Armidale (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:18 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Armidale (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 8 NovArmidale (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Guyra Hotel Country Boosted Hcp (C1) 1300m · jumps Sun 8 Nov, 4:20 pm AEDT

Race preview

Armidale hosts the Guyra Hotel Country Boosted Hcp over 1300m on a good four track with fine weather for this class one event. The win market is led by Big Brad sitting shortest, followed by Midnight Rhythm, Bundoran, and Our Boy Tom shaping up next in the order. This race provides a fascinating contest on the country circuit with plenty of early speed expected from runners like Wolfcraig, Bundoran, and Sharpen The Knives, while The Big Ticket maps as the leader in search of control from barrier seven.

Looking closely at the form behind the market leaders, Big Brad comes into this contest after controlling the race and kicking away from them at Dubbo during his second start, though he is rising in class here and coming back slightly in distance for trainers Brett and Georgie Cavanough. Meanwhile, Midnight Rhythm returns for a fresh campaign after twenty-nine weeks away, having shown encouraging trial form with a win at Tamworth following an encouraging first preparation that featured a maiden win over 1400m right here at Armidale. Bundoran presents as an honest on-pacer for Ridge Wilson, having led and responded strongly to score in a small field at Moree over 1200m after a third placing at Tamworth, and boasts an ideal map position that suggests another bold showing is on the cards.

Race notes

CTRY CL1,CTRY CL1 HCP,Class 1
GOOD4
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Big Brad (3)

2.90

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

11The Big Ticket

Offmidfield

6Uno Fred

Midfield

8Libby

Offpace

10Sharpen The Knives
12Tickle My Tosen

Onpace

5Bundoran
2Wolfcraig
1Midnight Rhythm
9Our Boy Tom

Leader

3Big Brad

Midnight Rhythm · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Wolfcraig · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Big Brad · Negative
Class Rise
Racing in stronger company
Bundoran · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Midnight RhythmJ: Zac Wadick·T: M K Mason659kg6 2 2 1 14: 1-2-0$3.60$1.40

Career

4: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Armidale
2: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-1-0
Track Moree
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-2-0

Last starts

1Tamworth1000m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.4
1Armidale1400m16 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD4-2.1
2Armidale1300m29 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD40.7L
2Moree1200m17 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD41.2L
6Tamworth1000m2 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD46.4L
4Tamworth1000m13 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial3.3L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (29-weeks). Not too far off the mark in his first preparation. Will have matured further and shown encouraging trial form. Among the dangers again fresh in this affair.

ILB

Resuming after a break of 29 weeks. Ran home strongly to win last start here and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Strong claims.

Registered first success at the fourth time of asking over 7f here (handicap) when a just over 2l winner in April; returns from a break here; a likely player.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 29 weeks. Ran over the top of them when winning last start at this track and solid career start. Must respect.

2WolfcraigJ: Grady Spokes·T: M K Mason1059kg13 2 3 10 47: 1-2-1$23.00$3.90

Career

7: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Tamworth
2: 0-1-0
Track Armidale
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

4Tamworth1000m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.8L
10Armidale1400m29 Mar 2026 · CL2 · GOOD47.3L
3Armidale1400m13 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT51.8L
2Tamworth1400m2 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.6L
13Tamworth1200m13 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT55.8L
1Gunnedah1300m19 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.3
2Inverell1050m26 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW0.7L
8Gunnedah1000m25 May 2025 · 2Y HCP · SOFT59.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (32-weeks). In the minors first-up last campaign while trialling quietly in preparation for return. Has a tricky draw for return. Not out of this.

ILB

First up after 32 weeks and ran well when 2nd first up last preparation at Inverell. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide barrier. Others make far more appeal.

Found life tough when 7l back in tenth over 7f here (handicap) in March; returns from a layoff; could be in the mix as shown he can get his head in front.

RSIS

Resuming and competitive effort when 2nd resuming last preparation at Inverell. Ran 4th in a trial at Tamworth on Oct 12th.

3Big BradJ: Braith Nock·T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough357.5kg–$2.90$1.32

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Controlled race and kicked away from them at Dubbo at his second race start. Coming back slightly in distance. Stays under strong notice.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Dictated terms in front to win by 3 1/4L last time at Dubbo. Possesses good closing speed. Could be in the mix.

