Shortest win price
Vulcana (14)
2.05
The Ame Systems Mdn Plate is a 1600m three-year-old and upwards maiden on a Good (4) track at Ararat in fine conditions. Vulcana sits shortest in the market, followed by Nialah, Almorina, and Selita's Fury. The race shapes as a genuine contest between maidens at this level, with the shorter-priced runners split across the pace map—Vulcana offpace, Nialah onpace, and Almorina as a backmarker who showed finishing speed at Mortlake.
Vulcana carries a Rating 100 and brings two progressive placing efforts to Aratan. The three-year-old filly ran a close second at Warrnambool over 1200m in heavy going, rallying hard in the straight after opening her account at Ballarat where she was only 0.4L away at the same 1400m trip. Trainer Ciaron Maher is striking at just 8%, which is a concern, but the form itself suggests this runner has improved between runs and the mile suits her progression. Nialah, rated 86, led and had her chances at Ballarat but melted under pressure—the comment reads she has gate speed and is looking for a mile now, which Ararat's 1600m provides. Both runners from the Maher camp are underperforming market by 32%, a headwind worth noting.
Almorina presents genuine intrigue off a Rating 85. She was a full-length second at Mortlake over this exact distance and showed the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start before trailing out of sight at Warrnambool. Trainer Symon Wilde's stable is firing at 40 per cent in the past 100 runners, and with Linda Meech aboard, this backmarker could work into the race late. Selita's Fury debut was emphatic—just caught at Echuca at $31 with 0.06L margin—and the comment flags excellent scope. A negative rider change sits against her today, yet the raw form from first-up suggests speed and improvement. The onpace runners will fight for position early, making late closers dangerous if the pace doesn't stack.
Shortest win price
Vulcana (14)
2.05
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
All Chips In · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Pneuma · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Power Of Hindsight · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Selita's Fury · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
3: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jack Martin 33% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Back for second campaign (41-weeks). Ex R P Wellington in NSW. Unplaced in all 5 runs to date. Readied with two soft trials.
ILB
First run back from a break of 41 weeks. At $151.00 didn't find the line when 11th last time at Albury and hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Can't back with any confidence.
RP
Yet to get off the mark in five attempts (seventh his best finish); finished last of 11 at Albury in January; form of the stable is a plus; returns from a layoff; headgear now needed to spark a revival, not one to rely on.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a 41 week break. Started at 150/1 and faded away to finish 11th last time at Albury and will have to carry extra weight.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Second campaign (24-weeks). Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
Back after a break. Jumped at $4.60 and came in 5th last time at Pakenham. Large claim helps.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started 7/2 and finished 5th last run at Pakenham. Liana Wood takes a large claim.
Career
4: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1247m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Neil Farley 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 919%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Well back and never sighted at Ballarat over this trip when pushed out in the market. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Jumped at $18.00 and came in 6th last time at Ballarat. Interesting gear change of winkers off first time. Significant improvement required.
RP
Was sixth of ten, beaten 14l, at Ballarat a week ago; four-race maiden though does have a second place to his name; others appeal more.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Started at 17/1 and came in 6th last start at Ballarat. Cheekpieces go off for the first time.
Career
11: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Avoca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 11 starts
AAP
Unplaced in all 11 runs to date. Failed to threaten at Avoca as an outsider. Switching to 1600m. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
Was $61.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start at Avoca but has a nice advantage with a good draw. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Pass.
RP
Winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 11; finished ninth, beaten a fair way at Avoca over 1m1f (maiden) last month; facing a testing assignment and one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Was 60/1 and well beaten when 9th last run at Avoca but drawn nicely. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Yet to place in 11 runs.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Excellent debut performance when just nabbed at Echuca at $31. Has scope. Primed to go one better.
ILB
Just missed last time at Echuca and was a debutant last start. Winkers go on for the first time. Should muster plenty of early speed. Can run into the placings.
RP
Ran respectably on his debut at Echuca at 28-1 last month; if building on promise shown first time out no surprise to see him go well.
RSIS
Just missed last run at Echuca and having second career run. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time. Has shown early pace in races to date.
Career
10: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fair way from the winner but battled home into second at Ballarat over this trip. Looks up against it.
