Avoca horses tips & previews

Saturday 17 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Avoca, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 17 October 2026

Race 4 — Astbury Welding & Contracting (Bm52) 1200m · jumps 3:18 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,BM52,BM52 HCP,Benchmark 52
GOOD4
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Ambello (1)

2.60

Most career wins

Danerich Dan

5-6-6 from 65 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Midfield

3Danerich Dan
2Arabian Myth
9Party At Artie's

Offpace

6Grumpyoldcol
10Reward With A Rose

Onpace

4Soobooma
7Nicking Gracie
11Padstow Polly
1Ambello

Leader

8Squagaga

Ambello · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Arabian Myth · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 1084%
Danerich Dan · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.
Soobooma · Negative
Trainer SR
Kasey Besanko striking at just 5%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1AmbelloJ: Campbell Rawiller·T: Nell Carter260kg6 8 5 4 254: 4-6-112.601.28

Career

54: 4-6-11

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Casterton
3: 1-0-1
Track Penola
2: 0-0-1
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
36: 2-5-7
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

2Coleraine1000m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.06L
4Casterton1200m9 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT712.5L
5Murtoa1200m25 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT78.7L
8Ballarat Synthetic1200m7 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.5L
6Donald1350m20 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY96L
1Casterton1200m7 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY8-2.3
9Clare1200m13 Feb 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD48.1L
4Murray Bridge1400m4 Feb 2026 · 0-58 · GOOD41.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 27%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fought on like a lion only to succumb late in the 3yo+ Hcp (56) at Coleraine. Drawn to receive every chance. Form solid this distance. Major player here.

ILB

Just missed last start at Coleraine and has a good draw. Displays good tactical speed. Getting better in recent performances. Strongly fancied.

Favourite and just beaten at Coleraine over 5f (handicap), bouncing back from some moderate efforts 22 days ago.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last start at Coleraine and drawn nicely. Should muster plenty of early pace. Showing improvement in recent outings. Good winning chance.

2Arabian MythJ: Jack Martin·T: Vincent Hall1060kg4 10 9 5 817: 1-0-26.002.05

Career

17: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
5: 0-0-2
Distance 1109m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Bendigo1300m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY910.7L
5Bendigo1100m13 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT52.55L
9Echuca1109m23 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT74.8L
10Mornington1200m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT65.9L
4Wangaratta1100m3 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY83.3L
5Mornington1200m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.9L
7Colac1200m20 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32.4L
5Mornington1200m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 1084%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 105%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Dist Stats
Negative
Has struggled at this distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (14-weeks). Awkwardly drawn and rising in weight for return. Lone victory was over this trip. Not out of this fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First run back from a break. Odds of $41.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Bendigo on a heavy track but has been racing in stronger company. Can show up in this at odds.

Missed the frame (beaten 11l into eighth) over 6½f at Bendigo (handicap) in July; likely to be in contention given there is limited recent form on offer in this race and he has posted some fair efforts in defeat in the past.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 40/1 and didn't attack the line when 8th last start at Bendigo on a heavy surface but going down in class.

3Danerich DanJ: Dylan Dunn·T: R J Besanko859kg6 7 7 6 765: 5-6-611.002.90

Career

65: 5-6-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
8: 0-1-1
Second-up
7: 0-0-2
Third-up
6: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
6: 0-1-0
Track Bairnsdale
3: 0-1-1
Track Werribee
2: 0-0-0
Track Traralgon
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1017m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1118m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1213m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
38: 2-5-2
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 2-1-2

Last starts

7Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.5L
6Hamilton1400m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY104L
7Echuca1200m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY97.5L
7Ararat1100m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT74.5L
6Wangaratta1300m6 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.5L
7Dunkeld1200m15 Nov 2025 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.3L
5Traralgon1100m1 Nov 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD2.15L
7Kilmore1210m29 Sept 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD33.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dylan Dunn 57% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Dylan Dunn winning at 32% POT in last 100 rides
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Finished well held at Donald over this journey. First time around Avoca. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Jumped at $26.00 and came in 7th last time at Donald and goes up in weight. Won't find this easy.

