Gosford (NSW) horses tips & previews

Thursday 22 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Gosford (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thursday 22 October 2026

Race 4 — Central Coast Nsw Legacy Super Mdn Hcp 1000m · jumps 3:05 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,Maiden,SUPER MDN,SUPER MDN HCP
GOOD4
Fine
9 runners

Shortest win price

Hit The Runway (6)

4.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

3Freshman

Offpace

9Skiting
1Don't Doubt Darcy

Onpace

7Kursaal
4Qayed

Firststart

5Regal Profit
6Hit The Runway
8Sakurious

Leader

10Wild Courage

Don't Doubt Darcy · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%
Freshman · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Qayed · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Regal Profit · Negative
Trainer A2E
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Don't Doubt DarcyJ: Andrew Adkins·T: C Karakatsanis559kg1 1 4 11: 0-0-04.201.55

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Warwick Farm813m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-2.9
4Kembla Grange1000m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.3L
1Rosehill900m24 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.9
1Kembla Grange805m14 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial-1

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 352 day break (> 300 days)
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (50-weeks). Passable debut effort when battled home at Kembla Grange when fancied. Furnished with time and will take benefit from recent trials. Watch betting.

ILB

Fresh after break of 50 weeks. Jumped at $2.70 and showed some merit late when 4th last run at Kembla Grange and was on debut last time. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

Fair debut effort at Kembla Grange at 7-4 last November; returns from a break here; could improve from his debut but will need to.

RSIS

Back from a 50 week break. Started 7/4 and ran past a few when 4th last run at Kembla Grange and was a debutant last start. Very capable of taking this out.

2All Day SuckerScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 63% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 110%
Key Jockey
Positive
Serg Lisnyy winning at 52% POT in last 100 rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Well down the track at Newcastle on debut at wide odds. Has a fair bit to find.

ILB

Was nothing special when 6th last time at Newcastle but having second career run.

RSIS

Well beaten when 6th last start at Newcastle but fitter for debut run.

3FreshmanJ: Mollie Fitzgerald·T: Bryce Heys457kg71: 0-0-015.003.40

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Warwick Farm1100m5 Oct 2026 · 3Y GRAD BM68 HCP · SOFT611.63L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Well down the track at Warwick Farm on debut when crunched in betting. Better for run. Dropping back to 1000m here. Should have more to offer.

ILB

Odds of $15.00 and struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Warwick Farm. Expecting improvement here and fitter for debut run. Will be motoring home late. Rates as one of the key chances.

Came home last over 5½f on his debut at Warwick Farm showing signs of greenness at 14-1 17 days ago; running in a handicap for only the second time; must now step up.

RSIS

Was 14/1 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last run at Warwick Farm. Is capable of a resurgence and was on debut last time. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

4QayedJ: Tyler Schiller·T: M, W & J Hawkes857kg2 2 6 9 12: 0-0-05.001.75

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Warwick Farm815m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.1
9Caulfield Heath1200m17 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT63.4L
6Caulfield1200m30 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY85L
2Canterbury893m1 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.4L
2Rosehill900m17 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.2L
4Canterbury900m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Hot Trainer
Positive
M, W & J Hawkes in good form, out performing market 31%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (18-weeks). Comes off a good trial. Didn't make much impact in stronger races last prep. Can play a role fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Resumes after a spell. Was $12.00 and faded to finish 9th last start at Caulfield Heath. Happy to forgive that run and facing a weaker group of contenders. Definitely worth considering.

Not beaten too far when ninth of 11 over 6f at Caulfield (handicap) four months ago; back from an absence here.

RSIS

First run back. Started 11/1 and struggled with the pace when 9th last time at Caulfield Heath. Should improve here and going down in grade. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

5Regal ProfitJ: Jason Collett·T: G Portelli957kg6 1 1 2 14.601.70

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

1Warwick Farm816m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
2Rosehill1030m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.3L
1Warwick Farm788m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-2.7
1Warwick Farm799m13 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial-1.4
6Warwick Farm818m31 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial2.1L

Insights

Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (6:4-1-0). $100k purchase. Out of a full sister to G2 winner Time to Reign. Primed to go with some seriously good trial performances.

ILB

3yo first starter by Capitalist for Gary Portelli. Looks ready to go after winning all trials. Watch betting.

First start for this son of Capitalist; there's hope from the pedigree that he has some ability; ought to be of interest.

RSIS

First start at the races 3yo by Capitalist for trainer Gary Portelli. Unbeaten in multiple trials.

