Shortest win price
Lilii Borea (7)
1.65
The Mt Isa meeting rolls on with the Trevor Morris Builders Plate for Class 1 gallopers over 1200m, run on a good track under fine conditions. Looking at the win market order, Lilii Borea opens as the shortest-priced runner, followed closely by Cliodhna Maeve and Makeminemilo, with Up To Us, Outcast Soldier, and Babe Roth rounding out the remaining runners in the betting order. Fortune favours the bold here, and the value sits with finding the chinks in the armour of the market elect in what shapes as a tricky tactical affair over the short trip at 2:10 pm AEDT.
Delving into the form of the market principals, Lilii Borea jumps from barrier 5 for trainer Tanya Parry and jockey Amie Meissner. This runner was prominent to the 400m before throwing the towel in quickly at Cloncurry over this trip, but is capable of leading or taking a sit and can rebound in this class. Stablemate Cliodhna Maeve draws barrier 2 for Caine Stuart, coming off a plain run when finishing down the track as an eight-dollar chance in a Plate at Winton, though the campaign data shows a runner that could give some cheek at odds if things go right.
Further down the order, Makeminemilo lines up from barrier 4 with Mitch Goring steering for the Tanya Parry camp, looking to bounce back after racing in the back half and never proving likely when second-up at Cloncurry. Up To Us maps as a leader from barrier 3 with Hayley Saunders aboard, aiming to improve on a failed effort at wide odds over 1400m at Cloncurry previously. With Up To Us and Lilii Borea both listed in the leader speed group, expect an honest tempo up front which could open the door for an offpace runner to loom large.
Shortest win price
Lilii Borea (7)
1.65
Most career wins
Makeminemilo and Lilii Borea
2 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Babe Roth · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Makeminemilo · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Outcast Soldier · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Up To Us · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Career
6: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-0-0
Track Casino
1: 0-0-0
Track Cloncurry
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 1-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 71% Profit on Turnover
Hot Jockey
Positive
Aidan Holt in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 16%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Failed to threaten at Cloncurry over this distance as a despised outsider. A few runs under his belt this campaign, one for exotics.
ILB
At $101.00 subpar when 10th last start at Cloncurry. Expected to settle towards the rear. Prefer in a much weaker race.
RP
Behind Lilii Borea (Cloncurry) 11 days ago when last of ten in a handicap; has kicked on in his last couple of races; winner of a maiden two starts ago so too soon to write him off; needs considering.
RSIS
Odds of 100/1 and only fair when 10th last start at Cloncurry. Likely to settle back in the field.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Cloncurry. Drops to shorter trip. Can show more here.
ILB
Started $7.00 and finished 7th last run at Cloncurry.
RSIS
At 6/1 came in 7th last run at Cloncurry.
Career
21: 2-3-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 2-1-0
Distance 1200m
9: 0-1-2
Distance 1250m
2: 0-0-2
Going Good
10: 0-1-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 71% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here
AAP
Cloncurry (Bm50) placegetter 12 Sep. Raced in back half and never likely at Cloncurry second-up. Warrants attention.
ILB
Was well beaten when 8th last start at Cloncurry. Should improve. Great chance.
RP
Not beaten that far in eighth (8l) in a handicap at Cloncurry 11 days ago; more than capable if on song so has to be taken seriously.
RSIS
Folded up in the straight when 8th last start at Cloncurry. Happy to forgive that run. Can put away most of these.
Career
33: 1-4-4
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Track Mudgee
1: 0-0-0
Track Gulgong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
12: 0-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -61% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 71% Profit on Turnover
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Long time since last saluted. In the minor spoils but still well held at Richmond. One for multiples.
ILB
In the money when 3rd last time at Richmond and has drawn to do little work. Likely to be well placed early. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Few more classier types in this race.
RP
Creditable effort to finish third, beaten 5l over 5f at Richmond (handicap) two weeks ago; been a while since he achieved his only career win; been struggling to get his head in front recently so others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Ran 3rd last time at Richmond and will appreciate a good stall. Should be going forward early. Showing improvement in recent outings. Carrying more weight than last time.
Career
26: 1-4-3
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Isa
8: 0-1-2
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-1-2
Distance 1200m
9: 0-1-3
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
16: 1-3-2
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 71% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Failed to threaten at Cloncurry at wide odds. Switching to 1200m. A few runs under his belt this campaign, one for multiples.
ILB
At $71.00 weakened under pressure when 8th last run at Cloncurry. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Hayley Saunders takes a large claim. Significant improvement required.
RP
Generally struggled with a record of 1-26; out of the frame (beaten 8l in eighth) 11 days ago at Cloncurry in a handicap; others appeal more.
RSIS
At 70/1 couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Cloncurry. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. The large claim from Hayley Saunders helps.
Career
30: 1-6-7
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-3-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Isa
3: 0-0-2
Track Longreach
1: 0-0-1
Track Richmond
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
10: 1-2-3
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
9: 1-1-3
Going Good
11: 0-3-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-2-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Caine Stuart current POT is 6% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Tanya Parry striking at just 5%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 71% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 47% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
AAP
4 weeks since last run. No threat as a $8 chance in Plate (C2) at Winton Aus. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Disappointing display when 9th last start at Winton but drawn nicely. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Generally modest form since maiden success at Hughenden five months ago; ninth beaten 12l at Winton Aus four weeks ago; others are preferred.
RSIS
Moderate showing when 9th last time at Winton but drawn nicely.
Career
10: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cloncurry
1: 0-0-0
Track Mckinlay
1: 1-0-0
Track Prairie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-1
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 71% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Mt Isa
AAP
Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Cloncurry over this trip. Can lead or take a sit. Can rebound.
ILB
Didn't attack the line when 8th last start at Cloncurry. Has the ability to turn things around. Has early speed and positions nicely. Going well this preparation. Prime contender.
RP
Has won previously at this course; useful at this level; didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Cloncurry (beaten 9l) 11 days ago in a handicap; holds major claims as she knows how to get her head in front.
RSIS
Weakened to finish 8th last start at Cloncurry. Likely to bounce back. Will be positive in the run early. Beautifully placed.