Toowoomba (QLD) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:04 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Toowoomba (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovToowoomba (QLD)Change

Race 7 — Toowoomba Truck Spares Mdn Plate 1625m · jumps Sat 14 Nov, 9:56 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Toowoomba for the Toowoomba Truck Spares Mdn Plate over 1625m on a Soft 5 surface under passing showers. The market has established its early shape with I'm On Fire heading the win order, closely followed by Tisani James, Painted Wings, and Gunna Wannabe holding down the next lines of the betting board in what shapes as a tricky maiden assignment where finding value away from the obvious chances is the bold play.

Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, I'm On Fire brings solid credentials after a really good run coming from the back at this track last start when finishing third over 1640m. That effort suggests the step back to 1625m will suit and the stable is outperforming market expectations. Gunna Wannabe also demands respect from barrier 5, having put in a close-up, sound performance when finishing fifth at Moree first-up at healthy odds, and should strip fitter here with a prior placing on this track.

Further down the order, Painted Wings maps to race on the pace from barrier 6 and closed solidly over 1210m here earlier in the campaign, while Shamolatte brings early speed which can prove a distinct advantage on this circuit if the runner finds a clear passage from out wide. The value sits with those capable of handling the damp conditions and pressing forward into the race at the right time.

Race notes

MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Showers
12 runners

Shortest win price

I'm On Fire (5)

2.40

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

3Cheekosway

Offmidfield

10Tisani James
9Gunna Wannabe

Midfield

2Chayse 'N' Ralph
5I'm On Fire
7Stolen Stock
11Little Miss Classy

Offpace

8The Hindustan
13Proud Miss

Onpace

12Painted Wings
16Shamolatte

Leader

15Koban

Chayse 'N' Ralph · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Cheekosway · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
I'm On Fire · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Stolen Stock · Positive
Draw Suits
Well drawn inside

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Blood RedScratched9––––

Career

26: 0-1-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Toowoomba
5: 0-0-2
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
5: 0-0-3
Distance 1680m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1690m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 0-1-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Sunshine Coast1800m8 Nov 2026 · CL1-MDN SW · SOFT64.06L
3Gold Coast Poly1900m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC6.55L
3Ipswich1965m15 Oct 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD42.18L
2Sunshine Coast1800m2 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.24L
6Eagle Farm1800m23 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.54L
5Sunshine Coast1800m11 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT73.3L
6Gold Coast Poly1540m15 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4L
8Toowoomba1300m25 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD412.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Neil Hocking striking at just 1%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Aidan Keeley 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 76%
Key Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley winning at 33% POT in last 100 rides
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Ordinary performance in small field in soft going at Sunshine Coast. Well into preparation now, hope for exotics only.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started $16.00 and uncompetitive when 4th last run at Sunshine Coast.

Has been fairly consistent of late; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 26; didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Sunshine Coast (beaten 4l) on Sunday in a conditions race; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Was 15/1 and underwhelming when 4th last start at Sunshine Coast.

2Chayse 'N' RalphJ: Tom Orr·T: Jay Bellamy258.5kg5 5 3 12 113: 0-0-0$31.00$4.80

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Gold Coast1400m31 Oct 2026 · MDN · SOFT54.16L
12Warwick1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN · SOFT514.73L
3Beaudesert1200m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.1L
5Beaudesert1050m15 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial8.9L
5Gold Coast Poly1050m8 June 2024 · SYNTHETIC4.6L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Gold Coast second-up. Sharper now, can make his presence felt.

ILB

At $101.00 average effort when 11th last start at Gold Coast but has a good draw. The large claim from Tom Orr should help. Much prefer the look of others in this race.

Lightly raced with this just his fourth appearance; finished last of 11 in a handicap (Gold Coast) two weeks ago; respected.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and underwhelming when 11th last start at Gold Coast but gets a favourable stall. Large claim helps.

