Penola (SA) horses tips & previews

Friday 16 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Penola (SA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Friday 16 October 2026

Race 2 — Sportsbet Race Previews Mdn Plate 1400m · jumps 2:30 pm AEDT

Race notes

3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,Maiden
SOFT5
Fine
11 runners

Shortest win price

Never Pegasus (6)

2.65

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Cocoa Charm

Offpace

4Iamthedevilselbow
5Mr Nipper
2Dali's Picasso
12Stepify

Onpace

6Never Pegasus
7Willebob
14Miss Narranga
1Buckethead
3Dukey

Leader

15Grandstraz

Buckethead · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 44% lower than Career Avg.
Dali's Picasso · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Dukey · Negative
Trainer SR
Sharni Julian striking at just 5%
Iamthedevilselbow · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1BucketheadJ: Cian Macredmond·T: Aaron Peterson158kg6 122: 0-0-081.008.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Coleraine
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Coleraine1400m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD37.85L
6Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT76.3L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 44% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 59% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Coleraine at second appearance as an outsider. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

At $71.00 struggled with the pace when 12th last start at Coleraine but gets a favourable barrier. Rough hope.

Finished behind Dali's Picasso (Coleraine) last month when finishing last of 12 upped to this distance; should go close.

RSIS

Started 70/1 and didn't find the line when 12th last start at Coleraine but will appreciate a good stall.

2Dali's PicassoJ: Kayla Crowther·T: James & Lisa Dodgson858kg4 7 10 2 320: 0-5-33.901.45

Career

20: 0-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 0-5-2

Last starts

3Mount Gambier1550m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.7L
2Coleraine1400m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.2L
10Bordertown1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT64.6L
7Murray Bridge1600m10 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT53.9L
4Stawell1600m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.4L
2Mount Gambier1400m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.4L
3Edenhope1450m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.1L
6Stony Creek2100m18 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT514.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 146%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Consistent type knocking on the door. Went close at Coleraine 25 Sep. No match but kept working home to finish among the placings at Mt Gambier. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Solid run when placing 3rd last run at Mount Gambier. In good order this campaign. Serious contender.

Form has been a mixed bag of late and still winless and defeats stacking up (20 on the bounce); favourite but came up short at Mt Gambier over 7½f (maiden) last week; easy enough to take on as hits the crossbar all too often.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by 3 3/4L last start at Mount Gambier. Has run into the money reqularly of late. Great chance.

3DukeyJ: Campbell Rawiller·T: Sharni Julian758kg8 11 5 6 85: 0-0-041.005.50

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Great Western
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Mount Gambier1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT519.17L
6Great Western1950m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.6L
5Burrumbeet1800m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.6L
11Warrnambool1400m24 July 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY920.8L
8Casterton1400m29 June 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT511.6L
5Colac1000m19 June 2025 · Barrier Trial5.1L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Sharni Julian striking at just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Lightly raced and still learning the caper. Failed to threaten at Mt Gambier for new stable. Strips in better shape. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Odds of $11.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last run at Mount Gambier. Not without a chance.

Last of eight over 6f at Mt Gambier (maiden) on debut for this trainer when dropped in distance last month; looks likely to be involved.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and faded to finish 8th last run at Mount Gambier. Betting is the best guide.

4IamthedevilselbowJ: Rochelle Milnes·T: Kristi Evans1058kg9 7 5 2 68: 0-1-010.002.75

Career

8: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
2: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
3: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Balaklava1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.34L
2Mount Gambier1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.06L
5Bordertown1550m11 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT64.7L
7Strathalbyn1350m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT75.9L
9Murray Bridge1600m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · HEAVY811.8L
5Strathalbyn1350m29 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT73.6L
10Murray Bridge1400m22 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT58.5L
7Murray Bridge1200m7 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT64.5L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Balaklava over this trip at $20. Place preferred option.

ILB

Started $20.00 and came in 6th last start at Balaklava. Likely to bounce back. Gets a chance against these.

Fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing sixth of ten (Balaklava) last month; shown recent signs of improvement but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Odds of 19/1 and finished 6th last start at Balaklava. Should improve from the last run. Should go very close.

