Shortest win price
Smart Jazz (9)
3.30
Armidale plays host to the Guyra Fuels / Four Ways Service Centre Benchmark 58 over 1900m on a good 4 surface under fine skies, with the race having jumped at 2:30 pm AEDT. The win market order sees Harriet heading the quotations, followed closely by Smart Jazz, Fabs Cuz, and Dipierdomenico rounding out the front end of betting. It is an intriguing staying test where punters are forced to weigh up recent provincial and country form against horses stepping out in trip on a quick turnaround.
Looking into the form behind those shorter in the market, Harriet brings a sharp win at Narromine over 1600m in benchmark 50 class where she produced her best late from the back half, with the extra ground here considered a positive. Smart Jazz comes via a sound performance when finishing second in a small field at Newcastle over 2100m, showing that switching back to 1900m for a hard-fit campaigner could yield another prominent showing. Meanwhile, Fabs Cuz returns fresh here after a great run at Armidale prior to a disappointing effort in a small field at Tamworth, though a drop back to this benchmark 58 assignment suggests a bounce back could well be on the cards.
Further down the order, Dipierdomenico represents an interesting play on a short back-up after securing third in a staggered finish at Tamworth over 2100m, showcasing the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start to suggest staying toughness is present. Nature Boy maps as the lone leader from barrier five in a race featuring backmarkers like Cenotes, Harriet, and Dipierdomenico all hunting for pace from the rear, setting up a tactical affair where finding the right trail will prove telling.
Shortest win price
Smart Jazz (9)
3.30
Most career wins
Nature Boy
16-12-23 from 154 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Cenotes · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 101%
Dipierdomenico · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
More Cash · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fabs Cuz · Positive
Ideal Map
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
AAP
Latest form hard to fault. On pace but conceded late at Moree. Good wet track form. Highly rated despite the weight.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Started $5.50 and well beaten when 5th last start at Kempsey but back in an easier grade. Goes up in weight.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Started at 9/2 and ordinary performance when 5th last time at Kempsey but will find this grade easier.
Career
42: 6-4-6
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 0-1-0
Second-up
6: 0-0-2
Third-up
6: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Coffs Harbour
2: 0-1-0
Track Moree
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1900m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
15: 4-0-2
Going Heavy
9: 1-1-0
Going Soft
18: 1-3-4
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 101%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
AAP
Last success was 19 Sep 2024. Ran on okay without troubling in rain affected going at Grafton. Coming back in distance. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Odds of $31.00 and ran 5th last time at Grafton but has a good draw. Expected to settle towards the rear. This one has a big task.
RP
Posted respectable effort when beaten 2½l at Grafton over 1m3f (handicap) four weeks ago; can be a player at this level; he's worth a go as recent performance was encouraging.
RSIS
Started at 30/1 and finished 5th last run at Grafton but gets a favourable stall. Likely to get back.
Career
48: 5-2-9
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Armidale
7: 2-0-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1509m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2230m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 2-1-4
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Ben Looker 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 60%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a short back-up. Secured third in a staggered finish at Tamworth. Fit from racing, not out of this.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Finished 3rd last run at Tamworth and strong performer at this trip in the past. Has very good finishing speed. Watch the betting.
RP
Not beaten that far over 1m at Tamworth (handicap) a week ago; likes this combination of C&D; not discounted if finding his best form.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Finished 3rd last time at Tamworth and have to respect the form at this trip. Finishes off strongly. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
22: 5-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-1
Track Narrandera
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
9: 2-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Donkey-licked them at Inverell two back. Started $3.30 when safely held in Benchmark 58 company at Moree. Handles all conditions. A few runs under his belt this campaign, worth a look.
ILB
Started $3.30 and gave away some ground when 7th last time at Moree. Should improve here and stepping up in trip. Gets a solid chance here.
RP
Has achieved five wins from 22 career runs; close up behind Blazed Prince when seventh over 7f at Moree (handicap) beaten just under 5l last week; easy to see him making an impression.
