Chinchilla (QLD) horses tips & previews

7 Nov, 9:56 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Chinchilla (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsChinchilla (QLD)Change

Race 4 — Cnh Transportable Homes (Bm50) 1400m · jumps Sat 7 Nov, 4:52 pm AEDT

Race notes

BM50,BM50 HCP,Benchmark 50
GOOD4
Fine
9 runners

Shortest win price

Always Delivers (2)

2.60

Most career wins

Flying Rothe

7-2-0 from 55 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10Nythe

Offmidfield

1Flying Rothe
5Sian

Midfield

2Always Delivers
4Donegal Bay

Onpace

7Hi Frank

Leader

3Merchant Moon
11Prince Carlos
8Life Of Tree

Flying Rothe · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Always Delivers · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Merchant Moon · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Donegal Bay · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Flying RotheJ: Melissa Taylor·T: Vic Heading762.5kg1 1 4 7 855: 7-2-0$9.00$2.65

Career

55: 7-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
8: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1666m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1710m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1835m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
34: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
12: 2-1-0

Last starts

8Toowoomba925m30 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)12.2L
7Ipswich1710m4 June 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT53.2L
4Toowoomba1625m30 May 2026 · BM58 · SOFT71.7L
1Kilcoy1900m22 May 2026 · BM55 · SOFT6-1.5
1Burrandowan1740m9 May 2026 · Benchmark 55-2.2
6Warwick2000m28 Apr 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD35L
9Ipswich2200m23 Apr 2026 · BM58 · SOFT56.5L
10Kilcoy1900m11 Apr 2026 · 0 - 55 · SOFT515.1L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Form at Dist
Negative
Poor strike rate over this distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (22-weeks). Raced well last time in. Trialled quietly at Toowoomba Inner. Seen in stronger company last campaign.

ILB

Back from a break. Finished 7th last start at Ipswich and back in trip. Ran 8th in a trial at Toowoomba Inner Track on Oct 30th. Not without a chance.

Grade looks suitable; out of the frame (beaten just over 3l in seventh) over 1m½f at Ipswich (handicap) five months ago; returns from a layoff; he should go close as is no stranger to the winners' enclosure and had excuses last time (crowded).

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. Came in 7th last run at Ipswich and coming back in trip. Should get going late. Carrying more weight than last time. Watch the betting.

2Always DeliversJ: Jess Emmerson·T: William Kropp961.5kg2 5 8 1 104: 1-0-0$2.60$1.28

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
2: 1-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1710m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Ipswich1710m4 June 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT57.2L
1Rockhampton1400m21 May 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-0.8
8Warwick1350m7 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT54L
5Rockhampton1200m12 Apr 2026 · MDN · SOFT64.1L
2Warwick800m24 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.1L
4Toowoomba925m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jess Emmerson 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
William Kropp in good form, out performing market 24%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jess Emmerson in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 38%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 65%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (22-weeks). Since trialled at Dalby. Among the dangers fresh in this line-up back at country level.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Started $13.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 10th last run at Ipswich and dropping in distance. Jockey Jess Emmerson rates highly aboard. Can take this out.

Not far behind Flying Rothe when tenth over 1m½f at Ipswich (handicap) five months ago; lightly raced with this just his fifth appearance; returns from a break today; can have a big say given there is limited recent form on offer in this race and was successful two starts back.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Was 12/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Ipswich and back to a shorter trip. Could take this out.

3Merchant MoonJ: Jade Metcalfe·T: G W Schrader161.5kg1 4 4 3 723: 3-2-3$9.00$2.65

Career

23: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Roma
2: 0-0-0
Track Nanango
1: 1-0-0
Track Deniliquin
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1070m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 2-2-3
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
4: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Dalby1200m31 Oct 2026 · BM50 · SOFT56.15L
3Gympie1170m10 Oct 2026 · BM55 · GOOD5.44L
4Tara1400m3 Oct 2026 · 0 - 558.21L
4Warra1100m29 Aug 2026 · BM502.8L
1Nanango1200m8 Aug 2026 · 0 - 50-0.8
9Goondiwindi1200m18 July 2026 · BM5010.2L
9Dalby1000m18 June 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD412.9L
7Roma1200m21 June 2025 · BM50 HCP · GOOD9.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Went home tamely at Dalby at $13. Others rate stronger.

