Hobart (TAS) horses tips & previews

4 Nov, 4:24 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hobart (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovHobart (TAS)Change

Race 8 — Winning Edge Presentation Goodwood Hcp 1100m · jumps Tue 3 Nov, 2:45 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Winning Edge Presentation Goodwood Handicap is an Open Quality race at Hobart over 1100 metres on a Good 4 track in overcast conditions, jumping at 2:45 pm AEDT. Durazzo is shortest in the market, with Blameitontheboogie and Prince Of Khatun next best. Those three command the money, but the form picture suggests genuine uncertainty in a race where several runners carry risk alongside promise.

Durazzo brings the strongest recent evidence to the table. The horse is a proven fresh performer, stepping out 35 weeks since last racing and carrying the AAP comment that it is expected to make an immediate impact. Career record reads 17 starts for 11 wins and three placings, and Kelvin Sanderson is riding in strong form—his recent strike rate is 35 per cent above his career average. From barrier one in a midfield speed group, the claims look solid. Prince Of Khatun sits chasing a hat-trick after back-to-back victories at Launceston, though barrier 10 is awkward and recent form over 1100 and 1200 metres fits the distance profile. Adam Trinder's stable is outperforming market expectations by 25 per cent, a significant positive for the trainer's runners. Blameitontheboogie is resuming after 20 weeks and carries the professional tag, but the form lacks the sharpness of Durazzo's return; a gap from 800 metres to 1100 metres is meaningful, though Codi Jordan's jockey ROI is running 12 per cent above career average.

Zany Girl offers intrigue further down the market. The horse finished second at Launceston on 25 September with a solid effort in the back half, shaken up and full of running in the closing stages. That run suggests finishing power, and while barrier eight and a backmarker speed map put the horse in a pocket, the comment identifies it as one for multiples—a valid observation for a race where the favourite carries unknowns tied to its layoff. Perola has taken a negative rider change and the current jockey's strike rate is 52 per cent below her career average, a material headwind worth noting. Alpine Thunder leads the field from barrier six but carries just an 11 per cent strike rate from trainer Stuart Gandy's stable—enough to question whether early speed alone will suffice.

Race notes

Open,QLTY HCP,Qlty
GOOD4
Overcast
10 runners

Shortest win price

Durazzo (1)

2.65

Most career wins

Durazzo

11-3-1 from 17 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Geegees Gemstone
8Zany Girl

Offmidfield

4Perola

Midfield

3Perspiration

Offpace

1Durazzo
6Prince Of Khatun
9Georgaroni
5Blameitontheboogie

Onpace

7Flying Concello

Leader

11Alpine Thunder

Durazzo · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Geegees Gemstone · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Perspiration · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Perola · Negative
Jockey Booking
Hayley Mc Carthy current POT is 52% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1DurazzoJ: Kelvin Sanderson·T: Barry Campbell161kg1 2 3 1 317: 11-3-1$2.65$1.28

Career

17: 11-3-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Launceston
9: 7-0-1
Track Devonport Synthetic
3: 3-0-0
Track Hobart
5: 1-3-0
Distance 1009m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1150m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 6-1-1
Going Soft
5: 2-2-0
Going Synthetic
3: 3-0-0

Last starts

3Longford800m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.5L
1Longford800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.1
3Launceston1600m25 Feb 2026 · Hellova St Stks · GOOD41.3L
2Hobart1400m8 Feb 2026 · LISTED WFA · SOFT50.3L
1Hobart1600m28 Dec 2025 · INEV STAKES · GOOD4-0.5
1Launceston1400m10 Dec 2025 · Conquering Stak · GOOD4-0.3
1Launceston1200m21 Nov 2025 · LISTED · GOOD4-0.8
2Hobart1100m8 Nov 2025 · Open · SOFT51L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

First-up (35-weeks). Wonderful competitor. Proven fresh performer. Expected to make an immediate impact.

ILB

First up after a break of 35 weeks. Caught the eye when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Launceston and hard to fault at this trip. Every possible hope today.

Has won at this track; normally pretty consistent; didn't quite live up to market expectations at evens when third over 1m at Launceston (Listed race) in February; strong contender in this lower-class event and has some notable wins on the CV.

RSIS

Back from a break of 35 weeks. Hit the line well when 3rd last start at Launceston and proven runner at this distance. Drawn well. Back in trip. Smart type.