Useful at this level; not disgraced when seventh of 11 at Donald (just behind Grumpyoldcol) last month; not dismissed.

RSIS

Started at 25/1 and finished 7th last start at Donald and has to carry more weight this time.

4SooboomaJ: Jack Hill·T: Kasey Besanko358.5kg9 5 8 8 548: 3-6-25.501.95

Career

48: 3-6-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
9: 1-0-1
Second-up
7: 1-2-0
Third-up
7: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-3-0
Track Bairnsdale
4: 1-0-0
Track Moe
3: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
20: 0-3-2
Going Good
23: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Echuca1009m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.63L
8Geelong1247m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT77.9L
8Bairnsdale1200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.5L
5Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT76.7L
9Moe1008m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY97.5L
8Pakenham1200m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT74.4L
6Ballarat1200m3 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY4.71L
8Warrnambool1200m16 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.9L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Kasey Besanko striking at just 5%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 27%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Okay at latest when settled back. Two of his wins were this distance. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Started $7.00 and got going late when 5th last run at Echuca. Likely to be well placed early. Can win.

Useful at this level; fair effort over 5f at Echuca (handicap) last month; leading contender if reproducing most recent effort.

RSIS

Odds of 6/1 and moved through the field into 5th last time at Echuca. Shows good early pace. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

5Pippie PomarScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

Comments

AAP

Third outing for new trainer/ this region. On target for hat-trick. Recorded a dead heat win at at Jerilderie over today's trip. Can challenge again.

ILB

Left nothing to chance when winning last run at Jerilderie. Unbeaten last 2 attempts.

RSIS

Nice effort when winning last time at Jerilderie. Keeping a perfect win record the last 2 attempts.

6GrumpyoldcolJ: Tom Madden·T: Rachel Samsonenko957.5kg10 5 10 3 613: 1-0-210.002.75

Career

13: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moranbah
2: 1-0-0
Track Mackay
2: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.3L
3Warracknabeal1000m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.6L
10Naracoorte1100m24 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY810.3L
5Donald1006m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY81.7L
10Mackay1100m13 Feb 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD45.4L
11Rockhampton1050m29 Jan 2026 · CL2 · SOFT511.7L
3Rockhampton1000m9 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial2.1L
9Mackay1200m27 June 2025 · 2Y HCP · SOFT614.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 68%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. On pace but folded up quickly at Donald over this trip. Capable of making an impact if things pan out.

ILB

Jumped at $18.00 and came in 6th last run at Donald. Needs to find a lot more.

Fair effort when beaten just over 4l, finishing sixth of 11 at Donald five weeks ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

At 17/1 finished 6th last start at Donald.

7Nicking GracieJ: Sarah Field·T: Tori Madigan557kg2 11 3 5 528: 2-2-35.501.95

Career

28: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Yarra Valley
3: 1-0-0
Track Camperdown
1: 0-1-0
Track Dunkeld
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1217m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
11: 1-1-1

Last starts

5Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.41L
5Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.6L
3Edenhope1450m7 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.3L
11Yarra Valley1500m7 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD418.8L
2Camperdown1400m17 Jan 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD30.8L
4Burrumbeet1350m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
5Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M 0 - 56 HCP · HEAVY107L
8Dunkeld1200m15 Nov 2025 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.8L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Tori Madigan striking at just 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ex Robert Palm in Victoria. Last start this trip handy and boxed on solidly at Bairnsdale. Sharper now, can play a role.

ILB

Started $7.00 and was outsprinted late when 5th last start at Bairnsdale. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. First start for a new trainer. Good chance and definitely has claims.

Quite a while since she tasted success; finished fifth but only beaten 1½l at Bairnsdale 27 days ago; first start for new yard.

