Shortest win price
Cuban Waters (8)
2.80
The Happy 60th Linda Raison runs at Balaklava over 1200m at 6:40 pm AEDT on a Good 3 track in fine conditions. Cuban Waters heads the win market from Sassy For Sure and Je City, with Sassy Sophie and Jasstar rounding out the shorter prices. This benchmark 56 handicap looks wide open, and the value case sits with horses the market has priced past their true claims.
Sassy For Sure shapes as the map standout here. Drawing barrier four, this runner sits in the leader spot where position analysis suggests market overpricing by 4 per cent. The form reads solidly: a win at Port Lincoln on Good 4 ground second-up, then a three-length fourth on a Soft 6 deck at the same track, running on hard last time. The stable record and jockey Alyssa Webb's partnership suggest a horse ready to peak second-up, and more ground over the 1200m suits. The rating of 100 (IRD) and comment about drawing to effect point to a genuine winning chance. Cuban Waters, shortest in the market, has produced solid efforts here at Balaklava and shapes third-up on the back of two placings in class races. However, the stable is underperforming market expectation by 55 per cent, and a $21 quote second-up at Morphettville signals recent form lacks punch. Je City rates well at 79 (IRD) but has just come back in distance from 1400m and carries a negative rider change; the last starts show promise without a clear break-through.
Night Cruiser commands attention as an on-pace runner in a speedGroup alongside Cuban Waters. The jockey-trainer combo here is performing 66 per cent above market expectations—a standout edge in a race where form splits are marginal. This runner shapes as a strong roughie candidate. The offpace group led by Justa Star, Cyclone Rupert, Pirate and Jasstar will chase from behind, though Cyclone Rupert's jockey-trainer partnership is losing 100 per cent return on turnover. Sassy Sophie, first-up after 20 weeks, is a definite risk despite the stable's positive ROI.
Shortest win price
Cuban Waters (8)
2.80
Most career wins
Cuban Waters
5-3-3 from 30 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Justa Star · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Cyclone Rupert · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Sassy For Sure · Positive
Ideal Map
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Je City · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Career
15: 2-4-2
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Morphettville
11: 1-2-2
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
3: 1-2-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
11: 2-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (20-weeks). Pitted against better company last prep. Blew the cobwebs away with two city jump outs and a recent trial. Claim helps. Can challenge fresh in this affair.
ILB
Back from a break. Started $26.00 and was well beaten when 10th last run at Morphettville but competing in a less challenging grade. Dropping back to a shorter trip. Better to look elsewhere.
RP
Beaten 13l in tenth over 1m1f at Morphettville (handicap) five months ago; has won here previously; likely player based on the pick of his form.
RSIS
Back after a break. Odds of 25/1 and struggled with the pace when 10th last run at Morphettville but matched against lesser competition. Will be dropping in distance.
Career
32: 4-4-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Armidale
1: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
2: 0-0-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
13: 3-0-1
Distance 1280m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 1-2-1
Going Good
20: 1-4-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 3-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 65%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (21-weeks). Ex Luke Pepper in NSW. Close in Class 3 company at Goulburn first-up last campaign. Had two Port Lincoln trials. In well with claim and inside gate for first SA assignment. Watch betting.
ILB
Resuming after break. Started at $12.00 and couldn't find the line when 4th last time at Canberra and dropping in class. Change in trainer. Betting is the best guide.
RP
He meets the required standard ability wise; far from disgraced (beaten just under 3l) over 6½f at Canberra Acton (handicap) five months ago; first start for yard; his best form stacks up so in the mix.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Started at 11/1 and peaked on the run when 4th last start at Canberra and challenged by less formidable competitors. Watch the betting.
Career
15: 2-1-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-1-0
Track Port Lincoln
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1050m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-2
Going Good
9: 2-1-0
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5.5kg weight here
AAP
Gallant display on a soft deck at Port Lincoln second-up. Drawn to effect and more ground a plus. Right in this.
ILB
Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Port Lincoln. Displays good tactical speed. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts this campaign. Every possible hope today.
RP
Beaten into third when evens at Port Lincoln over 5f (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Did well to place 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Port Lincoln. Likely to be well placed early. Good winning chance.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 39 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. All honours in the small field at Jamestown over this trip. Has an adverse draw in tougher race but Price rides and can't take lightly.
ILB
Landed the spoils when winning by 1 3/4L last run at Jamestown and strong form at the distance. On a winning streak the last 2 runs.
RSIS
Got the cash when winning by 1 3/4L last start at Jamestown and have to respect the form at this trip. On a winning streak the last 2 starts.
Career
16: 2-1-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1396m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1544m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-1-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 50% in L100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Placed Hcp (C2) Morphettville 10 Oct. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Murray Bridge Gh. Coming back in distance. A few runs under his belt this campaign, capable of making an impact.
ILB
At $9.00 got going late when 4th last run at Murray Bridge. Could be in the mix.
RP
String of consistent efforts of late; has won here; solid effort over 7f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Was 8/1 and pushed past some when 4th last run at Murray Bridge. Not at all out of this race.