5Mr NipperJ: Alana Kelly·T: Daniel Kelly358kg9 9 9 3 710: 0-0-123.004.00

Career

10: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
2: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1562m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Mildura1200m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.4L
3Pooncarie1200m19 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW8.93L
9Mildura1408m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT68.2L
9Ballarat Synthetic1200m25 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC9.2L
9Ballarat Synthetic1500m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC7.2L
5Mildura1400m17 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44L
10Pakenham Synthetic1200m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD34L
6Mount Gambier1562m8 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY99.2L

Insights

Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Mildura. New to Penola. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Jumped at $101.00 and below standard effort when 7th last run at Mildura. Yet to break maiden status after 10 starts. Simply cannot have.

Has arguably shown improved form the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at ten; was held in seventh over 6f at Mildura (maiden) last week; others appeal more.

RSIS

Odds of 100/1 and fairly underwhelming when 7th last time at Mildura. Still in maiden grade after 10 runs.

6Never PegasusJ: Harry Grace·T: S & J Jaensch458kg3 4 43: 0-0-12.651.30

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-1
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

4Balaklava1050m30 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD33.41L
4Gawler1100m23 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.65L
3Murray Bridge1100m9 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Been supported at each run. Made minor headway from back half at Balaklava last start. Decent alley. Key contender.

ILB

Jumped at $4.40 and inched into 4th last start at Balaklava and going over extra ground. Displays good tactical speed. Should feature prominently.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Balaklava (beaten 3½l) over 5f (maiden) 16 days ago; clear chance as has bits and pieces of decent form.

RSIS

Started 10/3 and moved through the field into 4th last time at Balaklava and racing over extra ground. Shows good early pace. Very capable of taking this out.

7WillebobJ: Connor Murtagh·T: Sarah Rutten958kg4 4 8 3 44: 0-0-14.201.60

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Balaklava1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD33.92L
3Balaklava1300m16 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.28L
8Morphettville1250m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT65.5L
4Halidon1000m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.5L
4Murray Bridge1100m10 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT58.2L
4Strathalbyn1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5L
3Oakbank1050m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

In trailing position and kept on evenly at Balaklava over this trip. Can play a role.

ILB

Started $2.35 and knocked up when 4th last run at Balaklava. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw. Can win.

Some promise; closest he has come to winning after four starts was a third; had two of these rivals behind him (Balaklava) when not living up to expectations last month; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Started at 11/8 and peaked on the run when 4th last start at Balaklava. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall. Rates as one of the key chances.

8Cocoa CharmJ: Stacey Metcalfe·T: Ms B O'Loughlin556kg6 11 9 8 83: 0-0-020.003.90

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
2: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Mount Gambier1200m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.38L
8Mount Gambier1000m20 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)13.8L
9Naracoorte1430m19 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.2L
11Mount Gambier900m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN HCP · GOOD44.6L
6Mount Gambier900m13 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Mt Gambier off long break. Smoky place prospect at best.

ILB

At $91.00 finished 8th last time at Mount Gambier. Likely to get back in the field. Considering others.

Beaten 6l at Mt Gambier over 6f (maiden) a week ago when just behind La Moma; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

At 90/1 ran 8th last run at Mount Gambier. Gets back and needs luck.

9Don't Say DoScratched14––––

Career

13: 0-5-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Jamestown
1: 0-1-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Jamestown1340m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW0.05L
5Strathalbyn1350m27 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT55.81L
4Bordertown1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT62.1L
5Muswellbrook1280m26 July 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD43.8L
6Quirindi1450m13 July 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT73.3L
4Scone1100m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT73.4L
2Bathurst1200m16 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY96.7L
2Warren1000m1 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT72.2L

Insights

Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Narrowly beaten in the small field at Jamestown. New to Penola. This looks tougher.

ILB

Narrowly denied victory last run at Jamestown.

Went down by a nose over 6½f at Jamestown (maiden) two weeks ago; has arguably shown improved form the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 13.

RSIS

Close to a win last time at Jamestown.

10FairlineScratched15––––

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Port Lincoln1210m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.4L
6Strathalbyn1200m27 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT57.86L
8Balaklava1050m15 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.9L
3Strathalbyn1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 51% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Lauren Stojakovic 37% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $5.50 when safely held in Maiden company at Port Lincoln second-up. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Odds of $5.50 and ran 6th last start at Port Lincoln.

Not beaten too far when sixth of 11 at Port Lincoln over 6f (maiden) 12 days ago; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Started 9/2 and came in 6th last start at Port Lincoln.

