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Gosford (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Gosford (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thursday 22 October 2026

Race 3 — Saddles Mount White Mdn Hcp 1100m · jumps 2:25 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • 4UP MDN HCP,4Y+ MDN,4yo+,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Rosie Rouge (8)

3.20

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Hey Furston

Offpace

  • 9Extreme Courage
  • 4Brutal Advance
  • 7Oakfield Virginia

Onpace

  • 1Lions Eyes
  • 6Tickelova

Firststart

  • 2Think And Act

Leader

  • 8Rosie Rouge
  • 10Excels
  • Lions Eyes · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Bryce Heys striking at just 9%

  • Think And Act · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Brutal Advance · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hey Furston · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Lions EyesJ: Mollie Fitzgerald·T: Bryce Heys960.5kg8 2 1 2 22: 0-2-0Lions Eyes win8.50Lions Eyes place2.45

Career

2: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2Hawkesbury1000m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.44L
  2. 2Hawkesbury1000m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.13L
  3. 1Warwick Farm819m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.3
  4. 2Warwick Farm789m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
  5. 8Warwick Farm789m18 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial3.7L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Bryce Heys striking at just 9%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 27% Profit on Turnover

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Shown early promise. Pushed forward and fought on solidly 3yo+ Super Mdn at second outing. Fitter, has scope to progress. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Honest run on the speed before fading to finish 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Hawkesbury. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation. Genuine claims.

RP

Turned in a solid effort in defeat two weeks ago, when second (Hawkesbury) over 5f (handicap); this just his second run in a handicap.

RSIS

Put together a strong on-pace performance when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Hawkesbury. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts of late. Definite winning chance.

2Think And ActJ: Jeff Penza·T: Lee & Cherie Curtis359kg2Think And Act win10.00Think And Act place2.70

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 2Rosehill900m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jeff Penza 21% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-1-0). $45k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare. Most recent barrier trial fair and drawn well. Look to markets.

ILB

4yo debutant by So You Think for Lee & Cherie Curtis. Blinkers go on for the first time. Respect the betting.

RP

Sire's stock can be smart performers; conceding experience to all his rivals; big chance with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

First appearance at the races 4yo by So You Think for Lee & Cherie Curtis. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time.

3Don't Doubt DarcyScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 352 day break (> 300 days)

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (50-weeks). Passable debut effort when battled home at Kembla Grange when in the market. Has trialled well for return. Betting.

ILB

Fresh from a 50 week break. Odds of $2.70 and closed off nicely when 4th last time at Kembla Grange and having second race start.

RSIS

Back from a break of 50 weeks. Started 7/4 and showed some merit late when 4th last time at Kembla Grange and having second race start.

4Brutal AdvanceJ: Chad Lever·T: K J Parker558kg4 3 2 2 215: 0-7-2Brutal Advance win5.00Brutal Advance place1.75

Career

15: 0-7-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-2-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-3-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 0-2-1

  • Distance 1020m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-4-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-3-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Kembla Grange1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
  2. 2Kembla Grange1200m26 Sept 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD43L
  3. 2Moruya1020m15 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT70.5L
  4. 3Moruya1300m21 Dec 2025 · Maiden · SOFT51.2L
  5. 4Kembla Grange1200m11 Dec 2025 · MDN HCP · GOOD30.7L
  6. 4Hawkesbury1100m27 Nov 2025 · Maiden · GOOD41.8L
  7. 2Hawkesbury1100m8 Nov 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD40.1L
  8. 2Queanbeyan1000m27 Oct 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT50.6L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

Comments

AAP

Honest type. Fantastic effort when picked up smartly and only beaten a whisker at Kembla Grange. Each way.

ILB

Competed in a tight contest last run at Kembla Grange. Been in the placegetters each attempt this campaign. Will show up at the business end.

RP

Has displayed improved form on last two starts but yet to open his account after 15 starts; narrowly beaten and favourite at Kembla Grange two weeks ago in a maiden; hard enough to fancy as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Missed by a narrow margin last run at Kembla Grange. In the placings at every start recently. Good tough competitor that can be supported.

5Hey FurstonJ: Reece Jones·T: R A Bailey758kg2 51: 0-0-0Hey Furston win101.00Hey Furston place10.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Newcastle900m6 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · GOOD410.03L
  2. 2Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

Comments

AAP

Unremarkable debut performance at Newcastle 6 Oct. Must show improvement off that run.

ILB

At $13.00 improved when 5th last run at Newcastle and having second career run. Expected to settle towards the rear. May find these too slick.

RP

Held fifth of seven but was making his first appearance in Newcastle handicap over 4½f (12-1) 16 days ago; something to find with Tickelova (second) on that performance; running in a handicap for just the second time; one to note with a bit more luck as excuses last time (crowded) and the penny could well drop today.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and improved late to finish 5th last time at Newcastle and was on debut last time. Likely to get back in the field.

