Belmont (WA) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:18 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Belmont (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovBelmont (WA)Change

Race 7 — Swan Draught Hcp (C3) 1400m · jumps Wed 11 Nov, 8:37 pm AEDT

Race preview

Swan Draught Hcp brings a competitive Class 3 test over 1400m at Belmont under good conditions. The win market is headed by Barron Bill, followed closely by Run Pattie Run, Super Sentai, and Rising Fame as the key early fancies in the betting order. Fortune favours the bold here, and the value sits with looking past the most obvious names in search of some genuine overs in a race that shapes with plenty of tactical speed up front.

The case for the market elect Barron Bill rests on stable backing from D L Morton, though the gelding was beaten eight lengths at Belmont over 1200m last start when ridden back and never featuring. He strips fitter here from a better barrier in stall three, yet that previous blowout leaves room to look elsewhere. Super Sentai jumps wider out in gate twelve for S & J Casey with Chris Parnham sticking after grabbing third over 1200m here previously, clocking the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start despite a tricky map challenge.

Further down the order, Rising Fame comes out of N D Parnham's yard with Steven Parnham steering from barrier ten, having run third over 1400m at Ascot on a soft track following a York win. With early speed map representation featuring King Brew, Fearless Talk, Rising Fame, and Sky River all carving out the tempo, horses capable of chiming in late like Run Pattie Run from barrier two—coming off a solid closing effort at Northam—can take advantage of the anticipated pace duel and give punters a bold run at the prize.

Race notes

3UP CL3 54+ HCP,3yo+,CL3,Class 3
GOOD3
Fine
12 runners

Shortest win price

Barron Bill (3)

3.60

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Apparatus

Offmidfield

8Slick

Midfield

10Mavis Myrtle
2Queen Aria
6Run Pattie Run

Offpace

3Barron Bill
7Zouconi
4Super Sentai

Leader

1King Brew
12Sky River
5Fearless Talk
11Rising Fame

King Brew · Positive
Trainer Career
Proven stable with a S/R of 33%
Queen Aria · Negative
Trainer SR
Adam Durrant striking at just 6%
Barron Bill · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Super Sentai · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1King BrewJ: Laqdar Ramoly·T: Chad Caporn560.5kg9 2 9 5 88: 2-3-0$9.00$2.90

Career

8: 2-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
4: 2-2-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-3-0
Going Good
5: 2-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Belmont1000m28 Oct 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 HCP · GOOD48.86L
5Belmont1000m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
9Bunbury1100m30 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT56.1L
2Pinjarra1200m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY81.5L
9Belmont1000m4 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 66+ HCP · SOFT69.4L
1Pinjarra1200m8 Apr 2026 · 2UP CLASS 1 50+ HCP · GOOD4-2
1Pinjarra1300m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD4-3.4
2Pinjarra1200m12 Mar 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD40.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Positive
Proven stable with a S/R of 33%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 32% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 51%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten this track off spell. Better conditioned. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Jumped at $11.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last time around here but stepping up in distance. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Last of eight here over 5f (handicap) last month; knows how to win so has a chance.

RSIS

Started at 10/1 and faded away to finish 8th last start here but racing over more ground. Jockey Laqdar Ramoly usually performs well for this stable. Watch for a sign in the market.

2Queen AriaJ: Natasha Faithfull·T: A G Durrant758.5kg7 2 3 4 1018: 2-5-2$14.00$3.80

Career

18: 2-5-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra Scarpside
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
4: 1-2-0
Track Pinjarra
6: 1-1-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
16: 2-4-1

Last starts

10Northam1400m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL5 HCP 60+ · GOOD46.93L
4Bunbury1100m7 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD42.62L
3Ascot1600m29 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT52L
2Pinjarra1600m15 Apr 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD41L
7Ascot1400m4 Apr 2026 · 2UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · GOOD43.5L
4Ascot1500m21 Mar 2026 · 2UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · GOOD42.5L
3Pinjarra1300m14 Feb 2026 · 2UP GRAD 1MW HCP 60+ · GOOD42.1L
2Ascot1200m4 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD41.2L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Adam Durrant striking at just 6%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Natasha Faithfull 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 51%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure when second-up in the 3yo+ Hcp (C5) at Northam. Can step up from latest.

