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Kilmore (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kilmore (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 30 OctKilmore (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Bill Harding Memorial (Bm56) 1212m · jumps

Race preview

Kilmore hosts the Bill Harding Memorial for Benchmark 56 gallopers over 1212m on a Soft5 surface with fine weather overhead. The win market is headed by Japanese Moka, closely followed by Manchego, Lagunanini, and Golden Pulse in the early order. This sets up an intriguing test where the value sits with runners capable of handling the conditions and dictating terms early.

Japanese Moka brings compelling form after leading throughout to win at Bairnsdale following a runner-up effort at Hamilton on soft ground. Trained by M M Laurie, this runner is proven on soft tracks and should have more to come at this stage of preparation. Manchego represents another key chance from the T & C Mcevoy yard, coming off a game second at Kyneton where it made the pace and was only edged out late. John Allen takes the ride from barrier two, and an economic trail should be on offer.

Further down the order, speed groups indicate Japanese Moka, Golden Pulse, and Lagunanini will look to press forward from their respective gates, while Hells Son settles back in the field. Lagunanini comes back to Kilmore after a well-beaten run here previously, facing an adverse draw in barrier nine. Punters weighing up the race should look past the obvious dangers and assess whether the market has fully accounted for the soft track capabilities of the on-pace runners.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM56,BM56 HCP,Benchmark 56
  • SOFT5
  • Fine
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Japanese Moka (4)

2.35

Most career wins

Hells Son

5-7-9 from 49 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 1Hells Son

Offmidfield

  • 5True Prophet

Midfield

  • 3Rock The Bar
  • 8Golden Age

Offpace

  • 2Manchego
  • 6Golden Pulse

Onpace

  • 4Japanese Moka

Leader

  • 9Lagunanini

  • Hells Son · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Manchego · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 14%

  • Rock The Bar · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Japanese Moka · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Hells SonJ: Stephanie Hateley·T: R Tait462.5kg5 6 1 3 849: 5-7-9$31.00$3.80

Career

49: 5-7-9

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    9: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1065m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    7: 1-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    8: 1-0-3

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-2-0

  • Going Good

    29: 2-5-6

Last starts

  1. 8Tatura1000m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.65L
  2. 3Wodonga1100m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.75L
  3. 1Wangaratta1170m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY9-0.4
  4. 6Albury1175m27 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY92.9L
  5. 5Narrandera1000m12 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT74.8L
  6. 3Albury1175m16 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY90.8L
  7. 7Corowa1000m1 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT63.3L
  8. 5Tumut1000m7 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 74 · SOFT62L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 31 days

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Tatura. Looks up against it.

ILB

Jumped at $21.00 and finished 8th last time at Tatura. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Few more classier types in this race.

RP

Fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing eighth of 12 at Tatura over 5f (handicap) last month; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and came in 8th last run at Tatura. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

2ManchegoJ: John Allen·T: T & C Mcevoy261kg3 8 3 1 221: 3-1-4$3.00$1.22

Career

21: 3-1-4

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-0-2

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1125m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    16: 3-1-2

Last starts

  1. 2Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.5L
  2. 1Echuca1209m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-2
  3. 3Ballarat Synthetic1200m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.8L
  4. 8Geelong1312m10 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT55.5L
  5. 3Avoca1300m29 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32L
  6. 5Ararat1300m8 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42L
  7. 6Great Western1950m24 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT54.3L
  8. 4Stawell1600m4 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.6L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 14%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Edged out late after making the pace at Kyneton at very skinny odds. Drawn to get an economic trail. Looks a genuine contender.

ILB

Faded at the finish when 2nd last run at Kyneton and gets a favourable draw. Will be positive in the run early. Will show up at the business end.

RP

Beaten only narrowly (Kyneton) last Tuesday.

RSIS

Grabbed towards the finish when 2nd last time at Kyneton and can find a nice position from the draw. Won't be far away during the run. Strong chance.

3Rock The BarJ: Neil Farley·T: Shannon Roughan161kg6 2 4 8 825: 4-1-3$16.00$3.00

Career

25: 4-1-3

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1312m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 3-1-2

Last starts

  1. 8Sale1415m8 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD38.2L
  2. 8Terang1406m17 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.4L
  3. 4Kyneton1479m27 Feb 2026 · BM56 · SOFT63.6L
  4. 2Seymour1429m3 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD30.8L
  5. 6Geelong1312m14 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.8L
  6. 8Seymour1300m28 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD42.6L
  7. 11Geelong1430m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.8L
  8. 2Caulfield1000m20 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial0.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 69%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 75% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

Comments

AAP

First-up (29-weeks). Last win was 15 Jan 2025. Capable fresh and has jumped out solidly in preparation for this. Not the roughest.

ILB

Resuming after a break of 29 weeks. Started at $12.00 and below standard effort when 8th last run at Sale but up against a less competitive field. Appears tested.

RP

Finished last of eight over 7f at Sale (handicap) in April; useful in this grade; returns from a layoff.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 29 weeks. Started 11/1 and clearly outclassed when 8th last start at Sale but taking on a lower class of opponents.

4Japanese MokaJ: Chelsea Thompson·T: M M Laurie760.5kg2 12: 1-1-0$2.35$1.12

Career

2: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT7-2.5
  2. 2Hamilton1200m14 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT61.3L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Led and in control from go to whoa at Bairnsdale at second outing. Soft proven, heavy unknown. Should have more to come so he's shortlisted.

