Wellington (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 1:56 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Wellington (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 15 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsWellington (NSW)Change

Race 3 — Barlow & Peadon Schute Bell Mdn Hcp 900m · jumps Sun 15 Nov, 2:45 pm AEDT

Race notes

MDN,MDN HCP,Maiden
GOOD4
Overcast
10 runners

Shortest win price

Long Live (14)

3.20

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Onpace

4Yasena
11Little Bubbles
14Long Live

Firststart

2Karetu Sun
9Smidgen
10Wild Bombshell

Backmarker

1Master Psychic

Leader

12Messy Star
6Slippery Cod
13Aerialize

Master Psychic · Negative
Needs To Imp
Finished towards the tail last start
Karetu Sun · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Yasena · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Slippery Cod · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Master PsychicJ: Ken Dunbar·T: M C Lynch758kg7 91: 0-0-0$61.00$7.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Wellington1100m10 Apr 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD410.7L
7Wagga1000m29 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.7L

Insights

Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (31-weeks). Had no answers when the pressure went on this course debut as an outsider 10 Apr. Decent break since. Plenty of improvement needed. Would need a strong market push.

ILB

Fresh from a break of 31 weeks. At $61.00 couldn't stay in touch when 9th last time at this venue but was a debutant last start. Down in trip. Looking elsewhere today.

Finished last and beaten 11l first time out with blinkers applied here at 66-1 in April; improvement could be in the offing; returns from a layoff here.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 31 weeks. Was 60/1 and folded up in the straight when 9th last time at the track but fitter for debut run.

2Karetu SunJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: Ms G Williams857.5kg10 5$23.00$4.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

5Orange1000m8 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
10Narromine800m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)10.5L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 38 days
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). 3yo gelding making debut. Out of a 4-time winning mare Isabelle Rose. Improved in latest trial outing on a good 4. Would need to see some market confidence.

ILB

Racing as a debutant 3yo by Sebring Sun for trainer Gayna Williams. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. Yet to place in all trials. Follow the money.

This son of Sebring Sun makes debut under rules; a big player with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

3yo by Sebring Sun having initial appearance for Gayna Williams. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time. Yet to place in all trials.

3Rebel StarScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). Heading into debut with two lead-up trials. Check betting.

ILB

Rebel Dane 3yo trained by Angus Stewart having first race appearance. Watch the market moves.

RSIS

Angus Stewart 3yo by Rebel Dane having first race start.

4YasenaJ: N.r·T: John W Ramsey956.5kg2 2 2 5 58: 0-3-0$7.00$2.40

Career

8: 0-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Wellington
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-3-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Wellington900m10 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD41.5L
5Tamworth1200m22 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.6L
2Scone1200m11 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN · GOOD40.4L
2Gunnedah1000m6 Dec 2025 · MDN · GOOD40.8L
2Wellington900m16 Nov 2025 · MDN · GOOD40.7L
7Scone900m26 Sept 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.7L
7Kilmore1100m5 Apr 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.4L
6Geelong1212m24 Apr 2024 · Maiden · SOFT54.65L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -55% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 55% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (31-weeks). Not beaten far Maiden company first-up last preparation. Has early speed. Poised to strike fresh.

ILB

Back from a break of 31 weeks. Started at $6.50 and finished 5th last time here. Can show a better performance this time. Expecting a strong showing.

Fair effort dropped back in distance in April; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight; back from an absence here.

RSIS

Back from a 31 week break. Started at 11/2 and came in 5th last time here. Should improve. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Must respect.

5Kingdom HeartScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (18-weeks).

ILB

First up from a spell. At $3.00 outpaced some runners late when 5th last run at Cowra.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Started at 2/1 and ran on into 5th last run at Cowra.

6Slippery CodJ: Gabrielle Johnston·T: Gregory O'Neill1056kg6 112: 0-0-0$34.00$5.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Coonamble
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Coonamble1100m11 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD38.12L
6Dubbo1000m7 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD43.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Gregory O'Neill striking at just 6%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Gabrielle Johnston 37% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 904%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Gabrielle Johnston in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 37%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Sound on debut at Dubbo 7 Sep. Every chance but compounded at Coonamble at second outing. Stripping fitter, sound claims.

ILB

Started $13.00 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last run at Coonamble and will be dropping in distance. Winkers go on for the first time. Significant improvement required.

This just his third race; finished 11th of 12 over 5½f at Coonamble (maiden) last month; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and tailed off to finish 11th last run at Coonamble and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Cheekpieces go on for the first time.

7AromaeScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 45% in L100 rides
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). Debuts off two only fair trials. Market watch advised.

ILB

Career debut 3yo by Magna Grecia for trainer Melissa Harrison. Watch for a sign in the market.

RSIS

3yo first starter sired by Magna Grecia for Melissa Harrison.

8Cleansing AuraScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:1-0-0). Signalled ability with a solid trial performance at Dubbo.

ILB

Clint Lundholm trained 3yo first starter by Headwater. Watch betting.

RSIS

3yo first starter by Headwater for trainer Clint Lundholm.