RSIS

Odds of 6/1 and couldn't maintain the pace throughout when 5th last time at Bairnsdale. Should jump out and bowl along. First race for a new trainer. Strong prospects in this race.

8SquagagaJ: Jamie Gibbons·T: Rodney Foster656kg4 8 4 8 633: 1-1-320.003.80

Career

33: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 1-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1118m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1130m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 0-1-1

Last starts

6Mount Gambier1200m7 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45.32L
8Jerilderie1200m26 Sept 2026 · BM455.03L
4Casterton1200m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53L
8Mildura1200m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.6L
4Naracoorte1430m24 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY82.5L
9Ballarat Synthetic1200m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.4L
10Bendigo1400m13 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53.6L
12Mount Gambier1400m22 May 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT77.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Largely struggled in his post maiden runs. In firing line but threw the towel in at Mt Gambier over this distance. Can lead or take a sit. Rough exotics hope.

ILB

Started $71.00 and folded up in the straight when 6th last start at Mount Gambier. Should race on the speed. Prefer a race with softer competition.

Was held in sixth at Mt Gambier last Wednesday; has a record of 1-33; others more likely.

RSIS

Started at 70/1 and gave away some ground when 6th last run at Mount Gambier. Has shown early pace in races to date.

9Party At Artie'sJ: Carleen Hefel·T: Chris Calthorpe755.5kg3 9 8 8 740: 4-2-214.003.40

Career

40: 4-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
7: 0-0-0
Distance 1340m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1429m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-1-0
Going Synthetic
5: 1-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Kilmore1450m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD48L
8Warracknabeal1600m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.5L
8Ballarat Synthetic1400m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC6.2L
9Swan Hill1200m28 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT58.4L
3Ballarat Synthetic1200m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.75L
12Murray Bridge1400m7 Dec 2025 · 4UP E&G 0-58 HCP · GOOD49.6L
8Jamestown1340m4 Oct 2025 · BM587L
11Mount Gambier1400m21 Sept 2025 · 0-54 · HEAVY839.68L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Chris Calthorpe striking at just 2%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 54%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Winless since 13 Sep 2024. Unable to make an impression at Kilmore. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Started $11.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last start at Kilmore and bit of extra work to do with more weight. Looks hopeful.

Finished last of seven at Kilmore over 7f (handicap) last month; has shown glimpses of ability recently and cannot be ignored.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last start at Kilmore and bit of extra work to do with more weight.

10Reward With A RoseJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Barry Ainsworth155kg10 8 11 8 626: 2-1-131.004.60

Career

26: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Berrigan
1: 0-0-0
Track Narrandera
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
10: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-0
Going Soft
14: 1-1-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.41L
8Coleraine1000m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.66L
11Bordertown1200m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT65.6L
8Naracoorte1100m28 Aug 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY912.2L
10Warracknabeal1000m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT65.6L
5Narrandera1200m13 June 2026 · BM50 · SOFT76.87L
3Wagga1065m23 May 2026 · BM50 · SOFT61.3L
4Tocumwal1100m4 Apr 2026 · CL21.5L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 65% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Long winning drought. Sent out $81 when unable to threaten at Manangatang. Has work to do on recent figures.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Started $81.00 and ran 6th last time at Manangatang but drawn beautifully. Couldn't have in this.

An infrequent winner and largely in poor form of late; not disgraced when sixth of ten at Manangatang a week ago; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started 80/1 and came in 6th last start at Manangatang but drawn the rails.

