Avoca horses tips & previews

Saturday 17 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Avoca, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 17 October 2026

Race 3 — Bet365 Top Finishes Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps 2:46 pm AEDT

Race notes

3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
GOOD4
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Wee Bit Kinky (10)

1.70

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

4My Boy Arnie

Midfield

10Wee Bit Kinky

Offpace

5Song'N'Dance
3Court Jester
11Inside Word

Onpace

8Secret Crossing

Leader

6Jool Of The Bool
7Miss Home Body

Court Jester · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
My Boy Arnie · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 65% better than Career Avg.
Song'N'Dance · Positive
Stable In Form
Stable going well. Out performing market by 177%
Jool Of The Bool · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1BerardoScratched4––––

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

1Caulfield Heath800m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-2

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dylan Dunn 63% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Dylan Dunn winning at 36% POT in last 100 rides
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:1-0-0). Stronger showing in latest Caulfield Heath trial 1 Oct. Good draw.

This son of Hanseatic is having his first start under rules; respected with signs of encouragement in profile.

2Count ChevalierScratched11––––

Career

3: 0-0-1

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Swan Hill1200m22 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.5L
8Bendigo1100m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT512.8L
5Sale1112m1 Mar 2026 · 2yo · SOFT66L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

In the minor spoils but still well held at Swan Hill when second-up. Stripping fitter, sound claims.

Not disgraced in third at Swan Hill last month; easy enough to take on.

3Court JesterJ: Jake Duffy·T: Craig Weeding258kg4 42: 0-0-03.801.28

Career

2: 0-0-0

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.65L
4Echuca1009m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.4L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 30% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Off pace and failed to make an impression at Tatura at second outing. All the better, capable of making an impact.

Missed the frame (beaten 6l into fourth) over 5½f at Tatura (maiden) 18 days ago; others have more pressing claims.

4My Boy ArnieJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Ms J Wicks558kg14 62: 0-0-071.005.50

Career

2: 0-0-0

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Bendigo1000m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.7L
14Bendigo1100m25 June 2026 · 2yo · SOFT614.1L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 65% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf 54% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 62% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unable to threaten in the small field at Bendigo. Place preferred option.

Beaten 9l when sixth of seven over 5f at Bendigo (maiden) four weeks ago; makes limited appeal.

5Song'N'DanceJ: Sarah Field·T: Daryn Drust358kg81: 0-0-071.005.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Echuca1009m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.92L

Insights

Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 177%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 161% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Passable debut effort when battled home at Echuca as an outsider. Wiser for it. Only for exotics.

Not far behind Court Jester last month when eighth at Echuca over 5f; obvious scope for improvement; in first-time blinkers now; should benefit for having a run under his belt.

6Jool Of The BoolJ: Melissa Julius·T: M J Williams456kg8 72: 0-0-031.003.80

Career

2: 0-0-0

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1147m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Warrnambool1200m1 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY919.56L
8Geelong1147m28 Aug 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · SOFT710L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Melissa Julius 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Close enough but couldn't capitalize at Warrnambool at second appearance. Others more persuasive.

Finished last of seven (Warrnambool) two weeks ago; others appeal more.

7Miss Home BodyJ: Dylan Dunn·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman756kg61: 0-0-07.001.75

Career

1: 0-0-0

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 60%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 59% Profit on Turnover
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to stamp herself on the race at Pakenham Synthetic debut as a market drifter 2 Oct. Better for run. Back in easier affair. Key contender if things pan out.

Not beaten too far (4½l) on her debut (5f, Pakenham) at 14-1 two weeks ago; could improve although needs to.

8Secret CrossingJ: Jack Hill·T: Shane Jackson856kg3 82: 0-0-15.501.45

Career

2: 0-0-1

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

8Warrnambool1400m21 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD410.15L
3Bendigo1000m26 Aug 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · HEAVY81.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 25% POT in their L100 Races
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On pace but soon under pressure and she knocked up badly at Warrnambool at second appearance. Gate a worry. Drops to shorter trip. Others with more appeal.

Held when eighth of 11 last month at Warrnambool upped to 7f; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

9Tungamah TessScratched6––––

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 30% in L100 rides
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:1-0-0). Will come on from the lone Wangaratta trial. J Duffy on from trials. Look to market for a further guide.

This daughter of Cosmic Force makes first rules appearance; one to note with signs of encouragement in profile.

10Wee Bit KinkyJ: Carleen Hefel·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman656kg81: 0-0-01.701.06

Career

1: 0-0-0

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Sandown1000m23 May 2026 · 2Y FILLIES HCP · SOFT76.9L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
P & K Moody & Coleman striking at just 5%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 52%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 60%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 59% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (21-weeks). Safely contained at Sandown-Hillside on debut after speccing from $18 into $12 23 May. Better for it. Back in a country Maiden. Has scope to improve this time in. Watch betting.

Held when eighth (beaten 7l) on her debut over 5f at Sandown at 11-1 in May; returns from a break today; that experience should set her in good stead so capable of going well.

11Inside WordJ: Tom Madden·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin158kg5 6 8 93: 0-0-020.003.40

Career

3: 0-0-0

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC7.4L
8Pakenham Synthetic1200m10 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC22.4L
6Swan Hill975m28 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT57.27L
5Caulfield Heath800m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Pakenham Synthetic last outing as an outsider. Looks a safer place proposition.

Close up behind Miss Home Body when ninth at Pakenham over 5f (maiden) two weeks ago.

Odds correct as at 11:11 am AEDT. Odds can change.