Geelong (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:18 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Geelong (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovGeelong (VIC)Change

Race 9 — Ewers Environmental Consulting (Bm62) 1135m · jumps Fri 13 Nov, 5:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Ewers Environmental Consulting Benchmark 62 handicap over 1135 metres at Geelong on Good 4 track is a compact middle-distance affair that shapes as a genuine contest. Redders heads the win market, with Du Clisson next, followed by Sea Poem and Mr Assertive. The race will jump at 5:30 pm AEDT under overcast skies. Early speed will matter here: Du Clisson and Bleak Mid Winter sit in the onpace group, while Mr Assertive leads from the front. Redders and Hey Jessie are mapped to offpace, creating tactical tension in what looks like a wide-open affair.

Redders resuming after 21 weeks is the market elect, but the negatives stack up. Trainer D T O'Brien's stable is striking at just 9 per cent lately, and a rider change today adds uncertainty. His recent Geelong jumpout was only fourth. Du Clisson is the angle worth backing: the jockey-trainer combo is outperforming market expectations by 187 per cent, Bailey Kinninmont gets a 3-kilogram claim, and the gelding's early speed is a genuine advantage on this circuit. Rating 100 and freshly primed, Du Clisson looks the value play. Sea Poem is right in this too—not beaten far at Geelong two starts back and picks up a handy claim for Radley despite a less suitable booking, but the form is there. Mr Assertive, meanwhile, carries 62 kilograms, and whilst the comment notes he ran on with conviction last time, trainer Mark & Levi Kavanagh are striking at just 2 per cent. Jockey Joe Bowditch's current form sits 35 per cent below his career average—plenty of question marks.

The case against the market favourite hinges on form and fitness. Redders' resumption angle is legitimate but his rating of 85 lags Du Clisson's 100, and a soft-track specialist returning to Good 4 after a long spell is always risky. The value sits with Du Clisson at better odds, a horse with rating 100 backed by a hot stable doing exactly what the market hasn't priced in. Sea Poem deserves consideration as a roughie—the pace will suit a finisher with the fastest closing sectionals in the field, and Radley's claim is a legitimate edge.

Race notes

3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
GOOD4
Overcast
10 runners

Shortest win price

Redders (2)

2.65

Most career wins

Mr Assertive and Sea Poem

4 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10Recycle King

Offmidfield

11Gold Bijoux
3Sea Poem
4Smarticon
6Edges Diamond

Offpace

2Redders
8Hey Jessie

Onpace

5Du Clisson
9Bleak Mid Winter

Leader

1Mr Assertive

Mr Assertive · Negative
Jockey Booking
Joe Bowditch current POT is 35% below Career Avg.
Redders · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Sea Poem · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Smarticon · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Mr AssertiveJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh462kg5 9 8 1 822: 4-4-6$7.00$2.25

Career

22: 4-4-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
2: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-4
Distance 1000m
7: 1-3-0
Distance 1100m
6: 0-1-0
Going Good
14: 3-2-5
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-2-1

Last starts

8Geelong1100m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD41.67L
1Geelong1125m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.3
8Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.5L
9Morphettville1000m22 Aug 2026 · BM70 · SOFT79L
5Seymour1100m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.9L
3Cranbourne1200m30 Jan 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD31.4L
1Geelong1112m14 Jan 2026 · BM62 · GOOD3-2.8
7Flemington1100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM66 · GOOD34.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Joe Bowditch current POT is 35% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
M & L Kavanagh striking at just 2%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 72% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ran on with some conviction from back half this track. Jumps from better barrier and big weights don't seem to worry him. Take stopping despite hefty weight.

ILB

Started at $17.00 and came in 8th last run at this venue. Displays good tactical speed. Potential to run into a place.

Fair effort when beaten 1½l last month; possesses winning form at this track; this is competitive and may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and finished 8th last time at this track. Should jump out and bowl along.

2ReddersJ: Michael Dee·T: D T O'Brien562kg2 8 2 2 1112: 2-3-1$2.65$1.28

Career

12: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 2-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
6: 1-2-0

Last starts

11Caulfield Heath1200m17 June 2026 · BM70 · SOFT69.2L
2Murray Bridge1100m23 May 2026 · 3Y BM68 HCP · SOFT50.1L
2Morphettville1200m25 Apr 2026 · 0-68 · GOOD44L
8Sandown1200m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.9L
2Murray Bridge1200m7 Mar 2026 · 3-4yo · GOOD42.3L
6Caulfield1200m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD45L
1Geelong1140m26 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.3
8Moonee Valley1200m23 Aug 2025 · 3Y C&G SWP · GOOD45.8L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Geelong
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Finished fourth in a recent Geelong jumpout. City class gelding on his day. Can challenge fresh.

ILB

First up and dashed home to win first up last preparation at the track. Stepping down to a lower level. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Could be in the mix.

Finished 11th of 12 over 6f at Caulfield (handicap) in June; yet to taste defeat at this track, winning on two visits but has not been firing consistently; returns from a layoff; this looks a decent race so may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Resuming and rounded them up to win resuming last preparation around here. Back in an easier grade. Rising in weight. Not at all out of this race.

