Penola horses tips & previews

Friday 16 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Penola, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Friday 16 October 2026

Race 6 — Pphs Hcp (54) 1300m · jumps 5:00 pm AEDT

Race notes

0-54,0-54 HCP,Restricted 54
SOFT5
Fine
12 runners

Shortest win price

Dazelles (4)

4.60

Most career wins

Melissa Kate

9-14-13 from 101 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10Sunset Prayer

Offpace

9State Of Maine
11Unwind

Onpace

1Astrodean
2Quizlet
7Melissa Kate
3Casino Showgirl
6Lunarshot

Leader

4Dazelles
8Triple Oh
5Anrushka
13Lysander

Astrodean · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Quizlet · Negative
Jockey Booking
Cian Macredmond current POT is 44% below Career Avg.
Casino Showgirl · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are winning 29% POT in their L100 Races
Dazelles · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1AstrodeanJ: Kayla Crowther·T: James & Lisa Dodgson460kg3 1 11 9 228: 3-2-45.002.00

Career

28: 3-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Bordertown
2: 0-1-0
Track Oakbank
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
5: 1-2-1
Going Soft
12: 1-0-2

Last starts

2Naracoorte1430m28 Aug 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY90.2L
9Warracknabeal1600m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64.5L
11Morphettville1600m8 Aug 2026 · 0-66 · SOFT716L
1Naracoorte1430m24 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY8-3.1
3Mount Gambier1400m12 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY107.9L
2Bordertown1200m28 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY81.1L
12Morphettville1100m20 June 2026 · CL2 · HEAVY109.9L
6Bordertown1300m14 Dec 2025 · CG&E 0-54 · GOOD33.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 146%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (49-days). Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush at Naracoorte. Usually prominent. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Close to a win last time at Naracoorte. Will be positive in the run early. Could be in the mix.

Not beaten far at Naracoorte over 7f (handicap) 49 days ago; every chance.

RSIS

Freshened up. Missed by a narrow margin last time at Naracoorte. Likely to be well placed early. Has some claims.

2QuizletJ: Cian Macredmond·T: Aaron Peterson759.5kg13 1 9 6 1229: 2-2-441.006.50

Career

29: 2-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
3: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
5: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

12Stawell1300m13 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD49L
6Mildura1400m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.9L
9Bendigo1600m18 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD311.9L
1Hamilton1400m11 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · SOFT5-1.5
13Ballarat1400m6 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT68.5L
3Donald1350m13 Sept 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.9L
9Echuca1412m25 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT78.4L
9Ballarat Synthetic1500m15 July 2025 · BM64 HCP · SYNTHETIC5.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Cian Macredmond current POT is 44% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 59% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 307 day break (> 300 days)

Comments

AAP

First-up (43-weeks). Ex Rachel Samsonenko in Victoria. Saluted at Horsham first-up last prep. Fresh start with new yard but prefer to see.

ILB

First up and picked up late to win first up last preparation at Horsham. Change in trainer but will have to carry more weight. Should muster plenty of early toe. Much prefer the look of others in this race.

Towards the rear of 13 at Stawell in December; returning from a layoff here; first run for trainer; this looks a fair heat so there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Resuming and rounded them up to win resuming last preparation at Horsham. Racing for a new trainer but has to carry more weight this time. Displays good tactical pace.

3Casino ShowgirlJ: Connor Murtagh·T: Ms R Day558kg12 9 4 4 77: 1-1-04.801.95

Career

7: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0

Last starts

7Strathalbyn1600m17 May 2026 · BM56 · GOOD46.5L
4Murray Bridge1400m6 May 2026 · BM58 · SOFT67.3L
4Oakbank1050m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L
9Morphettville1550m18 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD44.9L
12Morphettville1200m28 Mar 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43.6L
11Oakbank1050m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.8L
7Cranbourne1500m22 Nov 2025 · CL3 · GOOD35.5L
1Gawler1500m6 Nov 2025 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · SOFT5-6

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 29% POT in their L100 Races
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (21-weeks). Ex Will Clarken in SA. Respect at first country outing.