ILB

At $3.60 folded up in the straight when 10th last run at Northam. Has some claims.

Had been doing well before disappointing effort latest; well held tenth when second favourite for 11-runner event at Northam last month upped to this distance; this is competitive and others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 13/5 and weakened to finish 10th last time at Northam. Not without a chance.

3Barron BillJ: Lucy F Fiore·T: D L Morton358kg2 2 1 9 84: 1-2-0$3.60$1.60

Career

4: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Belmont1200m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD38.23L
9Belmont1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
1Belmont1200m16 May 2026 · 2Y SWP · SOFT5-0.6
2Ascot1000m29 Apr 2026 · 2Y SW MDN · SOFT51.74L
2Ascot1000m11 Apr 2026 · 2Y SWP · GOOD43.2L
1Belmont1000m30 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.2
5Lark Hill950m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Belmont
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor this course off long spell. Strips fitter. Looking to bounce back.

ILB

Started at $3.60 and below par performance when 8th last run at this track. Likely to bounce back and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Commands serious respect.

A course winner; few miles on the clock with this his fifth race; finished eighth, beaten 8l, over 6f here (handicap) 21 days ago; this just his second run in a handicap; very interesting despite defeat last time as he was successful two runs ago.

RSIS

Started 13/5 and average performance when 8th last start at this venue. Giving another chance here and good career start. Will take a stack of beating.

4Super SentaiJ: Chris Parnham·T: S & J Casey1258kg6 1 10 3 35: 1-0-1$6.00$2.25

Career

5: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Northam
2: 1-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Belmont1200m28 Oct 2026 · 3UP C&G CLASS 1 HCP · GOOD46.65L
3Belmont1200m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
10Northam1300m27 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · HEAVY1.8L
1Northam1100m23 July 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD4-0.1
6Pinjarra1400m21 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD46.1L
5Ascot1200m10 Dec 2025 · 3Y 0MWLY SC 52+ HCP · GOOD43.5L
3Belmont1000m24 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial3L
4Belmont400m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2.3L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

In the minor spoils but still well held this course. Has an adverse draw but C Parnham sticks.

ILB

Finished strongly when 3rd beaten by just short of 7L last start here. Likely to get back in the run. This won't be easy.

Third of seven beaten 7l here over 6f (handicap) last month; others more likely.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by nearly 7L last start at the track. Likely to get back.

5Fearless TalkJ: Zephen Johnston-Porter·T: Ms A King857kg1 11 3 14 925: 3-3-6$9.00$2.90

Career

25: 3-3-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Northam
5: 1-0-0
Track Pinjarra
6: 2-0-2
Track Ascot
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 0-0-3
Distance 1300m
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
17: 3-1-4
Going Soft
8: 0-2-2

Last starts

9Ascot1200m24 Oct 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY SC 58+ · GOOD46.29L
14Belmont1300m13 June 2026 · 4UP 58+ · SOFT66.9L
3Belmont1400m23 May 2026 · 4UP NMWLY 55+ HCP · GOOD41.1L
11Northam1300m3 May 2026 · 2UP CL5 60+ HCP · SOFT59.1L
1Pinjarra1400m8 Apr 2026 · 2UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP · GOOD4-0.4
1Pinjarra1400m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD4-0.1
3Belmont1200m4 Mar 2026 · 2UP CLASS 1 HCP · GOOD41.8L
5Belmont1200m11 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD33.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 54% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Zephen Johnston-Porter in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $81 when safely held at Ascot for new trainer. Fitter and capable of better second-up.

ILB

Odds of $81.00 and didn't attack the line when 9th last run at Ascot. Should come to hand quickly. Prefer in a much weaker race.

Finished ninth of 12 over 6f at Ascot (handicap) two weeks ago on debut for this trainer; this looks a decent race so others more appealing.