Career
15: 2-2-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Nowra
2: 0-0-1
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
Resuming (37-weeks). Ex John Thompson in NSW. Backmarker who needs everything to fall into place but keeping safe at first run for new stable off long lay-off.
ILB
Resuming after a break of 37 weeks. Started $4.00 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at Nowra. Coming to a new trainer. Likely to get back.
RP
Not disgraced in fifth over 7f at Nowra (handicap) in February; first start for new trainer; she can be taken on.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a 37 week break. Started at 3/1 and advanced late into 5th last time at Nowra. First start for a new trainer.
Career
27: 4-4-6
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Tamworth
2: 1-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1605m
3: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-2-0
Going Soft
8: 1-2-1
Going Good
14: 3-0-5
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 51% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Polly Brewster 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 64%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Polly Brewster in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 25%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (18-weeks). Solid last campaign including multiple wins and has a good first up record. Has some claims fresh in this affair.
ILB
Racing fresh today after a break. Started at $20.00 and below expectations when 6th last run at Port Augusta. Expected to settle towards the tail. Few more classier types in this race.
RP
She can be competitive at this level; didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Port Augusta (beaten 7l) on debut outing for new trainer (dropped back to this trip) four months ago; one to consider if replicating the best of her form.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Was 19/1 and unimpressive effort when 6th last run at Port Augusta. Likely to get back. Polly Brewster provides some weight relief.
Career
30: 5-3-3
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Clare
1: 0-0-1
Track Oakbank
3: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
14: 2-1-1
Distance 1250m
6: 1-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
25: 5-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
G, N & B Searle & Callanan striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent out $21 when unable to threaten at Morphettville second-up. Ready to peak third-up. Solid efforts here. Right in the mix.
ILB
Couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last start at Morphettville. Should muster plenty of early toe. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
A previous winner here; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; not disgraced when seventh (Morphettville) last month; has to be considered as shown she can get her head in front.
RSIS
Couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last run at Morphettville. Displays good tactical pace. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
21: 3-4-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
3: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 1-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 3-4-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
5 weeks since last run. Settled midfield, no meaningful impression at Gawler for new stable. Keener on others.
ILB
Was $91.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last run at Gawler. Entitled to be a big price.
RP
Recent form nothing to write home about; last of 11 on first outing for new trainer at Gawler five weeks ago; not a great record second time out after a break and is passed over.
RSIS
Started at 90/1 and faded away to finish 11th last run at Gawler.
Career
14: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
4: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
6: 0-2-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-3-1
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (20-weeks). Since trialled at Murray Bridge Gh. Will appreciate further and looks a risk fresh.
ILB
Resumes from a break. Jumped at $14.00 and disappointing effort when 8th last start at Morphettville but stepping down to a lower level. Dropping in distance. Goes up in weight. Keep safe.
RP
Beaten 7l into eighth over 1m at Morphettville (handicap) five months ago; has won previously at this course; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Fresh from a break. Started 13/1 and average performance when 8th last start at Morphettville but will find this grade easier. Dropping in distance. Rises in weight. Watch betting.
Career
7: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
AAP
Not disgraced at Murray Bridge Gh at $6.50. Deep into her campaign, each way.
ILB
Jumped at $6.50 and came in 6th last start at Murray Bridge but can find a nice position from the draw. The large claim from Jemma Gutte should help. Can surprise at a nice price.
RP
Not beaten too far when sixth at Murray Bridge Gh over 5f (handicap) last month; has winning track form; not always shown an awful lot since winning a maiden at Balaklava a year ago; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Started 11/2 and finished 6th last run at Murray Bridge but has a positive stall. Jemma Gutte takes a large claim.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Naracoorte. Capable but will need to lift sharply from that run.
ILB
Started $10.00 and weakened under pressure when 11th last time at Naracoorte.
RSIS
Was 9/1 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last start at Naracoorte.
Career
38: 4-6-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
8: 1-0-2
Track Strathalbyn
4: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
9: 0-3-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 2-4-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 1-2-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (33-weeks). Can lead or take a sit but this is short of win range and would need a major betting push under new trainer.
ILB
First up and reeled them in to win first up last preparation at Gawler. First appearance for a new trainer but back to a shorter distance. Highly unlikely to feature here.
RP
Finished eighth, beaten 8l, at Strathalbyn over 1m (handicap) in March; grade looks suitable; now running for a new trainer.
RSIS
Resuming and reeled them in to win resuming last preparation at Gawler. Coming to a new trainer but down in trip.
Career
39: 3-3-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 1-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
3: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
8: 0-2-1
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
7: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 3-3-1
Going Soft
13: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Elizabeth Faust striking at just 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 84%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 86% Profit on Turnover
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Last success was 19 Mar 2025. Finished a long way from the action Hcp (54) at Port Lincoln. Usually gets back. Prefers it dry but needs to fire up.
ILB
Started $5.50 and finished 8th last time at Port Lincoln. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
No impression when eighth of 12 at Port Lincoln upped to this distance last month.
RSIS
Started 9/2 and came in 8th last time at Port Lincoln. Expected to settle towards the tail.