ILB

Gave them all something to chase to win by 2 1/2L last start at Bairnsdale. Expecting to settle positively. Solid claims.

RP

Scored by 2½l in a maiden (Bairnsdale) when opening his account at the second time of asking 18 days ago; he's worth a go.

RSIS

Showed a clean pair of heels when winning by 2 1/2L last time at Bairnsdale. Should come to hand quickly. Has not missed the money lately in 2 attempts. Forward showing expected.

5True ProphetJ: Jamie Gibbons·T: Jamie Gibbons660kg3 3 2 2 532: 3-5-7$17.00$3.10

Career

32: 3-5-7

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-2

  • Third-up

    5: 2-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Echuca

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1629m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    6: 1-0-3

  • Going Good

    18: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-2

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 5Echuca1200m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.15L
  2. 2Lockhart1400m2 Oct 2026 · 3yo+3.68L
  3. 2Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.5L
  4. 3Wangaratta1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY92.5L
  5. 3Seymour1300m19 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92.5L
  6. 7Bendigo1400m13 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT52.5L
  7. 3Echuca1312m23 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT71.2L
  8. 1Wangaratta1300m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY8-0.3

Insights

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Finished within striking distance 3yo+ (Bm56) at Echuca at healthy odds. Very fit, can play a role.

ILB

Odds of $19.00 and crept into 5th last start at Echuca. Putting up notable efforts this campaign. Sound chance.

RP

Finished fifth but only beaten just over 1l at Echuca 11 days ago.

RSIS

Started 18/1 and closed off nicely when 5th last run at Echuca. Exhibiting good form since returning from a break.

6Golden PulseJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: M W Walker559.5kg1 8 5 9 64: 1-0-0$13.00$2.65

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1147m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Tatura1000m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.5L
  2. 9Bendigo1100m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY814.2L
  3. 5Caulfield Heath800m16 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)2.4L
  4. 8Geelong1100m3 Jan 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD313.3L
  5. 1Geelong1147m4 Dec 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-2

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Battled home okay at Tatura when second-up. Could get into the placings.

ILB

At $11.00 finished 6th last start at Tatura. Has the potential to improve sharply. Definite winning chance.

RP

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) over 5f at Tatura (handicap) four weeks ago; should prove competitive if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success and had excuses last time (checked).

RSIS

Was 10/1 and finished 6th last run at Tatura. Giving another chance here. Has strong claims.

7Sistine TunnelScratched8––––

Career

16: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    4: 1-1-1

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1247m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    7: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    6: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Geelong1247m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.7L
  2. 2Mornington1200m17 Sept 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD40.15L
  3. 5Ballarat Synthetic1000m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC3L
  4. 4Swan Hill1200m28 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT51.9L
  5. 4Ballarat Synthetic1000m26 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC5.5L
  6. 3Ballarat1200m24 Oct 2025 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT50.6L
  7. 1Ballarat1200m14 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.2
  8. 8Bendigo1100m17 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.1L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Luke Currie current POT is 44% below Career Avg.

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

Great run at Mornington 17 Sep. On pace but found little at the business end at Geelong. Has a tricky draw and up in weight. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Came in 5th last time at Geelong but up against weaker rivals.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten just under 5l in fifth, Geelong) three weeks ago; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Finished 5th last start at Geelong but up against a less competitive field.

8Golden AgeJ: Nathan Punch·T: Cameron Templeton358kg4 8 8 14 1232: 2-2-3$81.00$6.00

Career

32: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    7: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1012m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 12Ballarat Synthetic1400m21 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC13.4L
  2. 14Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY816.9L
  3. 8Werribee1012m30 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT611.7L
  4. 8Sandown1400m28 Jan 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD47L
  5. 4Pakenham1200m16 Jan 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD43.3L
  6. 1Terang1400m2 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD3-0.8
  7. 3Colac1200m20 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.65L
  8. 4Cranbourne1200m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.2L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (18-weeks). Ex M E Templeton in Victoria. Not a known fresh performer and best over a touch further. Needs to see a betting push at stable debut.

ILB

Back from a break. Jumped at $41.00 and tailed off to finish 12th last time Ballarat Synthetic. Have to look elsewhere.

RP

Last of 12 over 7f at Ballarat (handicap) four months ago; slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Terang in January; layoff to overcome; others are preferred.

RSIS

First run back today. Odds of 40/1 and faded to finish 12th last time Ballarat Synthetic.

9LagunaniniJ: Linda Meech·T: T Busuttin & N Young958kg1 10 9 65: 1-0-0$4.40$1.36

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Kilmore1100m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.66L
  2. 9Morphettville1050m11 Apr 2026 · 2Y LISTED SW · SOFT69.4L
  3. 10Caulfield1200m14 Mar 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD48.9L
  4. 1Sale1112m1 Mar 2026 · 2yo · SOFT6-1.3

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 10%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Linda Meech winning at 3% POT in last 100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Remains fresh. Well back and never a factor this course off long spell. Has an adverse draw. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Started at $4.80 and just average when 6th last run at this venue. Looking for an improved run and competing at a lower level of competition. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.

RP

Held in sixth over 5½f here (handicap) four weeks ago; running in a handicap for just the second time; hard to ignore as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and shown she can get her head in front.

RSIS

Started at 4/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 6th last time here. Should bounce back and competing at a lower grade. Likely to be well placed early. Good tough competitor that can be supported.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Tue 13 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Mon 28 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Sun 13 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races