Cairns (QLD) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Cairns (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sunday 11 October 2026

Race 1 — Ladbrokes Tote Win +10% Mdn Hcp 950m · jumps 1:34 pm AEDT

Race notes

MDN,MDN HCP,Maiden
GOOD4
Fine
11 runners

Shortest win price

Do A Little Dance (7)

2.80

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6Dee Three

Midfield

5Any News

Offpace

2Vincentvangee

Onpace

1Stretch The Monkey
8Chica Poderosa
10Whispers Of Ziaan

Firststart

3Dapper Vee
4Leuboom

Leader

7Do A Little Dance
11Foxy Cheval
9Sixty Nine Grange

Stretch The Monkey · Positive
Key Jockey
Ryan Wiggins winning at 8% POT in last 100 rides
Vincentvangee · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Dapper Vee · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Leuboom · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Stretch The MonkeyJ: Ryan Wiggins·T: R J Miller560kg10 62: 0-0-011.003.20

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1012m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Werribee1012m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.3L
10Albury1175m20 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT68.8L

Insights

Key Jockey
Positive
Ryan Wiggins winning at 8% POT in last 100 rides
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (24-weeks). Ex T Fitzsimmons. Trained here now. Not out of it fresh in this company.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Underperformed when 6th last time at Werribee. Coming to a new trainer. Should muster plenty of early toe. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Beaten 7l into sixth over 5f at Werribee (maiden) in April; starts out for new stable; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Resuming. Just average when 6th last run at Werribee. Likely to be well placed early. Change in trainer. Watch the betting.

2VincentvangeeJ: Ivo Fry·T: Gavin Kinlyside260kg8 6 3 11 24: 0-0-117.003.80

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Townsville850m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.2L
11Hawkesbury1800m17 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD416.1L
3Goulburn1500m27 Feb 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT71.5L
6Newcastle1500m31 Jan 2026 · Maiden · GOOD47.6L
8Orange1280m6 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD48.4L
5Hawkesbury1000m15 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial4.9L
5Hawkesbury800m17 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2.9L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (29-weeks). Ex Stephen O'Halloran in NSW. Latest trial was solid enough. Can hit the ground running for new stable after long spell.

ILB

First run back from a 29 week break. Odds of $101.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last time at Hawkesbury but drawn nicely. Back to a shorter trip. Rough chance.

Four-race maiden though does have a third place to his name; last of 11 over 1m1f at Hawkesbury (maiden) in March; first start for current yard; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a 29 week break. At 100/1 couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last run at Hawkesbury but has a positive stall. Coming to a new trainer.

3Dapper VeeJ: Adam Sewell·T: Sharlee Hoffman758.5kg7 323.004.40

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

3Atherton1000m19 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.2L
7Warwick800m24 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)33.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-1). Hard to get excited over this mare's trial work but race day is where it matters. Can make an immediate impact.

ILB

4yo by Heroic Valour racing as a debutant for Sharlee Hoffman. Watch betting.

This daughter of Heroic Valour makes first rules appearance; every chance as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

Sharlee Hoffman 4yo by Heroic Valour having first race start.

4LeuboomJ: Isabella Teh·T: Gavin Kinlyside458.5kg5 5 423.004.40

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

4Townsville850m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.9L
5Warwick800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.5L
5Townsville850m30 June 2025 · Barrier Trial21.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 42%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (3:0-0-0). Nice gate. Prefer to see on debut.

ILB

5yo by Boom Time having first start for trainer Gavin Kinlyside. Watch for a sign in the market.

First start under rules for this five-year-old; should prove competitive as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

Initial appearance 5yo by Boom Time for trainer Gavin Kinlyside.

5Any NewsJ: Rachel Shred·T: Rachel Shred658kg2 6 2 7 211: 0-3-123.004.40

Career

11: 0-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Nowra
3: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
2: 0-0-1
Track Moruya
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 950m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-2-0

Last starts

2Mareeba900m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+1.3L
7Townsville1000m30 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT54.3L
2Innisfail900m15 Aug 2026 · 3yo+1.1L
6Cairns950m23 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT73.35L
2Cairns950m9 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT70.5L
3Townsville1000m15 Mar 2026 · MDN · HEAVY80.53L
7Nowra1200m11 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD312.1L
6Moruya1010m5 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD48.8L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Mareeba. Meets a stronger bunch.

ILB

Ran well when 2nd last run at Mareeba. Rates as one of the key chances.

Turned in a solid effort in defeat last month, when runner-up at Mareeba in a maiden; signs of improvement on last two runs but yet to open his account after 11 starts.

RSIS

Ran well when 2nd last start at Mareeba. Must respect.

6Dee ThreeJ: Nathan Thomas·T: Scott Cooper358kg4 2 2 4 84: 0-2-03.601.60

Career

4: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cairns
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Townsville
3: 0-1-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Townsville1200m6 June 2026 · 2Y-SW · GOOD36.6L
4Townsville1200m25 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD41.9L
2Townsville1000m8 May 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT51.5L
2Cairns950m12 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY80.21L
4Cairns850m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial10.9L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (18-weeks). Gave a fair showing in his first prep. In the minors at Cairns on debut last campaign. Worth a look fresh in this line-up back in a country Maiden.

