Shortest win price
Bold Suitor (2)
1.95
Race five at Darwin on a fine Saturday evening sees a competitive field lining up over the 1000m trip for the Book Your Xmas Function At Silks Hcp, run under 0 - 58 conditions on a good track. The win market has Bold Suitor heading betting calculations, closely followed by Si Senora, Tigers Roar, and Warrego rounding out the initial group of contenders in early betting orders.
Delving into the credentials of the market leaders, Bold Suitor lines up from barrier three for trainer G Clarke with Jarrod Todd taking the steering, having gone close at Fannie Bay two starts back before a subsequent unplaced effort that may be worth overlooking. Tigers Roar represents stable Ms T Halter from barrier four under Dakota-Lee Gillett, carrying the big weight of 61kg after a freshen-up following a narrow placing at Fannie Bay in September, though maps poorly at this track according to historical indicators.
Looking further through the engaged runners, Warrego jumps from wide out in barrier eight for trainer D Leech with Danielle Hirini aboard, dropping back in distance after finishing just behind the placegetters over 1300m last time out. Meanwhile, Si Senora handles barrier five for Tommy Logan and Billy Cray, looking to improve on recent Fannie Bay performances where the runner stayed in touch without finding the winning kick, offering an intriguing angle for punters hunting value in an open sprint.
Shortest win price
Bold Suitor (2)
1.95
Most career wins
Tigers Roar
4-5-3 from 28 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Leader
Tigers Roar · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Bold Suitor · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Warrego · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Meet Me At The Bar · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Career
28: 4-5-3
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
6: 1-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1100m
8: 1-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
16: 3-3-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
8: 1-1-1
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened. Just missed at Fannie Bay 5 Sep. Failed to threaten this course second-up. Effective this grade.
ILB
At $5.50 weakened to finish 9th last time at this track. Capable of bouncing back. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Has strong claims.
RP
Behind Bold Suitor over 5½f here (handicap) when finishing last of nine last month; useful in this grade; arguably the one to beat as has wins in his back catalogue.
RSIS
At 9/2 faded away to finish 9th last time here. Looking past the last run. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Commands respect.
Career
12: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 1-1-0
Track Sale
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
10: 1-2-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-2-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Went close at Fannie Bay 17 Oct. Failed to threaten this track when in the market. Pay to disregard that run. Went much better two back.
ILB
Jumped at $2.15 and mediocre performance when 9th last time at this venue. Can make a comeback. Has shown early pace in races to date. Looks set to run a big race.
RP
Ninth, beaten 10l, after starting favourite here over 5½f (handicap) when behind two of these last week; useful in this grade; is a player given there is limited recent form on offer in this race and he ran well in defeat two starts ago.
RSIS
At 6/5 disappointing outing when 9th last time here. Should bounce back. Will be positive in the run early. Jarrod Todd usually performs well for the Gary Clarke stable. Strong winning chance.
Career
10: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Track Fannie Bay
4: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1435m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-2-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
AAP
Went home just tamely this course at $7.50. Coming back in distance. Right in this if things pan out.
ILB
At $7.50 hit the line well when 4th last time here but dropping in distance. Watch the betting.
RP
This is his level; finished fourth but wasn't beaten too far (just over 4l) here over 6½f (handicap) last week; could be interesting given several of his rivals have questions to answer and shown he can win fairly recently.
RSIS
Odds of 13/2 and picked up some ground to run 4th last start around here but will be facing a significant drop in distance.
Career
12: 2-2-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Fannie Bay
9: 2-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
9: 2-2-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 2-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
11: 2-2-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 33%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Stan Tsaikos in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 23%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track And Dist
Positive
Excels at this track and trip
AAP
Started $8 when safely held in Restricted 58 company this track. One for multiples.
ILB
Was $8.00 and well beaten when 7th last run here but proven runner at this trip. Possible place chance.
RP
Finished seventh, beaten 6l, over 5½f here (handicap) last month; he can be competitive at this level; brings winning form to the table and is capable of making an impact.
RSIS
Started at 7/1 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run here but have to respect the form at this distance.
Career
13: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Happy Valley
3: 0-0-0
Track Sha Tin
1: 0-0-0
Track Alice Springs
6: 1-0-2
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-0-2
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (17-weeks). Ex D Leech in the NT. Placed first-up last campaign. Looks a risk fresh.
ILB
First up and competitive effort when 3rd first up last preparation at Alice Springs. First start for a new trainer and can save some energy from the draw. Form will be tested here.
RP
Slumped a bit since winning a maiden at Pioneer Park in April; finished out the back over 6½f here (handicap) in July; representing new trainer today; others appeal more.
RSIS
Resuming and looked good when 3rd resuming last preparation at Alice Springs. First appearance for a new trainer and can save some energy from the draw.
Career
13: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
10: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
10: 0-1-1
Distance 1103m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
5: 1-1-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
11: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Philip Cole striking at just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Unable to threaten in the small field this venue. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Odds of $26.00 and ordinary performance when 7th last run at this track. Gets back and needs luck. Needs a lot of luck in this race.
RP
Finished last of seven last month; not really built on success in a maiden six months ago at Tennant Creek; easy to oppose.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and clearly outclassed when 7th last run at the track. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
14: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
3: 0-0-1
Track Gawler
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1050m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 1-1-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 171%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured this venue. Worth another chance.
ILB
Jumped at $6.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start around here. Should improve here. Billy Cray and Tommy Logan are a strong duo. Strong prospects in this race.
RP
Beaten a fair way when ninth here over 5½f (handicap) last month; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Started at 5/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time here. Giving another chance here. Jockey Billy Cray consistently rides well for this stable. Solid prospects.
Career
16: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
7: 1-1-1
Distance 1107m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Raymond Vigar current POT is 45% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Reasonable effort without seriously threatening this course. Stripping fitter, capable of making an impact.
ILB
Started at $61.00 and didn't find the line when 5th last time around here and has a good draw. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Finished ahead of two of these rivals here over 5½f (handicap) posting a creditable effort to finish fifth last week; slumped a bit since winning a maiden at Fannie Bay in May.
RSIS
Started 60/1 and faded away late when 5th last run at the track and gets a favourable draw.
Career
19: 1-3-4
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-2
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Track Orange
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
8: 1-1-1
Distance 1100m
10: 0-1-3
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 1-0-3
Going Soft
6: 0-2-1
Going Firm
1: 0-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Battled home okay this venue. At best, a place hope.
ILB
Started $91.00 and finished 7th last start at this track. Cannot have.
RP
Just the one victory on her CV; not disgraced in seventh over 5½f here (handicap) last week; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Started 90/1 and finished 7th last time at this track.