraine. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Finished 7th last time at Coleraine. Can win.

RP

Not beaten that far in seventh (just under 4l) at Coleraine last month; needs to improve on balance of recent form and only once has he got into the winners' enclosure; a few rivals look in good form so others are preferred.

RSIS

Came in 7th last start at Coleraine. Definite claims for punters.

10ShasamJ: Polly Brewster·T: Stephen Lenehan855kg3 8 4 10 144: 3-0-3Shasam win9.00Shasam place2.75

Career

44: 3-0-3

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kangaroo Island

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1312m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1498m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    9: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    16: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Pooncarie1550m19 Sept 2026 · CL2-5.03
  2. 10Mildura2008m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT613.1L
  3. 4Port Augusta1498m23 Aug 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD9.5L
  4. 8Mildura2000m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49L
  5. 3Naracoorte2000m24 July 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY84.4L
  6. 11Ballarat Synthetic1500m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC12.4L
  7. 5Bordertown1550m28 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY84.2L
  8. 6Werribee1625m30 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.6L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 54% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Polly Brewster 29% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 31%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

Comments

AAP

Commanding winner at Pooncarie over this journey. Harder now but in winning form and can give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Was very impressive when winning by a margin of over 5L last time at Pooncarie. Likely to get back. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Had a couple of these behind when in front by 5l at Pooncarie 21 days ago; despite that Pooncarie success, can be taken on.

RSIS

Was rock solid when winning by just over 5L last time at Pooncarie. Likely to get back. Betting is the best guide.

11Shal ExceedJ: Chelsea Jokic·T: C V Kelly355kg13 9 3 5 849: 5-2-4Shal Exceed win4.20Shal Exceed place1.70

Career

49: 5-2-4

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Avoca

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Moulamein

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1406m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    31: 4-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 8Jerilderie1400m26 Sept 2026 · JERILDCUP BM784.88L
  2. 5Pooncarie1550m19 Sept 2026 · Open5.23L
  3. 3Mildura1408m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.5L
  4. 9Berrigan1400m22 Aug 2026 · BM504L
  5. 13Mildura1400m18 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD48L
  6. 8Donald1628m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY87.6L
  7. 11Bendigo1400m13 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53.6L
  8. 8Swan Hill1600m6 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT67.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Con Kelly striking at just 2%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 62%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Jerilderie at $16. Super fit from racing, one for exotics.

ILB

Tailed off when 8th last run at Jerilderie but competing in a lower grade. Always seems to find the line well. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten just under 5l in eighth) over 7f at Jerilderie (handicap) last month; useful at this level.

RSIS

Uncompetitive when 8th last run at Jerilderie but has been racing in stronger company. Always seems to find the line well. Could feature here.

12OvabentJ: Jade Smith·T: Dane Smith155kg10 8 2 9 530: 2-1-1Ovabent win11.00Ovabent place3.20

Career

30: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Stawell

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1396m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    18: 2-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Pooncarie1550m19 Sept 2026 · CL211.88L
  2. 9Ballarat Synthetic1400m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC6.5L
  3. 2Ballarat Synthetic1500m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.1L
  4. 8Ararat1300m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT77.5L
  5. 10Horsham1400m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.6L
  6. 5Warracknabeal1600m4 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.4L
  7. 9Avoca1860m29 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD38.6L
  8. 11Ararat1300m8 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.2L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Dane Smith striking at just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. Unable to make an impression at Pooncarie over this trip. Not fancied.

ILB

Was $2.50 and struggled when 5th last time at Pooncarie but drawn nicely. Won't be far away during the run. Place claims at best.

RP

Finished last of five at Pooncarie last month.

RSIS

Odds of 6/4 and appeared lacklustre when 5th last time at Pooncarie but will try to take advantage of the stall. Should race on the pace.

13Dente's InfernoScratched11––––

Career

32: 1-4-3

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Wycheproof

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Gunbower

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dunkeld

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1406m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    5: 0-3-0

  • Going Good

    15: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 4Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4L
  2. 2Alexandra1830m14 Mar 2026 · Restricted1.3L
  3. 2Woolamai2308m28 Feb 2026 · Open1.5L
  4. 10Werribee1600m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD49L
  5. 5Yea1600m24 Jan 2026 · Restricted2.9L
  6. 2Merton1600m1 Jan 2026 · Special Condition1.3L
  7. 6Balnarring1200m6 Dec 2025 · Special Condition9.4L
  8. 8Tatura1600m30 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.8L

Insights

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

First-up (30-weeks). Tuned up by recent trial. Back from picnics.

ILB

Fresh after a break of 30 weeks. Ran well when 2nd last start at Alexandra. Liana Wood takes a large claim.

RP

Finished second in March albeit only beaten just over 1l when dropped down to 1m1f at Alexandra; has been consistent of late; returns from a break today.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 30 weeks. Finished 2nd last start at Alexandra. Large claim helps.

14HubristicScratched1––––

Career

19: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Balaklava

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Roxby Downs

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1498m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    10: 2-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Port Augusta1396m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · GOOD9L
  2. 2Roxby Downs1400m1 Aug 2026 · BM584.6L
  3. 1Port Augusta1498m19 July 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD-1
  4. 3Port Augusta1498m5 July 2026 · BM56 · GOOD7.1L
  5. 1Port Augusta1396m21 June 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD-0.6
  6. 8Mount Gambier2050m10 June 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY910.6L
  7. 8Mount Gambier1400m22 May 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT73L
  8. 5Strathalbyn1350m17 May 2026 · Benchmark 56 · GOOD44.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 49%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (48-days). Failed to threaten at Port Augusta. Leads, handy. Right in the mix.

ILB

Freshened for this. Started $4.80 and came in 5th last start at Port Augusta but has drawn the rails.

RP

This is her grade; beaten 9l when fifth of nine over 7f at Port Augusta (handicap) 48 days ago.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Was 4/1 and ran 5th last time at Port Augusta but drawn well.

Odds correct as at 10:21 am AEDT. Odds can change.