2Geegees GemstoneJ: Chloe Wells·T: S Gandy457.5kg2 2 3 2 324: 8-2-3$23.00$3.90

Career

24: 8-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Launceston
14: 6-1-3
Track Devonport Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
8: 2-1-0
Distance 1100m
7: 5-1-0
Distance 1200m
11: 3-1-3
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 7-0-2
Going Soft
5: 1-2-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L
2Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
3Launceston1200m25 Feb 2026 · Open · GOOD41.3L
2Launceston1200m23 Jan 2026 · LADBROKES STKS · SOFT51.8L
2Hobart1100m14 Dec 2025 · Open · SOFT51.3L
11Launceston1200m21 Nov 2025 · LISTED · GOOD44.8L
3Hobart800m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial0.2L
6Cranbourne1200m10 Oct 2025 · 3UP HCP · GOOD46.6L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 35% Profit on Turnover
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track And Dist
Positive
Loves at this track and trip
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 4 when resuming
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Resuming (35-weeks). Two pleasing trial hitouts leading into return and proven first-up. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this affair.

ILB

Has multiple wins when resuming. Maintained a solid pace but eventually weakened to finish 3rd last run at Launceston and have to respect the form at the distance. Will need to find a new peak.

Brings winning C&D form to the table; a while since he's been in the winners' enclosure (last win two years ago); just over 1l third to Perspiration at Launceston over 6f (handicap) when producing a respectable effort in February; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Should be ready to fire fresh. Was quite a handful for the competition when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Launceston. Expected to settle towards the tail.

3PerspirationJ: Jackson Radley·T: J L Keys955.5kg1 6 4 4 312: 4-2-1$9.00$2.60

Career

12: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-1-0
Track Launceston
2: 1-0-1
Track Hobart
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
6: 3-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 2-1-1
Going Good
4: 2-1-0

Last starts

3Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
4Hobart1200m5 July 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT55L
4Hobart1000m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)5.1L
6Caulfield1200m30 May 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY84.9L
1Hobart1000m12 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-2
2Hobart800m27 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
1Launceston1200m25 Feb 2026 · Open · GOOD4-1.3
1Hobart1200m6 Feb 2026 · 3-4yo · GOOD4-0.5

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (17-weeks). 5yo with spaced form. Adept fresh and good recent trial. Not out of this fresh in this company.

ILB

Back from a break. At $3.60 picked up some ground to run 4th last start at the track but facing a stronger group of contenders. Carrying less weight this time. Few more classier types in this race.

Has won at this course; useful at this level; finished fourth but wasn't beaten too far (5l) here over 6f (handicap) four months ago; ought to be competitive as he clearly knows how to get his head in front.

RSIS

Back from a break. Odds of 13/5 and made some ground when 4th last run at the track but facing stiffer opposition. Will benefit with the weight drop.

4PerolaJ: Hayley Mc Carthy·T: J K Blacker354kg8 1 5 4 631: 8-4-3$101.00$10.00

Career

31: 8-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
4: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-1
Track Hobart
14: 4-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
14: 4-2-1
Track Launceston
17: 4-2-2
Distance 1100m
8: 0-2-1
Distance 1200m
9: 4-0-1
Distance 1400m
11: 3-1-1
Going Good
17: 5-1-2
Going Soft
14: 3-3-1

Last starts

6Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.1L
4Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.1L
5Launceston1420m17 Apr 2026 · OPEN HCP · GOOD46L
1Launceston1200m3 Apr 2026 · OPEN HCP · GOOD4-2
8Launceston1400m20 Mar 2026 · BM76 · GOOD42.9L
5Launceston1100m13 Mar 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT51.9L
4Launceston1400m25 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 F&M SWFA · GOOD42.7L
6Hobart1400m8 Feb 2026 · LISTED WFA · SOFT52.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Hayley Mc Carthy current POT is 52% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (28-weeks). Two quiet trials for return and proven here. Drawn to receive every chance and form encouraging this track. Among the dangers fresh in this affair.

ILB

Fresh from a 28 week break. Started $7.00 and lost ground in the run home when 5th last start at Launceston and coming back in distance. Facing a stronger class. Needs significant improvement.

Held in fifth (Launceston) in April upped to 7f; season-ticket holder here with four wins but no winning form at this trip; facing a testing assignment and not one to rely on.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 28 weeks. Started 6/1 and folded up in the straight when 5th last run at Launceston and facing a stronger group of contenders.

