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Armidale (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Armidale (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 8 NovArmidale (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Can Assist Christmas Cup 6Th December Country Boosted Mdn Hcp 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Armidale plays host to a competitive Country Boosted Maiden Handicap over 1400m on a Good 4 surface under fine skies. Looking at the early win market order, Hey Kalumba commands the shortest quote, closely followed by Totally Underrated, Irish Accolade, No Sound, and Honest Doll rounding out the field. The bold play is to lean into the runners showing genuine recent application at the trip rather than simply following the opening marker blindly in this wide-open contest.

The market leader Hey Kalumba jumps from barrier 1 for trainer D B Campbell and jockey Zac Wadick, bringing a fresh placing into this after fighting hard in soft conditions at Lismore over 1420m followed by a solid effort at Ballina. That consistency from an offpace mapping gives every indication of another strong showing. Meanwhile, Totally Underrated sits right on the speed for Zach Hatch and Daniel Smith, coming off a gritty runner-up performance at Moree over 1200m where the horse pressed on early and stuck on bravely. That solid recent form points directly to a major threat if the runner handles the stretch out in trip.

Digging deeper into the race shape, the speed map indicates No Sound will look to take up the running from barrier 5, while Irish Accolade likes to get back as a backmarker and will rely on genuine tempo up front. Irish Accolade showed a solid change of gears when running into the minors at Scone over this exact 1400m trip and could provide the value for exotics players if the leaders overdo things early. Fortune favours the bold here, and siding with the proven distance performers makes the most sense.

Race notes

  • CTRY MDN,CTRY MDN HCP,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 5 runners

Shortest win price

Hey Kalumba (1) and Totally Underrated (7)

2.40

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Irish Accolade

Offpace

  • 4Honest Doll

Onpace

  • 6No Sound

Leader

  • 7Totally Underrated
  • 1Hey Kalumba

  • Hey Kalumba · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Honest Doll · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Irish Accolade · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.

  • No Sound · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Hey KalumbaJ: Zac Wadick·T: D B Campbell159kg1 5 7 3 24: 0-1-1$2.40$1.24

Career

4: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballina

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Grafton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Lismore

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1015m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1110m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Lismore1420m18 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT70.54L
  2. 3Ballina1300m4 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD32.82L
  3. 7Grafton1015m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.34L
  4. 5Lismore1110m10 Sept 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · SOFT57.2L
  5. 1Grafton940m19 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)-0.4
  6. 5Grafton945m7 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Racing with consistency. Issued decent challenge in choppy conditions Mdn Plate at Lismore. Drawn favourably. Warrants attention.

ILB

Good effort to run 2nd last time at Lismore and has drawn the rails. Form has been improving over recent runs. One of the value chances in this race.

RP

Outran 18-1 odds when a close second last month at Lismore in a maiden.

RSIS

Finished strongly when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last run at Lismore and drawn the rails. On an upward trajectory in recent races. Must respect.

2Insain ChaosScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Comments

AAP

Rarely far away. Settled midfield, ran on fairly without threatening at Beaumont. This looks very achievable.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Odds of $1.65 and disappointing outing when 7th last run at Kempsey.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Was 4/6 and mediocre display when 7th last run at Kempsey.

3Must DiamondScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure at second start in the Country Boosted Mdn Plate at Beaumont. Building experience. Can improve.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started at $18.00 and ran 5th last time at Kempsey.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Started at 17/1 and ran 5th last run at Kempsey.

4Honest DollJ: Juliet Partridge·T: K T Dixon356kg4 8 11 52: 0-0-0$51.00$8.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Toowoomba

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Lismore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1210m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Moree950m30 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.5L
  2. 11Toowoomba1200m6 Oct 2025 · MDN · GOOD411.81L
  3. 8Lismore1210m26 Sept 2025 · Maiden · GOOD411.6L
  4. 4Beaudesert900m25 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial3.2L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 398 day break (> 300 days)

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (56-weeks). Ex Darren Evans in QLD. Not knocked around in recent tickover trial at Moree. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Fresh after a 56 week break. Odds of $101.00 and tailed off to finish 11th last run at Toowoomba. Racing for a new trainer. Rather have another day.