3CheekoswayJ: Stacey Callow·T: B J Puckeridge858.5kg3 4 5 3 86: 0-0-2$8.00$2.50

Career

6: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
2: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

8Toowoomba1300m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY99.22L
3Toowoomba1300m3 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.66L
5Kilcoy1500m17 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT63.5L
4Gatton1600m1 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.7L
3Kilcoy1500m18 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT66.9L
14Ipswich1350m31 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.6L
4Dalby800m5 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial6L
5Toowoomba650m21 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial13.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 69%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 56% POT in L100 Runners
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor this course when second-up. Usually gets back. Stripping fitter, rough exotics hope.

ILB

Was $10.00 and disappointing run when 8th last start at the track. Does take a while to get into stride. Needs to improve.

Shown recent signs of improvement; beaten 9l into eighth over 6½f here (maiden) last month; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 9/1 and unimpressive effort when 8th last time at the track. Likely to settle back in the field.

4Hurricane HankScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Gold Coast Poly at wide odds.

ILB

Struggled with the pace when 6th last run at Gold Coast Poly. Yet to fire this preparation.

RSIS

Weakened under pressure when 6th last time at Gold Coast Poly. Struggling recently with no placings from 12 attempts.

5I'm On FireJ: Brandon Lerena·T: William Kropp958.5kg3 12 3 6 38: 0-0-2$2.40$1.28

Career

8: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-2
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 0-0-1
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1640m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-2

Last starts

3Toowoomba1640m31 Oct 2026 · MDN · SOFT51.45L
6Gatton1400m16 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.37L
3Deagon1050m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)11.4L
12Sunshine Coast2200m24 May 2026 · MDN · SOFT732.6L
3Sunshine Coast1800m10 May 2026 · MDN · SOFT51.8L
4Sunshine Coast1800m19 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD44L
5Doomben1000m24 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.4L
7Gold Coast1710m4 Oct 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Really good run coming from the back in Mdn this track second-up. All the better, will take stopping in this company.

ILB

Did well to run into 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at the track. Jockey Brandon Lerena and trainer William Kropp have shared plenty of success together. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

Has taken a step forward the last twice; produced a good effort to finish third in a handicap last month upped to this distance; if he can build on his latest effort then has a competitive shout.

RSIS

Ran home into 3rd last time here. Jockey Brandon Lerena and trainer William Kropp make an imposing pair. Definite contender.

6Ole AliScratched16––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely at Gold Coast Poly.

ILB

Outpaced some runners late when 5th last run at Gold Coast Poly but will have to carry more weight. Has struggled so far this campaign.

RSIS

Made up ground when 5th last run at Gold Coast Poly but will have to carry extra weight. Yet to fire recently with no placings from 14 runs.

7Stolen StockJ: Gary Geran·T: P J Minter158.5kg3 8 7 4 815: 0-2-1$18.00$3.80

Career

15: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1454m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1469m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 0-2-1

Last starts

8Gatton1400m6 Nov 2026 · MDN · GOOD46.38L
4Gatton1400m16 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT51.27L
7Terang2156m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.3L
8Ararat1600m8 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.5L
3Penola1600m16 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41L
9Hanging Rock1800m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD416L
10Terang1400m16 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.3L
10Hamilton1600m7 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT611.4L

Insights

Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Steps out for third run new stable/region. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Gatton. Only for the minors here.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Started $8.00 and below par performance when 8th last run at Gatton but has drawn the rails. Bit of extra work to do with more weight. Solid claims.

Still winless and defeats stacking up (15 on the bounce); finished ahead of two of these rivals in a handicap (Gatton) when beaten 6l last Friday; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was 7/1 and average performance when 8th last time at Gatton but gets the perfect stall. Very capable of taking this out.