9SmidgenJ: Nick Palmer·T: Todd Smith255.5kg3 8 5$5.00$1.95

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

5Warwick Farm815m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3.3L
8Warwick Farm815m26 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)5.6L
3Warwick Farm786m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 42%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:0-0-2). $20k purchase. Out of a winning mare. Unplaced in latest trial but has shown some ability in her previous trial work. Drawn well. Follow betting leads.

ILB

3yo by Palace Pier having first race start for trainer Todd Smith and can find a nice position from the draw. Betting is the best guide.

First start under rules for this three-year-old; should give it a shot.

RSIS

Todd Smith trained 3yo by Palace Pier having first start and gets a favourable draw. Ran 3rd in a trial at Warwick Farm on June 9th.

10Wild BombshellJ: Zoe Hunt·T: C Lundholm455.5kg7 2$6.00$2.20

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

2Dubbo860m3 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L
7Dubbo860m3 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-1-0). $60k purchase. Out of a Group 3-winning mare. Looked a bit sharper in latest trial suggesting well on track for debut. Nice gate. Market watch advised.

ILB

Clint Lundholm trained 3yo by Wild Ruler having first race appearance. Ran 2nd in a trial at Dubbo on Nov 3rd. Betting as a guide.

This daughter of Wild Ruler makes debut under rules; deserves respect.

RSIS

Wild Ruler 3yo having first race start for Clint Lundholm. Fitter for a trial at Dubbo on Nov 3rd. Watch the market moves.

11Little BubblesJ: Mikayla Weir·T: Connie Greig555kg8 4 4 10 315: 0-0-2$5.50$2.10

Career

15: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-0-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1308m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Coonabarabran900m25 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.02L
10Muswellbrook1000m5 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.04L
4Armidale1100m20 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD30.56L
4Muswellbrook1000m8 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
8Scone1100m17 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT516L
5Muswellbrook1000m15 Sept 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD43L
8Scone1100m2 Sept 2025 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD45.7L
11Taree1000m7 Jan 2025 · Maiden · SOFT57.16L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Made all, no answer to winner but showed some fight in the Country Boosted Mdn at Coonabarabran for new trainer. Can lead or take a sit. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Faded at the finish when 3rd beaten by over 4L last run at Coonabarabran. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

Has found improvement of late but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 15; third, beaten 4l, in a maiden at Coonabarabran on first outing for new trainer 21 days ago.

RSIS

Faded in the late stages of the race when 3rd last run at Coonabarabran. Has definite claims.

12Messy StarJ: Jordan Quince·T: Brett Robb355kg1 01: 0-0-0$26.00$4.40

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Dubbo1000m31 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD311.54L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Well down the track at Dubbo on debut following a market drift. Drops back a notch in trip. Improvement needed and leaning towards others.

ILB

Odds of $17.00 and didn't find the line when 10th last run at Dubbo but was on debut last time. Displays good tactical speed. Appears tested.

Never landed a blow on her debut when tenth of 12 over 5f at Dubbo at 16-1 last month; this only her second handicap outing; progress needed on this second career run.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and struggled with the pace when 10th last time at Dubbo but having second career run. Will be positive in the run early.

13AerializeJ: Clayton Gallagher·T: A L Mcrae655kg4 3 6 4 46: 0-0-1$4.60$1.85

Career

6: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Queanbeyan1000m26 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT62.52L
4Orange1000m19 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD44.27L
6Moruya1010m2 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT75.7L
3Corowa900m14 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.3L
4Narromine800m23 Aug 2026 · MDN HCP · HEAVY81.2L
7Wagga1000m12 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD44.8L
1Goulburn800m27 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-3.5

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Led, gave away final stages at Queanbeyan. Can lead or take a sit. High on the shortlist.

ILB

Was $4.60 and getting tired late when 4th last time at Queanbeyan. Expecting to settle positively. Very tidy performer.

Respectable effort when fourth over 5f at Queanbeyan (maiden) last month; not yet off the mark in six attempts although has finished third; recent form has a decent look to it.

RSIS

Started 7/2 and lost momentum late when 4th last run at Queanbeyan. Should muster plenty of early toe. Solid claims.

14Long LiveJ: Shannen Llewellyn·T: Kieren Hazelton157.5kg2 9 5 3 59: 0-1-1$3.20$1.45

Career

9: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-1
Track Mudgee
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Moree950m30 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT52.77L
3Newcastle900m6 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · GOOD45.06L
5Newcastle900m19 Sept 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD43.12L
9Coffs Harbour1010m3 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.4L
2Scone900m17 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT51.5L
4Newcastle800m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.1L
6Quirindi1000m13 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT74.9L
1Scone800m1 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)-3.6

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Kieren Hazelton striking at just 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 266%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Midfield, failed to find another gear but not disgraced in soft going at Moree for new stable. Decent alley. Fits well against this opposition.

ILB

Jumped at $6.50 and came in 5th last run at Moree. Should improve from the last run and can save some energy from the draw. Strong chance today.

This is his level and shown recent signs of improvement; respectable effort (beaten just under 3l) in a maiden last month at Moree on debut for this trainer.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and finished 5th last start at Moree. Likely to bounce back and has the ideal draw. Strong claims.

Odds correct as at Sun 15 Nov, 1:50 am AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 15 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races