RSIS
Odds of 9/4 and didn't threaten when 7th last start at Moree. Looking past the last run and going up in trip. Will show up at the business end.
Career
9: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 1-0-0
Track Moree
1: 0-0-1
Track Tamworth
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-1-3
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fresh. Great run at Armidale 20 Sep. Disappointing in small field at Tamworth. BM58 suits. Can bounce back.
ILB
Was $9.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last time at Tamworth. Contender at a nice price.
RP
Finished last of six over 1m2½f at Tamworth (handicap) 41 days ago; he meets the required standard ability wise; is a player if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.
RSIS
Was 8/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last time at Tamworth. Hard to see finishing out of the placings.
Career
19: 2-4-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Tuncurry
2: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1614m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1221m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1262m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
8: 0-2-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a short back-up. Unable to make an impression in soft going at Tamworth. Rise to 1900m a new challenge. Look for a better showing.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. At $6.50 disappointing outing when 7th last start at Tamworth. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Good chance of taking this out.
RP
Last of seven at Tamworth over 1m (handicap, behind Dipierdomenico) on Tuesday; a lot on his plate here and looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Odds of 11/2 and performed below standard when 7th last run at Tamworth. Jockey Jordie Thompson and trainer Jacob Perrett deserve respect as a team. Will go close.
Career
22: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
12: 1-1-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Luke Rolls 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 186%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Placed (Bm58) at Tamworth 12 Oct. Not disgraced at Moree at $8. Has his first look at 1900m here. Fit from racing, right in the mix.
ILB
Started at $8.00 and didn't threaten when 6th last run at Moree. Has the potential to improve sharply and rising in trip. Solid chance.
RP
Not disgraced when sixth at Moree over 7f (handicap) last week; a few rivals look in good form so has questions to answer.
RSIS
At 7/1 looked outclassed when 6th last start at Moree. May see an upturn in form and racing over more ground. Strong prospects in this race.
Career
154: 16-12-23
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Quirindi
2: 0-0-0
Track Taree
3: 0-0-0
Track Deepwater
3: 0-1-0
Distance 2235m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
69: 5-3-9
Going Heavy
17: 3-1-3
Jockey Booking
Negative
Daniel Smith current POT is 32% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a quick back-up. Fair way from the winner but battled home into third at Ballina over longer test. Well into preparation now, could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
On a short back up. Couldn't shake them off when 3rd beaten by close to 8L last start at Ballina but coming back in distance. Suggest watching.
RP
Three-time course winner; has largely been consistent of late; beaten third of six over 1m5f at Ballina (handicap) on Monday; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Faded at the finish when 3rd last start at Ballina but coming back in distance. Likely to be well placed early.
Career
63: 4-5-8
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
4: 0-2-2
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
22: 1-0-3
Going Heavy
10: 0-1-2
Going Soft
31: 3-4-3
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 63%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Long winless run but recent form encouraging. Sound performance in small field at Beaumont. Switching to 1900m. Hard fit, capable of making an impact.
ILB
Close to claiming the win last run at Newcastle and competing in a lower grade. Getting better in recent performances. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Not beaten far over 1m2½f at Beaumont (handicap) 13 days ago.
RSIS
Right up there last start at Newcastle and matched against a less competitive field. Form has been improving over recent runs. Watch betting.
Career
24: 3-3-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Narromine
2: 1-0-0
Track Riccarton Park
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 53% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jenny Duggan 65% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan winning at 41% POT in last 100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
AAP
Produced best late from the back half to win in Benchmark 50 company at Narromine. More ground a plus. Harder now but sure to have supporters.
ILB
Romped home to win last run at Narromine and can save some energy from the barrier. Does take a while to get into stride. Prefer others.
RP
Successful by 1½l over 1m at Narromine (handicap) 22 days ago; despite that Narromine success, not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Romped home to win last time at Narromine and drawn by the rails. Will be giving the leaders a big start.