RSIS

At 80/1 didn't threaten when 9th last start at Ascot. Should come to hand quickly.

6Run Pattie RunJ: Holly Watson·T: Darren Taylor256.5kg7 2 4 5 729: 3-3-4$5.50$2.15

Career

29: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 2-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
6: 0-1-0
Track Albany
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
9: 3-1-2
Distance 1108m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
13: 2-2-2
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 2-3-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1

Last starts

7Northam1300m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · GOOD41.51L
5Ascot1200m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.72L
4Bunbury1200m28 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD43.88L
2Bunbury1200m10 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD40.6L
7Northam1300m27 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · HEAVY1.8L
7Bunbury1100m30 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT55.7L
5Belmont1600m25 Mar 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD43.2L
5Pinjarra1500m12 Mar 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD44.9L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Holly Watson 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on with some conviction from back half at Northam at double-figure odds. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Started $26.00 and finished 7th last time at Northam but drawn nicely. Rough chance today.

Creditable seventh, beaten 1½l, of 15 over 6½f at Northam (handicap) two weeks ago; all her winning form has come at Bunbury (three successes); not been able to get her head in front lately so others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and ran 7th last start at Northam but will try to take advantage of the stall.

7ZouconiJ: Chanel Cooper·T: G & A Williams1156kg12 3 2 9 1012: 2-0-3$34.00$5.50

Career

12: 2-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-2
Going Good
9: 2-0-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

10Northam1300m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · GOOD43.58L
9Bunbury1100m7 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD48.98L
2Lark Hill950m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.4L
3Lark Hill950m7 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
12Belmont1300m6 Aug 2025 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · SOFT59.2L
6Bunbury1400m19 July 2025 · 3Y HCP 59+ · SOFT63.18L
1Northam1400m2 July 2025 · 2UP CLASS 1 HCP · GOOD4-0.57
3Bunbury1200m11 June 2025 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT51.1L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 31% better than Career Avg.
Top Stable
Positive
G & A Williams performing 31% above market expectation
Jockey Booking
Positive
Chanel Cooper 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay at Northam when second-up. Happy to watch.

ILB

Started at $91.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Northam. Coming to a new trainer. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

This is her level; close up behind Run Pattie Run when tenth over 6½f at Northam (handicap) 17 days ago; first start for stable; more than capable if on song so has to be considered.

RSIS

Started 90/1 and didn't find the line when 10th last run at Northam. Racing for a new trainer.

8SlickJ: Brandon Louis·T: Ms J Erkelens155.5kg4 5 8 10 1011: 2-0-0$23.00$4.40

Career

11: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
5: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 2-0-0

Last starts

10Belmont1200m28 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD46.41L
10Belmont1650m26 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT611.7L
8Belmont1300m15 Aug 2026 · 4UP 58+ 0MWLY SPEC COND HT 1 · GOOD45.5L
5Belmont1200m1 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY HCP 58+ · SOFT52.7L
4Belmont1000m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4.3L
9Belmont1400m11 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · GOOD34.5L
1Ascot1400m28 Jan 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD4-0.5
1Pinjarra1200m15 Jan 2026 · 2UP F&M MDN SW · GOOD4-0.3

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when second up

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo+ (Rs0ly) this track. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Started $17.00 and tailed off to finish 10th last run at this venue but has the ideal gate. Likely to get back. Best to watch and see.

Held in tenth here over 6f (handicap) last month; by no means ruled out if replicating the best of her form.

RSIS

Started at 16/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 10th last start at this venue but has a nice advantage with a good stall. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

9ApparatusJ: Shaun O'Donnell·T: Dylan Bairstow655kg6 15 9 8 532: 3-3-3$10.00$3.20

Career

32: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1106m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
9: 1-1-1
Distance 1406m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1
Going Good
25: 2-2-2

Last starts

5York1300m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD44.33L
8Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL5 60+ HCP · GOOD44.4L
9Pinjarra1400m2 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT54.8L
15Belmont1600m20 June 2026 · 2UP GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD46.3L
6Belmont1400m10 June 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD43.8L
9Belmont1400m3 June 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT52.6L
3Belmont1400m23 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 60+ · GOOD41.4L
4Pinjarra1200m13 May 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD41L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Dylan Bairstow striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 58% Profit on Turnover
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Last win was 1 Feb. Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at York. Steep class rise.

