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Avoca horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Avoca, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 17 October 2026

Race 6 — Whyte Just & Moore Lawyers Avoca Cup 1860m · jumps 4:37 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • 3yo+,HCP,Open
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Omnic (7)

3.00

Most career wins

Mangione

15-16-18 from 117 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 8Kiss My Rock

Offmidfield

  • 1Raf Attack
  • 2Fox Appeal
  • 5Scalextrics

Offpace

  • 4Tikemyson
  • 6Verona Rupes

Onpace

  • 10Haiiro
  • 7Omnic

Leader

  • 3Mangione

  • Raf Attack · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Fox Appeal · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Mangione · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

  • Tikemyson · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Raf AttackJ: Eoin Walsh·T: T & C Mcevoy259kg11 2 6 12 1129: 2-1-3Raf Attack win4.40Raf Attack place1.65

Career

29: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    6: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 2-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 11Ballarat1600m18 Sept 2026 · GOLD NUGGET · GOOD47.84L
  2. 12Caulfield1800m29 Aug 2026 · BM78 · SOFT67.9L
  3. 6Flemington1410m1 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.6L
  4. 2Eagle Farm2412m7 Mar 2026 · BM80 · SOFT50.7L
  5. 11Eagle Farm1800m28 Feb 2026 · BM78 · SOFT613.3L
  6. 5Doomben2000m7 Feb 2026 · BM78 · GOOD35.3L
  7. 5Gold Coast2050m23 Jan 2026 · GC MAYORS VASE · GOOD41.1L
  8. 8Randwick2000m3 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Long time since last saluted. Never sighted at Ballarat. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

At $15.00 only fair when 11th last run at Ballarat but taking on easier opposition. Has good finishing speed. Gets a favourable draw. Has to cope with a weight increase. Very tidy performer.

RP

Towards the rear of 14 over 1m at Ballarat (handicap) four weeks ago; has to be feared as shown some ability on occasion and had excuses last time (blundered).

RSIS

Started 14/1 and sub-standard effort when 11th last run at Ballarat but stepping down to a lower level. Should get going late. Has a good draw. Rises in weight. Forward showing expected.

2Fox AppealJ: Jake Duffy·T: Craig Weeding157kg3 2 6 3 251: 8-9-12Fox Appeal win8.00Fox Appeal place2.45

Career

51: 8-9-12

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-3

  • Third-up

    6: 3-1-2

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    9: 1-2-2

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    4: 2-0-1

  • Going Firm

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    30: 4-5-6

Last starts

  1. 2Cootamundra1600m4 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD40.61L
  2. 3Jerilderie1400m26 Sept 2026 · JERILDCUP BM781.7L
  3. 6Griffith1350m12 Sept 2026 · BM78 HCP · GOOD33.5L
  4. 2Wagga2000m29 Mar 2026 · BM82 · SOFT50.2L
  5. 3Albury1600m19 Mar 2026 · ALBURYMILE BM90 · SOFT71.4L
  6. 2Towong1600m7 Mar 2026 · BM70 · SOFT60.1L
  7. 4Wangaratta1590m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.5L
  8. 6Wangaratta1590m8 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Seasoned performer. Prominent, showed plenty of ticker to just go under at Cootamundra. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last start at Cootamundra and drawn beautifully. Jake Duffy is a key engagement and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Must be considered here.

RP

Favourite and just came up short at Cootamundra over 1m (handicap) 13 days ago; not been able to get his head in front lately so easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Was competitive when 2nd last time at Cootamundra and drawn nicely. Jake Duffy is a key booking and getting better in recent performances. Possesses very good closing pace. Dropping weight. Definite winning chance.

3MangioneJ: Melissa Julius·T: Nell Carter356.5kg5 5 1 8 1117: 15-16-18Mangione win16.00Mangione place3.60

Career

117: 15-16-18

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    10: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    9: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    9: 1-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    9: 0-1-3

  • Track Warrnambool

    5: 1-1-0

  • Track Casterton

    6: 4-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    22: 4-7-4

  • Going Good

    66: 6-9-16

  • Going Heavy

    11: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    35: 7-5-2

Last starts

  1. 1Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD3-0.15
  2. 8Morphettville2250m5 Sept 2026 · 0-64 · SOFT611.5L
  3. 1Warracknabeal2000m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT6-0.4
  4. 5Murtoa2050m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.6L
  5. 5Hamilton1600m12 July 2026 · BM56-HWGT · HEAVY1019.7L
  6. 4Casterton2000m17 May 2026 · BM62 · SOFT62.2L
  7. 2Donald2200m2 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD31L
  8. 1Terang2150m19 Apr 2026 · 0-62 · HEAVY8-0.4

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 116%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 34%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Experienced campaigner. Made all and held on bravely in a thrilling finish at Coleraine 25 Sep. Ratings lift after that win but stays under strong notice at same level.