11Padstow PollyJ: Jade Smith·T: Stephen Lenehan455kg10 9 9 8 593: 2-7-871.008.00

Career

93: 2-7-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Mount Gambier
7: 0-1-0
Track Bordertown
7: 0-0-2
Track Oakbank
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1302m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1476m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
24: 0-3-2
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Pooncarie1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM586.02L
8Donald1000m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.2L
9Casterton1000m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT59.02L
9Casterton1200m31 Aug 2025 · 0 - 58 · SOFT77.2L
10Ballarat Synthetic1200m19 Aug 2025 · BM58 HCP · SYNTHETIC20.06L
2Hamilton1100m2 Aug 2025 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY88L
11Moe1208m11 July 2025 · 2UP BM52 HCP · HEAVY109.5L
3Warracknabeal1000m27 June 2025 · BM52 HCP · SOFT75.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Jade Smith current POT is 51% below Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 100%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 28 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Unable to make an impression at Pooncarie. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Jumped at $8.50 and underwhelming when 5th last start at Pooncarie. Has shown early pace in races to date. Large claim helps. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; finished behind Ask For More at Pooncarie over 5f (handicap) when finishing last of five last month.

RSIS

Was 15/2 and not up to standard when 5th last time at Pooncarie. Should muster plenty of early toe. The large claim from Jade Smith helps.

12Galaxy TurfScratched10––––

Career

66: 3-6-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-1-0
Distance 1612m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
21: 2-3-2
Going Synthetic
12: 0-1-3
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

13Swan Hill1300m24 Aug 2025 · 0 - 58 · GOOD410.6L
5Echuca1209m25 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT75.5L
11Ballarat Synthetic1100m15 July 2025 · BM58 HCP · SYNTHETIC9.7L
5Warracknabeal1000m12 July 2025 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY86.3L
4Warracknabeal1000m27 June 2025 · BM52 HCP · SOFT75.4L
10Edenhope2000m8 Mar 2025 · HCP · SOFT624.1L
8Penola1600m2 Mar 2025 · 0 - 54 · GOOD45.19L
4Kilmore1612m11 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD43.31L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Melissa Julius 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 419 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming after a (59-weeks) spell. Usually gets back. Tough ask fresh off the long lay-off.

ILB

First run back from a 59 week spell. Moderate showing when 13th last start at Swan Hill. Likely to get back in the field.

Finished last of 13 at Swan Hill over 6½f (handicap) last August; can be a player at this level; been off the track a long time.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 59 weeks. Unimpressive effort when 13th last run at Swan Hill. Likely to get back.

13Deep CoreScratched4––––

Career

28: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
5: 0-0-1
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1180m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Ararat1100m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT76.6L
5Balnarring1200m4 Apr 2026 · Restricted9.9L
9Avoca1100m29 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32.9L
3Mount Gambier1211m13 Mar 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD41L
4Colac1200m1 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT75.5L
5Ararat1100m8 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.75L
5Camperdown1000m17 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.4L
9Burrumbeet1000m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.1L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 65% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf 54% above market expected in L100 Rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

First-up (23-weeks). Long winless run. Lone victory was over this trip. One for exotics fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a break of 23 weeks and narrowly beaten first up last preparation at the track.

Held when eighth beaten 7l at Ararat over 5½f (handicap) five months ago; this is his grade; returns from a layoff here.

RSIS

Resuming and close to claiming the win resuming last preparation at this venue.

14Ask For MoreScratched8––––

Career

73: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
4: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
4: 1-0-0
Track Pooncarie
2: 1-1-0
Distance 905m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
12: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
13: 1-0-0
Going Soft
17: 2-0-1
Going Synthetic
6: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Pooncarie1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM581.08L
10Casterton1400m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT513.3L
8Port Augusta1396m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · GOOD17.3L
6Mildura1000m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.8L
11Hamilton1100m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY108.3L
8Ballarat Synthetic1000m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.8L
8Mount Gambier1200m10 June 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY911.1L
8Hamilton1100m26 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY1013.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Sound performance in small field at Pooncarie. First time around Avoca. This looks a deeper race.

ILB

Finished 2nd last start at Pooncarie. Likely to get back in the run.

Went off 14-1 when good second over 5f at Pooncarie (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Looked good when 2nd last time at Pooncarie. Likely to get back in the run.

Odds correct as at 11:11 am AEDT. Odds can change.