ILB

Fresh after a spell. Jumped at $8.00 and faded to finish 7th last time at Strathalbyn. Overlooking the last run but down in trip. Racing for a new trainer. Expect support.

Beaten a fair way when seventh over 1m at Strathalbyn (handicap) in May; first run for trainer; returns from a layoff; warrants respect as shown she can win fairly recently.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Odds of 7/1 and faded to finish 7th last time at Strathalbyn. Has the ability to turn things around but down in trip. Major chance.

4DazellesJ: Jordyn Weatherley·T: Hazel Fertier658kg1 7 3 4 210: 1-1-24.601.90

Career

10: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Gawler
2: 1-0-1
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1208m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1

Last starts

2Strathalbyn1200m27 Sept 2026 · F&M 0-56 · SOFT52.01L
4Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.9L
3Strathalbyn1200m30 Aug 2026 · F&M 0-56 · SOFT72.2L
7Strathalbyn1100m29 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT78.6L
1Halidon1000m16 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-0.9
5Balaklava1200m1 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD46.2L
7Morphettville1250m14 Mar 2026 · 0-64 · GOOD42L
6Morphettville1400m28 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM72 HCP · SOFT54L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Alertly away to lead, stuck on solidly F&M Hcp 56) at Strathalbyn. On pacer. Looks suitably placed in this line-up.

ILB

Was strong on the speed before fading to finish 2nd beaten by 2L last time at Strathalbyn. Won't be far away during the run. Great chance.

Not beaten far when runner-up over 6f at Strathalbyn (handicap) last month; passed over as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Maintained a solid pace but eventually weakened to finish 2nd beaten by 2L last start at Strathalbyn. Should jump out and bowl along. One of the punters top hopes.

5AnrushkaJ: Margaret Collett·T: R V Nicholson257.5kg9 10 7 6 747: 7-4-323.004.40

Career

47: 7-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
11: 1-0-1
Second-up
8: 0-1-1
Third-up
7: 2-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 1-1-1
Track Bordertown
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1075m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
11: 1-1-0
Going Good
24: 3-2-1
Going Heavy
6: 2-0-0
Going Soft
17: 2-2-2

Last starts

7Mount Gambier1200m7 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD46.57L
6Mount Gambier1200m20 Sept 2026 · BM66 · SOFT53.5L
7Naracoorte1100m28 Aug 2026 · BM64 · HEAVY96.8L
10Mount Gambier1200m28 Nov 2025 · BM68 · SOFT57.9L
9Mount Gambier1200m11 July 2025 · BM66 HCP · HEAVY1012.7L
4Mount Gambier1200m21 Mar 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD42.13L
2Mount Gambier1200m2 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 66 · GOOD41L
7Horsham1100m28 Jan 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD32.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Threw the towel in after leading at Mt Gambier. Can lead or take a sit. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Started $12.00 and folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Mount Gambier but has a positive draw. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Could feature here.

Last of seven at Mt Gambier over 6f (handicap) last Wednesday; has won here before; has posted some fair efforts in defeat and hard to dismiss.

RSIS

Was 11/1 and well beaten when 7th last time at Mount Gambier but drawn nicely. Should come to hand quickly. Not at all out of this race.

6LunarshotJ: Teagan Voorham·T: Alexander Justice1256.5kg7 2 10 8 724: 2-1-017.003.90

Career

24: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
4: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-1-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Morphettville1200m10 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD34.61L
8Gawler1200m5 Oct 2026 · BM56 · GOOD44.34L
10Morphettville1400m19 Sept 2026 · F&M 0-64 · GOOD47.92L
2Bordertown1200m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT61.7L
7Strathalbyn1200m30 Aug 2026 · F&M 0-56 · SOFT74.7L
1Murray Bridge1200m12 Aug 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY8-0.3
4Murray Bridge1200m22 July 2026 · F&M 0-56 · SOFT53.7L
6Donald1006m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY82.4L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Alexander Justice striking at just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Morphettville. Best form has been on rain-affected going. Fit from racing, could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Jumped at $151.00 and struggled when 7th last time at Morphettville but has been racing in stronger company. Up in weight. Rough hope.