8The HindustanJ: Amy Graham·T: Amanda Park358.5kg5 3 10 2 622: 0-3-5$34.00$5.00

Career

22: 0-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Nanango
1: 0-0-0
Track Wondai
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-2

Last starts

6Warwick1350m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.58L
2Dalby1400m13 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD34.4L
10Ipswich1666m14 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47L
3Warwick1350m4 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.8L
5Goondiwindi1200m18 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW3.1L
8Gayndah1000m13 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW10.1L
10Gatton1400m3 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT512.4L
3Kilcoy1500m22 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT66.5L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 76%
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (51-days). Sent out $31 when never got into the race at Warwick. Looks up against it.

ILB

Freshened up. At $31.00 struggled when 6th last start at Warwick. Will be tested.

Yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 22 and form has been a mixed bag of late; not disgraced when sixth at Warwick over 6½f (maiden, close behind Koban) 51 days ago; tends to find at least one too good; others more appealing.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Odds of 30/1 and average effort when 6th last start at Warwick.

9Gunna WannabeJ: Karl Zechner·T: A & T Sweeney557kg4 3 3 7 53: 0-0-1$12.00$3.30

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Moree1400m30 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT50.8L
7Ipswich1350m16 July 2026 · 2Y MDN · GOOD47.1L
3Toowoomba1200m20 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.3L
3Toowoomba925m21 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L
4Warwick800m30 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial10L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Close up in sound performance Mdn Plate at Moree first up at healthy odds. Strips fitter. Can play a role.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and was making up some late ground when 5th last run at Moree. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Not at all out of this race.

Winless in three starts but has shown promise with third his top showing; wasn't beaten that far when fifth (beaten less than a length) over 7f at Moree (maiden) 15 days ago.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and advanced late into 5th last run at Moree. Does take a while to get into stride. Watch betting.

10Tisani JamesJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: K R Kemp1257kg6 4 6 5 69: 0-0-0$3.80$1.50

Career

9: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1540m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Doomben1640m3 Nov 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD47.9L
5Doomben1600m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD46.95L
6Gold Coast Poly1540m7 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC6.13L
4Gold Coast1700m26 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.66L
6Gold Coast1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD44.4L
4Toowoomba1300m29 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44L
7Toowoomba1110m15 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD47.3L
4Toowoomba1050m1 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -41% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Doomben. Hard fit, can play a role if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Didn't find the line when 6th last run at Doomben. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Can go through the gears. Good chance at a nice price.

Winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at nine; held when sixth of seven (Doomben) last week; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Lost ground in the run home when 6th last start at Doomben. Blinkers go on for the first time. Possesses good closing pace. Good chance at a nice price.

11Little Miss ClassyJ: Stephanie Tierney·T: Ravyn Warzecha756.5kg8 4 7 7 79: 0-0-1$26.00$4.60

Career

9: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Toowoomba1210m31 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT57.9L
7Sunshine Coast1400m20 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.12L
7Ipswich1200m2 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT58.4L
4Doomben1000m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.4L
8Doomben1650m11 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT615.4L
4Sunshine Coast1600m1 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L
5Doomben1630m17 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD32.9L
5Ipswich1200m3 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD410.1L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 368%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten this course for new stable at double-figure odds. Place preferred option.

ILB

Tailed off to finish 7th last run at this venue but going over extra ground. Strong claims.

Not far behind Painted Wings when seventh over 6f here (maiden) two weeks ago on debut for this trainer; has been on the scene in the recent past and could go well.

RSIS

Couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last time at the track but facing a rise in trip. Rates as one of the key chances.

12Painted WingsJ: Jake Molloy·T: Nick Keal656.5kg11 4 5 8 311: 0-0-1$6.50$2.25

Career

11: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Toowoomba1210m31 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.71L
8Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.5L
5Wodonga1590m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.2L
4Wodonga1300m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.5L
11Pakenham Synthetic1200m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4.2L
7Seymour1300m21 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT67.8L
7Ballarat1100m30 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD35.1L
6Newcastle1600m14 Aug 2025 · MDN HCP · HEAVY910.9L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 91%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Closed solidly but not quick enough this track 31 Oct. A few runs under her belt this campaign, can play a role.