5BlameitontheboogieJ: Codi Jordan·T: G J Stevenson754kg1 1 1 1 29: 6-1-2$4.60$1.65

Career

9: 6-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 3-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hobart
2: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-1
Track Launceston
3: 2-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1150m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 4-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
1Devonport Synthetic1009m14 June 2026 · OPEN HCP · SYNTHETIC-3
1Devonport Synthetic1150m31 May 2026 · CL4 · SYNTHETIC-0.02
1Devonport Synthetic1150m17 May 2026 · CL4 SW · SYNTHETIC-3.5
1Devonport Synthetic800m21 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-1.5
3Hobart1200m28 Dec 2025 · CL3 · GOOD41L
1Launceston1100m10 Dec 2025 · CL2 · GOOD4-0.8
3Launceston1100m21 Nov 2025 · CL2 · GOOD41.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 12% in Last 100 Rides
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 3 from 3 when resuming
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Consummate professional. At his best fresh while showing enough in recent trials. Warrants attention fresh in this affair.

ILB

Has multiple wins first up. Won by a huge margin of 3L last run at Devonport Synthetic but competing at a higher level of competition. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

Gained a 3l success over 5f at Devonport (handicap) five months ago; made it a hat-trick last time; has to be respected.

RSIS

Has multiple wins when resuming. Blitzed its rivals when winning by 3L last start at Devonport Synthetic but matched against a stronger field. One that represents value at a decent price.

6Prince Of KhatunJ: Erica Byrne Burke·T: Adam Trinder1054kg1 3 1 1 114: 6-5-1$4.00$1.50

Career

14: 6-5-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
5: 1-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-2-0
Track Launceston
6: 2-3-1
Distance 1200m
4: 1-2-1
Distance 1220m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-4-1
Going Soft
4: 2-1-0
Going Synthetic
3: 3-0-0

Last starts

1Launceston1100m16 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD4-0.5
1Launceston1200m2 Oct 2026 · BM68 · SOFT5-0.35
1Devonport Synthetic800m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-3.5
3Launceston1200m25 Feb 2026 · 3Y-SWP · GOOD41.8L
1Hobart1000m8 Feb 2026 · CL6 SW · SOFT5-0.5
2Hobart1200m18 Jan 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD41.3L
1Devonport Synthetic1150m7 Jan 2026 · CL4 · SYNTHETIC-3
1Devonport Synthetic1150m19 Dec 2025 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC-2

Insights

Hot Trainer
Positive
Adam Trinder in good form, out performing market 25%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
In Form
Positive
Racing in top form recently

Comments

AAP

Chasing hat-trick. On pace and toughed it out well at Launceston when second-up. Awkwardly drawn but has enough speed. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Game effort to win narrowly by 1/2L last time at Launceston but up against a more competitive field. Has not missed this campaign with 2 wins from as many starts. Value play.

Too good for Zany Girl and Georgaroni when winning by half a length at Launceston two weeks ago; a previous winner here; bids to pull off a hat-trick; possible squeak.

RSIS

Managed to come out on top by the slightest of margins last start at Launceston but testing ability against stronger contenders. Has some claims.

7Flying ConcelloJ: Troy Baker·T: Jessie Bazan254kg1 1 1 1 121: 7-1-2$10.00$2.70

Career

21: 7-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1143m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 2-0-1
Distance 1300m
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
14: 2-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 3-0-0

Last starts

1Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1
1Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.2
1Hobart1200m24 May 2026 · BM68 · SOFT5-0.8
1Hobart1100m26 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD4-3.3
1Hobart1100m12 Apr 2026 · CL4 SW · SOFT5-2
3Launceston1200m20 Mar 2026 · CL4 SW · GOOD41.5L
1Launceston1100m20 Feb 2026 · CL4 SW · GOOD4-0.5
1Longford800m10 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.5

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Jessie Bazan striking at just 10%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Form At Track
Positive
3 time winner here at Hobart
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Form excellent last prep. Successful when resuming last campaign and maintained consistent form thereafter while winning a recent trial without much pressure. All the same, looks up against it in this company.

ILB

First run back from a break. Stormed home to win last time at this track and suited at this trip historically. Can find a nice position from the draw. This won't be easy.

Completed her hat-trick last time and unbeaten over this C&D after two runs; narrow scorer in a handicap in May; probably unlikely to trouble the principals despite that win last time.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last time at the track and have to respect the form at this trip.

