Shortest win price
Poutchek (6)
2.50
Ended Plate (C1) at Sunshine Coast brings together a competitive field over 2200m on a good four surface under fine skies with a jump time of 6:38 pm AEDT. The win market order has Highland Kitty leading the betting lines, closely followed by Poutchek and Evade The Game, with Rafa right in contention next as they sort their positions out for this staying test. Looking at the form behind those shorter prices, Highland Kitty comes off a strong win at Ipswich over 2190m where it led and responded strongly in a small field, and with Jett Newman retaining the ride while claiming a two-kilogram concession, this runner shapes as a major player. Poutchek brings solid credentials too after showing plenty of ticker when finishing second over 1800m at this course, though stamina remains on trial stepping up in trip here.
Digging deeper into the race shape and alternate angles, the speed maps indicate that Crunch Time and Highland Kitty should look to dictate terms from their leader mapping positions. Evade The Game is another tracking from the midfield under Corey Sutherland for P P Jenkins, seeking to improve on a recent effort here over 2200m where it was thereabouts without quite finishing it off. Meanwhile, Rafa comes in fresh following a 61-day let-up and a strong win from off the pace at Dalby over 2000m, though it maps poorly on historical track metrics. With plenty of contrasting form lines and staying queries across the board, the bold play is to lean into the proven recent winner at the top of calculations while respecting the staying upside of those building fitness over middle distances.
Shortest win price
Poutchek (6)
2.50
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Crunch Time · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Taradale · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Evade The Game · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Highland Kitty · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Career
8: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2180m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Ryan Maloney 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 263%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Ryan Maloney in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 26%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Cleared maiden ranks at Toowoomba 3 Oct. Unable to make an impression on a soft deck at Coffs Harbour. Key player.
ILB
Started at $13.00 and looked flat when 4th last run at Coffs Harbour. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Has some claims.
RP
Could not manage better than fourth over 1m2f at Coffs Harbour (conditions race) last Wednesday; has displayed improved form on last two starts; must be high on list given he won a maiden two runs back.
RSIS
Started at 12/1 and struggled when 4th last run at Coffs Harbour. Will be positive in the run early.
Career
20: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Beaudesert
1: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
6: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1540m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6kg now
AAP
Last win was 28 Dec 2024. Up on the pace early and kept on courageously Hcp (C3) at Ipswich. Needs to lift again here.
ILB
Attacked the line when 2nd last time at Ipswich and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Has more weight to carry. Prefer in something weaker.
RP
Was thereabouts (runner-up of nine, 18-1) in a handicap upped to this distance at Ipswich last month; generally struggled with a record of 1-20.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 2nd last start at Ipswich and showing improvement in recent outings. Going up in weight.
Rating · IRD
20
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 8kg now
AAP
Hasn't done much since breaking his maiden. Ordinary performance in small field at Gold Coast Poly. First real test of stamina here. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Faded away to finish 6th last time at Gold Coast Poly and will have to carry extra weight.
RSIS
Folded up in the straight when 6th last start at Gold Coast Poly and carrying more weight than last time.
Career
17: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
12: 1-1-2
Track CurrentTrack
12: 1-1-2
Track Sunshine Coast Poly Track
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1666m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1680m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-1-2
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -57% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
There to threaten just couldn't quite finish it off this course. A few runs under her belt this campaign, right in the mix.
ILB
Was $7.50 and ran 5th last run at the track. Strong claims in this.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten just under 3l) here over 1m1f (handicap, not far behind Poutchek) last Tuesday; possesses winning form at this track.
RSIS
At 13/2 came in 5th last time at this track. Value selection.
Career
15: 1-6-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-2
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Doomben
3: 0-1-1
Track Ipswich
1: 1-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
7: 0-3-2
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-2-2
Going Soft
8: 1-4-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 40% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 59%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Adept stayer. Led, responded strongly to score in small field at Ipswich. Jett Newman on again and receives a 2kg concession. Take a power of beating again.
ILB
Rocketed home when winning last time at Ipswich. Should jump out and bowl along. Displaying good ability this campaign. Has to be in the finish.
RP
Has gone well here before and improved form the last twice; lost her maiden tag in a maiden at Ipswich last month when a 3l winner upped to this distance; looks likely to go well.
RSIS
Dashed home to win last start at Ipswich. Displays good tactical pace. In good condition since resuming from a break. Holds a major chance.
Career
25: 1-3-3
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
6: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
7: 0-1-1
Distance 1800m
4: 0-1-2
Distance 1830m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 0-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Prominent, showed plenty of ticker to just go under this course. Stamina on trial here. Rates highly.
ILB
Made considerable ground when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at this venue. Has every chance.
RP
Close up second over 1m1f here (handicap) last Tuesday; achieved only a sole win.
RSIS
Made some ground late when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run around here. Strong chance.
Career
5: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-1-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1630m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (61-days). Strong win from off the pace in the Mdn Plate at Dalby when drifting in the betting. Since trialled at Deagon 30 Oct. Capable of figuring again fresh.
ILB
First run back from a break. Charged home to win last run at Dalby and has a nice advantage with a good barrier. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Shown recent signs of improvement; had two of these in arrears when winning by three-quarters of a length at Dalby in September in a maiden; respected.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Romped home to win last time at Dalby and drawn well. Finished 4th in a trial at Deagon on Oct 30th.
Career
13: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
3: 0-0-0
Track Mackay
1: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1560m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 24% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Record poor across numerous opportunities. Unable to make an impression in testing conditions at Eagle Farm. Usually gets back. Keener on others.
ILB
Odds of $21.00 and moderate showing when 6th last start at Eagle Farm but can find a nice position from the draw. Has not placed in 12 attempts this preparation. Very slim hope.
RP
Poor form of late a cause for concern and winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 13; finished last of six in a maiden at Eagle Farm last month; this looks a fair heat so others more likely.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and below par when 6th last start at Eagle Farm but drawn nicely. Struggling lately with no placings from 12 attempts.