Readily accounted for his rivals over 7f at Dubbo (maiden) last Saturday; big player.

RSIS

On a short back up. Led and controlled the pace to win by 3 1/4L last start at Dubbo. Can go through the gears. Could feature here.

4WarbreccanScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

Sent to lead, made a rapid retreat back through the field at Beaumont. Leads, handy. One for exotics.

ILB

Weakened under pressure when 8th last start at Newcastle but lining up against easier rivals.

RSIS

Tailed off to finish 8th last start at Newcastle but up against weaker rivals.

5BundoranJ: Ben Looker·T: Ridge Wilson556kg6 3 3 3 115: 1-4-5$4.40$1.65

Career

15: 1-4-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Tamworth
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-2
Track Scone
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1014m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-2
Going Good
9: 0-3-3
Going Soft
6: 1-1-2

Last starts

1Moree1200m30 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT5-1.79
3Tamworth1200m12 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT50.91L
3Armidale1100m20 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD30.41L
3Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD44L
6Muswellbrook1000m20 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD44.5L
4Tamworth1000m10 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L
5Newcastle1150m23 Mar 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT64.5L
3Armidale1100m13 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT51.2L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Honest type. Led, responded strongly to score in small field at Moree. On pacer. Big show.

ILB

Made every post a winner to win by a margin of 1 3/4L last start at Moree. Shows good early pace. Nice enough type to be supported.

Has shown some recent improvement; got the job done by just under 2l at Moree over 6f (handicap) when off the mark last Friday; she can be taken on despite that win last time.

RSIS

Showed a clean pair of heels to win by a margin of 1 3/4L last run at Moree. Has shown early pace in races to date. Terrific hope.

6Uno FredJ: Angel Brennan·T: K T Dixon956kg1 5 6 8 18: 1-1-0$13.00$3.30

Career

8: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warren
1: 1-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Inverell1050m17 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)-2.4
8Grafton1400m16 July 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD37L
6Tamworth1200m3 July 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT73.6L
5Tamworth1000m26 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.2L
1Warren1600m14 June 2026 · Maiden · SOFT6-0.1
2Dubbo1300m5 June 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY96.2L
6Gunnedah1400m24 May 2026 · Maiden · SOFT53.6L
5Quirindi1200m28 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.6L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 239%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 44% in L100 rides
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (16-weeks). Broke his maiden over 1600m at Warren last campaign. Has an adverse draw and rising in weight for return. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Started $15.00 and ran 8th last start at Grafton but competing in a lower grade. Rough chance today.

Behind The Big Ticket over 7f at Grafton (handicap) when beaten 7l in July; grade looks suitable; last two runs were below standard set by success three runs ago; should prove competitive.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Was 14/1 and finished 8th last start at Grafton but up against a less competitive field. Success in a trial at Inverell on Oct 17th.

7Albert's PickScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

Having a good preparation. Broke maiden at Tamworth 14 Sep. No threat to winner but ran on for the minors at Beaumont at longer odds. Very fit, has some claims.

ILB

Showed a good turn of foot when 2nd beaten by 3 1/4L last start at Newcastle and challenged by weaker competitors.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd beaten by 3 1/4L last start at Newcastle and facing a weaker group of contenders.

8LibbyJ: Daniel Smith·T: Ridge Wilson455kg–$34.00$4.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Daniel Smith current POT is 32% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fought bravely to the wire in the (Bm50) at Inverell first run back. This looks a sterner test.

ILB

In the money when 2nd last time at Inverell. Might have to make up considerable ground. Will need to elevate.

Finished a decent runner-up of eight at Inverell over 5½f (handicap) three weeks ago; you have to go back a fair way to find her only win.

RSIS

Came in 2nd last time at Inverell on a heavy surface. Gets back and needs luck.

9Our Boy TomJ: Jordie Thompson·T: Michelle Fleming155kg8 13 8 2 713: 1-3-0$9.00$2.65

Career

13: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Track Moree
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Moree1300m30 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.6L
2Inverell1050m17 Oct 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY95.64L
8Tamworth1000m1 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.31L
13Tamworth1400m24 Apr 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD410L
8Armidale1400m16 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD411.1L
1Armidale1300m29 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.7
4Armidale1100m13 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT52.5L
5Tamworth1000m2 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Positive ride but emptied late at Moree over today's trip. Winner at track and distance. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Faded away to finish 7th last run at Moree but has drawn to do little work. Large claim helps. Not without a chance.