6TickelovaJ: Dylan Gibbons·T: K A Lees258kg4 14 1 5 22: 0-1-0Tickelova win3.60Tickelova place1.40

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Newcastle900m6 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · GOOD40.51L
  2. 5Gosford1000m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.9L
  3. 1Muswellbrook800m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
  4. 14Scone1100m15 May 2026 · 2&3Y MDN · GOOD411.9L
  5. 4Wyong1000m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L
  6. 3Gosford800m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L
  7. 6Gosford1000m25 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial1.6L
  8. 4Wyong845m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2.5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Kris Lees in good form, out performing market 25%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Gibbons in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 39%

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

Comments

AAP

Brave after showing speed at Newcastle at her second race start. Warrants attention.

ILB

Was competitive when 2nd last time at Newcastle and will try to take advantage of the alley. Prefer in a much weaker race.

RP

Cracking effort in defeat over 4½f at Newcastle (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Looked good when 2nd last time at Newcastle and has a positive stall.

7Oakfield VirginiaJ: Tommy Berry·T: K A Lees857kg3 3 1 1 21: 0-0-1Oakfield Virginia win12.00Oakfield Virginia place3.20

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Tamworth

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.7L
  2. 1Beaumont1000m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial-1.3
  3. 1Wyong845m28 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.3
  4. 3Scone900m19 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial0.2L
  5. 3Tamworth1200m15 Aug 2025 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD41.8L
  6. 3Gosford1000m23 July 2025 · Barrier Trial2.3L
  7. 5Beaumont800m9 July 2025 · Barrier Trial6.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 25%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 433 day break (> 300 days)

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (61-weeks). Left a decent impression on debut at Tamworth when supported 15 Aug 2025. Experience a positive. Can challenge again fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First run back from a 61 week spell. Finished amongst the placegetters when 3rd last run at Tamworth and fitter for debut run. Has some claims.

RP

Solid performance in defeat first time out when favourite over 6f at Tamworth at 7-4 last August; has a long absence to overcome.

RSIS

First run back from a 61 week break. Good effort to place 3rd last run at Tamworth and fitter for debut run.

8Rosie RougeJ: Tim Clark·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott157kg5 4 5 2 11: 0-0-0Rosie Rouge win3.20Rosie Rouge place1.36

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Randwick1050m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.1
  2. 2Randwick740m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
  3. 5Canterbury898m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.2L
  4. 4Rosehill900m24 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)2.6L
  5. 5Randwick736m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.1L
  6. 7Warwick Farm1100m19 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD43.95L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Tim Clark current POT is 51% below Career Avg.

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 56% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 610 day break (> 300 days)

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming after a (87-weeks) spell. Reasonable debut performance when battled to line at Warwick Farm. Given time to develop physically and has shown promise in trials. Watch betting.

ILB

Back from a break of 87 weeks. Jumped at $5.50 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run in a chase at Warwick Farm but having second career run. Slim possibilty.

RP

Solid effort first time out at Warwick Farm at 4-1 last February; returns from a lengthy absence; should improve with a run under her belt although it was only a modest start.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 87 weeks. Started 9/2 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last time in a chase at Warwick Farm. Drawn the rails.

9Extreme CourageJ: Rachel King·T: Ross Mcconville456.5kg2 2 5 7 28: 0-3-0Extreme Courage win8.50Extreme Courage place2.50

Career

8: 0-3-0

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 900m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-3-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Hawkesbury1100m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.97L
  2. 7Kembla Grange1000m12 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47L
  3. 5Wyong1100m30 Aug 2026 · Maiden · GOOD44.1L
  4. 2Kembla Grange1000m15 Aug 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
  5. 2Illawarra Grange800m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
  6. 8Wagga1000m24 Dec 2025 · Maiden · GOOD43.5L
  7. 2Wyong1000m26 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD40.3L
  8. 1Kembla Grange780m5 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.8

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Settled off pace, rallied well but couldn't match winner at Hawkesbury over this distance. Drawn favourably and a nice weight drop. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Displayed good finishing speed when 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Hawkesbury. Has a credible chance.

RP

Went down by less than a length at Hawkesbury when ahead of Excels two weeks ago in a maiden; stepped up on his last two starts; Rachel King booked.

RSIS

Was strong late when 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Hawkesbury. Good chance and definitely has claims.

10ExcelsJ: Ashley Morgan·T: Nathan Doyle656kg2 2 6 1 44: 0-1-0Excels win14.00Excels place3.40

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Hawkesbury1100m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.4L
  2. 1Newcastle1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.7
  3. 6Scone900m31 July 2026 · MDN · GOOD44.1L
  4. 2Scone800m1 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)0.9L
  5. 2Seymour1000m28 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
  6. 7Moonee Valley1000m21 Feb 2025 · Handicap · GOOD311.1L

Insights

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Still learning her craft. Got the wobbles late after leading at Hawkesbury second-up. All the better, can play a role.

ILB

Jumped at $4.60 and was outmatched late when 4th last time at Hawkesbury. Won't be far away during the run. Good chance in this.

RP

Close up behind Extreme Courage when fourth in a maiden at Hawkesbury 14 days ago; should prove competitive as has bits and pieces of decent form.

RSIS

Started at 7/2 and peaked on the run when 4th last start at Hawkesbury. Expecting to settle positively. One of the punters top hopes.

Odds correct as at 2:30 am AEDT. Odds can change.