Shortest win price
Mean Mazzle (4)
2.50
Welcome to Balaklava for the Campolina Mdn Plate over 1050m on a good four track with fine weather overhead. The win market shapes up with Mean Mazzle sitting right at the head of affairs, followed closely by Bailar, Aliandra, and Minya Murra in the early market order as punters weigh up a tricky maiden puzzle.
Looking at the form behind those shorter prices, Mean Mazzle comes in with some fair results this campaign, including a placing at Morphettville over 1050m and a handy effort when second-up where it just lacked the necessary pick-up. Sharper now, the stable's runners are going at a strong profit on turnover in recent outings, suggesting this runner makes a genuine case here. Bailar lines up for a first career start from the inside barrier one, backed by a strong trial and a hot jockey-trainer combination that outperforms market expectations.
Further down the market order, early speed looks to be dictated by My Bon Amie going hard from the front, while Mean Mazzle maps to settle midfield where early speed is an advantage on this circuit. Aliandra brings the fastest overall finishing sectionals from the previous start back for a second campaign and adds another layer of interest to a race where the value sits with those capable of handling the 1050m trip fresh or second-up.
Shortest win price
Mean Mazzle (4)
2.50
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Dashing Red Star · Negative
Jockey Booking
Tala Hutchinson current POT is 48% below Career Avg.
Genco · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 147%
Mean Mazzle · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Aliandra · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-1
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Tala Hutchinson current POT is 48% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 65%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 45% in L100 rides
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Ex Aaron Bain & Ned Taylor in SA. Solid debut placing 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Gawler 23 Sep. Failed to threaten (outside alley) this course at his second race start as an odds drifter. Several key gear changes here. Keep safe.
ILB
Jumped at $8.50 and didn't find the line when 7th last run around here. Capable of bouncing back but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Well respected contender.
RP
Finished seventh, beaten a fair way over 6½f here (maiden) last month; representing new stable today; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Started 15/2 and didn't find the line when 7th last time at this venue. May see an upturn in form but coming back in trip. Winning chance.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 147%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Jon O'Connor in good form, out performing market 50%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Off pace, only battled home at Morphettville as an outsider. Comes back in trip a touch. Better for those runs under the belt and open to improvement.
ILB
Started at $91.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last time at Morphettville. Jockey Will Price and trainer Jon O'Connor link well together. Needs to improve.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 14 at Morphettville over 6f (maiden) last month; may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
Started 90/1 and folded up in the straight when 11th last run at Morphettville. Will Price and Jon O'Connor are a formidable team. Likely to settle back in the field.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 8 starts
AAP
Resuming (29-weeks). Thereabouts at times without posing a serious threat. Back off an encouraging trial. Check markets.
ILB
First run back from a 29 week spell. Odds of $19.00 and folded up in the straight when 6th last start at Murray Bridge.
RSIS
Resumes after a 29 week break. Started 18/1 and didn't threaten when 6th last start at Murray Bridge.
Career
4: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-2
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Produced some fair results this campaign. Placed at Morphettville 10 Oct. Handily placed but lacked the necessary pick-up at Morphettville when second-up. Sharper now, makes a strong case in this field.
ILB
Started at $4.20 and outmuscled in the run home when 5th last time at Morphettville. Good winning chance.
RP
Fifth, beaten 5½l, after starting third favourite over 6f at Morphettville (maiden) last month; four-race maiden though does have a third place to his name; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Was 10/3 and couldn't maintain the pace throughout when 5th last start at Morphettville. Should put in a decent effort.
Career
20: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
3: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-1-1
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 0-1-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Failed to threaten at Morphettville off long break at a mammoth price. Regular under achiever.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Lost ground in the run home when 7th last start at Morphettville but has a positive gate.
RP
Held when seventh beaten 9l (Morphettville) last Tuesday; yet to open his account after 20 starts; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
On a short back up. Was well beaten when 7th last start at Morphettville but drawn nicely.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). $1,500 purchase. Out of a half-sister to G3 winner Offenbach. Much to make up from his only trial spin. Drawn well but odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
4yo debutant sired by Press Statement for trainer Peter Nolan and drawn the rails. Watch early betting.