ILB

On a short back up. Failed to threaten last run at York but showing improvement in recent outings. Does take a while to get into stride. Few more classier types in this race.

Was behind Rising Fame at York five weeks ago when not disgraced over 6½f (handicap); meeting some horses in good form and not one to rely on.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Towards the rear last run at York and challenged by more formidable competitors. Might be ridden for luck. Showing improvement in recent outings.

10Mavis MyrtleJ: Jefferson Tsang·T: C G Willis954kg8 6 12 8 134: 3-1-3$31.00$5.50

Career

34: 3-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Pinjarra
6: 1-1-0
Track Albany
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
12: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
9: 3-0-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 1-0-3

Last starts

1Collie1400m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ · GOOD-0.93
8Bunbury1400m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD47.18L
12Belmont1600m26 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.22L
6Bunbury1685m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 53+ HCP · GOOD44.99L
8Belmont1700m9 Sept 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD45.8L
8Belmont1300m29 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY 57+ · GOOD44.2L
13Belmont1400m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW GRAD HCP 60+ · HEAVY913.8L
1Bunbury1400m30 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 50+ · SOFT5-2.6

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 277%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

All honours in the small field at Collie over this trip. ackling stronger now but can't discount.

ILB

Led all the way when winning by a margin of 1L last run at Collie but up against a more competitive field. Large claim helps. Chances are slim.

Gained narrow success in a handicap at Collie two weeks ago; despite that Collie success, others more appealing.

RSIS

Led throughout when winning by a margin of 1L last time at Collie but competing in a higher grade. The large claim from Jefferson Tsang should help.

11Rising FameJ: Steven Parnham·T: N D Parnham1054kg6 5 8 1 319: 2-3-4$9.00$3.00

Career

19: 2-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Bunbury
1: 1-0-0
Track Belmont
8: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
5: 0-2-2
Distance 1300m
6: 1-1-0
Going Good
15: 2-3-3
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Ascot1400m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP CL3 53+ HCP · SOFT51.07L
1York1300m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD4-3.14
8Belmont1400m9 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD43.7L
5Belmont1400m26 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · SOFT65.4L
6Belmont1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · SOFT51.1L
4Northam1300m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD47.2L
5Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD41.1L
8Belmont1000m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11.4L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Steven Parnham current POT is 12% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -26%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Outer barrier but has good gate speed. A few runs under her belt this campaign, right in the mix again.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Claimed late when 3rd last time at Ascot. Should be rolling forward early from the wide alley. Will be facing a challenge.

Solid effort in defeat to finish third after going off 14-1 at Ascot last Tuesday.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Claimed late when 3rd last run at Ascot. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.

12Sky RiverJ: Jason Li·T: N D Parnham454kg9 11 7 2 324: 2-4-2$26.00$4.80

Career

24: 2-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
7: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
5: 0-2-1
Distance 1619m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 2-4-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Geraldton1619m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.04L
2York1500m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD40.07L
7Northam1400m23 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL5 59+ HCP · GOOD410.67L
11Belmont1400m16 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · GOOD49.41L
9Belmont1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD46.2L
7Belmont1000m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.1L
6Belmont1000m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)10.6L
6York1500m6 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 52+ HCP · GOOD46.3L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form

Comments

AAP

Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on at Geraldton. On pacer. Can again fill the minors here.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Towards the tail last start at York and competing at a higher level of competition. Has early speed and positions nicely. Others preferred.

Finishing third was a good effort last month over 1m (handicap) at Geraldton; not been able to get her head in front lately so others are preferred.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Failed to threaten last start at York and up against a more competitive field. Should muster plenty of early toe. Jason Li provides some weight relief.

Odds correct as at Wed 11 Nov, 8:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Wed 9 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races