3Sea PoemJ: Jackson Radley·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes961.5kg5 6 3 4 218: 4-2-3$6.00$2.05

Career

18: 4-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
4: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1105m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Going Good
10: 3-1-2

Last starts

2Bendigo1100m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.35L
4Ballarat1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD40.1L
3Geelong1125m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.3L
6Sandown1200m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.2L
5Sandown1400m15 July 2026 · Benchmark 74 · HEAVY93.8L
2Sandown1300m1 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · HEAVY90.4L
3Swan Hill1200m5 June 2026 · BM78 · SOFT60.7L
5Flemington1100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM66 · GOOD34L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot Trainer
Positive
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in good form, out performing market 24%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Not beaten far here two back over 1200m. Loses senior jock but picks up a handy claim for Radley. Right in this.

ILB

Close to claiming the win last time at Bendigo. Will be motoring home late. Should go very close.

Possesses winning form at this track; running consistently; beaten narrowly at Bendigo two weeks ago; encouragement to be gleaned from latest effort so has to be respected.

RSIS

Right in the mix last time at Bendigo. Has a great burst of pace late. Has claims.

4SmarticonJ: Patrick Moloney·T: David & Coral Feek660.5kg8 7 1 3 114: 3-1-3$18.00$3.70

Career

14: 3-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
4: 2-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 2-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1107m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-1
Going Good
9: 2-0-2

Last starts

1Echuca1000m11 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT5-0.8
3Seymour1200m13 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT50.9L
1Geelong1112m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-0.2
7Caulfield Heath1200m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · GOOD45.2L
8Mornington1200m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
6Wangaratta1170m22 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT52.5L
1Geelong1107m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5
7Sale1429m25 June 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT620L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Key Jockey
Positive
Patrick Moloney winning at 16% POT in last 100 rides
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Geelong
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form

Comments

AAP

First-up (26-weeks). Began last prep with a first-up win at at Geelong. Second in recent Mornington jumpout. Each-way.

ILB

Fresh after break of 26 weeks. Dashed home to win last time at Echuca but facing a stronger group of contenders. Likely to settle back in the field. Very unlikely to cause an upset.

Narrow scorer in a handicap at Echuca in May; a previous winner here; returns from a layoff here; others more appealing despite that win at Echuca.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 26 weeks. Stormed home to win last start at Echuca but facing stiffer opposition. Likely to get back.

5Du ClissonJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Tom Dabernig359.5kg3 5 5 9 215: 3-5-1$4.20$1.55

Career

15: 3-5-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-2-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Track Dunkeld
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
11: 3-3-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1103m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 3-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0

Last starts

2Warrnambool1000m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.25L
9Caulfield Heath1000m27 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT73.1L
5Warrnambool1000m6 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY103.9L
5Mornington1000m18 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD41.2L
3Caulfield1000m31 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
1Warrnambool1000m11 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD3-2.8
1Mornington1000m23 Dec 2025 · CL1 · GOOD4-3
2Mornington1000m5 Dec 2025 · 0 - 62 · GOOD31.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 187%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Strips in better shape and gets the benefit of a 3kg claim. This looks very achievable.

ILB

Attacked the line when 2nd last time at Warrnambool. Won't be far away during the run. Large claim helps. Winning potential.

Record shows she knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 3-14); runner-up when 6-4 over 5f at Warrnambool (handicap) 15 days ago; trainer going well a plus.

RSIS

Caught the eye when 2nd last start at Warrnambool. Shows good early pace. Bailey Kinninmont takes a large claim. Strong competitor.

6Edges DiamondJ: Dean Yendall·T: Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell159.5kg6 9 7 5 312: 2-0-2$12.00$3.10

Career

12: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1106m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1125m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
10: 2-0-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Horsham1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.8L
5Hamilton1100m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.72L
7Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46L
9Bendigo1000m30 July 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT65.4L
6Terang1125m2 Jan 2026 · BM78 · GOOD36.7L
3Terang1200m16 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD31.4L
8Werribee1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.9L
9Ararat1300m9 Nov 2025 · 3UP HCP · GOOD38.7L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1

Comments

AAP

Showed a fine turn of foot from the back at Horsham. Generally around the mark in this grade but this is more demanding.

ILB

Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last run at Horsham and drawn beautifully. Watch betting.

Ran encouragingly when just under 2l third at Horsham last month; possesses winning form at this track; others more likely as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 3rd last start at Horsham and drawn beautifully. Possesses very good finishing pace. Could be in the mix.

7EgertonScratched9––––

Career

18: 3-5-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-2-0
Distance 955m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
10: 2-2-0
Going Good
14: 3-4-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

4Cranbourne1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD31.55L
6Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 4UP MARES BM78 HCP · SOFT53.05L
4Sandown1000m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.3L
10Mornington1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD45.9L
6Pakenham1000m2 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD42.4L
4Caulfield Heath1000m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
9Cranbourne955m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD44.8L
2Cranbourne955m13 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD31L

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Quiet jumpout between runs. Goes into wider exotics.

ILB

Was $12.00 and picked up some late ground when 4th last start at Cranbourne.

