Shortest win price
Panta Rhei (5)
2.90
Moree hosts a Benchmark 66 handicap over 1200m on a soft five track in fine conditions at 4:40 pm. Panta Rhei is shortest in the win market, with Orsum next, followed by He's My Warrior and Winged. The race shapes as a leader's paradise, with six runners mapped to the front including the three favourites and Winged. Panta Rhei won at Scone on the 25th over this distance at 60.5kg in good ground, then ran on without winning at the same track over 1000m on soft five. Billy Cray's strike rate has improved markedly, and Justin Drake's runner rates highly at 93. The question mark is whether backing up quickly over soft ground plays against a seven-day turnaround.
He's My Warrior is in the mix at third favourite. Drawn in three, the gelding gets a soft run behind that wall of early speed, and the form suggests it has claims: third at Tamworth over this trip at good four, led bravely, and has been freshened. However, the jockey booking is noted as less suitable, and the C K Martin and Juliet Partridge combination has won at zero percent of strike in their last hundred races — a red flag. Winged shapes as the bolter at fourth favourite. Ashley Butler is outperforming market expectations by 25 percent in recent rides and sits 24 percent above market in his last hundred, yet last start was ordinary at Bundarra in a small field at 1400m. Dropping to 1200m and a better field may inspire a sharp turnaround, though first-up form across four attempts reads 0-0-1.
Orsum at second favourite rates as live value. Rated 80, it sat on pace but could not sustain the bid at Coonamble, yet the previous run at Scone showed solid form at BM58. The map here is offpace, and the form pattern suggests the gelding is handy enough to feature in the finish if the tempo suits. Olufsen at fifth favourite is worth close inspection: the Jacob Stiff and Sally Torrens combination is outperforming market expectations by 97 percent, and the last few runs show something is building. Drawn in four, it will vie for an early spot in that leader's group. The bold lean sits with runners who have answered recent questions over this surface and distance; that case favours Orsum at the odds.
Shortest win price
Panta Rhei (5)
2.90
Most career wins
Minimal
7-2-1 from 29 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
He's My Warrior · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Wanda River · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 9% in Last 100 Rides
Olufsen · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%
Panta Rhei · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Onpace
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6kg now
AAP
Solid run (Bm72) at Toowoomba 26 Sep. No threat as a $19 chance in E&G (Bm78) at Doomben. Commands attention back at this level despite the big load.
ILB
Odds of $19.00 and faded away to finish 10th last time at Doomben but will be well suited at the trip. Displaying good ability since returning from a break.
RSIS
Was 18/1 and struggled with the pace when 10th last start at Doomben but will find this grade easier. Exhibiting good form recently and hard to fault at the distance.
Career
33: 4-6-4
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Quirindi
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1175m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 4-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 0-3-3
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 32 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 6kg more than LS
AAP
Freshened. Led and fought on bravely for third at Tamworth over this trip. Drawn to get a soft run. Has claims.
ILB
Was agonizingly close last time at Tamworth and challenged by weaker competitors. Has early speed and positions nicely. The large claim from Juliet Partridge helps. Definite contender.
RP
Beaten narrowly at Tamworth four weeks ago; been struggling to get his head in front recently so is passed over.
RSIS
Missed by a narrow margin last start at Tamworth and will appreciate the drop in class. Shows good early pace. Juliet Partridge takes a large claim. Has definite claims.
Career
33: 4-5-6
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 2-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 1-0-0
Track Armidale
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
10: 2-1-3
Distance 1280m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
7: 0-2-0
Going Good
18: 2-3-5
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 2-2-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 9% in Last 100 Rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Winless since 12 May 2025. Started $21 when caught deep and safely held in Benchmark 66 company at Coonamble. Switching to 1200m. Needs luck but one for multiples.
ILB
Jumped at $21.00 and didn't threaten when 9th last start at Coonamble. Prefer to watch.
RP
Not disgraced when ninth of ten over 7f at Coonamble (handicap) three weeks ago; can figure based on the pick of his form.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and didn't attack the line when 9th last run at Coonamble.
Career
16: 2-0-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Inverell
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 808m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 32 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Fresh. Kept coming and just fell short at Tamworth. Each way.
ILB
Right up there last time at Tamworth. Going well this preparation. Limited possibility.
RP
Outran 16-1 odds when a close third at Tamworth over 5f (handicap) four weeks ago; has to be respected.
RSIS
Competed in a tight contest last time at Tamworth. In fine form since coming back from a break.