RP

Finished last of 11 over 6f at Toowoomba (handicap) last October; first run for trainer; running in a handicap for just the second time; competitive shout.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 56 weeks. Started 100/1 and didn't find the line when 11th last run at Toowoomba. First start for a new trainer.

5Irish AccoladeJ: Luke Rolls·T: J A Sylvester256kg10 2 8 4 351: 0-5-4$5.00$1.95

Career

51: 0-5-4

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    6: 0-1-1

  • Track Newcastle

    6: 0-2-0

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1512m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    22: 0-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    8: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    21: 0-2-3

Last starts

  1. 3Scone1400m23 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT55.8L
  2. 4Muswellbrook1500m19 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.94L
  3. 8Port Macquarie1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD45.93L
  4. 2Scone1400m25 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.7L
  5. 10Taree1615m22 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT69.75L
  6. 8Coffs Harbour1618m13 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45L
  7. 6Taree1600m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65L
  8. 2Port Macquarie1512m22 Aug 2026 · MDN · HEAVY81.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Jeremy Sylvester striking at just 2%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Luke Rolls 38% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 63%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 64% Profit on Turnover

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Luke Rolls winning at 13% POT in last 100 rides

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

Comments

AAP

Solid change of gears running into the minors at Scone over today's trip. Usually gets back. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Finished strongly when 3rd last start at Scone and drawn nicely. Will be motoring home late. Can lift.

RP

6l third last month at Scone in a maiden; knocking at the door recently; still winless and defeats stacking up (50 on the bounce); also engaged in race 4 at Warren.

RSIS

Finished well when 3rd last run at Scone and has a good draw. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight.

6No SoundJ: Ben Looker·T: Paul Snowden556kg7 3 5 2 92: 0-0-0$8.00$2.75

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Grafton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Coffs Harbour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1181m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1215m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT615.21L
  2. 2Tuncurry1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
  3. 5Coffs Harbour1215m13 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY86.3L
  4. 3Kembla Grange780m5 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial3.9L
  5. 7Rosehill900m13 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial5.4L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh. Well back and never sighted at Grafton at her second race start. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

Was $6.50 and well beaten when 9th last run at Grafton. Happy to forgive that run. Jockey Ben Looker and trainer Paul Snowden can't be overlooked. Nice price for the value seekers.

RP

Beaten 15l (Grafton) six weeks ago in a maiden; big player.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and didn't attack the line when 9th last start at Grafton. Can make a comeback. Has early pace and positions nicely. One that represents value at a decent price.

7Totally UnderratedJ: Daniel Smith·T: Zach Hatch456kg5 10 2 5 215: 0-4-2$2.40$1.26

Career

15: 0-4-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Grafton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Casino

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Tamworth

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2Moree1200m30 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT51.79L
  2. 5Tamworth1200m12 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT53.11L
  3. 2Armidale1100m20 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD30.35L
  4. 10Coffs Harbour1305m11 Jan 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD411.9L
  5. 5Murwillumbah1100m29 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.7L
  6. 4Casino1400m18 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY89.7L
  7. 7Gold Coast1200m2 Aug 2025 · MDN HCP · SOFT56.7L
  8. 2Grafton1175m17 July 2025 · BIG MDN · GOOD42.4L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 32% lower than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

Recent form solid. Pressed on early and stuck on well at Moree. Can lead or take a sit. Highly fancied to go one better.

ILB

Nice run when 2nd last start at Moree. Should jump out and bowl along. In strong racing shape since resuming from a break. Key player.

RP

Stepped up on her last two starts; turned in a solid effort in defeat nine days ago, when runner-up over 6f (handicap) at Moree; recent display was promising so is respected.

RSIS

Came in 2nd last start at Moree. Has shown early pace in races to date. Showing great form of late. Play of the day.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races