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Mt Isa (QLD) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mt Isa (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tuesday 20 October 2026

Race 4 — Steejo Press Hcp 1200m · jumps 3:20 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • HCP,Open
  • GOOD
  • Fine
  • 6 runners

Shortest win price

Revolt (2)

1.80

Most career wins

Revolt and Napoleon Strike

11 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 4She Smashes

Midfield

  • 5Last Ditch Effort
  • 6Demitasse

Offpace

  • 3Napoleon Strike

Onpace

  • 7Surfers Royale

Leader

  • 2Revolt
  • Revolt · Positive

    Top Stable

    Jay Morris performing 23% above market expectation

  • Napoleon Strike · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • She Smashes · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 12%

  • Last Ditch Effort · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1ContemporaryScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Aidan Holt in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 16%

Comments

AAP

Sent out $7 when never got into the race at Cloncurry. At optimum distance. Right in this.

ILB

Started at $7.00 and got going late when 5th last run at Cloncurry.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and pushed past some when 5th last run at Cloncurry.

2RevoltJ: Mitch Goring·T: Jay Morris666.5kg1 1 11 2 119: 11-1-0Revolt win1.80Revolt place1.22

Career

19: 11-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 5-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    10: 5-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 7-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    3: 3-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Mount Isa1000m26 Sept 2026 · HCP-0.06
  2. 2Birdsville1000m4 Sept 2026 · Open · GOOD0.4L
  3. 11Eagle Farm1200m27 June 2026 · BOTB FINAL · SOFT69.4L
  4. 1Mount Isa1200m23 May 2026 · BOTB QUAL HCP-0.3
  5. 1Mount Isa1000m25 Apr 2026 · Open-2.9
  6. 1Mount Isa1000m3 Apr 2026 · Open · GOOD-3.3
  7. 7Doomben1200m25 Feb 2026 · BM70 · GOOD46.9L
  8. 10Doomben1200m7 Feb 2026 · NMW · GOOD33.1L

Insights

  • Top Stable

    Positive

    Jay Morris performing 23% above market expectation

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 23%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Form 3rd Up

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when third up

Comments

AAP

Wonderful competitor. Brave display holding on this course. On pacer. Well placed to run another big race.

ILB

Fought on well to win a tight contest by a nose last run here and hard to fault at this trip. Should race on the speed. Has to be in the finish.

RP

Scored by a slim margin in a handicap did so accounting for four of these rivals 24 days ago; yet to taste defeat over this C&D, winning on all two attempts; he's worth a go.

RSIS

Won narrowly last time around here and proven performer at this trip. Won't be far away during the run. Been in the top three each start recently. Good chance today.

3Napoleon StrikeJ: Jason Miller·T: Tanya Parry260kg5 4 2 3 341: 11-7-8Napoleon Strike win10.00Napoleon Strike place3.50

Career

41: 11-7-8

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Atherton

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Pentland

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Julia Creek

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 950m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    14: 4-3-3

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    22: 7-3-5

  • Going Good

    13: 3-3-3

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 3Mount Isa1000m26 Sept 2026 · HCP1.51L
  2. 3Townsville1000m8 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD41.3L
  3. 2Mount Isa1000m22 Aug 2026 · HCP0.8L
  4. 4Mount Isa1200m6 Aug 2026 · HCP · GOOD6.3L
  5. 5Julia Creek1100m25 July 2026 · HCP8.4L
  6. 3Stamford1200m4 July 2026 · HCP2.3L
  7. 2Mount Isa1200m27 June 2026 · Open1.7L
  8. 1Julia Creek1100m20 June 2026 · HCP-0.3

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 71% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up this venue. Sterner task awaits.

ILB

Ran 3rd last start at the track and has a good draw. Producing consistent results this preparation. The large claim from Jason Miller should help. Knockout chance.

RP

1½l third to Revolt over 5f here (handicap) three weeks ago; a winner over C&D; not been able to get his head in front lately so is passed over.

RSIS

Finished 3rd last time around here and can find a nice position from the draw. In a purple patch of form since returning from a break.

4She SmashesJ: Amie Meissner·T: Bevan Johnson558kg4 1 1 6 524: 8-1-3She Smashes win5.50She Smashes place2.35

Career

24: 8-1-3

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Barcaldine

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pentland

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Springsure

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    10: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 4-1-2

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Mount Isa1000m26 Sept 2026 · HCP2.95L
  2. 6Springsure1100m29 Aug 2026 · HCP5.7L
  3. 1Mount Isa1200m6 Aug 2026 · HCP · GOOD-0.6
  4. 1Mount Isa1000m13 July 2026 · HCP · GOOD-0.2
  5. 4Alpha1200m27 June 2026 · 3yo+1.8L
  6. 5Longreach1200m6 June 2026 · HCP · GOOD0.6L
  7. 1Gladstone1000m23 May 2026 · Open-0.5
  8. 1Barcaldine1000m7 Mar 2026 · 3yo+-0.4

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 12%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    2 time winner here at Mt Isa

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Unhurried early and only battled home Open Hcp this course. This is more demanding.

