Shortest win price
Little El (7)
1.70
Launceston hosts the Jkb Racing – Own The Feeling Plate over 1600m on a Good 4 surface under fine weather conditions, with the race scheduled for 10:00 pm AEDT. Looking at the win market order, Little El holds the shortest price, closely followed by Thickskinned, Genuine Lady, and Sky Eagle rounding out the leading market fancies.
The form behind the market leaders points to some compelling angles. Thickskinned comes in with a rating of 100 after a solid win here over 1600m in Class 2 grade before battling home in a BM76. Genuine Lady is shooting for a hat-trick at this course following strong victories over 1200m, and the step up in distance looks a positive move. Meanwhile, Little El has been racing in great heart, sticking on well when placing over this track and trip last time out.
The speed map shows Genuine Lady, Last Tremble, and Little El pushing forward from their barriers as leaders, which could set up a genuine tempo. Further down the market, Sky Eagle brings a runner-up effort over 1600m at Hobart and could work into the finish if the leaders overcook things up front.
Shortest win price
Little El (7)
1.70
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
I'm Chev · Negative
Jockey Booking
Craig Newitt current POT is 43% below Career Avg.
Sir Jag · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races
Thickskinned · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Genuine Lady · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Career
27: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
7: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-0-1
Track Longford
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1650m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 2020m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
14: 2-2-1
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Craig Newitt current POT is 43% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not far off them in the small field this track. Draw makes the job harder. Strikes a harder race.
ILB
Started $6.50 and had difficulty when 4th last time here and rising in weight. Should race on the speed. Not in this.
RP
Fair effort (beaten just under 2l) over 7f here (handicap) when he wasn't far behind Sky Eagle last month.
RSIS
Started 11/2 and not competitive when 4th last start at this track and goes up in weight. Has early pace and positions nicely.
Career
53: 3-9-7
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
21: 2-7-4
Track Launceston
29: 1-2-3
Track CurrentTrack
29: 1-2-3
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1220m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
24: 1-3-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
26: 2-6-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 52% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Settled midfield, let down really well at Hobart over this trip. Very fit, again one for multiples.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Finished with intent when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Hobart but facing a stronger group of contenders. Cannot recommend as a betting proposition.
RP
Finished just behind Sky Eagle when third at Hobart last Tuesday in a handicap; has won at this course; others are preferred as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.
RSIS
On a short back up. Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Hobart but up against stronger competition.
Career
12: 3-1-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
2: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
6: 2-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
6: 2-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1620m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 1-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5kg now
AAP
Won Hcp (C2) Launceston 9 Oct. Unhurried early and only battled home (Bm76) this track over this journey. Sound form this course. Makes strong appeal.
ILB
Was $4.60 and chased well when 5th last start at the track and will find this grade more suitable. Putting up notable efforts since returning from a spell. Strong contender.
RP
A winner over C&D; didn't run too badly when out of the frame here (beaten 3½l) in a handicap 12 days ago; strong claims as shown he can win fairly recently.
RSIS
Started at 7/2 and made up ground when 5th last start at the track and drops back to a suitable class. Performing impressively since coming back from a break. Hard to beat.
Career
13: 3-2-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
3: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
7: 3-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 3-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 3-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs
AAP
Shooting for hat-trick this course. Strong win over 1200m Hcp (C2) this venue. More ground a plus. Again holds plenty of aces.
ILB
Reeled them in when winning last run around here and going up in distance. On a winning streak the last 2 runs. Should muster plenty of early toe. Place best.
RP
Got the job done by 1l last month in a handicap; knows how to win here with three course wins and on a hat-trick after last win; should be on the premises.
RSIS
Finished hard to win last start here and stepping up in distance. On a winning streak the last 2 runs. Should muster plenty of early pace.
Career
39: 3-5-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
16: 1-2-1
Track Launceston
17: 2-3-1
Track CurrentTrack
17: 2-3-1
Distance 1150m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1220m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
17: 2-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
16: 1-2-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson 41% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 23% Profit on Turnover
Hot Jockey
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 41%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Kept coming and just fell short at Hobart over this trip. Fit from racing, could again get into the placings.
ILB
On a quick back up. Narrowly denied victory last run at Hobart but testing ability against stronger contenders. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Marginal contender.
RP
Good effort when close up in a handicap (Hobart) in front of Sir Jag a week ago; has won here before.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Threw down a serious challenge last time at Hobart but facing stiffer opposition. Likely to get back.
Career
25: 1-3-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
4: 0-0-2
Track Hobart
7: 0-1-1
Track Launceston
14: 1-2-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-1-0
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-2
Going Good
9: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-3-1
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Handily placed , just outpaced when it mattered at Hobart. Drawn to get an economic trail. Deep into her campaign, not out of this.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Was $7.00 and weakened to finish 7th last run at Hobart but can find a nice position from the draw. Up in grade.
RP
Has won here previously; fair effort when close behind Bella Chinkara at Hobart (dropped to 7f) last Tuesday in a handicap; this is competitive and others make more appeal.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started 6/1 and gave away some ground when 7th last start at Hobart but can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
11: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
3: 1-0-0
Track Launceston
5: 1-2-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-2-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Racing in great heart. Pressed on early and stuck on well when in the market this course. Stats are tidy this course. Looks a serious player.
ILB
Did well when 2nd last start around here. Likely to be well placed early. Displaying good ability this campaign. Will be there at the business end.
RP
Track has proven suitable before; ran encouragingly when just over 1l second in a handicap last month; likely to be thereabouts.
RSIS
Did well when 2nd last time here. Likely to be well placed early. Been in the money multiple times lately. Will run close.
Career
21: 1-4-4
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-2-1
Track Hobart
14: 1-3-3
Track Launceston
5: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
7: 1-2-1
Going Good
7: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
11: 0-1-3
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -70% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 23% Profit on Turnover
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Put in some good work late at Hobart. Fit from racing, warrants attention.
ILB
On a short turnaround. At $4.00 inched into 4th last time at Hobart and gets the perfect draw. Competing at a higher level of competition. Can run into the placings.
RP
Fourth a week ago, only beaten less than a length,, finished ahead of Last Tremble at Hobart in a handicap; low strike-rate of 1-21; been struggling to get her head in front recently so looks opposable.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Odds of 3/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last time at Hobart and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.