Shortest win price
Genesis Runner (1)
1.95
The Cornerstone Risk Group Dulcify Stakes is a Listed race for three-year-olds at Randwick over 1600 metres on a Soft 6 track under showers. The race has been run. Genesis Runner sits shortest in the market, with Wonka and Savagram next in the order. Genesis Runner, trained by Richard & Will Freedman with Chad Schofield aboard, finished within striking distance of Ming Dynasty Quality two starts back at Rosehill and is suited by the longer assignment. The form reads positively—a rating of 92 (IRD) and a strike at second-up—though the stable is working at a lean 10 per cent strike rate overall, and the jockey booking sits outside the preferred mix. Wonka, from the Waller stable with James McDonald, posted a hard-fought win at Randwick-Kensington last start and gets the gun run in barrier 3, but the shift into stronger company is the test.
Savagram, despite the higher rating of 100 (IRD), carries a heap of baggage. The horse led and gave up the ghost quickly last start at Rosehill, and the data flags the map position as unsuitable at Randwick, underperforming market expectations by 26 per cent. Tim Clark's current win rate sits 28 per cent below his career average too. Hozumi, trained by Waller and ridden by Tommy Berry, won at Illawarra Grange two starts back with the fastest finishing sectionals on display, and the second-up record is live at 1-0-0. From barrier 7 as a backmarker, the horse has sharp form on the upgrade and can let down again. Your Colour also won last start and carries the class rise question, running on-pace from barrier 5.
The speedGroups reveal Genesis Runner and Wonka are both offpace runners vying for similar territory, whilst Your Colour sits on-pace and Hozumi is backmarked to finish hard. Power Broker, trained by Edward O'Rourke with Kerrin McEvoy, was the fastest finisher last start and is outperforming his career average by 20 per cent in the saddle—a runner worth respecting at fair odds. The bold play sits with Hozumi: the recent winner with superior sectionals, better second-up form, and the benefit of sharp racing. Genesis Runner remains the market leader but carries jockey and stable headwinds that merit caution.
Shortest win price
Genesis Runner (1)
1.95
Most career wins
Leopard Shark
2-1-1 from 8 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Genesis Runner · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Savagram · Negative
Jockey Booking
Tim Clark current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Wonka · Positive
Solid Run LS
Won last start
Hozumi · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
4: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 35% in L100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Great effort in the Up And Coming Stakes Rosehill two back. Finished within striking distance Ming Dynasty Quality at Rosehill. Suited by the longer assignment now. Commands respect here.
ILB
Jumped at $4.00 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last run at Rosehill but up in weight. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Strong claims.
RP
Had a couple of these behind him when fourth at Rosehill last month in a Group 3; others more persuasive despite this looking a little easier than last time.
RSIS
Started at 3/1 and showed some merit late when 4th last start at Rosehill but carrying more weight than last time. Win will not surprise.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Tim Clark current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Led, gave up the ghost quickly in Ming Dynasty Quality at Rosehill last start. Should relish the rise in distance. Worth a look.
ILB
Jumped at $5.50 and didn't find the line when 7th last start at Rosehill. Can show a better performance this time but goes up in weight. Rates highly.
RP
Finished seventh but wasn't beaten too far (just under 5l) over 7f at Rosehill (Group 3) three weeks ago; this might be easier; big chance as shown he can win fairly recently.
RSIS
At 9/2 didn't threaten when 7th last start at Rosehill. Capable of a strong comeback but going up in weight. Will be pushing for a forward position early. This race suits.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nash Rawiller 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Ciaron Maher in good form, out performing market 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Nash Rawiller in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 29%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
AAP
Performance just fair at Caulfield at $31. Unexposed at trip. Well into preparation now, not out of this.
ILB
Passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last run at Caulfield.
RSIS
Outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at Caulfield.
Career
4: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-0-1
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-1
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Posted a hard fought win in the 3yo+ Mdn at Randwick-Kensington. Gets the gun run. Can show up again at fair odds.
ILB
Rounded them up when winning last run at Randwick Kensington but challenged by a tougher grade. Amongst the placegetters at every start this preparation. Prefer in a much weaker race.
RP
Gained a first success at the fourth time of asking in a handicap 24 days ago; others appeal more with more demanding test in store.
RSIS
Strong effort to the line to win last run at Randwick Kensington but facing a stronger group of contenders. In the placings at every start of late.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Bided his time at the back and let down smartly at Illawarra Grange at his second race start. Sharper now, can make his presence felt again.
ILB
Good win by 3/4L last start at Illawarra Grange but up against a higher level of opposition. Likely to get back. Rough chance.
RP
Registered first success at the second time of asking when winning by less than a length 16 days ago at Illawarra Grange in a handicap; no surprise to see him go well despite having more on his plate.
RSIS
Finished on top by 3/4L last run at Illawarra Grange but matched against a stronger field. Will be giving the leaders a big start.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 29% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Brave after showing speed at Hawkesbury at second appearance. Again breaks from an outside gate and harder now.
ILB
Worked hard to place 2nd last start at Hawkesbury but matched against a stronger field. Has not missed the money this preparation in 2 attempts.
RSIS
Couldn't keep the pace going when 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Hawkesbury but up against a higher level of opposition.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Edward O'Rourke striking at just 7%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Prominent and scooted clear to victory at Hawkesbury at his second race start. Acid test.
ILB
Flew home to win last start at Hawkesbury but up against a more competitive field. Facing a difficult task today.
RP
Registered first success at the second time of asking in a handicap (Hawkesbury) 23 days ago; more on his plate this time but should get involved.
RSIS
Charged home to win last run at Hawkesbury but competing in a more challenging grade.
Career
8: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-1
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 103%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fresh. Never in the call at Sandown-Hillside. Unexposed at trip. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Disappointing effort when 8th last time at Sandown but has minimal work to do from the alley. Could feature here.
RP
Was eighth of 11, beaten 9l, over 6½f at Sandown (Listed race) last month; this looks a decent race so others more appealing.
RSIS
Mediocre performance when 8th last run at Sandown but gets the perfect stall.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -85% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 22%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Rosehill latest outing. Smoky place prospect at best.
ILB
Was $61.00 and ran 6th last start at Rosehill but has a positive alley. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Small possibility.
RP
Not beaten that far in sixth (4l) at Rosehill over 7f (Group 3) last month - split Genesis Runner and Savagram; has winning track form; drops in class; her best form stacks up so likely to be involved.
RSIS
Started 60/1 and ran 6th last time at Rosehill but has a good draw. Tongue strap go on for the first time.
Career
4: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Strong win from off the pace in the F&M Mdn at Newcastle. 1600m should suit but this will ask more.
ILB
Romped home to win last run at Newcastle but competing in a higher grade. Does take a while to get into stride. Struggle to recommend.
RP
25-1 when winning Newcastle handicap last month; others more appealing as has more on her plate in this.
RSIS
Reeled them in to win last run at Newcastle but facing a stronger grade. Likely to get back in the run.