ILB

Assumed control from the start to win by a short half head last run at Coleraine and challenged by less formidable competitors. Should come to hand quickly. Strong claims in this.

RP

Accounted for Omnic and Tikemyson at Coleraine over 1m1f (handicap) last month; despite that Coleraine success, one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Led throughout when winning by a short half head last run at Coleraine and competing at a lower level of competition. Should be going forward early. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

4TikemysonJ: Jack Hill·T: Symon Wilde656kg13 7 1 8 938: 6-6-3Tikemyson win5.50Tikemyson place1.95

Career

38: 6-6-3

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-2-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Otaki

    5: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1340m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1360m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    16: 4-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Hamilton2200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.21L
  2. 8Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD33.82L
  3. 1Warracknabeal2000m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.8
  4. 7Murtoa2050m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT75.3L
  5. 13Sandown2125m8 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.2L
  6. 14Caulfield1700m27 June 2026 · BM78 · SOFT711.8L
  7. 7Sandown1400m13 June 2026 · HCP · HEAVY811.5L
  8. 9Pakenham2500m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD411.9L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. On pace but soon under pressure and he knocked up badly at Hamilton over longer test. Switching to 1860m. Can't enthuse.

ILB

On a short turnaround. At $7.00 faded away to finish 9th last start at Hamilton but facing weaker opposition. Watch betting.

RP

Finished ninth, beaten 9l, at Hamilton over 1m3f (handicap) last week; a few rivals look in good form so others more appealing.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Was 6/1 and faded away to finish 9th last run at Hamilton but will find this grade more suitable. Watch the betting.

5ScalextricsJ: Sarah Field·T: Taige Weir855kg5 9 1 6 1134: 7-1-3Scalextrics win9.00Scalextrics place2.60

Career

34: 7-1-3

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Wyong

    5: 1-0-1

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    6: 2-0-1

  • Going Good

    14: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    7: 3-0-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 3-1-3

Last starts

  1. 11Randwick1600m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT59.7L
  2. 6Canterbury1900m5 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.8L
  3. 1Canterbury1580m22 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-0.2
  4. 9Randwick Kensington1550m1 July 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · HEAVY86.8L
  5. 5Warwick Farm1600m20 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.2L
  6. 9Randwick Kensington1550m27 Apr 2026 · 5UP BM78 HCP · GOOD43.1L
  7. 4Warwick Farm1207m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L
  8. 3Warwick Farm1600m1 Apr 2026 · BM72 · SOFT52.3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (56-days). Ex Matthew Smith in NSW. Ridden cold and never in the picture at Randwick. Keeping safe at stable debut.

ILB

Freshened for this. Odds of $101.00 and average performance when 11th last time at Randwick but goes down in grade. Coming to a new trainer. Likely to get back. Entitled to be big odds.

RP

11th of 12 over 1m at Randwick (handicap) two months ago; career wins-runs record of 7-33; first start for new trainer; last two runs were below standard set by success three runs ago; could go close.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Started at 100/1 and underperformed when 11th last run at Randwick but goes down in class. First start for a new trainer.

6Verona RupesJ: Tom Madden·T: Taige Weir755kg13 1 7 8 121: 4-2-4Verona Rupes win8.50Verona Rupes place2.50

Career

21: 4-2-4

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2040m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 4-1-4

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Mildura1900m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.35
  2. 8Warracknabeal2000m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.1L
  3. 7Pakenham Synthetic2200m3 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC8.1L
  4. 1Mildura1900m18 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD4-1.3
  5. 13Bendigo1500m25 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT69.5L
  6. 9Sale1400m10 June 2026 · BM66 C · HEAVY86.7L
  7. 7Sandown1500m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46L
  8. 10Pakenham1400m16 Jan 2026 · BM66 HCP · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 5.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Sheer display of grit and determination at Mildura. Stays under strong notice for this.

ILB

Finished with purpose when winning last start at Mildura but racing against tougher rivals. Goes down in weight. May find these too slick.