Solid effort over 5f at Cranbourne (handicap) 35 days ago; latest effort was encouraging so might have a say.

RSIS

Odds of 11/1 and crept into 4th last time at Cranbourne.

8Hey JessieJ: Declan Bates·T: Dominic Sutton1059kg1 12 8 6 139: 2-1-0$14.00$3.40

Career

9: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1143m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

13Sandown1400m23 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM78 HCP · SOFT728.4L
6Geelong1243m1 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.2L
8Caulfield1400m29 Nov 2025 · 3yo · SOFT613.86L
12Caulfield1200m15 Nov 2025 · 3yo · GOOD45.5L
1Bendigo1300m29 Oct 2025 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD3-0.5
7Seymour1000m12 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.4L
4Mornington1000m28 Sept 2025 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD43.5L
7Caulfield800m2 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial1.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Led and won recent Flemington jumpout. Anticipating forward showing on resumption.

ILB

First up after a break. At $101.00 didn't find the line when 13th last time at Sandown but dropping in grade. Dropping back to a shorter trip. Rough chance today.

Beaten a long way at Sandown over 7f (handicap) six months ago; layoff to overcome; must go on the shortlist if finding her best form.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. At 100/1 lost ground in the run home when 13th last run at Sandown but matched against a less competitive field. Back to a shorter trip.

9Bleak Mid WinterJ: Jackie Beriman·T: Ms B Mcphan258.5kg10 6 7 6 18: 2-1-1$51.00$6.00

Career

8: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Track Traralgon
1: 1-0-0
Track Clare
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1217m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

1Traralgon1100m31 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT7-1
6Moe1000m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.15L
7Bairnsdale1000m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT73.1L
6Cranbourne1000m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT72.9L
10Morphettville1050m10 May 2025 · 3Y BM64 HCP · GOOD48.4L
1Clare1100m19 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD4-2.39
2Gawler1100m25 Oct 2024 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.7L
3Moe1217m18 Aug 2024 · Maiden · SOFT61.52L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 127%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Huge win after biding time at the rear at Traralgon when second-up. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Picked up late to win last start at Traralgon and gets a favourable gate. Should muster plenty of early speed. On an upward trajectory in recent races. Rising in grade. Has some claims.

Lightly raced for age; won a handicap by 1l at Traralgon 13 days ago; despite that Traralgon success, there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Charged home to win last time at Traralgon and has a good draw. Likely to be well placed early. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Up against stronger competition. Respect the betting.

10Recycle KingJ: Jordan Childs·T: Scott Cameron858kg2 3 1 4 119: 1-1-1$31.00$4.40

Career

9: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Sale
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1206m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Sale1411m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY89.2L
4Sale1400m10 June 2026 · BM66 C · HEAVY81.1L
1Geelong1243m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.2
3Sale1113m19 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
2Ararat1206m30 Mar 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD32L
6Kyneton1106m13 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.4L
10Geelong1440m25 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.8L
4Seymour1200m11 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.9L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Geelong
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (19-weeks). Fifht and fourth in two recent Flemington jumpouts. Looks vulnerable fresh.

ILB

Fresh after a spell. Started $21.00 and didn't attack the line when 11th last run at Sale on a heavy track and coming back in trip. Considering others.

Track has proven suitable before; finished towards the rear of 13 at Sale over 7f (handicap) in June; layoff to overcome; meeting some horses in good form and is passed over.

RSIS

Back after a break. Started at 20/1 and was well beaten when 11th last run at Sale and down in distance. Likely to get back in the run.

11Gold BijouxJ: Eoin Walsh·T: T & C Mcevoy756.5kg7 8 7 13: 1-0-0$16.00$3.70

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1112m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Kilmore1112m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-3.25
7Mildura1000m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.05L
8Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.03L
7Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
T & C McEvoy striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Controlled race and kicked away from them at Kilmore last outing. Looks up against it.

ILB

Was dominant when winning by a margin of 3 1/4L last time at Kilmore but competing in a more challenging grade. Expected to settle towards the rear. Not likely to pull off the victory.

Registered first success at the third time of asking in a maiden (Kilmore) when springing a surpise to score by just over 3l (went off 28-1) two weeks ago; strong contender.

RSIS

Gave nothing else a chance when winning by 3 1/4L last run at Kilmore but taking on stronger competition. Might have to make up considerable ground.

12Ole DazeScratched12––––

Career

3: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 1-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1170m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-0

Last starts

9Caulfield Heath1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD47.44L
2Sandown1200m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.5L
1Wangaratta1170m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.5
2Bendigo1000m13 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial2.3L

Insights

Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (28-weeks). Ex V T Nolen in Victoria. Under riding in latest Pakenham jumpout. Prefer to see for new stable off long lay-off.

ILB

On a quick back up. Was $6.00 and finished 6th last time at Seymour.

Finished sixth yesterday albeit only beaten 2½l at Seymour over 6f (handicap) on debut for this trainer; was due to run at Seymour Thursday.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Odds of 5/1 and ran 6th last time at Seymour.

Odds correct as at Fri 13 Nov, 5:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Wed 23 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 11 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races