Career
14: 2-5-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-1-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-2-0
Track Muswellbrook
3: 1-1-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
8: 1-3-1
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 1-3-1
Going Good
2: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 1-3-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Justin Drake striking at just 5%
Key Rider
Positive
Billy Cray 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Billy Cray in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 25%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
On a quick back-up. Solid 60.5kg winner at Scone 25 Sep. Ran on okay without troubling at Scone. Rates highly.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Jumped at $10.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last time at Scone. Should improve from the last run. Will be positive in the run early. Good chance in this.
RP
This is her grade; finished seventh last Friday albeit only beaten just under 3l over 5f (handicap) at Scone; interesting as shown she can get her head in front.
RSIS
On a short back up. Started at 9/1 and faded to finish 7th last run at Scone. Should improve from the last run. Will be positive in the run early. Must be considered here.
Career
29: 7-2-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
7: 1-0-0
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 2-0-0
Track Miles
1: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1020m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 6-1-1
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Unable to threaten in the small field at Toowoomba. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
At $151.00 was well beaten when 7th last run at Toowoomba. Has to improve out of sight.
RP
Has won previously at this course; finished last of seven over 5f at Toowoomba (handicap) 27 days ago; warrants plenty of respect as he clearly knows how to get his head in front.
RSIS
Started at 150/1 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last start at Toowoomba.
Career
32: 4-5-6
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
17: 2-2-5
Going Soft
10: 1-2-0
Going Unknown
5: 1-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Ashley Butler 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 159%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field at Bundarra. Drops to shorter trip. Look for a better showing.
ILB
Started at $1.80 and struggled when 4th last time at Bundarra. Should improve from the last run and has a positive alley. Will have to carry more weight. Well respected contender.
RP
Has winning form at this track; held in fourth at Bundarra over 7f (handicap) four weeks ago; others more likely.
RSIS
Started 4/5 and looked flat when 4th last run at Bundarra. Has the ability to turn things around and gets a favourable stall. Up in weight. Should give plenty of sight.
Career
33: 4-4-4
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 2-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 1-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 1-3-1
Going Heavy
7: 1-1-3
Going Soft
12: 2-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Solid run (Bm58) at Scone 25 Sep. On pace but unable to sustain bid at Coonamble over this trip. Leads, handy. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
At $20.00 folded up in the straight when 6th last start at Coonamble but goes down in grade. Running with confidence since coming back from a spell. Slim hope.
RP
Form lately has been a mixed bag; not beaten too far when sixth at Coonamble 19 days ago; others more appealing.
RSIS
At 19/1 faded away to finish 6th last run at Coonamble but drops back to a suitable grade. In good form of late.
Career
48: 6-8-7
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Lismore
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-0-0
Track Bowraville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
11: 2-1-1
Distance 800m
1: 0-1-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
24: 4-4-3
Going Heavy
6: 0-1-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 21% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 40% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Started $1.70 when safely held in Benchmark 50 company in the slosh at Inverell. Others with more appeal.
ILB
At $5.50 came in 5th last time at Inverell and competing in a higher grade. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Anna Weatherlake provides some weight relief. Appears tested.
RP
Favourite but unable to make the frame when fifth over 5½f at Inverell (handicap) two weeks ago; a course winner; others more appealing.
RSIS
Started 9/2 and finished 5th last time at Inverell and facing a stronger group of contenders. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw.
Career
51: 5-3-6
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
10: 3-0-0
Second-up
9: 2-0-3
Third-up
9: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
6: 0-1-1
Track Tamworth
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-1
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1810m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
28: 3-1-4
Going Heavy
7: 2-1-1
Going Soft
14: 0-1-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 56%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 9kg from LS run
AAP
Failed to threaten in the slosh at Inverell. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Jumped at $13.00 and below par when 8th last time at Inverell and matched against a stronger field. Likely to get back. Priced to finish behind most.
RP
Not far behind Gerety when last over 5½f at Inverell (handicap) 13 days ago; hasn't won for a while; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and performed below standard when 8th last run at Inverell and challenged by more formidable competitors. Gets back and needs luck.
Career
48: 4-11-4
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-2-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-3-0
Track Tamworth
10: 0-2-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
14: 1-4-1
Distance 1200m
11: 1-3-0
Going Good
34: 3-9-4
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
11: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
On pace but unable to sustain bid at Tamworth. Usually prominent. Claiming apprentice engaged again. One for exotics.
ILB
Odds of $21.00 and gave away some ground when 10th last time at Tamworth but will appreciate the drop in weight. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Prefer others.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 13 at Tamworth two weeks ago upped to 7f; he can be taken on.
RSIS
At 20/1 weakened under pressure when 10th last run at Tamworth but suited by the weight drop. Displays good tactical pace.