RP

Narrow success in a handicap at Mildura last week; poses a threat.

RSIS

Finished well when winning last start at Mildura but up against a higher level of opposition. Will appreciate the drop in weight.

7OmnicJ: Carleen Hefel·T: C Maher955kg2 2 2 2 227: 3-11-3Omnic win3.00Omnic place1.34

Career

27: 3-11-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    7: 0-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-3-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 2-5-2

Last starts

  1. 2Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD30.15L
  2. 2Bendigo1600m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.3L
  3. 2Geelong1765m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT71.3L
  4. 2Geelong1730m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY80.4L
  5. 2Geelong1700m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT70.5L
  6. 1Bendigo1500m5 July 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY9-0.2
  7. 1Cranbourne1600m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT7-0.4
  8. 3Donald1620m9 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT72L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 11%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

In peak form and fitness. Ran a cracking race when just edged out at Coleraine 25 Sep. Looks a serious player.

ILB

Right in the mix last start at Coleraine and facing a weaker group of contenders. In fine form since resuming from a break. Will attract plenty of interest.

RP

In decent heart at present; behind Mangione over 1m1f at Coleraine (handicap) when just denied last month.

RSIS

Missed by a narrow margin last run at Coleraine and up against a less challenging field. In fine form since resuming from a break. Should give this a shake.

8Kiss My RockJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: P Kearney555kg1 6 3 8 625: 4-3-5Kiss My Rock win18.00Kiss My Rock place3.80

Career

25: 4-3-5

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2021m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2046m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1247m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-2

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 2-3-2

Last starts

  1. 6Ballarat1600m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.27L
  2. 8Seymour2046m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.5L
  3. 3Seymour2021m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.4L
  4. 6Seymour1600m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT74.9L
  5. 1Echuca1600m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-0.3
  6. 10Seymour1600m19 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY911.8L
  7. 6Ballarat Synthetic1400m30 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SYNTHETIC6.3L
  8. 1Launceston1600m20 Feb 2026 · BM60 · GOOD4-1

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 65% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf 54% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 46% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Sent out $81 when battled home to finish 6th at Ballarat. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Jumped at $81.00 and ran 6th last run at Ballarat but gets some weight relief. Does take a while to get into stride. Very unlikely.

RP

No impression when sixth of 12 over 1m at Ballarat (handicap) two weeks ago; this is competitive and he can be taken on.

RSIS

At 80/1 came in 6th last time at Ballarat but goes down in weight. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

9EddystoneScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 36 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Remains fresh. Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Geelong after lengthy absence. New to Avoca. Keener on others.

ILB

Lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Geelong but suited by the weight drop.

RSIS

Didn't attack the line when 10th last run at Geelong but suited by the weight drop.

10HaiiroJ: Jade Smith·T: Shane Jackson455kg1 3 3 11 108: 2-2-2Haiiro win13.00Haiiro place3.30

Career

8: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1860m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 2-2-1

Last starts

  1. 10Warrnambool1700m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY99.26L
  2. 11Flemington2800m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD326.6L
  3. 3Stawell2700m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.2L
  4. 3Terang2156m17 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT65.3L
  5. 1Kilmore1600m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM56 HWGT HCP · GOOD4-1.3
  6. 1Warrnambool2000m30 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD3-1.8
  7. 2Avoca1860m18 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.8L
  8. 2Coleraine1600m26 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 51% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 10%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 21% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten in the slosh at Warrnambool off long break. Strips fitter and takes a 3kg claim. In the placings only prior run here. Worth a look.

ILB

Jumped at $9.50 and weakened under pressure when 10th last time at Warrnambool on a heavy rated track. Has shown early pace in races to date. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Tenth of 12 over 1m½f at Warrnambool (handicap) when dropped in distance two weeks ago; on the best of his form one to be interested in.

RSIS

At 17/2 weakened under pressure when 10th last run at Warrnambool. Has early pace and positions nicely. Large claim helps. Has some claims.

11PiantaScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

No match but kept on for a distant second in the (Bm68) at Mt Gambier over longer assignment. Drops to shorter trip. This looks more demanding.

ILB

Finished with intent when 2nd last run at Mount Gambier and can find a nice position from the draw. Back to a shorter trip.

RSIS

Improved to place when 2nd beaten by 5L last run at Mount Gambier and will try to take advantage of the draw. Down in trip.

Odds correct as at 11:11 am AEDT. Odds can change.