ILB

On a short back up. Odds of $13.00 and tailed off to finish 7th last start at Dalby but has drawn the rails. Should jump out and bowl along. Could feature here.

Found life tough when 6l back in seventh at Dalby over 6f (handicap) last Saturday; others more appealing.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started 12/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Dalby but has a nice advantage with a good stall. Displays good tactical pace.

4Donegal BayJ: Hayley Saunders·T: M W Goodwin461kg6 9 5 3 519: 1-1-4$5.00$1.85

Career

19: 1-1-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-1-1

Last starts

5Moree1300m30 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.45L
3Taroom1400m26 Sept 2026 · BM502.71L
5Morven1400m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 554.88L
9Gatton1100m30 July 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD411.8L
6Ipswich1350m4 June 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT510.3L
6Chinchilla1400m16 May 2026 · BM553.9L
6Warwick1200m28 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD34.5L
6Gympie1030m18 Apr 2026 · BM507.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 6kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Warming into it late at Moree. A few runs under his belt this campaign, could get into the placings.

ILB

On a quick back up. Ran on into 5th last run at Moree but bit of extra work to do with more weight. Should go close.

Finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) at Moree over 6½f (handicap) last week; only once has he got into the winners' enclosure; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

On a short back up. Made up ground when 5th last time at Moree but hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Expected to be competitive.

5SianJ: Todd Banks·T: Jeron De Boeck261kg10 12 8 5 583: 5-6-11$31.00$4.40

Career

83: 5-6-11

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-0-1
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
3: 0-0-1
Distance 2100m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
3: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
43: 4-1-6
Going Heavy
14: 0-4-1

Last starts

5Dalby800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)15.7L
5Warialda1700m11 Apr 2026 · BM5010.4L
8Newcastle1350m23 Mar 2026 · BM58 · SOFT620.5L
12Gunnedah1400m7 Mar 2026 · BM50 · GOOD38.4L
10Tamworth2100m16 June 2025 · BM66 HCP · SOFT69.66L
10Warren2400m2 June 2025 · BM58 HCP BENCHMARK 58 HCP · GOOD413.6L
1Gunnedah2150m25 May 2025 · 3UP BM58 HCP · SOFT5-1.8
4Gunnedah2150m5 May 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT52.4L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 25% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 72% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (30-weeks). Ex Gavin Groth in NSW. Didn't come up last preparation. Since trialled at Dalby.

ILB

First up from a spell of 30 weeks. Odds of $13.00 and only fair when 5th last time at Warialda but has a positive barrier. Coming to a new trainer. Considering others.

Came home fifth, beaten 10l, over 1m½f at Warialda (handicap) in April; useful at this level; first start for current trainer; has had some time off; could go well if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

First run back from a 30 week break. Odds of 12/1 and moderate showing when 5th last start at Warialda but drawn nicely. First race for a new trainer.

6Exceptional RupertScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Ridden back and never a factor at Dalby. First try at 1400m. Keener on others.

ILB

On a short back up. Didn't attack the line when 10th last time at Dalby but can find a nice position from the draw.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Weakened to finish 10th last time at Dalby but can find a nice position from the draw.

7Hi FrankJ: Hannah Richardson·T: Jon Taylor860.5kg4 3 1 4 320: 2-3-3$5.00$1.85

Career

20: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Mackay
2: 1-0-0
Track Goondiwindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Roma
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1640m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
8: 1-1-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-2-2

Last starts

3Charleville1625m24 Oct 2026 · BM65 · SOFT7.59L
4Morven1800m19 Sept 2026 · BM5512.13L
1Birdsville1600m4 Sept 2026 · BM55 · GOOD-0.2
3Roma1640m15 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD6.9L
4Tambo1400m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 553.2L
4Goondiwindi1200m18 July 2026 · BM502.8L
4Bluff1000m4 July 2026 · 0 - 5013L
4Rockhampton1100m14 Mar 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT56.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 54%
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 7.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Secured third in a staggered finish at Charleville. Coming back in distance. Key player if things pan out.