11Just CometScratched13––––

Career

7: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-2
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Gawler1516m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.68L
3Strathalbyn1350m27 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT53.61L
8Bordertown1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT63.8L
5Morphettville1000m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY85.8L
2Murray Bridge1000m5 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT52.2L
5Gawler1100m24 Apr 2026 · 2UP CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD46.68L
3Murray Bridge1000m10 Apr 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT52L
5Strathalbyn1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Andrew Stead 45% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 347%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Form around the mark. Went back, closed intently at Gawler. Capable of strong closing splits. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Was $7.50 and pushed past some when 4th last time at Gawler.

Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; gave it a good shot when a close fourth at Gawler over 7½f (maiden) last week; should be in the mix if reproducing most recent effort.

RSIS

Started 13/2 and picked up some late ground when 4th last start at Gawler.

12StepifyJ: Shayleigh Ingelse·T: P A Preusker654kg81: 0-0-05.501.95

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Ballarat1200m30 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · GOOD316.9L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 82% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse 119% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 106%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 87%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 72% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse winning at 85% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (24-weeks). Well down the track at Ballarat on debut at wide odds. Plenty of improvement needed. Would need a strong market push.

ILB

Fresh after a break. Was $51.00 and sub-standard effort when 8th last run at Ballarat but was on debut last time. Not ready for this level.

Held on her debut at Ballarat at 50-1 in April; has had some time off; needs to make above-average progress.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. Started at 50/1 and was nothing special when 8th last time at Ballarat but having second career run.

13La MomaScratched11––––

Career

11: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Mount Gambier1200m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.27L
6Mount Gambier1200m12 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY1011.1L
9Mount Gambier1200m10 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY911.4L
13Warrnambool1200m30 Oct 2025 · 3-5yo · GOOD313.4L
7Hamilton1600m15 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.6L
5Casterton1400m31 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT72.7L
11Warrnambool1100m24 July 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY98.3L
5Casterton1400m29 June 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT56.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $61 when unable to threaten at Mt Gambier first run back. First time around Penola. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Ran 7th last start at Mount Gambier.

Useful in this grade; was seventh of 12, beaten just over 5l, over 6f at Mt Gambier (maiden) last Wednesday.

RSIS

Came in 7th last time at Mount Gambier.

14Miss NarrangaJ: Brooke King·T: Shae Norton256kg10 7 6 13 1034: 0-0-3126.0014.00

Career

34: 0-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
4: 0-0-0
Track Oakbank
6: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
5: 0-0-0
Distance 3150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 0-0-3

Last starts

10Balaklava1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD325.59L
13Morphettville2500m22 Nov 2025 · BM80 HCP · SOFT735.3L
6Morphettville2500m4 Nov 2025 · BM56 · SOFT18.2L
7Morphettville2500m25 Oct 2025 · BM84 · GOOD432L
10Strathalbyn2050m22 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT712.8L
5Warrnambool2000m3 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1016.3L
11Mount Gambier3150m21 Sept 2025 · BM75 · HEAVY822.3L
15Balaklava2200m10 Sept 2025 · BM56 · SOFT718.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 55% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Brooke King 78% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide barrier) at Balaklava off extended spell as a despised outsider. Usually gets back. Chronic non-winner.

ILB

Started at $201.00 and was well beaten when 10th last run at Balaklava but can find a nice position from the draw. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Needs too much luck.

Useful at this level; tailed off at Balaklava (dropped to this distance) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Started at 200/1 and tailed off to finish 10th last start at Balaklava but has a positive stall. Has early pace and positions nicely.

15GrandstrazJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Rodney Foster1156kg10 6 7 11 613: 0-1-2126.0014.00

Career

13: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Jerilderie1000m26 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW6.34L
11Warracknabeal1600m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.7L
7Hamilton1600m1 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY1015.5L
6Mildura1200m18 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD48.3L
10Ballarat Synthetic1200m3 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC8.9L
13Bendigo1300m25 June 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT616.4L
10Ballarat1200m12 June 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · HEAVY816.1L
5Kilmore1200m13 Oct 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 62% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 47% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Jerilderie. First time around Penola. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Jumped at $18.00 and mediocre display when 6th last run at Jerilderie but stepping up in trip. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 13 runs. Prefer to watch.

Finished last of six at Jerilderie over 5f (maiden) three weeks ago; has proven competitive in a race of this nature.

RSIS

Started 17/1 and well beaten when 6th last start at Jerilderie but rising in distance. A 13 start maiden. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw.

Odds correct as at 12:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.