8Zany GirlJ: Anthony Darmanin·T: S Gandy854kg7 3 1 2 416: 4-2-4$9.00$2.60

Career

16: 4-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 2-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
6: 4-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
6: 4-0-1
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-1-4
Going Soft
5: 3-1-0

Last starts

4Launceston1100m16 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD41.27L
2Launceston1120m25 Sept 2026 · BM76 · GOOD40.5L
1Hobart800m20 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.2
3Launceston1400m20 Mar 2026 · BM76 · GOOD41.2L
7Launceston1400m25 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 F&M SWFA · GOOD44.4L
4Hobart1200m8 Feb 2026 · F&M-WFA · SOFT54L
3Hobart1100m18 Jan 2026 · F&M SW+P · GOOD44.8L
10Caulfield1600m18 Oct 2025 · 1000 GNEAS · GOOD49.2L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -24%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 35% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 37%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Great run at Launceston 25 Sep. Quietly handled in back half, shaken up and finished full of running at Launceston when second-up. One for multiples.

ILB

At $3.60 made some ground when 4th last run at Launceston but rising in class. Might have to make up considerable ground. Looks hopeful.

Brings winning C&D form to the table; respectable effort (beaten just over 1l) at Launceston last month, a race won by the reopposing Prince Of Khatun; hard enough to fancy as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Was 13/5 and made up ground when 4th last run at Launceston but up against a higher level of opposition. Might have to make up considerable ground.

9GeorgaroniJ: Lauryn Bingley·T: J K Blacker554kg1 1 6 3 713: 5-3-2$91.00$9.00

Career

13: 5-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Hobart
8: 3-2-2
Track CurrentTrack
8: 3-2-2
Track Launceston
5: 2-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-1-1
Distance 1420m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
7: 2-2-1
Going Soft
6: 3-1-1

Last starts

7Launceston1100m16 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD44.02L
3Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L
6Hobart1600m10 May 2026 · BM74 · SOFT54.1L
1Launceston1620m17 Apr 2026 · CL4 SW · GOOD4-1
1Launceston1400m3 Apr 2026 · CL3 · GOOD4-0.8
2Hobart1600m22 Mar 2026 · CL4 SW · GOOD40.4L
2Launceston1420m4 Mar 2026 · CL3 · SOFT50.8L
3Hobart1100m15 Feb 2026 · BM68 · SOFT50.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure off extended spell in the Open Hcp at Launceston. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and not up to standard when 7th last time at Launceston and matched against tougher rivals. In a lot of trouble.

Could not compete with Prince Of Khatun when seventh back down to this distance at Launceston two weeks ago; suited by this C&D; this line-up contains some strong opposition so has questions to answer.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and not competitive when 7th last run at Launceston and facing a stronger grade.

10Glory MissionScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs

Comments

AAP

Picked up strongly from back half at Launceston when fancied. Winner at only other start at Hobart. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Finished with intent when 2nd last run at Launceston but racing against tougher rivals. Amongst the placegetters at every start this preparation.

RSIS

Good effort when finishing 2nd last start at Launceston but rising in grade. Has run into the placings at every start of late.

11Alpine ThunderJ: Sam Kennedy·T: S Gandy654kg6 7 1 1 522: 7-3-2$23.00$4.00

Career

22: 7-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 2-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-1-0
Track Hobart
19: 6-3-2
Track CurrentTrack
19: 6-3-2
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1009m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
8: 4-1-1
Going Good
8: 4-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 2-3-1

Last starts

5Launceston1120m25 Sept 2026 · BM76 · GOOD44.65L
1Devonport Synthetic1009m2 Sept 2026 · BM76 · SYNTHETIC-3.8
1Hobart1100m19 Aug 2026 · BM68 · SOFT5-0.8
7Hobart1000m5 Aug 2026 · BM68 · SOFT73.6L
6Hobart1200m19 July 2026 · BM68 · SOFT53.5L
5Hobart1100m15 Feb 2026 · BM68 · SOFT53.9L
8Hobart1000m8 Feb 2026 · CL6 SW · SOFT59.9L
1Hobart1100m25 Jan 2026 · BM68 · GOOD4-2.3

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Sam Kennedy 61% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 35% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Sam Kennedy winning at 41% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Launceston. Leads, handy. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Was $14.00 and finished 5th last start at Launceston but proven runner at this distance. Should jump out and bowl along. Facing stiffer opposition. Struggle to recommend.

Has a C&D record of four wins from eight starts; finished behind Zany Girl beaten 4½l at Launceston five weeks ago; this is competitive and unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Started at 13/1 and ran 5th last time at Launceston but hard to fault at this distance. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Up in class.

Odds correct as at Tue 3 Nov, 2:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.