RP
Related to multiple race winner Sorel Rising (5f-7½f); running for the first time; every chance as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
4yo first starter by Press Statement for Peter Nolan and can save some energy from the stall.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-1
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (18-weeks). In the minors at Gawler on debut last campaign while brought on with two trial seconds. Facing a lively challenge first-up but look to markets.
ILB
First up after 18 weeks and attacked the line when 3rd beaten by 3 3/4L first up last preparation at Gawler. Small possibility.
RP
Finished last of 13 at Murray Bridge Gh over 6f (maiden) in July; returning from a layoff here; possibilities as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and she ran well three runs back.
RSIS
Resuming and ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 3 3/4L resuming last preparation at Gawler. Finished 2nd in a trial at Thomas Farms Rc Murray Bridge on Oct 29th.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Second campaign (27-weeks). Light on form with just one Balaklava placing. Latest trial was a pipe-opener. Betting.
ILB
First up after a 27 week break. Started $51.00 and struggled with the pace when 11th last start at Murray Bridge. Keep safe.
RP
Some promise; closest she has come to winning after four starts was a third; finished last of 11 at Murray Bridge Gh over 6f (maiden) in May; layoff to overcome; easy to oppose as the headgear needs to prompt improvement.
RSIS
Back from a 27 week break. Odds of 50/1 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last start at Murray Bridge.
Career
28: 0-5-6
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-3-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Clare
2: 0-0-1
Track Port Augusta
5: 0-2-0
Track Ceduna
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 0-1-2
Distance 1210m
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 0-3-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Chris Harrison striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 65%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Failed to threaten in choppy conditions at Port Lincoln after lengthy absence at healthy odds. Drops to shorter trip. Keener on others.
ILB
Started at $19.00 and disappointing display when 9th last run at Port Lincoln and will be down in distance. Should jump out and bowl along. Can't have in this.
RP
Finished ninth of 12 over 6½f at Port Lincoln (maiden) last month; in good form before making a backwards step last time out but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 28; hard enough to fancy as looks more likely to place than win.
RSIS
Started at 18/1 and well beaten when 9th last time at Port Lincoln and back in trip. Should race on the pace. A 28 start maiden.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (17-weeks). Mostly struggled in early runs on wet tracks but showed enough in recent trial. Betting.
ILB
Fresh from a break. At $15.00 ordinary performance when 8th last start at this venue. Fitter for a barrier trial at Thomas Farms Rc Murray Bridge on Oct 29th. Needs a lot of luck.
RP
This now her seventh attempt to get off the mark; finished eighth, beaten a fair way over 6f here (maiden) in July; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Odds of 14/1 and performed below standard when 8th last run at the track.
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Key Rider
Positive
Todd Pannell 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Key Jockey
Positive
Todd Pannell winning at 18% POT in last 100 rides
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 534 day break (> 300 days)
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (2:0-1-0). Dam unraced. Set for debut now after winning a Morphettville jump out and running on nicely in latest Murray Bridge Gh trial. Awkward alley but looks a forward type and warrants attention.
ILB
4yo first starter by Mandalong Ready for Heath Montgomerie. Betting is the best guide.
RP
First start under rules for this four-year-old; easy to see her making an impression as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
Heath Montgomerie 4yo by Mandalong Ready having first race start.
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Lining up for first race start and looks good to go. Good draw. Can make a real statement.
ILB
First appearance at the races 3yo by Showtime for trainer Peter Blanch & Belinda Blanch and has minimal work to do from the draw. Watch betting.
RP
Related to multiple race winner Hard Pick (5½f-1m); first racecourse start; is a player as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
First start at the races 3yo by Showtime for trainer Peter Blanch & Belinda Blanch and gets a favourable stall. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1103m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (12-weeks). Ex Tom Dabernig in Victoria. Good recent trial hit-out. In light but needs to show more.
ILB
First up today. At $8.00 couldn't stay in touch when 11th last time at Warracknabeal. First appearance for a new trainer. Possible place chance.
RP
Not had much racing; finished 11th of 12 at Warracknabeal in August; first start for new trainer.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Started 7/1 and weakened under pressure when 11th last start at Warracknabeal. Change in trainer.