Winning form over C&D; not disgraced when seventh (Moree) last Friday upped to this distance; a lot on his plate here and he can be taken on.

RSIS

Was well beaten when 7th last time at Moree but gets a favourable stall. Jordie Thompson takes a large claim. Watch betting.

10Sharpen The KnivesJ: Cassey Williams·T: Ms T Bell255kg2 7 6 9 633: 1-7-8$12.00$3.20

Career

33: 1-7-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-2
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
6: 0-2-2
Track Gunnedah
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-2-1
Distance 1250m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 1-1-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
17: 0-5-5

Last starts

6Armidale1300m20 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD37.21L
9Tamworth1600m25 Aug 2026 · CTRY CL2 · SOFT57.9L
6Gunnedah1600m14 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT62.9L
7Moree1400m6 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD32.6L
2Inverell1400m18 July 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.7L
3Inverell1400m22 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43.4L
7Quirindi1200m11 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT67.1L
4Armidale1100m16 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD42L

Insights

Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Let-up (49-days). Long winning drought. Every chance but compounded this venue over this distance. Smoky place prospect at best.

ILB

Back from a let up. Started at $16.00 and was well beaten when 6th last start around here but gets a favourable draw. Very minor chance.

Not far behind Tickle My Tosen when sixth (dropped to this trip) 49 days ago; a course winner; form lately has been a mixed bag; record suggests she is usually one to take on for win purposes so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Freshened for this. At 15/1 folded up in the straight when 6th last run around here but drawn nicely.

11The Big TicketJ: Mikayla Weir·T: Ms V Mclennan755kg3 1 4 5 1142: 1-2-2$81.00$9.00

Career

42: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Taree
8: 1-2-2
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
14: 1-1-1
Going Soft
10: 0-1-1

Last starts

11Port Macquarie1200m25 Oct 2026 · CL2 · SOFT614.91L
5Grafton1000m13 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL3 · HEAVY813.43L
4Grafton1400m16 July 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD32.6L
1Taree1400m30 June 2026 · MDN · HEAVY9-0.5
3Taree1400m23 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY83.6L
2Taree1400m5 June 2026 · MDN · HEAVY80.5L
7Port Macquarie1500m27 May 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY99.9L
5Port Macquarie1509m18 May 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY107.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Dropped out to last and never sighted at Port Macquarie second-up. First time around Armidale. Regular under achiever.

ILB

Started $151.00 and struggled with the pace when 11th last run at Port Macquarie. Should muster plenty of early speed. Hard to recommend with any confidence.

Finished last of 11 over 6f at Port Macquarie (handicap) two weeks ago; a lot on his plate here and has some questions to answer.

RSIS

At 150/1 faded to finish 11th last time at Port Macquarie. Should race on the pace.

12Tickle My TosenJ: Luke Rolls·T: Colt Prosser855kg5 6 6 4 919: 1-0-2$18.00$3.80

Career

19: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track Kempsey
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0

Last starts

9Grafton1400m13 Oct 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY86.63L
4Armidale1300m20 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD34.6L
6Kempsey1450m5 Sept 2026 · BM50 · GOOD45L
6Port Macquarie1210m22 Aug 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY85L
5Port Macquarie1006m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.9L
3Dalby1400m21 Mar 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.9L
9Toowoomba1300m14 Feb 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY109.9L
6Gatton1400m25 Jan 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD43.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 39% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Luke Rolls winning at 13% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Grafton. Best viewed as a rough place hope.

ILB

Started $14.00 and tailed off to finish 9th last run at Grafton on a heavy track. Likely to settle back in the field. Entitled to be big odds.

Just the one win to his name; finished ninth, beaten 7l, over 7f at Grafton (handicap) last month; others appeal more given many of his rivals are in good form.

RSIS

Started at 13/1 and weakened under pressure when 9th last time at Grafton. Expected to settle towards the tail.

Odds correct as at Sun 8 Nov, 4:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races