6Hit The RunwayJ: Sam Clipperton·T: C Maher255.5kg4 34.001.55

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

3Warwick Farm819m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.9L
4Kembla Grange800m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.8L

Insights

Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:0-1-1). Trial work has been reasonable and there may be more up her sleeve for race day. Benefit of decent alley. Bears close watching.

ILB

Ciaron Maher 3yo by I Am Invincible having first race start and will try to take advantage of the draw. Betting as a guide.

Yard can have debut winners, especially over this trip; related to Runaway Tycoon (winner from 5f up to 6½f); sire can inject some quality; warrants plenty of respect with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

3yo debutant sired by I Am Invincible for Ciaron Maher and can find a nice position from the draw. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time. Watch the betting.

7KursaalJ: Tom Sherry·T: Peter Snowden655.5kg6 1 2 9 32: 0-1-014.003.40

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-1-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Rosehill900m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L
9Gosford1100m18 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY87.2L
2Scone900m31 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY82.6L
1Warwick Farm740m25 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-1.9
6Randwick737m15 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3.1L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Tom Sherry current POT is 37% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 33% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (18-weeks). Placed on debut last campaign while trialling well in the lead-up. This is no soft return.

ILB

First up and made considerable ground when 2nd beaten by over 2 1/2L first up last preparation at Scone. Ran 3rd in a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Oct 2nd. Betting is the best guide.

Last of nine four months ago in a maiden; returns from a layoff here; others more likely.

RSIS

Resuming and caught the eye when 2nd beaten by over 2 1/2L resuming last preparation at Scone. Ran 3rd in a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Oct 2nd. Can't leave out of your calculations.

8SakuriousJ: Alysha Collett·T: K J Parker355.5kg6 219.003.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

2Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.4L
6Illawarra Grange800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 46% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Alysha Collett 47% above market expected in L100 Rides
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-1-0). $80k purchase. Out of a Group 3-winning mare. Latest trial okay but this shapes as a tough debut test. Good draw. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

3yo by Maurice racing as a debutant for trainer Kerry Parker. Placed 2nd in a barrier trial at Kembla Grange on Oct 7th. Follow the money.

Shares a dam with Wedding Vow, a 1m½f winner; running for the first time; should get involved with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Debutant 3yo by Maurice for Kerry Parker. Ran 2nd in a trial at Kembla Grange on Oct 7th.

9SkitingJ: Leeshelle Small·T: J M Sharah755.5kg8 7 5 5 721: 0-1-1101.0011.00

Career

21: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
8: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-1-1
Going Good
10: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-0-1

Last starts

7Nowra1200m20 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD46.4L
5Nowra1100m10 Aug 2026 · F&M MDN · SOFT74.6L
5Nowra1000m11 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD31L
7Hawkesbury1400m14 Dec 2025 · CL1 · SOFT511.5L
8Kembla Grange1200m15 Nov 2025 · Class 1 · GOOD410L
3Nowra1200m2 Nov 2025 · MDN · SOFT62.3L
8Hawkesbury1000m23 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD411.6L
9Hawkesbury1100m16 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.6L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Nowra. Form doesn't inspire.

ILB

Jumped at $101.00 and was ordinary when 7th last run at Nowra. A 21 start maiden. Leeshelle Small provides some weight relief. This looks a tough assignment.

Held in seventh over 6f at Nowra (maiden) four weeks ago; yet to open her account after 21 starts; passed over.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and average performance when 7th last run at Nowra. Yet to break maiden status after 21 starts. The large claim from Leeshelle Small helps.

10Wild CourageJ: Chad Schofield·T: C Maher155.5kg2 3 4 4 43: 0-0-15.501.95

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Newcastle900m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD41.63L
4Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
4Hawkesbury1100m21 May 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY84.24L
3Newcastle900m23 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · SOFT51.8L
2Hawkesbury800m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.2L
9Rosehill900m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)10L
4Warwick Farm818m31 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial1L
6Warwick Farm805m17 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial2.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 29% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form to date sound. Not far off them in the small field at Newcastle. Fitter second-up. Right in this.

ILB

Odds of $3.40 and crept into 4th last run at Newcastle and will appreciate a good barrier. Should muster plenty of early speed. Definite claims for punters.

Not yet off the mark in three attempts although has finished third; respectable effort at Newcastle over 4½f (handicap) three weeks ago; just second start in this company and booking of Chad Schofield takes the eye.

RSIS

Was 12/5 and made some ground when 4th last run at Newcastle and drawn by the rails. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Has definite claims.

Odds correct as at 2:30 am AEDT. Odds can change.