Not disgraced when seventh of nine over 6f at Morphettville (handicap) at the weekend; easy to oppose as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 150/1 and mediocre attempt when 7th last start at Morphettville but stepping down to a lower level. Goes up in weight.

7Melissa KateJ: Kate Walters·T: Wayne Walters856.5kg2 2 4 10 4101: 9-14-1313.003.70

Career

101: 9-14-13

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Stawell
1: 0-1-0
Track Kyneton
2: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1411m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1413m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
2: 1-0-0
Going Firm
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
32: 2-2-5
Going Heavy
28: 3-7-5

Last starts

4Mount Gambier1200m7 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.3L
10Mount Gambier1400m20 Sept 2026 · BM56 · SOFT56.05L
4Bordertown1200m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT62L
2Warrnambool1200m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY81.75L
2Naracoorte1100m28 Aug 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY90.5L
3Mount Gambier1300m7 Aug 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY102.2L
4Naracoorte1100m24 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY82.2L
4Mount Gambier1200m12 July 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY106.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Seasoned performer. Battled home into 4th in the small field at Mt Gambier when pushed out in the market. Effective this track and distance. Hard fit, could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Was $16.00 and finished 4th last run at Mount Gambier. Should be going forward early. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Suited by this C&D; ahead of Squagaga and Anrushka when fourth (beaten just over 3l) over 6f at Mt Gambier (handicap) last week; makes limited appeal with a few rivals in good form.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and came in 4th last time at Mount Gambier. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Watch betting.

8Triple OhJ: Campbell Rawiller·T: Stephanie Lacy156.5kg6 8 3 10 1215: 1-1-234.005.50

Career

15: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Camperdown
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
5: 1-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1

Last starts

12Murray Bridge1400m2 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT510.2L
10Ballarat Synthetic2100m2 July 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC19.1L
3Ballarat Synthetic2200m21 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC2.5L
8Werribee1625m30 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64.4L
6Ararat1600m9 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT74.87L
6Warracknabeal2000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD312.5L
9Mount Gambier1550m22 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD43.6L
6Ballarat1600m14 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD48.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Let-up (44-days). Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Murray Bridge Gh for new stable. Usually prominent. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Freshened for this. At $51.00 weakened to finish 12th last run at Murray Bridge but has minimal work to do from the draw. Should come to hand quickly. Watch the betting.

Towards the rear of 13 at Murray Bridge Gh over 7f (handicap) when dropped in distance last month on debut for this trainer; facing a testing assignment and is passed over.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Started at 50/1 and gave away some ground when 12th last time at Murray Bridge but will appreciate a good draw. Up in weight. Betting is the best guide.

9State Of MaineJ: Harry Grace·T: Charlotte Parker1155.5kg2 5 5 4 1148: 4-6-415.003.80

Career

48: 4-6-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-2-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 2-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1469m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
24: 3-1-3
Going Heavy
9: 2-0-1
Going Soft
19: 1-5-2
Going Good
20: 1-1-1

Last starts

11Coleraine1600m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.43L
4Hamilton1400m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT63.9L
5Casterton1400m9 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT77.3L
5Hamilton1400m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY102.3L
2Coleraine1300m19 July 2026 · BM56 HWGT · SOFT51.3L
5Donald1206m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY87.5L
7Mount Gambier1400m28 Nov 2025 · 0-54 · SOFT53.7L
7Hamilton1400m7 Nov 2025 · 0 - 56 · SOFT65.2L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Charlotte Parker striking at just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Started $8.50 when safely held in Restricted 56 company at Coleraine over longer test. Switching to 1300m. Could get into the placings.