ILB

Competitive effort when 3rd last run at Charleville but rises in weight. Shows good early pace. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

Mostly consistent recently; not beaten too far when third at Charleville over 1m (handicap) last month; shown he can get his head in front so ought to be in the mix.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 3rd last start at Charleville but has to carry more weight this time. Should race on the pace. Seriously worth strong consideration.

8Life Of TreeJ: Natalie Morton·T: M Callaghan360kg5 9 8 9 527: 1-1-3$6.50$2.30

Career

27: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Dalby
2: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Dalby1400m31 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT57.93L
9Gatton1100m16 Oct 2026 · 0 - 55 · SOFT56.95L
8Toowoomba1210m3 Oct 2026 · CG&E CL1 · GOOD413.4L
9Doomben1640m16 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD413.8L
5Warwick1350m10 Sept 2026 · CG&E 0 - 58 · GOOD33.3L
5Toowoomba1300m8 Aug 2026 · BM55 · GOOD43.5L
5Gold Coast1100m1 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.7L
3Gatton1100m10 July 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD40.5L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Failed to threaten at Dalby over this trip. Fit from racing, one for multiples.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. At $16.00 lost ground in the run home when 5th last run at Dalby. Likely to be well placed early. Prefer in a much weaker race.

Was held in fifth (Dalby) upped to this distance last week; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of 15/1 and lost ground in the run home when 5th last start at Dalby.

9My ShalonaScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Broke maiden at Stanthorpe 17 Oct. Failed to threaten at Dalby over today's trip. Key contender.

ILB

On a short back up. Was $9.50 and weakened to finish 7th last time at Dalby. Has plenty of early speed.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. At 17/2 couldn't stay in touch when 7th last start at Dalby. Should be going forward early.

10NytheJ: Amy Graham·T: Mark Patterson659kg4 1 5 7 1144: 1-4-2$21.00$3.90

Career

44: 1-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Cunnamulla
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Track Blackall
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
21: 1-3-1
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
29: 1-2-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Charleville1000m3 Nov 2026 · BM50 · SOFT22.98L
7Morven1200m19 Sept 2026 · CLB32.03L
5Charleville1100m22 Aug 2026 · 0 - 553.4L
1Roma1200m15 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD-7.4
4Tambo1200m1 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW5.7L
7Blackall1200m20 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD6L
3Charleville1200m4 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW1.6L
4Roma1200m20 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD7.1L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 33% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Charleville. Looks up against it.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Started $15.00 and average at best when 11th last time at Charleville but coming back up in distance. Low-key chance.

Finished 11th of 12 over 5f at Charleville (handicap) on Tuesday; others more appealing.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started at 14/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 11th last start at Charleville but returning to more ground. Might be ridden for luck.

11Prince CarlosJ: Darren Evans·T: Ms C Rogers557.5kg3 1 7 8 584: 5-9-9$9.00$2.70

Career

84: 5-9-9

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Springsure
1: 1-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
46: 3-6-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
19: 1-3-3

Last starts

5Rockhampton1400m31 Oct 2026 · BM50 · SOFT53.2L
8Toowoomba1640m3 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD411.61L
7St George1400m26 Sept 2026 · BM5018.42L
1Springsure1400m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 55-2.2
3Dingo900m22 Aug 2026 · 0 - 556.3L
4Roma1640m15 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD7.8L
7Roma1200m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 558L
5Thangool1075m18 July 2026 · 3yo+7L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Cheryl Rogers striking at just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Veteran, just going through the motions lately. Last assignment this trip when prominent before fading late at Rockhampton. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Started at $51.00 and came in 5th last run at Rockhampton. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Would not recommend.

Not disgraced when fifth at Rockhampton last Saturday; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started 50/1 and finished 5th last run at Rockhampton. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

Odds correct as at Sat 7 Nov, 9:50 am AEDT. Odds can change.