ILB

Ran home into 3rd last time here and going up in trip. Jockey Jake Molloy and trainer Nick Keal are a formidable team. Has plenty of early speed. Could be in the mix.

Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; displayed a fair level of form when just under 4l third over 6f here (maiden) 14 days ago on debut for this trainer; the Nick Keal operation is running hot currently; deserves respect.

RSIS

Made considerable ground when 3rd beaten by 3 3/4L last time at this track and stepping up in trip. Jake Molloy and Nick Keal are an appealing combination. Could feature here.

13Proud MissJ: Kayla Barker·T: Corey & Kylie Geran456.5kg5 5 8 7 720: 0-3-2$34.00$5.50

Career

20: 0-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed60%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast Poly Track
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-1-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2020m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2150m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 0-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Toowoomba925m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)8.8L
7Toowoomba1890m2 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT514.9L
8Toowoomba2000m25 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD49.9L
5Ipswich2170m6 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.9L
5Gold Coast1800m21 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L
2Toowoomba1890m7 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.4L
7Toowoomba2000m28 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD48.9L
4Gold Coast Poly1900m7 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC11.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Kayla Barker 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (28-weeks). More than likely to need this outing.

ILB

Fresh from a break of 28 weeks. Was $19.00 and weakened to finish 7th last run at this venue. Expecting a strong showing.

Finished last of seven over 1m1½f here (maiden) in May; can be a player at this level; returns from an absence here.

RSIS

First run back after a 28 week break. Started at 18/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at this venue. Has a credible chance.

14Queen VictoriousScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Started $20 when safely held in Maiden company at Gold Coast. Can lead or take a sit. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Odds of $20.00 and was ordinary when 8th last run at Gold Coast.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Was 19/1 and just average when 8th last start at Gold Coast.

15KobanJ: Kenji Yoshida·T: Corey & Kylie Geran1056.5kg6 8 5 9 96: 0-0-0$41.00$6.00

Career

6: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Gatton1400m6 Nov 2026 · MDN · GOOD48.64L
9Ipswich1350m8 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD48.85L
5Warwick1350m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.04L
8Toowoomba1300m5 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD49L
6Geelong1112m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.3L
10Pakenham1400m5 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD413L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form to date underwhelming. Rise to 1625m a new challenge. Others rate stronger.

ILB

On a short back up. At $8.00 only fair when 9th last time at Gatton. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Betting is the best guide.

Beaten 9l (ninth, Gatton) last Friday in a handicap.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. At 7/1 fairly underwhelming when 9th last start at Gatton. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Watch the betting.

16ShamolatteJ: Anthony Allen·T: James Geppert1158.5kg5 5 5 7 1114: 0-0-1$101.00$13.00

Career

14: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taroom
1: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1180m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Gatton1400m6 Nov 2026 · MDN · GOOD410.17L
7Gold Coast Poly1900m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC11.91L
5Sunshine Coast1600m16 Oct 2026 · MDN · HEAVY1014.01L
5Warwick1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN · SOFT57.57L
5Taroom1000m26 Sept 2026 · 0 - 506.1L
9Grafton1430m18 Aug 2026 · MDN · SOFT69.8L
9Casino1300m8 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD415.6L
6Casino1400m25 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT78.6L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Gatton at wide odds. Outsider and rightly so.

ILB

On a short back up. Was $91.00 and average at best when 11th last start at Gatton and rising in weight. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 14 runs. Hard to have.

Finished last of 11 in a handicap at Gatton (dropped to 7f) a week ago; has proven competitive in a race of this nature.

RSIS

On a quick back up. At 90/1 mediocre display when 11th last time at Gatton and has to cope with a weight increase.

Odds correct as at Sat 14 Nov, 10:10 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races