ILB

At $8.50 was well beaten when 11th last time at Coleraine and dropping in distance. Harry Grace takes the reins today. Has some claims.

Finished 11th of 12 over 1m at Coleraine (handicap) last month; shown she can be competitive fairly recently and could be interesting.

RSIS

Was 15/2 and tailed off to finish 11th last time at Coleraine and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Harry Grace rates highly. Respect the betting.

10Sunset PrayerJ: Brooke King·T: D C Saxon1055.5kg7 5 14 4 712: 1-0-123.004.40

Career

12: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
6: 1-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1075m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Mount Gambier900m7 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD43.89L
4Mount Gambier900m20 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT50.57L
14Mount Gambier1400m22 May 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT716.8L
5Bordertown1550m1 May 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD31.9L
7Naracoorte1100m19 Apr 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD45.05L
4Mount Gambier1211m13 Mar 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD42L
12Naracoorte1430m8 Feb 2026 · BM58 · GOOD413L
10Mount Gambier1412m25 Jan 2026 · BM64 · GOOD418.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 55% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Brooke King winning at 57% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Mt Gambier second-up. One for multiples.

ILB

At $17.00 came in 7th last time at Mount Gambier but going over extra ground. Likely to get back in the run. Prefer to watch.

Not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Mt Gambier last November; fair effort when beaten just under 4l, finishing seventh of 11 at Mt Gambier over 4½f (handicap) last week; this is competitive and others more likely.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and ran 7th last run at Mount Gambier but going up in trip. Likely to get back.

11UnwindJ: Rochelle Milnes·T: Kristi Evans955.5kg3 4 5 4 724: 1-1-27.002.50

Career

24: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
3: 0-0-0
Track Clare
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1523m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Balaklava1600m30 Sept 2026 · NMW-LY BM60 · GOOD36.81L
4Gawler1500m23 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD41.61L
5Bordertown1550m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT64.1L
4Murray Bridge1400m12 Aug 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY87.1L
3Strathalbyn1600m29 July 2026 · BM56 · SOFT72.7L
2Murray Bridge1600m17 July 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT60.4L
3Bordertown1300m28 June 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY83.2L
6Strathalbyn1200m17 May 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD43.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Sent out $8.50 when never got into the race at Balaklava over longer assignment. Drops to shorter trip. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Jumped at $8.50 and unsatisfactory performance when 7th last time at Balaklava but matched against a less competitive field. Coming back in trip. Needs significant improvement.

Just the one win to her name; no impression when seventh of eight over 1m at Balaklava (handicap) 16 days ago; this is competitive and passed over.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and only fair when 7th last time at Balaklava but up against a less challenging field. Dropping back to a shorter trip.

12Sports ChoiceScratched16––––

Career

42: 3-9-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Stony Creek
4: 1-1-0
Track Dunkeld
1: 0-1-0
Track Manangatang
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
31: 3-6-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-2-0

Last starts

2Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.46L
2Jamestown1200m3 Oct 2026 · BM541.82L
8Strathalbyn1200m27 Sept 2026 · F&M 0-56 · SOFT58.85L
8Bordertown1200m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT63.7L
3Port Augusta1100m23 Aug 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD3.8L
5Quorn1100m15 Aug 2026 · 0-527.7L
9Port Augusta1100m5 July 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD9.8L
10Bordertown1100m28 June 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY86.29L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -31%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Midfield, great effort running into second 3yo+ (Bm52) at Manangatang. Finds a harder setup.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Just missed last run at Manangatang.

Beaten narrowly over 6f at Manangatang (handicap) last week; infrequent winner; been struggling to get her head in front recently so she can be taken on.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Was agonizingly close last run at Manangatang.