ILB
On a quick back up. Competitive effort when 2nd last start at Ballarat on a heavy track. A 10 start maiden. Zac Moore takes a large claim. Would need to step up.
RP
Was on the premises (finished second of seven) at Ballarat last week; has shown some recent improvement but still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce).
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Ran well when 2nd last run at Ballarat. Still in maiden grade after 10 runs. The large claim from Zac Moore should help.
Career
2: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Mortlake
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 40% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Got back and hit line with a full head of steam at Mortlake. Better effort latest but needs to keep improving.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Made some ground late when 2nd last time at Mortlake. Winkers go on for the first time. Will be hitting the line strongly. Has claims.
RP
Went close when runner-up upped to this trip at Mortlake last month; wears first-time cheekpieces.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Came on strongly when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at Mortlake. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time. Expecting a strong showing.
Career
10: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Not Trustworthy
Negative
May be competing at this level for some time
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 10kg from LS run
AAP
Form modest reading. Big weight took its toll at Warrnambool over longer test. Pace influence. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Jumped at $21.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 4th last start at Warrnambool but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Best to watch only.
RP
Creditable effort to finish fourth, beaten 2l over 1m2f at Warrnambool (maiden) last Thursday; still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce); a lot on her plate here and others make more appeal.
RSIS
Was 20/1 and outmuscled in the final stages of the race when 4th last run at Warrnambool but dropping in distance.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Great Western
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Mortlake second-up. Needs a substantial turnaround.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Started at $151.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start at Mortlake. Not interested today.
RP
Behind Almorina at Mortlake upped to this trip when beaten 9l (sixth of ten) a week ago; others more appealing.
RSIS
On a quick back up. At 150/1 couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last run at Mortlake.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 75% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse 109% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 117%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 77%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 61% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 109%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Handily placed and worked home soundly at Naracoorte. Strips fitter. Only for the minors here.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of $7.50 and outmuscled in the late stages when 4th last start at Naracoorte. Rough hope.
RP
Respectable effort when fourth at Naracoorte over 7f (maiden) last Sunday; has posted some fair efforts in defeat and warrants plenty of respect.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Odds of 13/2 and didn't find the line when 4th last run at Naracoorte.
Career
10: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 10 starts
AAP
Record doesn't inspire. In touch but ran out of petrol quickly and finished a long way down the track at Ballarat over this trip.
ILB
On a short turnaround. At $101.00 below par performance when 8th last time at Ballarat. Has the speed to overcome the wide draw. Hasn't placed in 10 starts. Prefer in something a lot easier.
RP
Still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce); close up behind Pneuma when eighth at Ballarat last Monday; facing a testing assignment and others make more appeal.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. At 100/1 lacklustre showing when 8th last time at Ballarat. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Disappointing debut performance at Kyneton 20 Oct. Wiser for it. Only for the minors here.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Started $14.00 and well beaten when 7th last time at Albury.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. At 13/1 unsatisfactory performance when 7th last time at Albury.
Career
5: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-2
Trainer SR
Negative
Ciaron Maher striking at just 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Led them up but melted under pressure at Ballarat. Has gate speed. Looking for a mile now. High on the shortlist.
ILB
Started $3.40 and was outsprinted late when 4th last run at Ballarat. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Displays good tactical speed. Strong prospects.
RP
Only finished fourth of 11 despite odds of 12-5 over 7f at Ballarat (maiden) 16 days ago when just behind Vulcana; stepped up on her last two starts; needs considering.
RSIS
Odds of 12/5 and was found wanting late when 4th last start at Ballarat. Tongue strap go on for the first time. Should be going forward early. Chance and can measure up.
Career
2: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Ciaron Maher striking at just 8%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Promising 3yo and been in the market each outing. Rallied hard in straight to place at Ballarat at second outing. Progressive type. Key contender.
ILB
Attacked the line when 2nd beaten by 4L last start at Ballarat and will try to take advantage of the draw. Top rated selection.
RP
Respectable effort to finish runner-up over 7f at Ballarat (maiden), finished ahead of Nialah last month; first-time cheekpieces now; likely player.
RSIS
Came on strongly to finish 2nd when beaten by 4L last start at Ballarat and has a positive stall. Cheekpieces go on for the first time. Has the figures to win.