ILB

Jumped at $9.00 and below par when 5th last time at this venue. Will be hitting the line strongly. Looks like a big chance.

RP

Finished last, beaten 3l to Revolt over 5f here (handicap) last month; brings winning C&D form to the table; she meets the required standard ability wise; rates a likely contender if recapturing winning form.

RSIS

Was 8/1 and average effort when 5th last time at the track. Shows good finishing pace. Major chance.

5Last Ditch EffortJ: Caine Stuart·T: Tanya Parry456kg4 2 1 7 447: 8-6-11Last Ditch Effort win14.00Last Ditch Effort place3.90

Career

47: 8-6-11

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-2-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-2-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-3

  • Fourth-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Mackay

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Albury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    14: 5-0-3

  • Distance 1050m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1065m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    22: 6-4-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Mount Isa1000m26 Sept 2026 · HCP2.49L
  2. 7Townsville1000m8 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD43.8L
  3. 1Mount Isa1000m22 Aug 2026 · HCP-0.8
  4. 2Mount Isa1200m6 Aug 2026 · HCP · GOOD0.6L
  5. 4Julia Creek1100m25 July 2026 · HCP7.9L
  6. 4Mount Isa1000m13 July 2026 · HCP · GOOD2L
  7. 3Mount Isa1200m27 June 2026 · Open2.6L
  8. 6Mount Isa1000m23 May 2026 · BM7011.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 71% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 48%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Modest performance this venue. Looks up against it.

ILB

Started $19.00 and struggled when 4th last time at the track. Not in this.

RP

2½l behind the winner, Revolt, here over 5f (handicap) posting a respectable effort three weeks ago; brings winning C&D form to the table; is passed over with several rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Started 18/1 and not up to standard when 4th last run here.

6DemitasseJ: Robert Faehr·T: Tanya Parry156kg5 1 5 4 436: 6-4-4Demitasse win7.50Demitasse place3.00

Career

36: 6-4-4

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 2-1-1

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-2

  • Third-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Track Doomben

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Muswellbrook

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    11: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 2-0-2

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 4-3-4

  • Going Soft

    9: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Mount Isa1450m26 Sept 2026 · Open12.09L
  2. 4Townsville1200m8 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD41L
  3. 5Sunshine Coast1400m16 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 78 · SOFT51.3L
  4. 1Gold Coast1200m1 Aug 2026 · BM65 · GOOD4-0.5
  5. 5Gold Coast1400m11 July 2026 · HCP · GOOD44L
  6. 5Rockhampton1300m19 June 2026 · BM70 · SOFT56L
  7. 3Toowoomba1300m6 June 2026 · BM70 · GOOD42L
  8. 9Doomben1200m22 Apr 2026 · BM68 · GOOD44.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -61% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 71% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field this course. Reverting to shorter trip should help. Forgive latest. In the mix.

ILB

Started $4.00 and below par when 4th last run at this venue but has a nice advantage with a good alley. Slim chance.

RP

Out of the frame when fourth over 7f here (handicap) last month; this is his grade; definitely of interest if finding his best form.

RSIS

Started 3/1 and looked flat when 4th last start at this venue but drawn well.

7Surfers RoyaleJ: Hayley Saunders·T: Tanya Parry356kg5 6 5 2 237: 5-5-4Surfers Royale win4.40Surfers Royale place2.05

Career

37: 5-5-4

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 2-1-0

  • Third-up

    6: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Isa

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Cloncurry

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    21: 4-3-1

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    20: 1-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 2Cloncurry1200m9 Oct 2026 · CL6 · GOOD0.68L
  2. 2Mount Isa1000m26 Sept 2026 · HCP0.06L
  3. 5Townsville1200m8 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD41.3L
  4. 6Gold Coast Poly1150m15 Aug 2026 · BM70 · SYNTHETIC4.4L
  5. 5Ipswich1100m7 Aug 2026 · BM68 · GOOD40.8L
  6. 5Gold Coast1200m18 July 2026 · BM65 · SOFT79.3L
  7. 2Gold Coast1000m23 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.8L
  8. 8Doomben1350m25 Oct 2025 · CG&E CL6 · GOOD43.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Tanya Parry striking at just 5%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 71% Profit on Turnover

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Great run at Mt Isa 26 Sep. Pressed on early and stuck on well at Cloncurry. On pacer. Looks a serious player.

ILB

Was overpowered late when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Cloncurry but rising in class. Should muster plenty of early toe. Large claim helps. Can lift.

RP

Good effort when close up (Cloncurry) 11 days ago; makes limited appeal as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Worked hard to finish 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Cloncurry but up against a more competitive field. Expecting to settle positively. Large claim helps.

Odds correct as at 10:40 am AEDT. Odds can change.