13LysanderJ: Stacey Metcalfe·T: Garret Lynch356kg4 3 6 5 240: 3-4-34.801.95

Career

40: 3-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
8: 1-2-0
Track Roxby Downs
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
18: 3-2-2
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Halidon1380m11 Oct 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD30.86L
5Jamestown1200m3 Oct 2026 · BM543.59L
6Strathalbyn1350m27 Sept 2026 · BM56 · SOFT57.8L
3Strathalbyn1350m30 Aug 2026 · BM56 · SOFT71.28L
4Roxby Downs1200m1 Aug 2026 · BM6417.1L
6Ballarat Synthetic1200m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.75L
5Balaklava1400m20 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT53.1L
11Gawler1706m13 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT59.9L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Halidon. Likes some juice in the track. Very fit, warrants attention.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Rattled home nicely into 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Halidon and getting better in recent performances. Should race on the speed. Questions at this level.

Beaten narrowly over 7f at Halidon (handicap) on Sunday.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Did well to run into 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Halidon and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.

14SquagagaScratched14––––

Career

33: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Jerilderie
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1

Last starts

6Mount Gambier1200m7 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45.32L
8Jerilderie1200m26 Sept 2026 · BM455.03L
4Casterton1200m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53L
8Mildura1200m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.6L
4Naracoorte1430m24 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY82.5L
9Ballarat Synthetic1200m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.4L
10Bendigo1400m13 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53.6L
12Mount Gambier1400m22 May 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT77.7L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 62% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Key Rider
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf 52% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 47%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Found it tough since shaking his maiden. Handy but couldn't deliver at Mt Gambier. Leads, handy. Underperformer.

ILB

Lost ground in the run home when 6th last time at Mount Gambier. Should be rolling forward early from the wide alley.

This is his grade; split Melissa Kate (fourth) and Anrushka (last) over 6f at Mt Gambier (handicap) when beaten 5½l last Wednesday.

RSIS

Looked outclassed when 6th last time at Mount Gambier. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw.

15Dodgy ElementScratched4––––

Career

14: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Track Edenhope
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0

Last starts

10Mount Gambier1550m20 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT58.27L
13Naracoorte2000m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY916.2L
6Mount Gambier2050m7 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY104.1L
7Strathalbyn1600m29 July 2026 · BM56 · SOFT74.1L
11Mount Gambier1200m12 July 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY1017.8L
8Penola1300m5 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD36.7L
8Mount Gambier1312m13 Mar 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD46.9L
12Edenhope1450m7 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD411.8L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Largely struggled in his post maiden runs. Failed to threaten at Mt Gambier as a betting firmer. Switching to 1300m. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Jumped at $7.50 and gave away some ground when 10th last start at Mount Gambier.

Beaten 8l (tenth) at Mt Gambier over 7½f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Was 13/2 and folded up in the straight when 10th last time at Mount Gambier.

16They Call Me DustyScratched13––––

Career

25: 1-5-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
14: 1-3-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2065m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1213m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
6: 0-2-1
Going Soft
11: 1-2-0

Last starts

11Mount Gambier1400m28 Nov 2025 · 0-54 · SOFT55.6L
6Bordertown1550m14 Nov 2025 · 0-54 · GOOD3.72L
4Naracoorte1430m2 Nov 2025 · 0-54 · GOOD3L
6Penola1600m17 Oct 2025 · 0-54 · GOOD45L
2Mount Gambier1562m8 Oct 2025 · 0-56 · HEAVY93L
5Mount Gambier1400m21 Sept 2025 · 0-54 · HEAVY83.57L
9Mount Gambier1564m8 Aug 2025 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY1016.2L
2Mount Gambier1550m11 July 2025 · 0 - 54 · HEAVY100.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 87%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 87%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 72% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 322 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Resuming (46-weeks). Ex D Kolpin & V Hutchinson in SA. Prefer to see off long break.

ILB

First up after a break of 46 weeks. Didn't threaten when 11th last start at Mount Gambier. First race for a new trainer.

Grade looks suitable; finished towards the rear of 13 at Mt Gambier over 7f (handicap) last November; returns from a layoff here; first run for stable.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break of 46 weeks. Faded away to finish 11th last run at Mount Gambier. Coming to a new trainer.

Odds correct as at 12:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.