ILB

First up and was agonizingly close first up last preparation around here. Always seems to find the line well. Dropping in distance. Could feature here.

Could not manage better than eighth in a conditions race at Townsville in June; winless in four starts but has shown promise with second his top showing; is passed over.

RSIS

Resuming and right up there resuming last preparation around here. Will be trying to topple them late. Will be dropping in distance. Watch for a sign in the market.

7Do A Little DanceJ: Sean Cormack·T: R C Ludwig1058kg5 3 3 4 64: 0-1-12.801.36

Career

4: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Sunshine Coast1200m6 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD43.77L
4Toowoomba1110m15 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
3Gatton1100m30 July 2026 · 2Y MDN HCP · GOOD41.89L
3Deagon1050m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.3L
5Sunshine Coast850m23 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)7.3L
2Sunshine Coast1200m13 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY80.67L
3Sunshine Coast Poly Track1000m3 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Ex Billy Healey in QLD. Produced some fair results this campaign. Battled home okay at Sunshine Coast.

ILB

Was $6.50 and outsprinted when 6th last start at Sunshine Coast but coming back in trip. Racing for a new trainer. Expect support.

Not disgraced when sixth over 6f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) last month; first run for trainer; has shown glimpses of ability recently and should give it a bold bid.

RSIS

Was 11/2 and peaked on the run when 6th last start at Sunshine Coast but down in distance. First appearance for a new trainer. Should go very close.

8Chica PoderosaJ: Masayuki Abe·T: Trevor & Peter Rowe156kg2 2 2 5 75: 0-3-07.002.45

Career

5: 0-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cairns
4: 0-3-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-3-0
Track Townsville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
4: 0-3-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0

Last starts

7Townsville1000m8 May 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT55.7L
5Cairns950m9 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT71.1L
2Cairns950m26 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY92.4L
2Cairns950m20 Dec 2025 · 2Y HCP · SOFT54.5L
2Cairns950m4 Dec 2025 · 2Y HCP · SOFT78.6L
1Cairns850m25 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.9

Insights

Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Positive
Excels at this track and trip
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (22-weeks). Placed at Cairns first-up last campaign while brought on by a comfortable trial win. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

First up after 22 weeks and ran 2nd first up last preparation at this venue. Has a nice advantage with a good draw. Honest performer putting a tidy record together. Could be in the mix.

Was seventh of eight, beaten 6l, when close behind Dee Three at Townsville in May; many recent course efforts have been encouraging and winless in five starts but has shown promise with second her top showing; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Resuming and claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd resuming last preparation at this venue on a heavy surface. Showing consistent performance in races. Gets a favourable stall. Can't leave out of your calculations.

9Sixty Nine GrangeJ: Ben Kennedy·T: T Button1156kg4 5 3 10 24: 0-1-16.002.25

Career

4: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Home Hill
1: 0-1-0
Track Cairns
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
2: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Home Hill1000m16 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.9L
10Rockhampton1200m12 Apr 2026 · 2yo · SOFT611.6L
3Townsville1000m31 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN · GOOD43.8L
5Cairns950m12 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY84.91L
4Mackay1050m13 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial3.7L
5Townsville850m7 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial3.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Tom Button in good form, out performing market 35%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (21-weeks). Has an adverse draw and rising in weight for return. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

First up after a break. Finished 2nd last time at Home Hill. Has the speed to overcome the wide draw. Would need to step up.

Fair runner-up of seven in May at Home Hill in a maiden.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Nice run when 2nd last start at Home Hill. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide draw.

10Whispers Of ZiaanJ: Lauren Guernier·T: Neil Wieland955.5kg5 2 61: 0-0-061.008.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cairns
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Cairns950m28 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.6L
2Cairns850m4 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial1.4L
5Cairns850m25 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial9.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (44-days). A very soft debut performance this course when drifting in the betting 28 Aug. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Let up. Odds of $31.00 and didn't find the line when 6th last run here but having second career run. Will need a big effort to win this.

Sixth but beaten only 4½l on her debut 44 days ago (just behind Foxy Cheval) over C&D; on the shortlist.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Started 30/1 and weakened to finish 6th last time at this track but having second race start.

11Foxy ChevalJ: Samantha Pointon·T: Trevor & Peter Rowe854kg6 5 4 3 37: 0-0-29.002.80

Career

7: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cairns
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-2
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Ewan1200m25 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD7.98L
3Townsville1200m8 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD44L
4Cairns950m28 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L
5Innisfail900m15 Aug 2026 · 3yo+2.1L
6Townsville1000m28 June 2026 · MDN · GOOD47.5L
4Townsville1000m16 June 2026 · 2Y MDN · GOOD43.6L
8Toowoomba1000m21 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD415.3L
4Toowoomba650m9 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 12% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

In the frame last two. Eclipsed by winner but kept whacking away to place in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Ewan. Coming back in distance. Can play a role.

ILB

Finished with intent when 3rd last run at Ewan but coming back in distance. Should jump out and bowl along. Prefer in something easier.

Fair form when 8l third at Ewan over 6f (maiden) two weeks ago; has raised her game the last twice.

RSIS

Ran home into 3rd last time at Ewan but coming back in distance. Should muster plenty of early toe.

Odds correct as at 3:00 am AEDT. Odds can change.